Defense Social Media and Updates

Nuclear Bomb Canal Proposal Ignoring Radiation Risks
SocialMar 15, 2026

Nuclear Bomb Canal Proposal Ignoring Radiation Risks

What a genius idea: let’s detonate 12 nuclear bombs over the UAE and Oman to create a canal bypassing Hormuz. Who wants to introduce him to the Al Hajar mountains? ( (…we are leaving aside the small issue of radiation and...

By Javier Blas
Urgent Call: Allied Warships Needed in Hormuz
SocialMar 15, 2026

Urgent Call: Allied Warships Needed in Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz Update 15 March 2026 1⃣ Five Maritime Stories from Around the World 2⃣ Strait of Hormuz/Persian Gulf Update 3⃣ The Call for Allied Warships 4⃣ Minesweepers 5⃣ Historical Parallel to Strait of Hormuz Video: https://t.co/ETPsN2XFIX https://t.co/oOEKhMM28I

By Sal Mercogliano
U.S. War Deepens Iran's Dictatorship, Raises Gas Prices
SocialMar 15, 2026

U.S. War Deepens Iran's Dictatorship, Raises Gas Prices

He puts his name on everything, so let’s make sure his name is on this, too: —> “Overall, it has not toppled Iran’s dictatorship and might have strengthened it. We helped install a younger supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, who may be...

By Joseph G. Allen
Trump’s Erratic Demands Jeopardize Hormuz Cooperation, Iran Outlasts
SocialMar 15, 2026

Trump’s Erratic Demands Jeopardize Hormuz Cooperation, Iran Outlasts

It’s hard to see how international countries will cooperate with Trump on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open after 14 months of erratic demands. It’s one thing for Trump to complain about paying for European protection (somewhat understandable) but asking...

By David J. Doherty
Autonomous Maritime Defense AI: Next VC Goldmine
SocialMar 15, 2026

Autonomous Maritime Defense AI: Next VC Goldmine

1/ Fully automonous + maritime defense AI Institutional Investor: "Could Be the Next Big Investment Opportunity in Venture Capital... "... https://t.co/NoMGiNKai6

By Josh Wolfe
Trump’s Naive Belief: Decapitation Yields Compliant Iran
SocialMar 15, 2026

Trump’s Naive Belief: Decapitation Yields Compliant Iran

Distinguished military historian Phillips O’Brien on the war in Iran: "[Trump] was boasting about American military power... He thought this would be relatively straightforward, [like] the Venezuela model... Kill the leadership, and get a leadership that is much more compliant." https://t.co/gV29tXCQYl

By Steve Hanke
Four Launchers and AN/TPY-2 Radar Still in Korea
SocialMar 15, 2026

Four Launchers and AN/TPY-2 Radar Still in Korea

While the United States may have reallocated some interceptors from South Korea to the Middle East, as of March 12 there remain at least four launchers and the AN/TPY-2 radar on site. Lovely image from @planet. https://t.co/PJgsi28VXe

By Jeffrey Lewis
Putin Uses Negotiations to Advance War Victory
SocialMar 15, 2026

Putin Uses Negotiations to Advance War Victory

Putin has never been interested in peace, he wants the negotiations to help him win the war

By Anne Applebaum
The Strait of Hormuz Remains Insecure Despite Security Claims
SocialMar 15, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz Remains Insecure Despite Security Claims

Can the Strait of Hormuz really be secured? GeopoliticalGuy | Substack https://open.substack.com/pub/geopoliticalguy/p/can-the-strait-of-hormuz-really-be?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web #Iran #Hormuz #MiddleEast

By Geopolitical Guy
China’s Air and Naval Surge Near Taiwan Raises Tensions
SocialMar 15, 2026

China’s Air and Naval Surge Near Taiwan Raises Tensions

Taiwan’s defense ministry just reported 26 Chinese warplanes (16 crossing into its ADIZ) and 7 navy ships near the island on March 14. A big surge after quieter weeks. Tensions rising again? No invasion signs yet, but staying vigilant. #China #Geopolitics Photo Credit:...

By Corporate Reality Check
Historian Calls US Iran War Strategy Shoddy
SocialMar 15, 2026

Historian Calls US Iran War Strategy Shoddy

Military historian Phillips O’Brien on the problems the US is facing in executing its war in Iran: "It reveals a lot of the shoddy nature of the strategic planning." https://t.co/qS1gZLapCT

By Steve Hanke
Pentagon Predicts Iran Conflict Will Last 4‑6 Weeks
SocialMar 15, 2026

Pentagon Predicts Iran Conflict Will Last 4‑6 Weeks

A top aide to President Donald Trump said the Pentagon estimates the Iran war, now in its third week, would take between four and six weeks Oil and gas traders: https://t.co/2Lh3zW2EXR

By Stephen Stapczynski
France Declines Warships; China Unlikely—Who's Left?
SocialMar 15, 2026

France Declines Warships; China Unlikely—Who's Left?

