Nighttime Oil Short, Tight Stop, Morning Reveal
Put on a cheeky little oil short with a tight stop before going to sleep let’s see what the morning has in store for me.
S&P Futures Signal Potential Gap Down Through Dec Low
Stocks don't open for 12 more hours, but with futures -125 the S&P looks like it will gap down through the Dec. low; a low which became even more significant after Wednesday's bounce off its corresponding support. And if the...
Free Cash Now to Seize Future Dip Opportunities
Just an fyi this was primarily a move to free up cash for the dip. You can’t consistently stay levered long if you want any chance to get a better entry by buying the dip. I don’t know if we...
Stock Futures Plunge: Nasdaq Down 2.3%, S&P Near 2%
Losses for stock futures accelerating Nasdaq futures now down 2.3% S&P 500 futures down almost 2%
Targeting US Index Pullbacks, Gold Dip at 4880
My game plan: - Looking for continued downside on US indexes & fade-away any short term strength in them , but waiting for intraday pullbacks - Eyeing the current move in Gold as a dip buying opportunity , but waiting for levels...
Unfilled S&P Gap
Left is a still unfilled gap in S&Ps from Jan 1, 2013 Will another gap in S&Ps become unfilled? Just asking for a friend. https://t.co/cNPv8XxpVb
Short Basket Surges 6% Amid 2026 Market Dispersion
On Liberation Day, we created a Long/Short basket (dollar neutral) meant to capitalize on any fears of stagflation due to Tariffs. That wasn’t our expectation, however. We wrote “The likely result…the administration declares victory, and most tariffs eventually come down...
Banana Peel Sell‑Off Materializes, Mid‑March Weakness Expected
We've been saying for weeks now that the odds of a banana peel sell off was high. It simply is that time of year and now it is happening. Lot of fear out there, but more weakness into mid-March would...
Small Caps Tumble over 3% Amid Inflation Fears
Small caps down more than 3% because 1.) Inflation is a much bigger worry than a week ago and no cuts are coming? 2.) Sell the winners? 3.) Lucy https://t.co/3gsriv02Qd
Rising Fuel Costs Trigger Supply Chain Margin Collapse
If you go back you will see that I did. This is the chart I alerted members to my private X service to three weeks ago https://t.co/ebO2QwWczT
Rising Crude Oil Threatens Airline Stocks This Week
If Crude Oil does what the chart indicates might be possible, then airlines are headed for a world of hurt. I would not want to be long airline stocks this coming week $CL_F For all you fancy-pants newbie chartists, this is called...
US100 Reaches 200‑DMA, Up
And US100 hits the 200 DMA...400 pts from Friday's note issued 10 mins after NFP (time is GMT) https://t.co/bdLsTvTejL
Markets Tumble as Oil Hits $100, Iran Tensions Rise
NQ drops 200 points on the open with a wide gap WTI above $100 for first time since 2022 24,000 will likley tested as sentiment sours over expanding conflict in Iran Prepare to hear doomsday all day long on talking head TV
WTI Tops
WTI > $104 RBOB not up as much, but it crossed $3.. implying $3.95 at the pump in due time. https://t.co/yLhu2NxY1C
Citi Advises Holding Off Equities Amid Soaring Oil
“We see no reason to actively add equity exposure at this time as risk/reward will improve from either price action or a path to de-escaltion forming:” Citi’s Kaiser. The oil VIX reached its highest level other than during COVID since...
Bears Deliver Punches, Bulls Take the Hit
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 39 Punches were landed this week, and not by the bulls.. https://t.co/JwYFveywfv
TDEX Crash Put Hits 97th Percentile Amid Volatility Surge
OK. Pending apocalypse or local bottom? @Nations_Indexes TailDex ($TDEX aka crash put) hit 30 on Friday with $VOLI (ATM vol) at 22.58. TDEX level is 97th percentile and spread above VOLI also 97th percentile. You don't need to look far...
