trump may want to end the iran war quickly. but closing the strait of hormuz or even threatening it keeps oil high and the conflict alive. @gzeromedia
You didn't have to be a genius to look at the extreme backwardation in the Futures curve for crude oil to call the current price spike temporary, and overdone. #CrudeOil

If you are bullish crude on reescalation, this is the buy zone .. Equilibrium in CL1 should be 83/92 .. Single prints yesterday on trump comments in the 91/92 area. Below $75 (the first Sunday gap when the war started)...
The hard thing for markets is reading this while oil prices are falling — I think the question is whether markets correctly anticipate a reopening before it happens or whether it needs a big headline.

Re-reading the excellent Energy A Human History by Richard Rhodes and I'm struck by how much has changed re: EVs since it was published in 2018. BYD just announced a 777km range battery that charges in 12 minutes. Car's fast...
INDIA GAS SHORTAGE 🇮🇳 ⚠️ India invoked emergency powers to redirect LPG away from industrial users to households LNG supplies to petrochemical and power plants are being curbed The crisis in the Middle East is throttling India’s LPG and LNG supply https://t.co/ujn00XTSnf
China Has Spent Years Preparing for the Iran Oil Crisis—Massive oil stockpiles and a shift to electric vehicles help insulate the economy from supply disruptions in the Mideast @BrianSpegele https://t.co/xq1mMRdTGu https://t.co/xq1mMRdTGu

What a chart. Gas prices are now $3.54, up more than 55 cents since before the war in Iran began. This is the highest gas price ever under President Trump (including his first term). This is effectively a $25/mo. tax on most households....
🎙️ I was thrilled to rejoin @TheStalwart and @tracyalloway on the Odd Lots podcast to discuss the historic and ongoing disruption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, through which ~20% of the world's oil flows. This is it. This is...
Nasser isn't spreading hyperbole. He's correct about what's happening. But, the assertion that this is notable because Aramco was the nexus of the 1970s oil embargo is...not relevant.

🚨 Call options on oil DO NOT indicate significant interest above $120/barrel. signals optimism oil-price rise may be contained. https://t.co/nlL7YR1ZsA

This isn’t over and the current market reaction, by reducing pressure on Trump, is only elongating the duration of the crisis and the physical disruption through the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/bMeee4CJjz
🚨The International Energy Agency is convening member governments later today to decide whether to conduct a coordinated release from members' emergency oil stockpiles. #energy #OOTT #IranWar

Today @IEA hosted a G7 Energy Ministers Meeting, chaired by Minister Roland Lescure of France, on the current oil & gas market situation We will hold an extraordinary meeting of IEA Member governments later today to assess market conditions My statement: https://t.co/ViR4Zc4Mhv...

Yesterday was day 8 of the war. The national average of gas prices is up 54 cents (18%) since it started. Prices were up 6 cents yesterday. https://t.co/gCWn8VQcNz
Today's #HydrogenSoufflé comes to you from Norway. In 2022 the Public Roads Administration awarded a 4.9bn NOK ($520 million) contract for 2 #hydrogen ferries. Internal documents found by NRK show the fuel cell lifetime may be <10% of the 7.5...
Forward the video to 1.40: “… While in 1990, one third of Europe's electricity came from nuclear, today it's only close to 15%. This reduction in the share of nuclear was a choice. And in hindsight, it was a strategic mistake…” Good to...
Oil reversal. Stocks mixed. Gold up slightly. Dollar easing. Know what that means? Nobody knows what to believe right now Iran is hitting back, geopolitics are getting worse, but Trump says there's an off-ramp and the war ends soon Mixed signals everywhere....
Exercise caution when drawing conclusions from reports of such incidents. Oil refineries are typically massive industrial complexes spread across vast areas. Drone strikes usually target specific components—like storage depots, processing units, or tanks—rather than the entire facility. An attack on one...

Trump yesterday said war will be over soon. Oil tumbled. As I signaled over the weekend, better to steer clear of the frenzy around oil and focus on EM differentiation. That theme's only been traded for a few days and...
My comments on oil's reax to Trump's Iran war declarations in conversation with @AJEnglish earlier today.

the massive $USO flush in final hour ystdy just brought it back to trend... https://t.co/qZjWtShXON
The EU made a “mistake” in turning its back on nuclear energy, Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said https://t.co/T1wZ3ehaSG

