Luxury Builders See Low FHA Use; Affordable Homes High
Homebuilders with the most—and least—FHA exposure 2% of Toll Brothers buyers use FHA financing 46% of LGI Homes buyers use FHA It makes sense… Toll Brothers average price is $1.19M LGI Homes average price is $364K ResiClub PRO report: https://t.co/vTkPhe0k9z
COHR Shines with Revenue Growth Amid Tech Slowdown
In this environment, that'll do it $COHR - all a company needs to do is show a rev acceleratiion while the other tech companies are decelerating
Gap‑and‑fade Day Signals Risk Despite Flat SPX
Crude oil spiked, $VIX pushed > 20… and $SPX finished basically flat. What does a “gap-and-fade” day say about risk? Plus: credit spreads, oil overbought signals, $NVDA at the 200D, and #Bitcoin teasing 70K. https://t.co/OFf21HIk5V https://t.co/0TzcIDfamB
Wall Street Rebounds as Oil and Gold Retreat
Is the market already done with the US-Iran war? Wall Street erased early losses while gold and crude oil recoiled from panic highs. Now what? #OilPrices #Crude #Iran #IranWar #stockmarkets #Dollar #Macro https://t.co/sUv93zfPtT
Magnificent Seven All Lagging Behind S&P 500
All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are now down on the year and underperforming the S&P 500. Video: https://t.co/VjMx0vXyKp
Kharg Island Identified as Critical Oil Export Choke Point
Kharg Island is a 'choke point' for Iran's oil exports, says VanEck Funds CEO https://t.co/rI4JYhLG71
Tanker Stocks Fall as Key Oil Waterway Shuts
"Sell the News" even works for tanker stocks when the most important waterway for oil is practically (if not actually) closed. https://t.co/1Blk1tLMqJ
Trend Following and Indexing Share Same Drawdown Reality
These types of comments always amuse me... "...trend following strategies typically have long flat or negative periods that test discipline. Past profitability doesn't protect you from a multi-year drawdown." So let's consider Buy & Hold or indexing between 1968 - 1982 where...
Iran Conflict Drives Oil and LNG Prices Higher
Oil, LNG Prices Spike as Iran Conflict Continues Ron Bousso, senior columnist for Thomson Reuters, discusses oil, LNG markets and the likelihood that Middle Eastern tensions will keep prices high. #IranWar #IranIsraelWar https://youtu.be/TyuJU-0pvIo
AIM Shares Hold Sideways, Bullish EMAs Tight, RSI Moderate
#AIM All Share Doji Candle and Sideways 4 weeks. Support 796, 775, 746. Resistance 837. RSI 61.5 not high. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish but Lines tight. Top Bollinger Band 822. Midpoint Line 814. Bottom Band 807.
FTSE100 Slides From ATH Amid Overbought Signals
#FTSE100 Down Candle off ATH. Support 10554, 10232, 10000. RSI 80 still crazy Overbought. Top Bollinger Band 10928. Midpoint Line 10722. Bottom Band 10522.
Ivana Trump's Former NYC Townhouse Halves Price to $14M
The fancy-schmancy townhouse where the 1st Mrs. #Trump lived goes for a deeply discounted $14M. Original ask was $26.5M. Has no full-on kitchen. 'My mom absolutely loved that house' #Ivana #NYC #realestate #mortgage #UES https://t.co/49RjM6YgHM via @WSJ
DAX Gaps Down Yet EMAs Signal Bullish Momentum
#DAX Gap down and Long Tails Doji but still in bigger Sideways Range. Support 24272, 23924, 23433, 23277. RSI 47.5 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Closed outside Bottom Bollinger Band 24716. Midpoint Line 25095. Top Band 25478.
SPX May Slip Below 100‑Day MA, Target 6720
$SPX keeps defending its 100 day MA on a closing basis, though I think it's likely to close below it by the end of the week. When it closes below the 100 DMA the next downside target will be the...
Follow Price, Ignore Noise, Trust What You See
No one knows what is next for the market. Having a bias and predicting only keep your eyes from seeing price and market participants actions. Follow price. Ignore the noise. Trade your plan and Use your...
