Coke Now Outprices Microsoft, Defying Gates' Logic
Bill Gates once argued that tech stocks should trade at lower multiples than consumer staples, due to disruption risk. Nearly 30 years later, $KO is trading at a premium to $MSFT https://t.co/kvxe5UxICA
Tesla Deliveries and Future Demand Discussed on BBC
Great to be with @BenThompsonTV on @BBCWorld discussing Tesla’s deliveries and the demand path ahead 📺🎯🍿👇@BBCBreaking https://t.co/77g6Px5deV
Visa at $299: Strong Fundamentals Signal Buy
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is VISA a BUY at $299? Visa just hit its 52-week low at $299, despite record Q1 revenue and a rock-solid 4.1% FCF yield. This is one of my all-time favorite companies: a true cash-printing machine with an...
March S&P Divergence Raises Concerns Ahead of Strong April
The $SPX closed out March with a clear contrast to the average performance of the month historically (past 75 years). April has averaged the second best month of the year over that time frame. If we deviate again from that...
S&P 500 Mirrors Intraday Treasury Yield Swings
$SPX is tracking intraday peaks and troughs in Treasury yields very closely as macro correlations remain elevated #fairleadstrategies https://t.co/9bi1kaFWxh
Mag7 Stocks Dip to 20x Valuation
Now there’s something you’d thought maybe you’d see never, some mag7 names trading at just 20x https://t.co/cWAtryHKuD
Nike Shares Dip Despite Beating Earnings Estimates
.@Nike is running low today even after jumping over the analyst estimates on top line and bottom line. #PunsIntended https://t.co/Kd0tq71cgi
S&P Barely Down 4% Despite Multiple Crises
The S&P is down less than 4% in 2026. This is despite a war, an oil spike, extreme levels of anxiety about AI disrupting every industry on earth, rising interest rates, private credit worries, and big tech companies moving either...
S&P Forward P/E 19.2x; 8 Cheap Growth Stocks
The Forward P/E for the S&P 500 is now sitting at just 19.2x. 🧵Here are 8 stocks trading even lower with double digit earnings growth:
Earnings Estimates Surge 19% Amid 9% Market Drop
For me the most interesting thing last week was that earnings estimates not only held up despite the turmoil, but accelerated higher. The 52-week rate of change for the 12-month forward EPS estimate is now up to 19% despite the...
Mag 7 Slump Drags S&P; Breadth Still Not
The Mag 7 are now leading the way down, which means that the cap-weighted S&P 500 is following suit. The M7 peaked last October and is down 17% from that high. That’s almost twice as much as the S&P 500....
Fundamentals Strong, S&P 2026 Target 7100 Signals 9% Gain
"Although sentiment has soured, fundamentals have remained resilient. S&P 500 2026 earnings estimates rose 2% in March, pushing consensus growth expectations up to 17% YoY. At the same time, the S&P 500's forward PE sits ~15% below its recent peak...
46 Firms Created Half US Market Wealth; Most Stocks Lag
From 1926-2025 just 46 companies accounted for half of the $91 trillion in wealth created by the US stock market 60% of stocks underperformed T-bills Some thoughts on how to own the best stocks: https://t.co/chTC5hDP2I https://t.co/4YIroZABKD
Dell Partners Outpace Q1 Forecast, Raising Guidance
3pdata shop out on $DELL latest research into DELL suggests partners are tracking ahead of F1Q plan across segments driven by pull-forward and similar to better win rates. We slightly raised our F1Q estimates and are ahead of cons...
SPX Breaks 6427, Eyes 6553 with 6705 Target
$SPX clearing 6427 to see 6553 and futures +45 for follow-through. Now it’s trim and trail, with 6595–6620 as the next resistance that can pause the tape. The bigger “grudge match” spot is closer to 6705ish, but we’ll see how...
NVDA's Operating Income Surges 32x in Three Years
$NVDA went from $4 billion to $130 billion in operating income in less than three years. 👀 https://t.co/x1flQfyv6M
Buy Selective Dip as AI Memory Demand Rebounds
KOSPI rebound lifts Samsung +10% & SK Hynix +9.5% after March selloff. Key: AI-driven memory demand swings; risk: OpenAI cuts pricing. Trade insight: Buy selective dip for mean reversion. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Most S&P 500 Stocks Rise Since November 25.
