
CRASH 'Worse Than Great Depression' Ahead, Then $20k Gold, $500 Silver: David Hunter
In the February 18 2026 episode of Commodity Culture, Contrarian Macro’s chief strategist David Hunter warned that the world is on the brink of a global bust worse than the Great Depression, forecasting an 80 % collapse in broad equity markets followed by an unprecedented commodity super‑cycle with gold potentially reaching $20,000 an ounce and silver $500. Hunter said the current market has just finished a high‑low consolidation that began in October and that a short‑term rally in large‑cap tech and small‑cap stocks is likely through Q2. He raised his S&P‑500 target to 9,500, the Russell 2000 to 3,800 and the Nasdaq to 32,000, implying 40‑50 % upside before a top‑out. Yet he warns that underlying consumer distress, rising delinquencies and a “have‑and‑have‑not” economy are already sowing recessionary seeds. A striking quote from the interview: “This is the final run in a 43‑year secular bull market that could go parabolic by summer.” He also argued that the Federal Reserve’s balance‑sheet will likely balloon to $30 trillion in a crisis, making traditional rate cuts ineffective. After a recent 30 % silver plunge, he lifted his silver price target to $125 and his gold target to $6,800, anticipating a massive post‑crash rally. For investors, Hunter’s thesis suggests a tactical shift from equities to hard assets, especially precious metals, while monitoring macro indicators such as industrial spending, consumer credit and Fed policy. If his timeline proves accurate, positioning now could capture multi‑digit gains in gold and silver as the financial system seeks liquidity in a hyper‑inflationary environment.

How China & Russia View Trump’s Greenland Policy
The video examines how China and Russia perceive President Trump’s renewed interest in Greenland, framing it within the broader resurgence of great‑power competition in the Arctic. As climate change thins sea ice, new shipping lanes and untapped hydrocarbon deposits are...

US Economic Resilience Weights on Rate Cut Bets, Private Credit Risks | Real Yield 2/20/2026
Bloomberg Real Yield’s February 20 episode centered on the Supreme Court’s unexpected ruling that struck down President Trump’s global tariffs, a move that instantly lifted U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields and sparked debate over the fiscal impact of losing roughly $170 billion in...

In Full: Trump Responds to Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs
President Donald Trump convened a press conference after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled his tariff campaign illegal. The high court found the executive‑led tariffs on Chinese goods exceeded statutory authority. The decision overturns years of trade policy that has shaped...

Jobs or Inflation? What Should Investors Look At More
The interview with Michelle Schneider, chief strategist at MarketGauge, centered on whether investors should prioritize jobs data or inflation metrics as the market’s guiding compass. Schneider highlighted the surprising strength of small‑cap stocks, which are now outpacing the S&P 500,...

Chaos: Supreme Court STRIKES DOWN Trump Tarrifs
The Supreme Court issued a landmark ruling that invalidates the tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEPA). The 170‑page opinion, released after extensive briefing, held that the executive branch lacks constitutional authority...

One on One With USDA's Luke Lindberg
At the USDA Ag Outlook Forum, Undersecretary for Trade and Foreign Agricultural Affairs Luke Lindberg highlighted the event's renewed focus on international trade. He provided updates on several key trade agreements, emphasizing progress toward a prospective U.S.-India agricultural deal. Lindberg...

Japan's PM Takaichi Vows to Break with 'Fiscal Austerity' To Spark Economic Revival
Japan’s prime minister, Sana Takaichi, used her first policy speech after re‑election to announce a decisive shift away from the country’s long‑standing fiscal austerity. She argued that Japan cannot sustain a future without growth and pledged to stimulate investment across...

S2E32: Tech Jitters, Fed Splits, Dollar Gains: Nerves Rise
Global markets slipped as the U.S. dollar surged to multi‑month highs and oil prices climbed on heightened geopolitical risk. Hosts Howie Lim and Hugh Chung highlighted AI‑related stock turbulence, a split among Federal Reserve officials on future rate moves, and...

Sky News Gains Rare Access to Bank of England's Gold Vaults
Sky News was granted a rare tour of the Bank of England’s underground bullion yard, the world’s second‑largest physical gold repository, located beneath the heart of London. The network filmed the tightly‑controlled environment where more than 400,000 gold bars—valued at...