Support Montana's Palladium Mine for Economy and Security
US Senator Steve Daines on Montana palladium mine, in the wake of US tariffs on Russian supplies of the metal used to make semiconductors and other materials:
Upcoming S&P 500 Rebalance Highlights Top Eligible Stocks
Last week we looked at names that might be added in this month's S&P 500 rebalance. The announcement will come after Friday's close. Here are some of the top eligible names and their projected weights as of last week and...
Sacramento Listings Down
Not much on the market. Slightly below one year ago now in the Sacramento region. And in case you wondered, at this time in 2008, there were over 10,000 MORE active listings than today. https://t.co/R9TLciGJi0
REITs Surge as Bonds
Homebuilders taken down, but REITs up US stocks +0.1% ex-US -1.7% $IBIT and $USO up big with the worst day for bonds in 3 months. $AGG https://t.co/Q5GdXN7VqF
Berkshire Drops 4.9% as NVDA, MSFT Climb
Berkshire flew under the radar with a 4.9% plunge following Saturday earnings @finviz_com $NVDA $MSFT up https://t.co/cmpuoSoxNM
USO Posts Third-Best Day Since 2022, Hits Multi
$USO 3rd-best day since March 2022... multi-year high close... remember when everyone hated this ETF? More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/r8CEDMAgDm
Trade Against Crowd, Wait for Strong Risk‑Reward Setup
This is what trading against the crowd using behavior and sorta simple TA looks like I'd add to this the low in oil came as Silver was topping out too but more importantly is you can't predict the future vs waiting...
Oil Market Stays Calm Despite Ras Tanura Strike
Despite the strike on Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery, Aramco’s Ras Tanura facility, the oil market remained relatively calm throughout the day. Stay tuned. https://t.co/HzbD8gLZNn
Bought TSLA on Dip, Awaiting VWAP Confirmation
bought $TSLA off this move lower here and a confirmation hold off #VWAP @alphatrends https://t.co/d73VEsbKau
Crude Drilling Targets Long‑running Pivot, Pressure Rises
Crude drilling into a pivot that’s been in play since 2006. Pressure builds here. $USO $USOIL $OIL $XLE $XOP $OIH https://t.co/g5XbBkgmCd
Iran Commander Declares Hormuz Closed, Threatens Passing Vessels
Iran commander says Strait of Hormuz closed, vows to hit ships trying to pass, report says: CNBC $USO $XLE
Oil Surges 8‑9% as Gasoline Climbs, Yields Steady
Oil jumping to 8-9% gains this afternoon.. gasoline futures up 12 cents. US stocks ~unch with the 10yr 3bps off the HoD.. now near 4.04% https://t.co/XkTx1P5k8G
Wealth Grows Through Small, Consistent Actions
Building wealth isn't one big "right" decision. It’s a series of small, repeatable actions that feel insignificant in the moment but lead to high-impact outcomes. Case in point: I’ve increased my investments by $100,000 in just the last 9 months. Here is the...
