NFP Beat Trims Fed Rate Cut Expectations by 8‑12bps
In the wake of this morning's NFPs beat and downtick in the unemployment, Fed Funds futures have shaved off ~8bps worth of expected cuts through 2026 - was as much as 12bps. Someone is going to be surprised if this continues: the market or The President... https://t.co/cGLV0SAIDa
Nvidia Chips Generate $8‑10 Economic Ripple per Dollar
"When I look out over the next two, three years, a ripple effect for every dollar spent on $NVDA chips, there's an $8-10 multiplier across software and infrastructure" 🎙️ @DivesTech joins Dan on the latest Okay, Computer. https://t.co/kyBad40Wln
December Corn Down 3%, November Soy up 4%
🇺🇸After 8 of 19 February trading sessions, December corn is averaging 3% below last year's U.S. insurance price and November soybeans are averaging 4% higher. https://t.co/hSmhgukFMi
USD/JPY Suffers Biggest Weekly Loss Since 2024
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Faces Largest Weekly Loss Since 2024– Key Support in Focus https://t.co/HjgrEM3kjP $USDJPY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/nQQ6innM0G
Forecasting Trends, NAV Squeeze Mechanics, Active ETF Surge
🆓 Wednesday links: focusing on forecasting, how NAV squeezing works, and the rise of the active ETF. https://t.co/bgzuhBy1Uq image: https://t.co/JRCEGjVQN2 https://t.co/PSs8BSV9vG
Tech Peaks; Next Moves Mapped in 10 Charts
Off-Topic ChartStorm - Tech Stocks Tech has topped, what's next? Here's 10 charts outlining the situation and thoughts on the risks + opportunities: https://t.co/WKltkF9gOt https://t.co/k0pxNxZedy
EU Debt Issuance
If the EU were only able to issue its own debt, imagine the possibilities… Yeah, imagine if you gave EU bureaucrats the power to spend an astronomical amount in addition to its power to regulate https://t.co/KAqbSOG71R
January Outages Cut 3 Million Barrels Daily, 18‑month High
CHART OF THE DAY: If anything characterised January was oil outages: Kazakhstan, Venezuela, and the US (due to weather), plus several others. In total, it adds to nearly 3m b/d, highest in about 18 months, according to the @EIAgov https://t.co/Gb7hmQGvLw
Yen Carry Trade Holds; USD Weakens, Markets Rise
Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwinding Like You Think $USDJPY $FXY $QQQ $DXY Japan & China’s pressure on Treasury sales are weakening the USD, supporting equities + metals overall, without triggering a disruptive yen carry trade unwind. https://t.co/m6Mu3FpuRf
Unveiling 2026 Prop Trading Roadmap and Upcoming Announcements
Great conversations at @iFXEXPO diving into the 2026 Prop Trading roadmap - with a few hints about big announcements coming from @the5erstrading @FundedNext @IC_Funded Apparently I was “grilling” them (according to the audience)😄… or just asking questions everyone’s thinking? https://t.co/GEGDCIAXIG
What a Schwab Brain Scan Reveals About Traders
Charles Schwab scanned my brain… and this is what they found 👀 Inside the Mind of a Trader | Kathy Lien https://t.co/7k3G7EUtU5 via @YouTube
AI Spending Cemented, Driving Multiplier Effect Across Tech
AI spending isn't a debate anymore, it's cemented. @DivesTech on the multiplier effect across software, infrastructure and data centers 💻🚧 https://t.co/TC1BjQAHtv
Argentina's 32% Inflation Signals Milei Must Dollarize
Argentina’s January inflation came in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. Pres. Milei’s monetary model is not working. MILEI MUST DOLLARIZE NOW. https://t.co/MLSKqYfys7
Dollar Stabilizes Post‑NFP; CPI Sets Next Direction
US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Stabilizes After NFP – CPI to Decide the Next Move https://t.co/xwnZkIUN3I $DXY Weekly Chart https://t.co/Cp7VSktXM6
USDJPY Plunges 2.5% in Three Days, Reversal Uncertain
$USDJPY is down over -2.5% over the past three days. One of the biggest drops in the past year and a half. Doesn't mean it has to stall and reverse though... https://t.co/LRjhnctyzL
CBO Underestimates AI's Productivity Boost, Forecasts Too Low
CBO is mostly dismissive of the effects of AI on productivity growth (overly so IMHO). They expect *slowing* potential labor force productivity as the modest AI boost to TFP is swamped by the reduction in capital services. I would take the over...