The COB: Friday Fizzle
The COB Friday edition wrapped up the week’s market activity, noting a flat‑to‑slightly negative close as the ASX hovered just above the 9,000‑point mark. With one week left in the earnings season and a tail of small‑cap reports expected, host...

Will the Stock Market Melt if the US Economy Heats Up?
The video examines why equity markets remain flat even as the U.S. economy shows signs of heating up. Host Spac reviews the latest January FOMC minutes, which turned markedly hawkish, and highlights the geopolitical flashpoint in Iran that has pushed...

Stocks Slide as Oil Jumps on Rising US-Iran Tensions | The Close 2/19/2026
The Close highlighted a sharp equity sell‑off on Feb 19, 2026 as Brent crude surged to its highest level since July amid escalating U.S.–Iran tensions. The S&P 500 slipped about 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell roughly 0.7%, while the VIX nudged back...

Equity Index Futures Traded Near the Flatline for the Year. 2/19/26
U.S. equity index futures hovered near flat for the year as financial stocks lagged amid rising U.S.-Iran tensions that pushed crude prices higher. Intraday moves saw the Dow down roughly 400 points at its low, the S&P off about 40...

Thursday's Final Takeaways: Trade Deficit Narrows & Tech Rotation Continues
The Market on Close wrap‑up highlighted a modest narrowing of the U.S. trade deficit to $91.5 billion for 2025, offset by a 6.2% rise in exports and a larger surge in imports that pushed the goods deficit to a record $1.24 trillion....

US Runs Annual Trade Deficit Up to $901 Billion, One of Biggest Since 1960
U.S. trade data released this week showed the annual deficit expanding to $901 billion, the widest gap since the early 1960s. After a brief narrowing in the first half of last year, imports surged in the second half, pushing the balance...

Figma's AI Outlook, Blue Owl Stokes Credit Concerns | Bloomberg Businessweek Daily 2/19/2026
Bloomberg Businessweek Daily highlighted two contrasting stories on Thursday, February 19: Figma’s AI‑driven growth trajectory and Blue Owl Capital’s liquidity curtailment in a private‑credit fund. The market backdrop featured modest equity declines, a VIX edging toward 21, and oil prices...

Stocks Slide as Oil Spikes on US–Iran Tension | Closing Bell
The closing bell showed U.S. equities slipping as oil prices spiked on renewed U.S.–Iran tensions. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each fell roughly 0.3%, while the Russell 2000 managed a modest gain, underscoring the market’s mixed reaction to geopolitical risk. Energy‑related concerns lifted...

Income-Focused Investing Often Leaves Too Much on the Table, Says Kathmere CIO
Amplify’s chief investment officer, Christian, used a recent market‑volatility roundtable to argue that traditional income‑focused strategies often leave performance on the table. He outlined how the firm’s “yield‑smart” ETFs combine dividend exposure with tactical covered‑call writing to generate 5‑6% yields...

Market Storylines: Inflation Moderates, Financials Bounce + S&P Stuck in 200‑Point Range
The week’s Market Storylines episode focused on the latest CPI print, bond‑yield movements and the S&P 500’s continued confinement to a 200‑point trading band. Headline inflation slipped to 2.4% year‑over‑year, driven by lower oil and food prices, while core CPI eased...

Why Tariff Rebates Don’t Work
The video critiques a recent proposal to issue tariff rebates, arguing that the approach fails to address the core problem of consumer and business costs imposed by existing tariffs. The speaker notes that while officials portray tariffs as payments made by...

Shoring up on Supply Chain Terms
The video dissects three buzz‑words—reshoring, nearshoring and friendshoring—used to describe how companies are rethinking global production. While reshoring suggests bringing manufacturing back to the United States, the speaker argues the term is misleading because many low‑cost assembly lines, especially in...

How Hedgeye’s Global Process Is Beating Consensus
The video outlines Hedgeye’s global investment framework, emphasizing how its country‑specific bets have outperformed mainstream consensus. By spotlighting recent returns—Turkey up 22% since December, Israel 19% since November, Mexico 18% since December, and Japan 9%—the presenter argues that the model’s...

How Tariffs Are Pushing America’s Furniture Industry to the Brink
The video examines how President Trump's reciprocal tariffs, imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, are pushing the U.S. furniture sector toward collapse, with a Supreme Court ruling expected imminently. A 25% duty on upholstered couches, kitchen cabinets and vanities,...

