Investing Social Media and Updates

USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension
SocialFeb 11, 2026

USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension

$USD is soft ahead of the delayed jobs report. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but the dramatic short squeeze of $JPY continued. WTI is up ~2% as the US-Iran confrontation seems near a climax. ...

By Marc Chandler
Pop Mart Rallies 50% with Minimal Short Covering
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Pop Mart Rallies 50% with Minimal Short Covering

For those of you still watching where this bull-bear battle goes for Pop Mart, S3 Partners just said they have not seen much short covering despite the shares over 50% rally in less than a month through Tuesday https://t.co/oArFfDeiSH

By Charlotte Yang
Mild Chinese Winter Cuts Heating Demand by up to 6%
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Mild Chinese Winter Cuts Heating Demand by up to 6%

CHINA’s winter has been relatively mild so far, limiting gas consumption and imports. Heating demand in the North China metro-region including Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (home to 109 million people and accounting for 9% of GDP) has been about 2%...

By John Kemp
NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast
SocialFeb 11, 2026

NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast

https://t.co/k2T7oPbMh8 In an interview with CNBC on Monday (February 9, 2026), Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, advised markets to expect "slightly smaller job numbers" in the coming months. These remarks, have led many to speculate that the January...

By Boris Schlossberg
Jobs Report Day Shows Record Forecast Divergence
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Jobs Report Day Shows Record Forecast Divergence

Good morning and welcome to Jobs Report Day in the US. The consensus forecasts are for a monthly employment gain of 65,000, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and a 3.7% annual increase in average hourly earnings. As we head into this release,...

By Mohamed El‑Erian
Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply

Nigeria’s inflation rate is DOUBLE NGA’s inflation target at 15.29%/yr. Nigeria’s money supply is growing at 15.19%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~11.83%-14.83%/yr, a rate consistent with Nigeria’s 6%-9%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/367h7H4ytf

By Steve Hanke
Toyota‑Elliott Dispute over Toyota Industries Deal Lacks Key Financials
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Toyota‑Elliott Dispute over Toyota Industries Deal Lacks Key Financials

This @NikkeiAsia article just out on Toyota Group's "clash" with Elliott on the disposition of Toyota Industries is shameful. There are a bunch of very basic quotes. There is no mention of book value. There is no mention of the...

By Travis Lundy
China's Consumer Inflation Cools, Producer Prices Keep Falling
SocialFeb 11, 2026

China's Consumer Inflation Cools, Producer Prices Keep Falling

China’s Consumer Inflation Eases, Producer Prices Stay in Decline The consumer-price index rose 0.2% from a year earlier in January, cooling from December’s 0.8% increase https://t.co/7xOyvC2ByN https://t.co/7xOyvC2ByN

By Jonathan Cheng
AI Restrictions Trap Chinese Startups, Hurt US Innovation
SocialFeb 11, 2026

AI Restrictions Trap Chinese Startups, Hurt US Innovation

“If Beijing forces Chinese AI innovation to remain fully domestic, Chinese startups face permanent capital constraints. If Washington blocks all China-adjacent AI deals, American firms lose access to innovative Chinese technologies.” https://t.co/zD3VCYdTdC

By Jonathan Cheng
FnGuide Surges 11% as Demand Shows No Signs
SocialFeb 11, 2026

FnGuide Surges 11% as Demand Shows No Signs

FnGuide up another +11% today. Feel’s like there’s almost no end to the demand for the stock. https://t.co/mqJYQH1Dd1

By Michael Fritzell
Venezuelan Crude Stuck, Limited Shipments to Europe, India
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Venezuelan Crude Stuck, Limited Shipments to Europe, India

🇻🇪It seems the trading houses that bought the Venezuelan crude from the Trump administration are having trouble marketing the oil globally. Most of the oil is sent to the US. Here in the map, three tankers are going to Europe...

By Anas Alhajji
Goldman Sachs Gains Ground in Indian Deal Market
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Goldman Sachs Gains Ground in Indian Deal Market

Goldman Sachs has played on the fringes of Indian dealmaking for years. A big push to take market share from its Wall Street rivals is starting to bear fruit https://t.co/wB4mwz8dvu Anto Anthony @ScanlanDavid

By Lulu Yilun Chen
Trump's Choice on Iran Deal Drives Oil Risk Premium
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Trump's Choice on Iran Deal Drives Oil Risk Premium

A high-stakes meeting indeed. If Trump yields to Netanyahu's demand to push for a comprehensive deal covering Iran's ballistic missiles programme and support for regional proxies, possible outcomes: -- Drawn-out negotiations under the looming shadow of military action -- Higher chances of a...

