
Japan’s big bet on the U.S. housing market got even bigger last week Japanese builders are rapidly acquiring U.S. homebuilders—now Daiwa House is buying United Homes That came just 10 days after Japan-based Sumitomo Forestry said it's buying Tri Point Homes https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/p/japanese-builders-quickly-acquiring-american-homebuilders-daiwa-house-buys-united-homes-housing

Florida is one of the few places where active inventory is down a little year-over-year right now Also: Connecticut homebuyers still can't catch a break Analysis via @ResidentialClub https://t.co/cp8T0N2iHu https://t.co/OFTPOagq2t

That is not the scale of homeowners in America for 15 years now. The QM laws of 2010 and the 2005 BK reform law changed a lot for American economics https://t.co/SfPRuod5EC

Total PITI costs surged for housing and in a QM lending environment that was set to crush sales. I had a price model limit for 2020-2024: if we didn't surpass 23% during those five years, we would be okay; we...

Fannie Mae: Get use to these mortgage rates Fannie Mae's forecast for the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate: Q3 2026 --> 6.0% Q4 2026 --> 6.0% Q1 2027 --> 6.0% Q2 2027 --> 6.0% Q3 2027 --> 6.0% Q4 2027 --> 6.0%

Pulled some #Opendoor stats in Sacramento. They are doing better than a few years ago, but some razor thin margins. This is the dollar difference between acquisition price and resale price. Real estate fees, holding costs, credits, & repairs costs...
My biggest takeaway right now regarding mortgage rates is to expect heightened volatility. They will likely bounce around a lot more than normal thanks to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The good news is 30-year fixed rates remain near ~3-year...

Here’s how to identify when a deal is too risky: Sometimes the deals you don’t do are more important than the deals you do This 40-unit deal that I underwrote a while ago had 4 major deal breakers 1. Having to take...
If you’re a millennial, you need to stop believing that owning a home is the ONLY way to build wealth. It is just one part of the puzzle and an optional one at that. If you can’t own a house,...
Florida condo owners lost $60,000 in equity in one year. Orlando condo owners gained 11%. Same state. Same year. I break down exactly why — and what happens next. https://t.co/fY7zpTVEkE
In long-term bet, Chicago investor buys third multifamily property in city in less than a year https://t.co/6uKHH6SzQR

As a country, we simply don't ever build on a supply-first model; we only build based on our demand curve. This is why the builders pause when total completed units for sale just hit 120K, for decades https://t.co/S6RwyAA3hO

Given this situation, millions of Americans could afford and even need to move, but they stay in homes they no longer want because they do not want to lose their low mortgage rates. Yet each quarter, people have given up...

Atlanta condo down 25% from peak value. Seller taking $40k loss. And now listed at pre-pandemic pricing. The condo market in many cities is getting smoked right now. (with some decent buying opportunities starting to show up). In this case - the HOA fee is...
We don’t do customization and we don’t build homes on other people’s land. We buy land. we build homes on that land. and then we sell those homes to American families
Home sellers are relisting properties at fastest pace in a decade, but spring supply is still low https://t.co/nuOAzLHBun

Even more novel idea: Use manufacturing to build NICE housing in the places people want to live https://t.co/gmQAr9C8Ap
The smartest clients I’ve helped buy Airbnbs purchased for Tax Benefits of owning Real Estate 100% Bonus depreciation Owning Long Term Passive Income Last
The housing market has tightened a little lately. I’m not saying it’s 2021 again. I’m just saying supply and demand have squeezed together a little. More thoughts on my weekly blog along with a discussion about that one home that...

Today’s podcast discusses a theory of mine on why #mortgagerates are near 6%, with hotter inflation data and the war with Iran driving up oil prices. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #economics #realestate #housing #chartdaddy

Home Sales & Home Prices Keep Dropping In BC & Ontario: The Sales May Improve Even If Prices Keep Falling The February Home Sales Numbers continue to look awful just like January But here's the thing about horribly low numbers: eventually the...
I understand the principle of precluding large firms from buying existing homes. They do “compete” with young families and raise prices. But the ROAD to Housing needs to be **clearly** re-written. Preventing "investors" from owning homes they built not only affects...
Another boldface #tech name decamps to #SoFla. #Google cofounder #SergeyBrin pays $51M for waterfront home of #LVMH boss #MichaelBurke on #AlisonIsland, joining the #Zuckerbergs+fellow Google creator #LarryPage. #realestate #mortgage #Miami #CoconutGrove https://t.co/3BfAXAnLCz

Touring a second-generation restaurant in Dupont Circle today and I’ve been getting a lot of calls about it. 3,700 square feet across two floors on Connecticut Ave with the Dupont Metro two minutes away. Second-generation restaurants create real opportunity because the infrastructure...