Earnings Season Sparks 5.2% Avg Move, Largest Since 2012
The average stock reporting so far this earnings season has moved 5.2% up or down, the biggest post-earnings move since at least 2012--Citi https://t.co/Avh8yKzn1V
USD Strength Shifts EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Post‑NFP
Today's Opening Bell A look at the USD crosses post-NFP with on-the-fly analysis on EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY https://t.co/Tu1RqyYsZf
Bulls Near Record, Yet Options and Speculatives Stay Low
Sentiment in the stock market appears somewhat mixed. The Investors Intelligence survey (below) does show that the percentage of bulls is near the historical highs (62) while the percent bears is near the low (15). However, that level of enthusiasm is...
Jobs Surge, Unemployment Drops: GDP Gains Confirm Strength
On the surface a strong jobs report (130K jobs & unemployment falls to 4.3%). And just about every detail makes that stronger: participation up, involuntary part-time down, hours up, wages up. The mystery of strong GDP and weak jobs is being resolved...
Ethanol Output Rebounds to February High Amid Mild Weather
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production in the first week of February popped right back up to the pre-arctic blast levels, totaling 1.11M bpd, a February best. U.S. temperatures have been unseasonably mild this week, and that should largely continue through the rest of...
Trump’s Trillion-Dollar Savings Claim Ignores Fixed-Rate Debt
Trump says lower rates would save "at least one trillion dollars per year." The federal government's entire annual net interest bill was $970 billion in fiscal 2025—and much of that is locked in at rates on previously issued debt that...
NFPs Surge Past Forecasts, yet 2025 Revisions Cut Million
#NFPs beat expectations by the most in 10 months - a 130K vs 40K expected. That said, revisions aggregated through 2025 have lowered the year's total by over 1 million https://t.co/p1pkqEWC57
Ohio’s Commercial Power Use Overtakes Residential, Fueled by Data Centers
The commercial sector is now the largest electricity consumer in Ohio, driven by data center expansions. Commercial electricity sales surpassed residential sales for the first time on a twelve-month moving average basis in August 2025 and now account for 35%...
January Jobs Spark Rate‑cut Doubts Despite Solid Hires
Analytically, the January U.S. jobs report supports competing views. The market reaction, however, was clear: traders have sharply dialed back expectations for a June rate cut. The big beat on January job creation, paired with a dip in the unemployment rate...
Investors Dismiss Threat, Doubt USMCA Termination
"The market isn't taking this latest threat seriously at all," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at investingLive, adding that investors doubt that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a continental trade pact, will be discontinued ... I'll say it...
Global Payout Growth Outpaces US, Driving Valuations
And it’s not just global earnings that have been showing momentum. Payouts (dividends + buybacks) have been advancing as well, as companies near and far have become more shareholder savvy. The growth rate of payouts has been the primary driver...
Shareholder Rejects Netflix Deal, Backs Paramount Bid
Small Warner Bros. Discovery Shareholder Blasts ‘Flawed, Inferior’ Netflix Offer and Backs Paramount’s Hostile Bid — but Will It Matter? https://t.co/NGSPvAdqOW via @variety
Global Earnings Boom Ends S&P’s EAFE Uptrend
The earnings boom has gone global, with estimates in both EAFE and EM showing good momentum. The blue squiggles show estimates for the S&P 500 and the pink ones are for the MSCI EAFE index. The days of significant divergences...
Strong Payrolls Fail to Boost Dollar, Correlation Shifts
Tepid response of the Dollar to a big upside surprise in payrolls. The whisper number for consensus was weak, so this was a solid beat, yet USD is barely able to rise. We're on our way to the correlation switch...
US Backs Coal Revival as Indonesia Slashes Output
Two major coal developments in the last 24 hours. 1. White House announcing purchases and support to revive the industry 2. Indonesia just ordered the world's largest nickel mine to sharply cut output. They are also looking to cut coal production by...
Strong Earnings, Modest Overvaluation—Boom, Not Bubble
This formidable earnings growth has allowed valuations to take a back seat for a change. While the 5-year CAPE ratio is up there at 32x, the n12m P/E multiple doesn’t seem too onerous at 22x, considering not only the earnings...