By Vandana Hari
Insider Buys Cebu Air as China Visa‑Free Opens
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Insider Buys Cebu Air as China Visa‑Free Opens

Insider buying in Cebu Air CEB PM. Comes right after the Philippines introduced visa-free entry for Chinese nationals. Source: Smart Insider https://t.co/QYnTMGfGiz

By Michael Fritzell
US Hiring Slumps to Recession-Level, Job Market Fragile
SocialFeb 11, 2026

US Hiring Slumps to Recession-Level, Job Market Fragile

⚠️US HIRING IS AT RECESSION LEVELS: US hiring rate sits at just 3.3%, in line with the 2020 Crisis and one of the lowest readings in 13 years. Hiring is even weaker than during the 2001 recession and at levels seen during...

By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects

Will stock markets find enough to like in US jobs data? It’s all about Fed interest rate cut expectations. #Jobs #NFP #StockMarket #Dollar #Fed #Macro #Trading https://t.co/UBCpyuHxhZ

By Ilya Spivak
US Consumer Credit Surges $24B, Outpacing Forecasts
SocialFeb 11, 2026

US Consumer Credit Surges $24B, Outpacing Forecasts

Total US consumer credit increased by $24.05 billion in December, far higher than forecasts of an $8.0 billion increase.

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
AI‑Driven Sell‑Off Sparks Tech Opportunities on Bloomberg TV
SocialFeb 11, 2026

AI‑Driven Sell‑Off Sparks Tech Opportunities on Bloomberg TV

Look forward to discussing this AI driven sell-off and the opportunities in tech on @BloombergTV at 9:40 am with @mattmiller1973 and @daniburgz 🔥🍿📺🐂🏆🎯

By Dan Ives
Japan FSA Pushes Firms to Reinvest Cash, Boost Returns
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Japan FSA Pushes Firms to Reinvest Cash, Boost Returns

"The [Japan] Financial Service Agency is currently conducting a review of the Corporate Governance Code with a desire to see improved capital efficiency through companies both reinvesting excess cash into their core business and increasing shareholder returns" - AVI

By Michael Fritzell
Long Credit, Short Software: Overlooked Hedgeye Macro Theme
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Long Credit, Short Software: Overlooked Hedgeye Macro Theme

Macro Themes Deck (148 slides) @HedgeyeTV 11AM tomorrow Sneak Peak: this slide shows our Long Credit, Short Software Theme that MANY missed https://t.co/sBbXGGtVAr

By Keith McCullough
AI Accounts for Just 7% of January Layoffs
SocialFeb 11, 2026

AI Accounts for Just 7% of January Layoffs

🔴AI is NOT the reason for job market LAYOFFS: Artificial Intelligence (AI) was cited in 7,624 of 108,435 layoffs announced in January, representing 7% of all cuts that month. Since 2023, AI has been referenced in just 3% of all job cuts...

By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Growth Slows, Yields Rise—Short Treasury Duration
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Growth Slows, Yields Rise—Short Treasury Duration

Macro: growth softens, yields rise. Key: sticky CPI, Fed tightening, tight labor. Risks: stagflation, policy error. Trade: short US Treasury duration as real yields climb. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

By Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA
U.S. Grants License to Revive Venezuela's Oil Production
SocialFeb 10, 2026

U.S. Grants License to Revive Venezuela's Oil Production

OIL MARKET: Washington issues a new general license to allow oilfield-service companies to work in Venezuela — it’s a crucial step to boost oil output in the Latin American country. https://t.co/ozdDE2MiMZ

By Javier Blas
Markets Defensive as SPX Stalls Below 7000
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Markets Defensive as SPX Stalls Below 7000

Markets turned more defensive Tuesday as early strength faded... In today’s CHART THIS: • $SPX stuck below 7000 • Bonds rally on weaker retail sales • $GOOGL below the 50-day • $AVGO trapped between key MAs • Earnings: $KO $MAR $GILD $HOOD CHART THIS -> https://t.co/pHGfUwqPar