I take it France is a no on War Ships coming to help. I can't imagine China says yes. Who do we have left?

By Logan Mohtashami
War Likely Extends Three Weeks as Trump Holds Off Deal
SocialMar 15, 2026

War Likely Extends Three Weeks as Trump Holds Off Deal

Israeli And U.S. Officials Indicate War Could Go On For Another Three Weeks Trump says he's not ready to make a deal while Israel says it still has thousands of targets to hit. Back to updating live: https://t.co/qVHXbLrl9H

By Tyler Rogoway
China Launches Second Yaogan‑50 on CZ‑6A
SocialMar 15, 2026

China Launches Second Yaogan‑50 on CZ‑6A

LAUNCH at 1322 UTC Mar 15 of a Chang Zheng 6A from Taiyuan with the second Yaogan-50 satellite. The first Yaogan-50 is in a 950 km retrograde (142 deg inclination) orbit.

By Jonathan McDowell
France, UK Reject Trump's Navy Request; China Keeps Oil Flow
SocialMar 15, 2026

France, UK Reject Trump's Navy Request; China Keeps Oil Flow

France says ‘no’ to Trump on sending navy ships to the Strait. And the UK whom he denigrated the week before? And China? Yes, China whose oil supply continues. Tangled web.

By Tom Craig
Britain Decentralized Aircraft Production to Thwart Luftwaffe Attacks
SocialMar 15, 2026

Britain Decentralized Aircraft Production to Thwart Luftwaffe Attacks

When England made its aircraft production go decentralized to protect it from the Luftwaffe: 🇬🇧 https://t.co/vDvPBs6r2t

By LibertyRPF
U.S. Leaders Misjudge Modern Limited Wars
SocialMar 15, 2026

U.S. Leaders Misjudge Modern Limited Wars

"Generals and political leaders know what they are doing in a limited war. U.S. leaders in today’s middle-sized wars do not.' robert d kaplan https://t.co/liIZyBVyXU @ForeignAffairs

By Tom Keene
From WWI Convoys to Invisible US Navy in Gulf
SocialMar 15, 2026

From WWI Convoys to Invisible US Navy in Gulf

🚨Return of the Mayflower🚨 On May 4, 1917, six US destroyers of Destroyer Division Eight under Commander Joseph Taussig arrived in Cobh (today Queenstown), Ireland. The ships were the first of a vanguard of 35 American destroyers that arrived in Europe after...

By Sal Mercogliano
New Strategic Vision Calls for Dominant US Navy
SocialMar 15, 2026

New Strategic Vision Calls for Dominant US Navy

A superb article by @JeffVandenengel outlining an overarching strategic vision for the U.S. Navy in a renewed age of contested sea control. Much-needed - and hopefully much-heeded. https://t.co/7RLK6eTG0I

By Tom Shugart
Space Launches Surge: 4,500 Objects in 2025
SocialMar 15, 2026

Space Launches Surge: 4,500 Objects in 2025

As many of you know, I’m thinking more about the Space-Tech intersection with national defense and physical AI era we are about to be entering in. SpaceX’s IPO is symbolic. The race of rocket launches is about to accelerate wildly in...

By Michael Kevin Spencer
U.S. Pacific Quick‑Response Force Gaps Amid Deployments
SocialMar 15, 2026

U.S. Pacific Quick‑Response Force Gaps Amid Deployments

‘With an East Coast expeditionary unit supporting the war in Venezuela and the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit deploying to the Middle East (the 31st is usually based out of Okinawa, Japan), there will be no quick response force to aid...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
F-35 Software Upgrades Stagnate, No New Capability Delivered
SocialMar 15, 2026

F-35 Software Upgrades Stagnate, No New Capability Delivered

We break- DoD test office annual report: Attempts to provide upgraded software for F-35 jets have “stagnated” and no new combat capability was delivered last year, according to the Pentagon’s testing office, even as the fighter jets fly missions over...

By Tony Capaccio
Two LCS Mine‑Countermeasure Ships Deployed to Malaysia Amid Regional Pullback
SocialMar 15, 2026

Two LCS Mine‑Countermeasure Ships Deployed to Malaysia Amid Regional Pullback

So 2 of the 3 Littoral Combat Ships outfitted with the mines countermeasures package is in Malaysia? Not sure about Canberra but this seems like a strange time to pull a major element from the region.