Hardware Shifts to Software: Our Winning Rotation Call
While positioning clients long VIX & Oil, we had another great play past two weeks: My call for Hardware Into Software Rotation 😉 Have a look 👀🤩😻 https://t.co/zKBn1g7m1F
Bitcoin Poised for $1,400 CME Gap at Open
🚨 BITCOIN CME GAP Current price: $67,000 CME open: $68,400 As it stands, Bitcoin will open a sizeable gap tonight https://t.co/rOL85QHEJw
Systematic Strategy Hits 8 of 9 Targets Amid Volatility
The Weekly Compass is Live In a week defined by high volatility, our systematic approach delivered results: 8 of 9 high-probability setups reached their targets 🎯. Access the new weekly plan and a neutral volatility assessment. https://open.substack.com/pub/smartreversals/p/tension-at-the-gate
Dragonfly Capital's Top 5 Monday Trade Picks
Dragonfly Capital - 5 Trade Ideas for Monday: APA, Fidelity National, Fastly, Intercontinental Exchange and Ring $APA $FIS $FSLY $ICE $RNG https://t.co/bmIVUw2USa https://t.co/eLsvqsBbW9
Markets Stuck Between Strength and Weakness This Week
Weekly Market Report: Between a Rock and a Hard Place. Everything you need to know or stop paying attention to. Link in reply below. 👇 $SPY $TLT $DBC $GLD https://t.co/QdGU8J0KdM
Premium Users Get This Week’s Top Trade Ideas
Premium Users - Top Trade Ideas for the Week of March 9, 2026: The Best, on the blog and here https://t.co/9TMJXjTA2I
Tesla Holds Yearly Pivot Support, New ATH Uncertain
$TSLA - Found support at the yearly pivot for the 2nd time in the last 5 weeks. A weekly close below 387 will confirm that it made a major top in December, but I don't expect it to happen next...
Most Charts Look Messy, yet S&P So
Stair Stepper and Ripping Through The S&P 500. Overwhelming majority of charts are messy. https://t.co/981sGtJSOu
SPY Defends Level 680 as Market Remains Red
The week ended the same way it started — defense. $SPY 680 held all week until Friday. Breadth, regime, posture — all red. Drones are showing some signs of life. New post is up 👇 (reply) https://t.co/F63KJoybso
Diversify Now; Active Hedging Won’t Save a Sinking Portfolio
With vol high/skew high but OTM calls also high and with equities in a minor drawdown those with undiversified max long U.S. equity portfolios are whipping around "options" trade ideas as the solution. Looking for ways to hedge. ...
Free Guide to Master 6 Precise Fibonacci Patterns
Here’s a link below to a FREE Fibonacci Trading Strategy Guide (ebook): 📈📉 Learn the 6 Fibonacci Pattern Types that Create the Most Precise Price Levels, Targets, and Reversal Zones for traders. Click here: ⬇️ https://t.co/62UAf4L9jv Discover the 5 types that aren't...
MeCURE FY2025 Looks Promising, 49% Upside Forecast
MeCURE just released their FY 2025 results and looks good on the surface. But please do your due diligence. Meristem projects a 49+% upsurge - N91 from current price. Will you be buying MeCURE this week?
Chart Pattern Signals Potential New Bitcoin Low
Will Bitcoin Crash Again to New Lows? (the chart pattern is a clue) https://t.co/hdfg3HpG1Q [VIDEO] #bitcoin #btc
Wait for Liquidity Grab, Then Follow True Market Direction
Liquidity Grab is one of the most powerful moves in the market. Price sweeps liquidity above the highs, traps breakout traders, and then reverses with momentum. Smart traders don’t chase the move. They wait for the liquidity to be taken and...
Timing All Asset Classes Beats Even Top Hedge Funds
My market timing calls on dollar, yields, oil, gold/silver, bitcoin & equities (esp growth to value rotation) can help even the best-of-the-best. 🙏
McClellan Oscillator Signals Bounce After 2024 Carry‑Trade Selloff
#SPX: The McClellan Oscillator has reached levels where price action begins to form a bounce, including the August 2024 Carry Trade selloff and the 2025 Tariff Crash.