Reventure's Homebuyer Demand Index just updated for the first week of March. The monthly reading stayed at 6/100. The 3-month rolling average dropped to 8/100. 50 is "normal". Note that during the last crash, the index never dropped below 29/100. Indicating just...
Atlanta Fed Beige Book: “Homebuilders pulled back on housing starts and utilized incentives to shrink speculative inventory. Some builders reported home buyers shopping around for the best deals and often presented “low-ball” offers. This is especially true in the entry-level...

The average first-time homebuyer is almost 40 now. If young people don’t start owning assets, they’ll never build wealth...

How do I underwrite deals to ensure that (if I get my offer price) the deal ends up being a home-run? This is how. This is a real deal I submitted an offer on a while ago. 56 units, priced at...

In recent years we've seen more new listings between January and February, but that wasn't the case this year. Just something on my radar. On one hand, we've started to see sellers come back to the market, but I'm not...
Do you pay attention to Starbucks proximity for residential or commercial real estate investing? Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent #starbucks

Investors are selling properties after months of cutting rent. And it's happening all over the U.S. The owner here is a Wall Streeet Landlord. They purchased for 195k in 2012 and have rented it out ever since. And rent has gone...
Engquist: Ding ding ding. Cracks appear in the resolutely optimistic #MayorMamdani's armor as qs rise over prop #taxes+#Sunnyside #affordablehousing. #realestate #CRE #multifamily #NYC #Queens https://t.co/SKMyuFhL5X

Yes, it's true that even with the snow this year which is melting away, purchase application data is up year over year every week this year, with 5 weeks showing double-digit growth. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #realestate #housing #mortgagerates #chartdaddy

Mortgage rates have eased back toward the 5s today, potentially due to oil transport assurances from the President. The 30-year fixed is just 8 bps away from a 5-handle again, despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Jobs report on Friday...

How institutional investors think small bay industrial looks like vs what is does look like https://t.co/eLj2NHCCOQ

National Association of Home Builders: The Congressional housing package being pushed through right now would HURT housing supply NAHB: The latest version of the bill would 'undermine' build-to-rent construction The @NAHBhome email obtained by @PunchbowlNews/@BrendanPedersen 👇
The Crown Jewel Regular readers know that we created our original due diligence checklist in ~'14, on the advice of an experienced real estate investor who became our largest 3rd party property management client. (What's a "due diligence checklist"? It's a long...

Even with all the madness of this week #mortgagerates are almost back below 6% #realestate #housing #chartdaddy #mortgagespreads

Is the housing market getting tighter? Yes. Supply and demand have squeezed together over the past few months, so competition levels are now are at pre-2020 norm levels (instead of being softer). I'll write more about this tomorrow. Any thoughts?...

Boom to bust. Onx Homes came to Austin MSA in 2022—backed by $167 million in investor capital—w/ a plan to deploy a rapid construction process (builds completed in under 60 days) Now several dozen of its half-built homes are sitting neglected about...
Digging into the Senate's ROAD to Housing bill more, the new amendments are NIMBY-friendly supply killers. It effectively kills build-to-rent construction, which delivered 250k new homes over past 5 years. And don't assume all those homes would have been built anyway...
If you’re buying real estate solely based on numbers, you’re already losing Real estate isn’t just numbers in excel. It’s tangible Here’s how to actually analyze a property without making that costly mistake: First thing most investors do when they see a deal...
Weekly #Mortgage demand surged 11% higher last week, as rates sat near 4-year low https://t.co/2HClawHnMz @MBAMortgage

Something is going on in San Francisco's housing market. Inventory just dropped 38% yoy and is now at the lowest level in 6 years. Demand is rising. And rents are surging. This market got hammered during the pandemic, with prices in some ZIP...

I bought my first deal with $2,500 of my own money and now own over $50M of real estate If I had to start over in 2026, here’s how I’d find a market in just 4 steps: Step...
Opendoor owns about 30 homes in the Sacramento region right now. At the height of their purchase activity a few years ago, they routinely owned about 300 units at any given time.
#Auction on #5thAve. 80KSF #681Fifth, a McKim, Mead&White design, goes for just $100G to #WellsFargo. But #RobertSiegel, who lost it thru #foreclosure, may have some cards up his sleeve. Proceeding barely a min. #realestate #CRE #NYC https://t.co/eiDjaAGEuc via @CrainsNewYork

I'm seeing more and investors selling houses as I travel across the U.S. Housing Market. This one is located south of Atlanta. Corporate investor bought it for $226k in 2021. Tried renting it around $2,000 in 2022. And is now selling at $255k...
The worst commercial real estate underwriting in our market isn’t private credit (and that’s pretty bad)…it’s credit unions.
This is why reporters and policymakers should look at net flows (buying - selling), not just buying.