By David Keller, CMT
Dow Hits Record High, Markets Eye January CPI
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Dow Hits Record High, Markets Eye January CPI

MARKET RECAP 📈 The Dow Jones closed at another record high, now up 4.3% so far in 2026. All eyes on January CPI coming this Friday 👀 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️

By Peter Tuchman (Einstein of Wall Street)
Underlying Inflation Near 2.5%, Likely to Ease Further
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Underlying Inflation Near 2.5%, Likely to Ease Further

The ECI data out this morning is consistent with the thesis that underlying inflation is around 2.5%. And labor market looseness suggests that is more likely to go down than up. Wages ex volatile incentive pay have been steadily growing at...

By Jason Furman
NFP Outlook: Expectation Management Raises 23K vs 15K
SocialFeb 10, 2026

NFP Outlook: Expectation Management Raises 23K vs 15K

#NFP tomorrow. After yesterday's verbal managing of expectations from Hassett and Miran. Will NFP hit 23K ? 15K ?

By Ashraf Laidi
2026: The Pivotal Year for Short‑Term Rentals
SocialFeb 10, 2026

2026: The Pivotal Year for Short‑Term Rentals

Comment “POD” to watch the full episode where me and @boostlyuk talk about why 2026 will be the most important year in short-term rental history. ⁣

By Rob Abasolo (Robuilt)
Uber Slides to Multi‑month Low, 30% Off Recent High
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Uber Slides to Multi‑month Low, 30% Off Recent High

$UBER one of the show's favorite longs hits a multi month low and is now close to -30% below its recent high. Crickets. @dougkass @KeithMcCullough

By Doug Kass
Financial Stocks Overvalued, Commoditization Signals Short Opportunity
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Financial Stocks Overvalued, Commoditization Signals Short Opportunity

Financial stocks are "overearning" and subject to disruption. Altruist's tool is the tip of the iceberg. Today's share price declines are justified, imho - as pricing of industry product offerings will become more commoditized. This was inevitable. Trading at historic premiums...

By Doug Kass
Upcoming Jobs Report May Reveal Weaker Labor Market
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Upcoming Jobs Report May Reveal Weaker Labor Market

The jobs report is due out tomorrow. Along with it, are the annual benchmark revisions. In other words, we may soon learn that the labor market is in worse shape than we thought. https://t.co/b44jhyLPVL

By Eddy Elfenbein
US Canadian Crude Imports Plateau; Midwest Saturated, Gulf Pressure Wanes
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Canadian Crude Imports Plateau; Midwest Saturated, Gulf Pressure Wanes

🇨🇦🛢️🇺🇸 US Canadian crude imports by importing region and crude grade quality Total US plateauing/rolling over Midwest still key Canadian market, but entirely saturated USGC was the pressure valve, but fell back when TMX opened (first went to West Coast, now increasingly China)...

By Rory Johnston
Dallas Fed Sees Rates Near Neutral, Warns Stubborn Inflation
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Dallas Fed Sees Rates Near Neutral, Warns Stubborn Inflation

Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan sounded more confident about the labor market outlook compared to Sept and Nov. She is also slightly more optimistic about inflation, pointing to recent downtrends in the "trimmed mean" PCE reading. But her bottom line is...

By Nick Timiraos
Seeking Bull Case for Discounted HAL Stock
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Seeking Bull Case for Discounted HAL Stock

RPK, last time I asked you about $RIG signaling buy more - what's the bull case on $HAL on sale? @RPKent

By Keith McCullough
Software Selloff Hits BDCs, Creditors May Be at Risk
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Software Selloff Hits BDCs, Creditors May Be at Risk

“Business Development Companies” have been hammered in the recent software selloff. Alphaville dug into the data of some of the biggest ones to find out if software creditors are in trouble. https://t.co/ybVLHwLoCi https://t.co/AMQPhflF5J

By Robin Wigglesworth
Import Prices Rise Slightly, Showing Tariffs Not Absorbed
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Import Prices Rise Slightly, Showing Tariffs Not Absorbed

Another month of US import price data shows - again - that foreigners aren't broadly eating Trump's tariffs (bc if they were, prices would have collapsed this year - instead they're up slightly) https://t.co/Dwv9hRwxO1 https://t.co/pF66RuUWjN