By Sal Mercogliano
Trump’s Iran War Leads to Unexpected Kim Jong‑Un Twist
SocialMar 15, 2026

Trump’s Iran War Leads to Unexpected Kim Jong‑Un Twist

Arguably the best analysis of Trump’s war on Iran… On the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader & his successor: “We hoped to get Delcy (Maduro’s VP) but we got Kim Jong Un instead.” https://t.co/6utaBQlVnO

By Kudzai Mutisi
US Strikes Hit Kharg Island, Iran’s Main Oil Hub
SocialMar 15, 2026

US Strikes Hit Kharg Island, Iran’s Main Oil Hub

Iranian media confirms US strikes destroyed military sites on Kharg Island. Via @BRICSinfo Kharg Island handles 90% of Iran's oil export.

By Samantha LaDuc
Betting Against Claim Trump Views Russia as Adversary
SocialMar 15, 2026

Betting Against Claim Trump Views Russia as Adversary

I don’t play the prediction markets but if I did I’d place a gazillion dollars against this assessment — particularly the notion that Trump understands Russia as a strategic adversary.

By Daniel Drezner
Korea-Japan Evacuation Swap Turns Rivalry Into Cooperation
SocialMar 15, 2026

Korea-Japan Evacuation Swap Turns Rivalry Into Cooperation

South Korea's military with a flight from Riyadh carrying 211 souls... including two Japanese who got a lift home. Korean officer helping a girl and grandma board flips the script on old rivalries. Japan did the same for Koreans earlier,...

By Fahad Naim
Iran Could Shut Hormuz for Weeks, Experts Warn
SocialMar 15, 2026

Iran Could Shut Hormuz for Weeks, Experts Warn

So to speak.... “Even the possibility that a hostile power could choke traffic in Hormuz—by far the world’s most vital energy and commodity artery—was considered to be absurd,” McNally told Fortune, largely because it hadn’t happened before. “When I would tell...

By Bob McNally
War Triggers Gulf’s Defense Surge and Pipeline Pivot
SocialMar 15, 2026

War Triggers Gulf’s Defense Surge and Pipeline Pivot

I was reading Ziad Daoud and Dina Esfandiary's analysis of how this war will change the Gulf. They argue that just as the 1990 invasion of Kuwait created a deep psychological rupture, the current missile strikes are threatening to repeat that...

By Shashi Bellamkonda
Fiber‑optic FPVs Drive Ukrainian Vehicle Losses in Kursk
SocialMar 15, 2026

Fiber‑optic FPVs Drive Ukrainian Vehicle Losses in Kursk

By October 2024, fiber optic cable FPVs were already responsible for most Ukrainian vehicle losses in Kursk oblast. Helping Ukraine develop countermeasures to new battlefield threats is in our interest as well.

By Rob Lee
Trump's Waning Focus Stalls US Ukraine Peace Push
SocialMar 15, 2026

Trump's Waning Focus Stalls US Ukraine Peace Push

NEW: The US-led peace process in Ukraine is fizzling out because Trump is losing interest and his war against Iran is easing pressure on Russia. “A pause has indeed appeared in the talks. The Americans have other priorities,” Kremlin spox...

By Max Seddon
Switzerland Bans US Overflights Tied to Iran War
SocialMar 15, 2026

Switzerland Bans US Overflights Tied to Iran War

Switzerland bars US overflights linked to combat in the war in Iran https://t.co/pJ65t4h0H7 via @bbenrath https://t.co/oaGcwyWqPv

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Drone Proliferation Signals Imminent Autonomous Warfare
SocialMar 15, 2026

Drone Proliferation Signals Imminent Autonomous Warfare

People still underestimate how many drones are being built, shipped, used, and getting blown up around the world. Autonomous wars are upon us.

By Bilal Zuberi
Trump's Waning Interest Stalls US‑led Ukraine Peace Push
SocialMar 15, 2026

Trump's Waning Interest Stalls US‑led Ukraine Peace Push

‘The US-led peace process in Ukraine is fizzling out because Donald Trump is losing interest in the talks and his war against Iran is easing pressure on Russia, officials say.’ https://t.co/6VFAHJrvaZ

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
Xi Labels U.S. Dangerous After Trump’s Iran, Venezuela Moves
SocialMar 15, 2026

Xi Labels U.S. Dangerous After Trump’s Iran, Venezuela Moves

For Xi, Iran War Reinforces View of U.S. as Dangerous Superpower—Trump’s military actions in Iran and Venezuela set tense stage for a coming superpower summit @austinramzy https://t.co/1gsSWd2hed https://t.co/1gsSWd2hed

By Jonathan Cheng
Iran's Hormuz Blockade Catches White House Off Guard
SocialMar 15, 2026

Iran's Hormuz Blockade Catches White House Off Guard

As they said at the White House, "who could have imagined Iran would block the Straits of Hormuz?"

