I'll be on @FoxBusiness this morning with @MariaBartiromo today at 7:10 am EST, talking markets, recent tariff developments & what's in store
#MONY results look solid but obviously the Hefalump in the Room is treats from AI. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 8.6 falling to 8.1 and fwd Divvy 8.6% rising to 8.9% and remember there are Buybacks as well. Low rating but...

As of Fri's close, the SPX sat just 0.99% below its Jan 28 all-time high (~6,978.6). Yet everyone's screaming "chaos & uncertainty"? Blue = mkt-cap wgted avg "VIX" of the 500 constituents (now 38) Orange = standard 30-day VIX (17.6) Green =...

‼️US Cybersecurity stocks are getting CRUSHED by AI fears: CrowdStrike fell -8.0% on Friday, Cloudflare -8.1%, Okta -9.2%, and SailPoint -9.4% after Anthropic unveiled a new Claude AI security tool that scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches. The Cybersecurity ETF, $BUG,...
This has quickly become my favorite weekend email @HostileCharts Larry Thompson's Sunday Stalk List on @StockMktTV. Some great charts in here: https://t.co/AN276aKU9t
Macro: DHS funding lapse prompted policy reversals. Key: TSA PreCheck remains; Global Entry paused. Risk: service uncertainty may boost travel volatility. Trade: buy select airline stocks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.

“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning. https://t.co/V7FSThxtRN

⚠️WHAT IS HAPPENING IN JAPAN? The 4 largest Japanese life insurers, Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, Sumitomo Life, and Meiji Yasuda, had a combined ¥13.2 trillion ($86 billion) in unrealized losses on government bonds at the end of 2025. Losses have risen over...
In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil

The Dow Jones Composite Average just closed at another new all-time high this week. This index includes all 30 stocks in the DJ Industrial Avg, all 20 in the Dow Transports and all 15 stocks in the DJ Utility Average....
2026 could be the best year for active management in decades. The combination of a heavily concentrated index alongside a period of cyclical broadening provides for a backdrop of most stocks beating the benchmark.
⚠️US Dollar weakness is historically BAD news for US stocks: AVERAGE ANNUALIZED RETURNS during the 5 major Dollar bear markets since 1967: S&P 500: +6.4% annualized Gold: +43.1% annualized EM stocks: +23.7% annualized👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked

JPMORGAN: “.. many trade deals negotiated to date have relied on IEEPA tariffs and have not yet been formalized as trade agreements. With the legal basis for these tariffs now invalidated, the fate of these deals is in question. These...
Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...
Historic Dispersion From Growth To Value Rotation - some quant talk to highlight growing risks in market structure. #CTA #IRAN $NVDA https://t.co/ZcfZDnpE7l

Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...

$SPX closed back above 6900 to end the week. $GOOGL $AMZN and $NFLX powered the rally, silver surged 8%, and I tackled viewer questions on $CAT entries, $MSFT Fibonacci risk, $ENPH breakout and the Hindenburg Omen. Full CHART THIS Mailbag: https://t.co/HpUIXN5kHi https://t.co/AiL2WR6RDf

In my weekly markets video for clients, I highlighted how investors have gone from “7 to Staples”. Usually, growing macro risks lead to Staples leadership. This time macro isn’t the issue, but it could be due to Mag 7’s idiosyncratic...

That was just the highest weekly close in the history of the NYSE Composite Index https://t.co/jxcFWw2qDi
T-minus 5 days until $NVDA reports. I expect guidance to come in ahead of expectations for CY26. That said, the real question is: what about 2027? My take: Growth in CY27 will be closer to 40% vs. the Street at...

⚠️Apple has almost NEVER decoupled from its Tech Peers like this before: $AAPL, 40-day price correlation with the Nasdaq 100 dropped to 0.2, the lowest since 2006. This is down from 0.92 in May 2025, a truly historic divergence. This comes as Apple...
ludacris day means that sometime in the day the s and p turns negative after being substantially higher. the s and p did turn negative (briefly) qualifying as a ludacris day.
There has been near zero coverage in the endowment and foundation world about there now being a low-cost, tax-efficient investable benchmark ETF. June 30th can't come soon enough...
S and P now down on the day (reversing 45 handles in last few minutes) From an hour ago... on @thestreetpro Dougie Kass Ludacris Day? @dougkass
Value ex-US ripping again this year, spreading to US value too. Not a lot of discussion about it in my world yet. Every advisor we speak to still way underallocated relative to benchmark...