By Scott Lincicome
Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause

Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD From Panic to Pause- Breakout to Decide Direction https://t.co/e2vca3B4h2 $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/BsGu6wpKlh

By Michael Boutros
Snap‑back Rallies Off Strong Support Aren’t Reversals
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Snap‑back Rallies Off Strong Support Aren’t Reversals

Little Bounces Off Big Support From my live trading room Friday... Snap-back rallies off big support does not a trend-reversal make 🙃 $MSFT $AMZN $QQQ $BTCUSD $SLV https://t.co/OLa6XrVvqJ

By Samantha LaDuc
Railroads Hit All-Time Highs, AI Disruption Unlikely
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Railroads Hit All-Time Highs, AI Disruption Unlikely

No AI disruption worries in railroads, with Union Pacific, CSX, and Norfolk Southern all touching ATHs

By Lawrence Hamtil
Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals

OUT NOW - @BergMilton on: - clear sign of "climax top" in gold & silver - why he expects a precious metals bear market - S&P 500, Bitcoin, Software + Korean stocks & more Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi 1/3 https://t.co/U3F0Pxojhy

By Jack Farley
Google’s 100‑Year AI Bond: Ambitious or Foolhardy?
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Google’s 100‑Year AI Bond: Ambitious or Foolhardy?

Google issuing a 100-year bond to fund AI capex. Remember JC Penney’s 100-year bond? Issued in 1997. Bankrupt in 2020. At least they got their basis back in coupons.

By JunkBondInvestor
Western Canadian Refineries Thrive, Ontario Slows, East Rebounds
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Western Canadian Refineries Thrive, Ontario Slows, East Rebounds

🇨🇦🏭⛽️ Canadian refineries are running strong in the West, have seen operations slip faster than seasonally normal in Ontario, and have had a bouncing start to the year in Quebec & Eastern Canada. https://t.co/CY8K1qOKIh

By Rory Johnston
U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low
SocialFeb 10, 2026

U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low

The 'sell America' trade pressure seems to be picking up again. The SPX-VEU (rest of world equity ETF) ratio is the lowest since April 22nd. A little further and it is a two year low. Adding the DXY Dollar Index in for...

By John Kicklighter
Amazon Steadies; Rally to 200‑day MA Signals Trade
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Amazon Steadies; Rally to 200‑day MA Signals Trade

$AMZN is holding steady after the gap frenzy last week. A rally back to the 200-day moving average would make sense for the bulls and the bears, but that feels more like a "trade" to me. The real question...

By David Keller, CMT
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Now at 3.7% Q4 2025
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Now at 3.7% Q4 2025

GDPNow model (a “nowcast,” not a forecast) from ⁦@AtlantaFed⁩ down to +3.7% q/q annualized for 4Q2025 https://t.co/NKqC4jdaL0

By Liz Ann Sonders
US Refineries Pivot From Canadian to Venezuelan Heavy Crude
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Refineries Pivot From Canadian to Venezuelan Heavy Crude

US refinery heavy crude sourcing from Canada (red) vs Venezuela (pink), compared to refinery capacity (blue) 2010 on the left, 2024 on the right https://t.co/nKOX5T7tGn

By Rory Johnston
Fed Likely Holds Off Policy Changes for Year
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Fed Likely Holds Off Policy Changes for Year

Bessent on balance sheet policy in a Warsh Fed: "I wouldn't expect them to do anything quickly. They've moved to an ample [reserves] regime ... that does require a larger balance sheet. So I would think they'll probably sit back,...

By Nick Timiraos
Committee Claims New Focus, Still Clings to Big Caps
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Committee Claims New Focus, Still Clings to Big Caps

Imagine being on a pretent "investment committee" that has finally figured out being Long Industrials $XLI and isn't Long of the Big $CAT ? lol Reality: they're all still long of the #Bag7 Stocks and widely held Large Cap Financials...

By Keith McCullough
White House Inflates Payrolls; Revisions Could
SocialFeb 10, 2026

White House Inflates Payrolls; Revisions Could

WH keeps 'pumping up' payrolls for tomorrow. Here's why. Revisions could wipe out all job growth last year. Zero. zip. nada. https://t.co/RILDizthdl

By Claudia Sahm