Strong January Jobs, Lower Unemployment Boost USD Despite Cut Expectations
Jan jobs data better than expected and benchmark revision more or less in line. Unemployment rate ticks lower. $USD jump sold into quickly. Mkt still pricing in around two cuts this year.
Strong NFP Spurs Fed Pause, Dollar Gains, Market Pullback
NFP BREAKDOWN : Unemployment rate dropped to 4.3% while headline number crushed the expectations. In simple words , this was a much solid NFP all across the board. FED pause will continue. Profit taking in Gold , SPX , NASDAQ on reduced rate cut...
US Adds 130k Jobs, Unemployment Slips to 4.3%
NEW US JOBS DATA: Non-farm Payrolls: +130k Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (-0.1%) Prime Age (25-54) Employment-Population Ratio: 80.9% (+0.2%) Average Hourly Earnings: +0.4% Annual Benchmark Revisions: -898k
January Jobs Surge 130K, Beating Forecasts, Unemployment Dips
January Non-Farm Payrolls print at 130K vs expected 66K - previously 48K Unemployment holds ticks lower to 4.3% #NFP
BIS Chief Meets ECB to Discuss Current Economic Trends
Glad to welcome @BIS_org General Manager Pablo Hernández de Cos back to the @ecb today. We had a good discussion on the latest economic developments. https://t.co/NiOrDgbMRV
NFP Moved Ahead to Dodge Friday the 13th CPI Clash
Overheard "We preferred to release NFP today instead of Friday beause Friday is #Friday13th". CPI is on Friday.
Promoters May Offload Up to 3% of Netweb Technologies
#BlockDeal | Sources say that promoters likely to sell up to 3% stake in #NetwebTechnologies via block deals
USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension
$USD is soft ahead of the delayed jobs report. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but the dramatic short squeeze of $JPY continued. WTI is up ~2% as the US-Iran confrontation seems near a climax. ...
Pop Mart Rallies 50% with Minimal Short Covering
For those of you still watching where this bull-bear battle goes for Pop Mart, S3 Partners just said they have not seen much short covering despite the shares over 50% rally in less than a month through Tuesday https://t.co/oArFfDeiSH
Mild Chinese Winter Cuts Heating Demand by up to 6%
CHINA’s winter has been relatively mild so far, limiting gas consumption and imports. Heating demand in the North China metro-region including Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (home to 109 million people and accounting for 9% of GDP) has been about 2%...
NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast
https://t.co/k2T7oPbMh8 In an interview with CNBC on Monday (February 9, 2026), Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, advised markets to expect "slightly smaller job numbers" in the coming months. These remarks, have led many to speculate that the January...
Jobs Report Day Shows Record Forecast Divergence
Good morning and welcome to Jobs Report Day in the US. The consensus forecasts are for a monthly employment gain of 65,000, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and a 3.7% annual increase in average hourly earnings. As we head into this release,...
Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply
Nigeria’s inflation rate is DOUBLE NGA’s inflation target at 15.29%/yr. Nigeria’s money supply is growing at 15.19%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~11.83%-14.83%/yr, a rate consistent with Nigeria’s 6%-9%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/367h7H4ytf
Toyota‑Elliott Dispute over Toyota Industries Deal Lacks Key Financials
This @NikkeiAsia article just out on Toyota Group's "clash" with Elliott on the disposition of Toyota Industries is shameful. There are a bunch of very basic quotes. There is no mention of book value. There is no mention of the...
China's Consumer Inflation Cools, Producer Prices Keep Falling
China’s Consumer Inflation Eases, Producer Prices Stay in Decline The consumer-price index rose 0.2% from a year earlier in January, cooling from December’s 0.8% increase https://t.co/7xOyvC2ByN https://t.co/7xOyvC2ByN
AI Restrictions Trap Chinese Startups, Hurt US Innovation
“If Beijing forces Chinese AI innovation to remain fully domestic, Chinese startups face permanent capital constraints. If Washington blocks all China-adjacent AI deals, American firms lose access to innovative Chinese technologies.” https://t.co/zD3VCYdTdC
FnGuide Surges 11% as Demand Shows No Signs
FnGuide up another +11% today. Feel’s like there’s almost no end to the demand for the stock. https://t.co/mqJYQH1Dd1
Venezuelan Crude Stuck, Limited Shipments to Europe, India
🇻🇪It seems the trading houses that bought the Venezuelan crude from the Trump administration are having trouble marketing the oil globally. Most of the oil is sent to the US. Here in the map, three tankers are going to Europe...