AOR 60/40 ETF Drops, Sparking Boomer Backlash
60/40 ETF getting slapped around today, though.. $AOR -0.55%.. boomers will be up in arms https://t.co/VDifb3Gz9N
Paramount Poised to Outshine Warner Bros Discovery
Tale of Two Slide: Can Paramount Suceeed where Warner Bros Discovery Failed? Today: (Top) — $PSKY + $WBD 2021: (Bottom) — WarnerMedia+Discovery https://t.co/qQblRU5byq https://t.co/nR1QFgHVJU
Long Oil, Short US Consumer: BNO Up, XLY Down
We remain long of Oil in $BNO terms and short of the US Consumer via $XLY https://t.co/wvSfyWS2xT
ONDS Rebounds,
$ONDS went backward on it once and put in no green to red stop once green. I made a little on it and at this moment in time I don't have shares. Name is back on watch
Berkshire's $1.3B Cost Basis vs $200B Amex Valuation
Berkshire's cost basis on American Express is $200 billion and Berkshire's owns ~22%. https://t.co/3YV1MjYH1A
Questioning the Assumed Decline of Oil & Gas
NEW POST: Are We Sure Oil & Gas Are Fades? https://t.co/a8CQaFm6L7 $UGA $USO $QQQ $SPY $TLT
Gold Bull Market Two Years In, Still Not Over
Today marks the day the #gold bull market is two years old (by the way I calculate them). If it ended now it'd be the shortest in modern history. Said differently, it ain't over and we must remain invested... https://t.co/UHqF9IBGvY
Peace Returns to VIX Complex Despite Middle East Turmoil
The Middle East may still be in turmoil, but peace has returned to the VIX complex. https://t.co/rNDEVVnd18
Just a Plain Chart—No Debate Needed
Here is a very normal chart that we shouldn't debate or scrutinize in any way. https://t.co/2F9rD46Rcq
Mortgage Rates Surge After Iran Strike, Ending Recent Decline
#Mortgage rates jump sharply higher after Iran strikes, reversing last week's decline https://t.co/O08aG0nWf9 @mortgagenewsmnd #realestate #realestateinvesting
Cyclicals at 25% Signal Upcoming Market Inflection
Each time this cluster reached ~44%, it represented extreme global concentration in growth/quality sectors. Historically, that 24–25% zone has marked secular lows in cyclicals/value share. When financials/energy/materials are ~25%: * They are structurally under-owned. * Valuations tend to be compressed. * Expectations are low. In 2000...
V Hits 21‑day MA, Five Consecutive up Days
$V tapping on the 21ma daily and 5 up days since the purchase. Moving up some of the stops
Chocolate Fire Sale Nears End; Market Must Beat Friday
This might be it for the Chocolate fire sale. Market needs to close above Friday's high tomorrow. https://t.co/SL56uK8y5A
IGV Opens Low, Rallies Higher Five Sessions Straight
Five straight sessions now in software $IGV where they open it near the lows and grind it higher all day. https://t.co/RL0fGDQBeY
War Undermines Plans, Makes Predictions Fragile
Profound. No plan is unchanged by war, and all predictions are rendered wafer thin. Bowen’s priceless insight.. https://t.co/h4FDPyZ6Y4
LEI/CEI Ratio Hits 60‑Year Low, Forecasting Recession
Every recession since 1960 has been preceded by a material downturn in this ratio. Today’s reading is squarely in that danger zone. These charts show the Leading Economic Index (LEI) against the Coincident Economic Index (CEI). The shaded bars...
Opened ServiceNow Position, Sharing Proof & TBL Access
I disclosed to everyone during my TikTok live last night that I had opened service now positions last week Now you can see the proof yourself via the signal given to TBL in Feb I told everyone why I love the...
Hormuz Shutdown Spikes Sulphur, Hikes African Copper Leaching Costs
The cost of leaching copper oxide ore in the Central African Copperbelt is about to get even more expensive. In the past few days a number of Middle Eastern Oil refineries have been attacked / closed. In addition, exports through...
MU Holds Low, Slightly Weaker Than SNDK
$MU is acting fine as well. Today's low should be held Slightly weaker than SNDK. https://t.co/EBuaDCznnj
Volatility and Clean Structure Simplify NQ Trading
Volatility? Good. Clean structure? Even better. 🔥 NQ gave us: ⚡ Price Discovery Continuation ⚡ VWAP Bounce ⚡ IB High Fade ⚡ Madonna (first IB touch fade… textbook) When you read balance vs imbalance correctly, the market gets simple. Grab the free guide 🌊 #vwaptrading #nqfutures #tradingeducation
Mortgage Rates Drop a Year
BACK TO A 6-HANDLE The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.12% Same day last year: 6.74% ------------------ 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.06% Spread today: 206 bps
One in Five California Home Sales Are
California’s housing market is officially a landed gentry system. 🏠 New data from the Wall Street Journal: 1 in 5 of CA home transfers are now inheritances—double the US average. Does CA need to end Prop 13 to save the American Dream?...