Know What's Happening in Stock Investing
Know What's Happening in Stock Investing
Qualcomm launches $20B share buyback and raises dividend
Qualcomm announced a $20 billion share repurchase program and increased its quarterly dividend to $0.92 per share, aiming to bolster investor confidence amid challenges in its smartphone business and a push into AI‑driven markets.
Geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel and Iran have rattled traditional safe‑haven assets, with gold and consumer staples slipping as oil prices breach $100 per barrel. UBS recommends pharmaceutical stocks as the new defensive refuge, citing their inverse link to purchasing managers’ indexes and strong recent performance. Companies such as Eli Lilly and Merck have risen about 34‑35 % over six months, benefit from low leverage, cheap valuations and a potential short‑squeeze, while AI‑driven R&D promises further upside.
Wholesale prices surged in January, with the producer price index rising 0.5% month‑over‑month and core PPI up 0.8%, keeping inflation well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. The Fed left rates unchanged at 3.25%‑3.5%, but the data dampens expectations for...
This week in value: Berkshire Hathaway 2025 Annual Report (BH) Tom Gayner – 2025 Letter (Markel) GMO – Year End Letters 2025 (GMO) Icahn Enterprises L.P. 2025 Q4 (Icahn) Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel on resuming buyback program: I absolutely talked to Warren (CNBC) Could Value...
Jefferies analysts argue that consumer companies embracing agentic AI will outpace rivals as algorithms prioritize product superiority, pricing and post‑purchase service. They highlight five stocks—Planet Fitness, Revolve Group, SharkNinja, YETI and Signet Jewelers—each with Jefferies price targets implying 60‑119% upside....
OpenAI announced it is scaling back plans to embed direct checkout functionality inside ChatGPT, opting instead for checkout flows through third‑party apps that plug into the chatbot. The news sent Booking Holdings and Expedia Group shares higher, reflecting investor relief...
The DF Tactical 30 ETF (ticker DFTT) began trading on NYSE ARCA on November 12, 2025, offering a rules‑based, risk‑managed exposure to large‑cap momentum stocks. The fund follows the DF Risk‑Managed Tactical Top 30 Index, which rotates quarterly among the thirty...
The article reflects on Fidelity’s Magellan Fund’s disappointing decade after Peter Lynch retired, contrasting it with the Contrafund’s stellar 35‑year run under Will Danoff. Danoff’s 14.04% annualized return outperformed the S&P 500 by nearly 3 points, a rarity for a...
Hyundai Motor India posted an 8% YoY rise in Q3FY26 EBITDA to ₹2,020 crore, but the figure fell 17% quarter‑on‑quarter, missing both the broker’s and Bloomberg forecasts. Management highlighted GST‑driven demand and a dealer inventory below four weeks, projecting 5‑6% domestic...
Charlie Munger: “You must value the business in order to value the stock.” Takeaway: Analyze operations before analyzing charts. Most investors analyze charts. The best investors analyze businesses first.
SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
CFRA Research upgraded Netflix to a Buy, raising its 12‑month target price to $115, implying about 16% upside. The firm highlighted the streaming giant’s expanding advertising business and demonstrated pricing power as key drivers of revenue growth through 2026. Analyst...
Over the last 12 months basically every cyclical industry but construction and leisure/hospitality has negative job growth. The new news today is the negative Education/Health, but the cyclical economy has been weak for a long time. https://t.co/TdUz4KvRxm
The 10-year yield has risen four consecutive sessions to 4.14%. Stocks down. Bonds down. Oil up. Gold down. When everything sells off together, it's not a rotation. It's a liquidity event. https://t.co/6whtUyh3CH
The Iran‑related conflict has nudged global equity markets lower, with Europe’s index down nearly 5 % and the U.S. benchmark off about 1 %. Oil prices surged above $84 a barrel, benefitting energy stocks, while shipping firms posted double‑digit gains despite limited...
During a lifetime you will have 10-20 big winners and hundreds or thousands that didn’t live up to your expectations. Long-term investing success is capturing those 10-20 monsters while also understanding 95% of what you own will deserve to be...