Volatility is cooling. 30D realized volatility (yellow line) just rolled over and is now below 90D (blue line). When short-term vol drops, the machines re-lever. Vol control funds start buying. Right now, the signal says grind higher until proven otherwise.

The US econ grew less than expected in the fourth quarter, weighed down by a record-long govt shutdown, weaker consumer spending, and softer trade. GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 1.4% in Q4, down sharply from 4.4% in Q3....

"...$7.7 trillion ain’t what it used to be: Compared with the combined market capitalization of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, he points out that it’s on the low side, at about 12%." @Spencerjakab https://t.co/dd4PRJs203 https://t.co/f2BPA4Qw7V
Thoughts? The World Uncertainty Index has surged to historic levels—exceeding Iraq War, COVID, and 9/11—and identify five stocks positioned to perform well under these geopolitical conditions: Palantir (AI battlefield intelligence), ExxonMobil and Cameco/CCJ (energy security), and NVIDIA (AI defense technology),...

$SPX.X $SPY Feb performance by day 100 years overlaid on MTD action of SPY https://t.co/x1W4uABOCj
Grinder on the short side of the Indices for several months. Short the rips, buy the dips... for now, Bill. @DougKass

The 🔵WTD ⚓️VWAP tells the story of the choppy week in $ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/ihrFlZV1FZ

The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...

$SPX is still holding its channel, it’s an easy tape to overtrade, so stay selective and wait for clean setups. Key levels: support 6780–6790, yesterday’s low 6833, and pivot resistance 6909, with PCE and GDP on deck at 8:30. https://t.co/lvzBNkDdkK
⏰Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY 📷 Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nbz8N https://t.co/LuYuPCBRLU
Premarket Trading (4:10 AM) @TheStreetPro * Win, lose or draw - I timestamp * I don't bullshit (by sweeping losers under the rug and regaling in my winners) .... I am back shorting the indices: * (SPY) $686.72 By Doug Kass Feb 20, 2026...

Did you know $AAPL broke @Hedgeye TREND Signal Support in the past week? Do you know what its impact was in $SPY yesterday? @t1alpha We call this being Macro Aware https://t.co/vu1biIkQcQ

Software Is Not Dead. It’s Being Mispriced. AI disruption fears, multiple compression, and why embedded platforms may be the real beneficiaries of automation. Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/software-is-not-dead-its-being-mispriced
🚨US market concentration BUBBLE in one chart: The top 10 US stocks make up a record 40% of the S&P 500 market value. At the same time, the weight of the largest stock in the S&P 500 relative to the 75th percentile...
Great SELL call by McGough @HedgeyeRetail on $CVNA that CNBC failed, once again, to cover
There are two reasons why buybacks are falling and likely to fall more 1. CApex as a use of FCF is deemed more important than share count reduction or SBC dilution offset 2. To the extent stocks fade the ESO awards provided...

Top 2 sectors and top 10 stocks in those 2 sectors #stockmarket #Nifty50 #ai #bess #energy

"If you refer to those Walmart earnings. The CEO saying that tariffs are no longer an issue when it comes to pricing, but rather wages and income…" https://t.co/0OABeT0az6 #federalreserve #powell #dimartinobooth #kevinwarsh #economy #schwab https://t.co/VX4my3zpe8

“The S&P looks calm… but underneath, it’s churning like crazy.” Great convo with @GinaMartinAdams on concentration risk, price-to-sales extremes, and why 2026 may be a stock picker’s market. 🎙️ Latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast: https://t.co/6P2xtsblvM https://t.co/tohQDT7fRk

If you were to track the daily net difference between advancing and declining stocks on the NYSE and build a cumulative Advance Decline line, you would see it just hit the highest level in history. https://t.co/Eg6hlzbbe6
Interesting commentary from Sonic Automotive on their call and the affordability issues that are still here and possibly about to rise again: “And look, January was a hell of a month. Without the snowstorms, it would have been a magnificent month....

One positive aspect of the evolution of this market cycle has been how the market has become less reliant on multiple expansion. Earnings and dividends now comprise almost half of the cumulative gains since October 2022, with the P/E expansion...
$PANW: TR +15%, Product Rev +22%, TTM Software Firewall +42%, RPO +22% and 110 new platformization deals w/conserve but DD guides. $30B worth of M&A hasn't even kicked in yet.
$PWR: more evidence of the DC+Grid+Power theme - EPS beat/raise with Year-End Remaining Performance Obligations of $23.76B and Total Backlog of $43.98B. Year-End Electric Infrastructure Solutions Segment RPO and Total Backlog Reach All-Time Highs.