By Dean Baker
China Bears Brunt of US‑Israel‑Iran Conflict
SocialMar 15, 2026

China Bears Brunt of US‑Israel‑Iran Conflict

"China is the biggest loser in all of this [U.S./Israel-Iran War]...the reason we are having this conversation. Iran's nuclear progress like centrifuge manufacturing - China...ballistic missiles production - China." my talk tonight with @PoloSandovalCNN @CNN https://t.co/jN0HZ51bVz

By John Spencer
NightBeacon Slashes False Positives, Boosts Detection Confidence
SocialMar 15, 2026

NightBeacon Slashes False Positives, Boosts Detection Confidence

Launched NightBeacon Friday morning. 48 hours later: - 80.83% false positive reduction. - 3x higher true positive confidence. - 98.23% smarter model based on live data. - Multi-platform log intelligence built overnight. - Zero manual tuning. https://t.co/lmtyDyskXe This is just the beginning. #BinaryDefense

By Dave Kennedy
Oil’s Irreplaceable Role Spurs Pro‑Hydrocarbon Shift
SocialMar 15, 2026

Oil’s Irreplaceable Role Spurs Pro‑Hydrocarbon Shift

Oil is the only commodity on Earth used in every single sector of every economy. Even our adversaries need it. The Strait of Hormuz is two miles wide, and Iran is threatening to mine it. Whether securing it costs $2...

By Kevin O'Leary
Iran's Surrender Renders Hormuz Escort Missions Unnecessary
SocialMar 15, 2026

Iran's Surrender Renders Hormuz Escort Missions Unnecessary

Since Iran is in the process of surrendering, I guess there is no point in the UK, France, or anyone else making plans to escort ships through the Straihts of Hormuz

By Dean Baker
Betting Odds Show 15% Chance of US‑Iran Ceasefire
SocialMar 15, 2026

Betting Odds Show 15% Chance of US‑Iran Ceasefire

Betting markets are seeing the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire by the end of the month deflate to an extremely skeptical 15%... https://t.co/Brj4lTcqSK

By John Kicklighter
President Claims Unnamed Allies Will Secure the Strait
SocialMar 15, 2026

President Claims Unnamed Allies Will Secure the Strait

“.. The president said several countries have committed to helping secure the strait, but declined to name any of them.” @NBCNews https://t.co/AEDeyaO4FC https://t.co/YFq6h9TnJb

By Carl Quintanilla
Iran's Alleged Strait Move: Face‑saving Bluff, Not Blockade
SocialMar 15, 2026

Iran's Alleged Strait Move: Face‑saving Bluff, Not Blockade

If true, this is actually a face-saving withdrawal by the Iranians. It lets them pretend to be mean to US & Israel without actually blocking the strait. But I doubt it’s true. https://t.co/xCTeY2zGRE

By Dror Poleg
Trump Urges Allies to Open Strait of Hormuz
SocialMar 14, 2026

Trump Urges Allies to Open Strait of Hormuz

Trump started a war most of the world was against, and now asks China, the UK, France, Japan and South Korea to send warships to open the Strait of Hormuz Brutal 😂

By Andrew W. Gilliland
Iran Says only US, Israel Barred From Hormuz
SocialMar 14, 2026

Iran Says only US, Israel Barred From Hormuz

Any country except for US and Israel can pass through Strait of Hormuz, Iranian Foreign Minister says: NY Post

By S. Joseph Burns
Self‑styled Military Expert Clueless About Strategic Planning
SocialMar 14, 2026

Self‑styled Military Expert Clueless About Strategic Planning

Imagine a self proclaimed “military expert” telling his followers that in all of the U.S. National Security Council, Joint Staff, CENTCOM, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT), and JTF staff, they did not plan for scenarios in the Strait of...

By John Spencer
Iran's “Open” Strait Claim Masks Ongoing Ship Attacks
SocialMar 14, 2026

Iran's “Open” Strait Claim Masks Ongoing Ship Attacks

“As a matter of fact, the Strait of Hormuz is open … It is only closed to the tankers and ships belong[ing] to our enemies, to those who are attacking us and their allies. Others are free to pass” -...

By Rory Johnston
Iran Consolidates, Controls Hormuz, Unfazed by Strikes
SocialMar 14, 2026

Iran Consolidates, Controls Hormuz, Unfazed by Strikes

RAPIDAN: “.. two weeks into the war, Tehran's leadership has consolidated, forces have dispersed and absorbed strikes without decisive degradation, and Iran is shaping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on its own terms. The regime sees no pressure to...

By Carl Quintanilla