A major Middle East shift could ease geopolitical risk and send oil prices lower after a ceasefire. The implications for inflation, consumers, and markets ahead. 🟢 Open https://t.co/7zkGP8J4td
Greg Abel issued Berkshire Hathaway’s first annual letter and appeared on CNBC to discuss resuming the company’s share‑buyback program, underscoring continuity after Warren Buffett’s era. The week also featured high‑profile interviews with investors Stan Druckenmiller and John Arnold, plus a...
March is like October's little brother, but he does average a positive SPX return... BofA https://t.co/jFaPf9gsOb
WisdomTree has introduced the WisdomTree India Earnings UCITS ETF, an earnings‑weighted fund that tracks the proprietary WisdomTree India Earnings Index. The ETF carries a 0.55% total expense ratio and is listed on Xetra, Borsa Italiana, SIX Swiss Exchange and the...
![ASML: Competing with Moore’s Law - [Business Breakdowns, REPLAY]](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/5a391928-ccce-11ed-863b-7bdbc773faf2/image/55364bb6a294c4be08365a4dccb94c73.jpg?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress)
In this episode Matt Russell and Bailey Gifford portfolio manager Tom Walsh dissect ASML’s rise from a struggling Philips spin‑out to the unrivaled supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines that power today’s AI‑driven semiconductor manufacturing. They explain the fundamentals...
In this episode the hosts reopen their listener‑driven stock‑pitch format, giving retail investors a platform to recommend junior mining companies. Two pitches dominate the discussion: Auric Mining (AWJ), a cash‑generating gold producer in Western Australia with a low market cap...
Very surprised by the negativity surrounding Freee 4478 JP. I'm either completely wrong, or in it's a highly contrarian buy. https://t.co/ihtyiQ5SFt
What is he on about? KOSPI is like 50% memory chip exposure and earnings estimates have gone up. The people day-trading are local retail investors, but they’re still mostly focused on US tech. https://t.co/ebX1YOmoN2
Each week we run a DCF model on Boeing, arriving at an intrinsic share price of roughly $85, far below the current market level near $230. The analysis uses a 10% discount rate, 2.5% terminal growth, and forecasts free cash...
So I've read a few long essays on how abusive pharmaceutical benefit managers and group purchasing organizations are, and they all make a strong case. And then I look at the companies that own PBMs, and their margins are a)...
"We are in the first phase of a great rotation away from the US FANG+ and related stocks, semiconductor, and AI software companies towards oil & gas, utilities, emerging market, and resource stocks, and Treasury bonds." - Marc Faber
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) posted $1.48 billion revenue in FY25, up 17% year‑over‑year, with cloud sales climbing 26% and subscriptions comprising roughly 94% of the mix. The company’s Elastic Stack, an open‑source platform with over 5.5 billion downloads, is now positioned as core...
February was another strong month for the Japanese equity market and for Senjin Capital Fund I. The Fund’s unit price increased 6.7% in AU$ terms, despite a ~3% FX drag from the weakening Yen. The Fund has now returned 48% net of...
The Schwab Fundamental US Small Company ETF (FNDA) uses the RAFI fundamental weighting to deliver diversified small‑cap exposure with a value tilt and solid dividend growth. Since its inception, FNDA has beaten the Russell 2000 benchmark in both raw return and...
The Vanguard Mid‑Cap Value Index Fund ETF (VOE) is outpacing both large‑cap and peer mid‑cap funds in 2026, driven by a broad value‑sector rally. Its portfolio leans toward stable, upper‑mid‑cap industrials, financials and utilities, delivering a low 0.05% expense ratio...
ADDITION BY SUBTRACTION: What happens when you take the MSCI EM Index and start kicking out autocratic countries with low freedom scores (eg China, Russia) and use that excess budget to load up on freer countries? You crush the benchmark....