Daily Trader: Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales & GDP Preview #shorts
Daily Trader’s short wraps up Thursday’s data releases and sets the stage for tomorrow’s first look at Q4 GDP, offering investors a quick pulse on labor, manufacturing, trade and housing metrics. Jobless claims dropped to 206,000, beating expectations and underscoring a...

The Capitalism No One Sees | Jason Hsu on What Investors Miss About China
Jason Hsu argues that China functions as a fiercely competitive capitalist engine rather than a monolithic, centrally planned economy. He says the Chinese state often acts like the largest limited partner/venture capitalist—providing capital and protection while letting many private firms...

U.S. Picking Up Tariff "Tab," NVDA & CRM Earnings Center of AI Disruption
Morning Trade Live hosts Liz Ann Sonders and Nathan Peterson dissected three intertwined themes: lingering tariff effects, the looming AI earnings season, and a subtle market rotation. They noted that U.S. companies, not foreign exporters, bear the tariff burden, and...

Job Seekers Not Leaning Into AI Will Stay on Shelf Longer, Says ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan
ECRI co-founder Lakshman Achuthan says the U.S. labor market is moving from a muted, "low hire, low fire" state into a firmer cyclical upturn: employers are hiring, short-term unemployment is low, but long-term unemployment is rising. ECRI attributes the longer-term...

Russia’s War Economy, Explained
The video dissects Russia’s war‑driven economy, arguing that despite surface resilience, hard data reveal a near‑collapsed productive base. GDP is projected to grow a meager 0.6 % in 2025, and the system now leans almost entirely on oil, gas and a...

Tariff Wars! What Are the Rates? Who Pays? What’s Next?
The event featured Brent Nyman, a former Treasury deputy under‑secretary, presenting his latest research on U.S. import tariffs. He explained how statutory tariff rates—those set by law—jumped from near‑zero to about 28% after the 2024‑25 Trump‑era announcements, while the...

Growing Role of Chinese Pharmaceutical Firms in Global Supply Chains
The video highlights how Chinese biotech firms are reshaping global drug supply chains, with Shanghai’s “Pharma Valley” emerging as a hub. Goldman Sachs data show that 46% of new drug molecules entering human trials in the first half of 2025...

Bloomberg Surveillance 2/19/2026
Bloomberg Surveillance’s February 19 episode stitched together a mosaic of market‑moving themes, from runaway AI capex to geopolitical flashpoints. The hosts flagged that AI‑related companies are now devouring roughly 92% of their free cash flow, prompting a call for slower capital...

'The Markets Are Fine but the Gyrations Under the Hood Have Become a Bit Unnerving': Basinger
The interview with Craig Bassinger, Chief Market Strategist at Purpose Investments, centered on how AI‑driven hype is unsettling equity markets despite the S&P 500 hovering near all‑time highs. Bassinger warned that headlines suggesting AI will upend industries—from wealth services to trucking—have sparked...

The Close for Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026
The Close segment recapped the day’s market outlook, highlighting upcoming earnings from RioCam and IA Financial, a slump in Canadian housing prices, Japan’s $36 bn investment in U.S. energy and minerals, Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio shift, and General Motors’ $63 m Oshawa plant...

'New Canadian Government Has Really Taken the Opportunity to Focus on Areas We Can Control': Bai
The interview with John Bay, CIO of NEI Investments, centered on today’s market rally, a 3% oil price jump, and the broader impact of geopolitical tensions on North‑American equities. Bay linked the oil surge to stalled Russia‑Ukraine talks and heightened U.S.–Iran...

Removing the "Mechanism of Harm": Lessons From Syria for US-Turkey Relations
A former military and State Department adviser argues that US-Turkey ties have been strained for a decade by conflicting Syria policies, and likens the need to resolve that strain to the medical principle of removing the "mechanism of harm." He...

Why Self-Custody Will Always Win | with Brandon Millman
At Breakpoint 2025 in Abu Dhabi, Phantom CEO Brandon Millman argued that self-custody wallets will become the primary gateway to crypto as the industry shifts from speculative markets to real-world payments and consumer finance. He credited Solana’s developer-friendly tech for...