419 stocks on the S&P 500 higher today, the most since November 25. That marked a low back then fwiw. https://t.co/vbZ1vp1Heu
Most Magnificent Seven Stocks Enter Bear Markets, Signaling Leadership Shift
The S&P 500 is only down 9% from its January high. But 6 of the 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are already in bear markets. This is what a shift in leadership looks like. https://t.co/QcFh9RaBaK
Rising Rates and Concentration Risk Drive Market Pullback
With the headlines lurching from one end to another, it’s not getting any easier to find clarity on how or when the conflict in the Middle East will end or what damage the ongoing Hormuz bottleneck will inflict on the...
Rate‑cut Bets Collapse, Biggest Positioning Reversal in Years
January: everyone was long rate cuts. Now: hike odds >50%. That's not a rotation. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the unwind isn't finished. $SPY -3.4%. $QQQ -4.2%. The price tells you where we are in that unwind. --- https://t.co/mDbRSIwQT2
Apple’s AI Sideline: Hidden Advantage Amid Tech Rush
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is AAPL a BUY now at $247? Apple just posted its best quarter in history at $247. Yet here’s the contrarian edge most investors are missing: AAPL is still one of the world’s largest and most iconic brands, but...
Berkshire B Shares Surge Despite Shareholder Cash‑Raise Blunder
Shareholders in Berkshire Hathaway have been punished after they decided to raise a ton of cash in the middle of a raging bull market. But just yesterday, Berkshire B Shares hit new multi-month highs relative to S&Ps, as Financials try...
Bellwether Index Hits Year‑to‑Date Lows, Leading Stocks Falter
The Bellwether stock index just broke to year-to-date lows. The market’s most important stocks are starting to roll over. https://t.co/HYKpegS8Sa
Analyst Predicted TWI's S&P600 Removal—Now Confirmed
Teammember Anjana Amasuriya who does S&P500/400/600 predictions (among other things) earlier wrote an update saying he expected TWI to get the boot from SP600 when the Versigent spinoff came. Last night it was announced as such. https://t.co/USzrxfAXkE
Munger Says Own Apple Among Elite 12 Stocks
Charlie Munger on Berkshire's Apple investment: "What everybody learned is everybody needs some significant participation in the 12 companies that do better than everybody else. If you have that mindset, Apple was a logical candidate to be on the list..." https://t.co/dM8OcYvjJv
AmEx Secures NFL Deal, Boosting Revenue Outlook
Macro: AmEx wins NFL payments deal replacing Visa; Key: exclusive card perks, new co‑branded card & international reach; Risk: marketing ROI/FX; Trade: buy AXP on expected revenue lift. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Big Tech Endures Historic Three-Day Intraday Decline
Big tech suffered at least a 1% intraday loss for 3 days in a row. That's the fourth such streak in a month. This is tied for the most ever and hasn't happened since the GFC. It's been either really, really good...
Big Tech Slide Drags S&P 500 Down 16% YTD
Mag 7 Malaise: What Big Tech’s Slide Means for the S&P 500 $SPY My Monday $MAGS musings on @stockcharts ... which is now -16.4% YTD https://t.co/hrMFx68w4r https://t.co/5qnmDHeO0y
Big Tech Stocks Slide Deeply Year‑to‑Date
YTD $AAPL -9.1% $AMZN -12.6% $GOOGL -12.5% $META - 18.6% $MSFT -25.8% $NVDA -11% $TSLA -20.6% https://t.co/zGRemDg3Sb
Nvidia's Valuation Drops to S&P 500 Parity After a Decade
$NVDA Nvidia valuation falls to S&P 500 parity for first time in over a decade @seekingalpha GS https://t.co/uI914KMyKJ
Oppenheimer Names Nvidia, Broadcom, Monolithic Power, Marvell Top Chip Picks
Nvidia, Broadcom, Monolithic Power, and Marvell are Oppenheimer's top chip picks $NVDA $AVGO @seekingalpha https://t.co/ydlV0xyp9W
S&P 500 Endures Its Worst Quarter in Four Years
This looks to be the worst quarter for the S&P 500 in nearly four years. https://t.co/k9hOEkNWoU
Sysco Moves Into Cash‑and‑carry with Restaurant Depot Acquisition
Big news as @Sysco announces the acquisition of Restaurant Depot. While broadline has done well, cash-n-carry distribution continues to do well & this gets Sysco into a segment that it has historically avoided. This is from last year but growth is...