“The spread between large-caps and small-caps is the widest we’ve ever seen.” Rob Arnott joins us on @excessreturnpod to discuss historic valuation gaps, AI expectations, investing in periods of conflict and why the biggest opportunities may be where investors aren’t looking....
Synopsys (SNPS) saw its stock tumble more than 32% as the broader software sector faced an AI‑driven sell‑off, yet the company still commands a 41% share of the electronic‑design‑automation market and posted a 43% rise in its contract backlog. CEO...
"The US Dollar may still have moved up after the war started, but the price of US Treasuries went down. Flight-to-safety and flight-to-quality aren’t what they used to be."
Just published a writeup on $GDOT, the math is inevitable. (I am being playful, the math is probabilistic. DYODD, see disclaimers in my post, linked below:) https://t.co/ZjGJRg0ROs
Micron Technology is benefiting from an unprecedented surge in memory prices, driven by a tight supply of high‑bandwidth memory (HBM) and soaring demand from hyperscale cloud providers. The price rally has pushed Micron's gross margins to historic levels and set...
Novo Nordisk expands partnership with Weightwatchers to Germany. Dream team. Love to see it. $NVO $WW
Oil prices are surging, but inflation expectations aren't moving. Bond markets still pricing in a world that may no longer exist. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/6C4VK744Ql
Veeva Systems posted a strong FY4Q’26, reporting $836 million in revenue versus the $811 million consensus. Revenue grew 16% year‑over‑year, outpacing operating expense growth of roughly 7%, which helped lift the LTM GAAP operating margin to a record 28.7%. Gross margin dipped...
S&P 600 up 9% YTD. S&P 500 flat. Tech lagging. Energy leading. Value crushing growth. This isn't a head fake. This is a regime change. The small-cap rotation is real and it's getting started. https://t.co/AYVusIGbRd
$GNRC Dan Loeb’s THIRD POINT has a big new stake in Generac Holdings (GNRC). NEW, previously undisclosed CONFIRMED
Saba Capital Management has launched the UKIT, an actively managed UCITS ETF that invests in UK‑domiciled investment trusts trading at sizable discounts to net asset value. The fund targets a diversified portfolio of 40‑60 trusts across equities, bonds, real estate...
In 1999-2000 Craig McCaw asked me to spend a lot of time working in the Benchmark offices on Sand Hill Road to find areas where co-investment was possible. I never learned so much, as Yogi Berra famously said, "just by...
Took a $STUB starter this morning. At ~$9/sh, EV of ~$3.4B represents ~8x 2026 EBITDA guide MP & ~22x RR FCF. Regulatory resale (~10% GMS) risks appear discounted. This is deeply discounted to any reasonable comp set for a scaled marketplace with...
BMO Capital Markets upgraded Westlake Corp., a U.S. plastics and construction‑materials maker, to Outperform and raised its price target to $127, implying roughly a 20% upside. The upgrade follows the Middle East conflict that has shut down the Strait of...
✍️ Longform links: a look at a potential SpaceX IPO, the long-term health impacts of Covid, and how the iPod changed our relationship with music. https://t.co/6bSrheJuzD image: https://t.co/vMSvzVUcJK https://t.co/8bTwTklNAR
Over the past 14 months, International stocks have outperformed US stocks by 27%, the widest margin since 1993-94. But zoom out. On a rolling 5-year basis, US stocks have outperformed for 15 years running. This is by far the longest stretch of US...
Loop Capital has initiated Astera Labs (ALAB) with a buy rating and a $250 price target, implying roughly 120% upside from its recent close. The analyst positions Astera as the most diversified AI‑silicon pure‑play outside Nvidia, poised to benefit from...
Quality is an idea, a piece of artwork, a business, a relationship, or even a book that keeps working (providing value) even after conditions change over time. Quality is an interesting topic because it’s one of the most overused terms...
Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded American Airlines to neutral and cut its price target to $12.5 from $17, citing heightened exposure to jet‑fuel price spikes amid the ongoing U.S.–Iran conflict. The analyst highlighted that a 10‑cent per‑gallon increase in fuel...