AI Must Be Accessible and Inclusive, Says PM Modi at AI Impact Summit in India
At the AI Impact Summit in New Delhi, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged that artificial intelligence be made accessible and inclusive, advocating for open-source approaches so wider talent pools in the Global South can contribute to AI development and safety....

"Big Drop" In Jobless Claims, "Big Jump" In Trade Deficit
Initial economic readings surprised to the upside: weekly jobless claims fell sharply to 206,000 (four-week average 219,000), aligning with a 4.3% unemployment print, while the Philly Fed index jumped to 16.3 versus expectations near 7.5. At the same time the...
![[FULL] THE DAILY REPORT (2026-02-19)](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://i.ytimg.com/vi/SP4vn7yx0D8/maxresdefault.jpg)
[FULL] THE DAILY REPORT (2026-02-19)
A Seoul court sentenced former President Yun Seong-yeol to life imprisonment after finding he led an insurrection by briefly declaring martial law on Dec. 3, 2024; seven aides including a former defense minister received lengthy terms. Judges concluded the deployment...

Raising Inflation Lowers Rates
The video explains how rising inflation lowers real interest rates, making borrowing cheaper and benefiting higher‑income households that can access new debt. It demystifies the relationship between nominal yields and inflation, showing that a 5% loan yields zero real return...

Asia Undercurrent 29: Collaborating to Strengthen the Indo-Pacific Through Innovation
The Asia Undercurrent webinar examined how Indo‑Pacific democracies can bolster resilience by pooling innovation resources. Hosted by Professor Marie Ancherdogi, the session featured health‑tech entrepreneur Dr. Madiha Fuad, Japan‑focused economist Takashi Imamura, and economist Dr. Manish Sharma, each outlining pathways...

Recycling Is India’s Critical Minerals ‘Gold Mine’
Speakers say India’s informal recycling sector, which handled about 99% of electronic waste before extended producer responsibility (EPR) rules, is a vital but hazardous source of critical minerals and materials. Informal operators use primitive, polluting processes—open burning and acid treatments—that...

America at 250: Nixon Goes to China, With Jeremi Suri
The podcast episode examines President Richard Nixon’s historic February 1972 trip to the People’s Republic of China, a move that shattered more than two decades of mutual non‑recognition between the two superpowers. Hosted by Jim Lindsay of the Council on...

Technology Innovation and Supply Chains at the Heart of National Competitiveness Strategies
European officials highlighted a €175 billion multi‑annual framework aimed at doubling research and innovation spending, noting solar power’s ten‑fold cost decline and its record generation share in 2024. Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry unveiled a "big carrot, big stick"...

Opportunities in Sustainability: Voice of Global Investors | Global Investors' Symposium São Paulo
The Global Investors’ Symposium in São Paulo centered on converting Brazil’s sustainability solutions—particularly land‑based climate actions—into bankable, scalable investments. Bloomberg highlighted the nation’s mandate to slash greenhouse‑gas emissions 59‑67% below 2005 levels by 2035, with agriculture, land use and forests accounting...

Switzerland Just Sent a MASSIVE Warning to the World
The video warns that Switzerland, long viewed as a bellwether for global stability, has officially slipped into recession, casting doubt on the optimistic 2026 reflation narrative. It highlights the Swiss franc’s surge as a pure safe‑haven signal, with investors...

50% of the Global Economy Is Missing From Most Aussie Portfolios. Here's How to Add It In
LiveWire Markets Fund in Focus featured Platinum Asset Management’s Cameron Robertson discussing the Platinum Asia strategy, highlighting that roughly 50% of the world’s economy resides in Asia yet most Australian portfolios remain heavily US‑centric. Robertson explained the fund’s two‑decade track record,...

Is The Strait of Hormuz Closed? | Did Iran Close the Strait for a Military Exercise | NO!!!
Iran announced a temporary, partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz on February 17 to conduct live‑fire drills coinciding with renewed nuclear talks with the United States. The shutdown affected only a small segment of the waterway and lasted a...

China's Critical Minerals Chokehold
In early February, the Trump administration convened an unprecedented critical‑minerals ministerial in Washington, drawing more than 55 nations to confront China’s near‑total control of rare‑earth elements and related supply chains. The summit marked the first large‑scale, multilateral U.S. effort to...