Early Iran Risk Warning Yields Record Oil Gains
Since my client warning, VIX has risen 70%. and because I warned two weeks ahead that IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN, clients got to take full advantage of every dollar of the largest weekly gain on record in data going...
Systematic Short Books Boost Agentic Edge for Funds
If you are a long-short equity fund thinking about ways to adopt an agentic approach, I encourage you to think about building a systematic short book. 1) Good shorts tend to rhyme more than good longs and and so are fertile...
Bitcoin Undervalued, Gold Overvalued: Bullish Divergence Persists
The valuation of $BTC vs. Gold isn't changed. It's still the lowest RSI in history of that particular metric, which is still: - Gold is overvalued in the short term. - #Bitcoin is undervalued in the short term. Given that there's a lower amount...
Crude Oil ETF's 33% Surge: A 6‑Sigma Rarity
The Crude Oil ETF spiked 33% over the last week, the biggest weekly gain in its history. This was a 6-sigma event, which (assuming a normal distribution) is only supposed to occur once every 4,039,906 years. So we shouldn't see another spike...
Nearly All Equal‑Weight SPY Sectors Slip Over 1%
No Place To Hide.... 10 of the 11 Equal Weight $SPY sectors were down this week. 9 of 11 down more than 1%...... https://t.co/tpTJaIDGL3
Buy the Dip: Bitcoin Likely to Test $60‑65K
The markets aren't looking great, yet. #Bitcoin faced the first resistance test and immediately sold off. Now, there's a lot of liquidity beneath us ready to be taken before going back up. In that case, ideal moments to be accumulating positions. Some levels that...
VIX/VXV Spike Signals Near-Term Bottom, Upcoming Rally
The $VIX: $VXV ratio spiked to 1.07 on Friday. That's the biggest volatility spike since the April 2025 crash low. Last March it had an initial spike to 1.08, dropped to 0.90, then spiked to 1.27 in April, but this...
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
Junk Bond Drop Signals Real Economic Stress
High yield credit (HYG) down 0.5% on March 6th. When junk bonds sell off alongside equities, it means credit markets are sniffing out real economic stress, not just a volatility event. Watch HYG. It leads. Always. https://t.co/HpbzOsBALw
Nifty50 Option Mispriced, Hints at Monday Move
One interesting thing I noticed in Friday’s EOD option chain for Nifty50 (10 Mar expiry)...🤔 >> Look at the marked Option, closing around ₹439.85. Based on basic OTM risk premium / volatility structure, this option’s theoretical fair value appears much higher... >>...
Only Staples and Energy Up: Survival Trade, Not Growth Scare
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
Sentiment Extremes Signal Upcoming Market Reversals
Sentiment extremes often precede reversals - but it's never as easy as it sounds. See IGV from Jan-Feb.
Unlock Systematic Trading Blueprint Insights with Steve Burns
Here is an interview I did recently: The Systematic Trading Blueprint with Steve Burns https://t.co/EX1CEF4BPd
Goldman Sachs Equity Sentiment Remains Flat, Offering Little Guidance
GS equity sentiment still near the flat line.. can't take much signal from that https://t.co/ySSxmcNywv
VIX Hits Highest Level Since April 2025 Tariff
VIX closed at its highest since the Apr'25 tariff (and above the +1 StD level).
Goldman Holds 7600 SPX Target, Cuts Loom
Goldman sticking with a 7600 YE SPX target... I give it 4 weeks before we start seeing estimate cuts across the street https://t.co/DsTzT8zbEO
Energy Outperformance Makes S&P 500 Returns Volatile
$XLE vs. $SPY - Forward returns for the S&P 500 pretty bumpy when energy is outperforming this much.... https://t.co/Cp4GQFvRq3