Meta’s Decade‑Long Resilience Tested by Crises
Meta price and EPS charts in the last decade, marked with every major crisis. Will it weather the storm this time? Detailed analysis 👇🏼 $META
Big Tech's YTD Decline Outpaces S&P, Margins Squeeze
Big Tech is selling off faster than the market. S&P 500 -6.9% YTD Big Tech (MAGS) -15.9% YTD $MSFT -26.2% YTD Capex hit $37.5B in a single quarter. Gross margins dropped to 68% (3-year low). Free cash flow is under pressure. AI is scaling,...
War and AI Doubts Split S&P Price From Earnings
S&P 500 12M forward earnings estimates 8% S&P 500 8% War and AI doubts have fueled an unprecedented divergence between stock prices and earnings estimates https://t.co/op1buWsF30 https://t.co/F9QcLD2WC2
S&P 500’s War‑Era Sell‑Off Remains Surprisingly Orderly
This feels like the most orderly sell-off of all time These are the daily moves in the S&P 500 since the start of the war No big down days yet at all https://t.co/atbg2iids3
S&P 500 Valuation Drops 17% as Earnings Surge 14%
Worth pointing out that the $SPX multiple has compressed 17% and now stands at 19x forward estimates. And at the same time earning are accelerating and are now expected to grow 14% y/y.
Top Stocks Shift Since Israel‑U.S. Iran Conflict
here's the % change of the biggest stocks since the Israel/U.S. vs. Iran war started: https://t.co/SuIscwwQ0w
Equal Weight Magnificent Seven Likely Topped, Below Support
The Equal Weight Magnificent Seven looks like it may have completed a top. Price just broke below support... How far does it fall from here? https://t.co/9JxB4KNbYv
Earnings Cycle Accelerates Despite S&P 500 Drop
"The S&P 500 index is down 9.2% from its recent highs, and the P/E ratio is down 18%. That 9 percentage point difference can be explained by an earnings cycle that is not only holding up but accelerating higher:" Fidelity's...
Thursday's S&P
This is no early April Fools' joke, but Thursday is down an annualized 147.6% this year for the S&P 500. Monday is up 108.2% at least, but that isn't making up for Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday. https://t.co/mtIAIGB4Q8
S&P 500 Ties Record with Nine Consecutive Down Thursdays
The last time Thursday was this bad was probably when they rolled out Joey. Most won't get that joke, but I thought it was funny. S&P 500 down nine Thursdays in a row, tying the most ever from 1930 and 1998....
S&P 500 Faces Five-Week Slide, Near Record Streak
The 🍌 peel period of February and March is living up to the name, as the S&P 500 is down five weeks in a row. The longest weekly losing streak ever? Eight in 1970 and 2001. https://t.co/77A6x56e3D
NVDA Slump Could Erase $4 Trillion Market‑cap Club
If $NVDA has a bad week, the $4 trillion market cap club could be a party of 0 https://t.co/L42ydj32gK
All Magnificent Seven Stocks Lag S&P 500, Deep Declines
All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are down on the year (-8% for Apple to -26% for Microsoft) and underperforming the average stock in the S&P 500 (which is down -1%) by a wide margin. https://t.co/61SEyeq0tV
S&P Faces Historic Wave of 1%+ Daily Drops
The S&P 500 fell 1.7% on Friday, its 10th daily decline so far this year with a loss above 1%. Expect to see many more of these days in the coming weeks & months - the average year since...
Nvidia Hits S&P 500 Forward P/E Parity After Decade
GOLDMAN DESK: “.. Nvidia now trades at par / slight discount to the S&P500 on fwd P/E for the first time in 10+ years. “.. yes, Nvidia is now trading at par with the S&P500 on fwd P/E despite, Nvidia...
JBS Beef Division Loses $617M, Up From $37M
GREEDFLATION? "JBS, the world’s largest meatpacker, reported a $617 million adjusted operating loss for its beef business over the past year. A year earlier, the loss was $37 million." https://t.co/0kC8Fa6JhE https://t.co/yOxDcuW5oa