$WTI hit $111 intraday. Pulled back to $97. Still up 70%+ YTD. Markets priced in a ceasefire that hasn't happened. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Unpopular opinion: the high for oil is not in yet. https://t.co/Ag4wJnGVhR
For the history enthusiasts like my friend @Andrewtabler: During WWII US spare capacity actually went negative. In 1944, the oil industry pushed the fields beyond MSC to produce fuel for the final major offensives in the Pacific and Atlantic.
Oil bypass pipelines buy time, but don't solve the problem. SPR/IEA release would buy more time, but doesn't solve either. Ultimately, only one thing solves the problem: re-open the Strait of Hormuz. But rather than hitting the wall this...
As strikes shake the Middle East and oil prices soar, what are the global ramifications of the US and Israel’s conflict with Iran? 🎥 Tune in LIVE as @TimOBrien discusses with @JavierBlas and @MarcChampion1 Tuesday, March 10 @ 8:30 am EDT...
8 experts express their views about current oil market conditions. 👇👇👇👇 click on the link, then change the language in your browser.
2019 Berkshire Hathaway meeting Warren: "We will put a lot of money into energy... In 10 or 20 years, our record [at BHE] will be looked at and there will be nothing like it." Charlie: "We're in marvelous shape in this department......

Massive Short Cleansing or New Bull Market? Crude May Follow Gas - The invisible hand can be quite efficient in autocorrelated commodities, and crude oil and corn producers may have just received a chance to hedge and bring on more...

HEDGE FUNDS and other money managers had cut bullish positions in U.S. natural gas to the lowest for more than 18 months before the United States and Israel attacked Iran. Even after the attack and the closure of the Strait...

European gas prices drop after Trump’s effort to calm the market 📉📉 Dutch TTF futures fell as much as 17%, the biggest intraday decline since 2023 Prices had been steadily rising over the last week following the closure of the world’s largest...

Diesel prices have surged, but still far lower than the peaks set during COVID https://t.co/WJoutp3QcO
As the US-Iran war goes on, focus on oil flow and not on oil production: What matters now is exports ex Strait of Hormuz, not well head output in KSA, UAE, Iraq, Qatar and Iraq. Yes, later is deteriorating, but former...

The comments from Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser on the East-West pipeline, the last (and only partial) line of defence of the oil market against the Strait of Hormuz disruption (other than a SPR release) For background, my @Opinion column from...
fun fact: energy stocks $XLE beat technology $XLK stocks in % returns in the past five years... $XLE +116.1% $XLK +114.8%
HOW OIL COULD SURGE TO $200 AND BEYOND @tracyalloway and I talk with @Rory_Johnston -- typically one of the least-alarmist people in oil -- about how the longer the Straight of Hormuz is shut, the greater the likelihood of an...

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗜𝘀 𝗛𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝗢𝗶𝗹 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀? West Texas Intermediate crude oil (WTI) has recently shown erratic price movements following the military conflict involving Iran. Oil has long been a critical commodity supplied by the Middle East. Because of the geopolitical tensions that...
The Essential Commodities Act is now active - short supply of LNG gas - impact on petro products - plant shut-downs - Hotels unable to function - all of this has already happened in India in 24 hrs. But Trump is...
Saudi Aramco says it expect to reach full capacity at its East-West pipeline to the Red Seat in next couple of days as oil tankers arrive to load. That’s ~7m b/d (or ~6m b/d above pre-war levels already exported via...

Britain is more exposed than other European economies to the latest movements in energy markets due to greater reliance on natural gas. Households are also in a fragile position as energy bills are still 60% higher than before Russia’s full-scale...

Heating oil prices in the UK have trebled in a week. 2 million homes, no price cap protection, no warning. Heat pumps + solar are multiple times more efficient, don’t require an oil tank and oil deliveries and are an insurance...

Having IPO-ed only 6½ years and with a tiny free float, Saudi Aramco announces what effectively is a partial re-nationalisation with a share buyback of up to $3 billion over the next 18 months. That’s going to buy-back ~10% of...
G7 energy ministers are scheduled to hold a video call (involving the IEA too) today to discuss the oil and LNG markets. Yesterday, G7 finance ministers flagged a potential use of the oil SPR. Japan and several other north East...

Meanwhile, oil’s geopolitical leverage is being systematically vaporized: China alone is in the midst of a $250b green manufacturing spend outside China. To put that into perspective: that's more than the inflation-adjusted Marshall Plan. This is a tidal wave of...

Oil shocks and crashes: Where are we headed with the 2026 crisis? #oil #solar #EVs https://t.co/YJR9ZPQIRR https://t.co/TQRdwm55nX

Europe's energy vulnerability is contributing to the euro having a worse war than its peers, writes @marcusashworth https://t.co/D2PXb56w3z via @opinion https://t.co/aIh2l1QXUy
Trump, Putin talk of war and peace as US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions https://t.co/XxiEKNK66b
Interesting report on Rosatom > "Western sanctions have posed financial and logistical challenges to Rosatom’s projects, but most projects are staying the course." https://t.co/aqSfqArRIV
John Authers: “Years go by with less activity in the oil market than we have witnessed in just the first day of this week.” #economy #oil #markets #volatility