Today's Supply Chain Pulse
Iran‑U.S. draft could reopen Hormuz and unlock $300B reconstruction plan
Iranian state media disclosed a 14‑point draft that would see Tehran reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days and the United States lift oil sanctions. The agreement also calls for the release of half of Iran’s frozen assets and a $300 billion reconstruction package, contingent on a full U.S. troop withdrawal. Negotiators aim to sign the pact in Switzerland before the G7 summit.
Also developing:
By the numbers: Meesho acquires Kirana Club for $24.6M

‘Cancelling Orders’ in China: How Hormuz Oil Crisis Is Hitting Transport, Manufacturing
The reopening and subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude to $100‑$105 a barrel, inflating fuel and petroleum‑based raw material costs for Chinese manufacturers. Higher freight rates—up to four times normal—are prompting firms to delay or cancel orders to shield consumers from price shocks. China’s factories reported the first factory‑gate price rise in three years, while the nation slashed jet fuel and kerosene exports by nearly 40% to preserve domestic supply. The volatility underscores lingering supply‑chain risk as the cease‑fire remains fragile.

S Plus Production Slumps, Edge Model Likely Replacement
Galaxy S Plus is not lasting another generation. Might not even last this one. Production breakdown: S26 Ultra: 1.5 Million S26 Plus: 200K S26: 1.3 Million S26 Plus is getting dangerously close to S25 Edge level production. At this point I'd just launch the S26...
US Intelligence Indicates China Preparing Weapons Shipment to Iran, CNN Reports
U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed that China is preparing to deliver shoulder‑fired air‑defence missiles, specifically MANPAD systems, to Iran within the next few weeks. The shipment is expected to be routed through intermediary countries to obscure Beijing’s involvement. The development...

Japan Bets $16 Billion to Propel Rapidus in Global AI Chip Race
Japan approved an additional $4 billion in subsidies for Rapidus Corp., raising total government support to $16.3 billion through March 2027. The funding is earmarked to accelerate Rapidus’s AI chip production for early client Fujitsu and follows a positive review of its Hokkaido...

Fallout of War Piles Economic Pain Onto Europe’s Political Stress
Europe is increasingly isolated from its traditional partners—Russia, China and the United States—creating a perfect storm of economic strain. Russian sabotage and reduced oil flows have rattled energy security, while a flood of low‑cost Chinese goods is eroding manufacturing margins...
India Wants Manufacturing at 25% of GDP — Will AI in Factories Help?
India aims to lift manufacturing’s share of GDP from 16% to 25% by leveraging artificial intelligence on the shop floor. Industry veterans Vinod Kumar of PwC India and Srihari Kaninghat of JSW Group argue that AI can cut steel material...
Industrial Boom: Oil, Cheap Gas, AI Drive US Growth
Why aren’t you bullish on the American economy? So many things to be excited about in the industrial economy: High oil exports great for US oil companies and industrial tied to it Low natural gas prices (the industrial fuel) Petrochems and plastics way up...
US Tariff Refund Process to Begin April 20 After Top Court’s Decision
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection announced that, beginning April 20, importers can submit requests for tariff refunds after the Supreme Court nullified former President Donald Trump’s sweeping global duties. The refund program will initially cover only unliquidated entries or those...
Two‑Month Hormuz Reopening Too Late for Global Economy
Two months: that’s how long it might be before the Strait of Hormuz opens and resumes transit akin to before the war (from National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett). Translation: We F’d up so bad and had zero plans to deal...

Saudi Oil Output, Exports Hit After Attacks on Energy Infrastructure
Saudi Arabia reported that recent attacks on key energy infrastructure knocked out more than 600,000 barrels per day of oil production and slashed East‑West pipeline flows by roughly 700,000 barrels per day. The offshore Manifa field and onshore Khurais complex...
Panama Accuses China of Seizing Flagged Vessels, Raising Global Shipping Tensions
Panama’s foreign minister warned China on Wednesday that the detention of Panama‑flagged vessels in Chinese ports is a retaliation for a Supreme Court ruling that stripped Hong‑Kong‑based CK Hutchison of two Panama Canal port contracts. The move threatens the reliability...
Amazon Pharmacy Launches Same‑day Delivery of Lilly's Foundayo Weight‑loss Pill in 3,000 U.S. Cities
Amazon Pharmacy has begun same‑day delivery of Eli Lilly’s newly approved oral GLP‑1 weight‑loss pill, Foundayo, covering nearly 3,000 U.S. cities and slated to reach 4,500 by year‑end. The move puts Amazon directly into the fast‑growing obesity‑drug market and challenges existing...
ESR Raises $850 Million Equity to Fuel APAC Logistics and Data Centre Expansion
ESR, an Asia‑Pacific focused real‑asset owner, announced an $850 million equity injection from existing shareholders backed by leading global investors. The capital will be used to expand its logistics real‑estate and data‑centre platforms, building on a $2 billion divestiture record since early...
Kearney Survey Shows 88% of Investors Boost FDI Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Kearney’s 2026 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index reveals that 88% of senior executives intend to expand FDI in the next three years, while 84% say industrial policy now drives capital allocation. The findings come as China climbs to fourth place...
Zelensky's Interceptor Drones Deployed Across Eurasia, Now Shooting Down Iranian Shaheds
President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukrainian drone specialists have helped five Gulf states build low‑cost interceptor‑drone air defenses and have already shot down Iranian Shahed UAVs in the region. The $20,000 interceptor drones provide a cheap counter to Shahed drones...
TSMC Posts Record Q1 Revenue Surge of 35%‑45% on AI Demand, Beats Forecasts
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. announced first‑quarter revenue of T$1.134 trillion (US$35.7 bn), a 35% year‑on‑year increase and a 45% surge in March alone, outpacing analysts’ estimates. The growth reflects booming AI‑related chip orders from hyperscalers and device makers, reinforcing TSMC’s role as...
U.S. Deputy Secretary Calls for Private‑Sector Diplomacy to Counter China in Emerging Markets
Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau told the Atlantic Council’s Global Prosperity Forum that the United States must mobilise its private sector to out‑compete Chinese firms across emerging economies. He outlined a three‑pronged commercial‑diplomacy strategy, warning that without risk mitigation...

Why Elite Supply Chain Leaders Never Stop Learning From Their Peers
Supply chain leaders are turning away from static reports and consultant frameworks, favoring real‑time peer networks for actionable insight. The rapid pace of AI adoption, tariff volatility, and sustainability mandates has shortened the half‑life of traditional knowledge, making textbook solutions...

Midwest Turns From Freight Receiver to Export Hub
For the past decade, the center of the country "received freight", largely from the coasts, as a large percentage of trucking volume were related to imports. For the past few months, that has flipped and now the center of the...
Waymo's Scattered Rollout May Avoid Rapid
Why does Waymo spread their cars across dozens of cities? They should completely saturate one city til they match Uber’s pick up times. I assume they’re trying to lose because winning in self-driving means putting too many people out of work,...
Carboninsets Unveils Global Marketplace to Trade Verified Transport EACs
Carboninsets has launched a global digital marketplace that aggregates verified Environmental Attribute Certificates (EACs) for transport sectors, bringing together more than 30 issuers and over 500,000 certificates. The platform offers real‑time pricing, forward‑financing of projects such as green corridors, and...

Hormuz Never Closed; Fear Drives Trump’s Oil Warnings
SM hook: Trump says Hormuz won’t reopen soon But it was never “closed.” It’s the fear factor #Oil #Hormuz #EnergyMarkets https://t.co/93Lwo3pkFS
Ukraine Ready to Open Strait of Hormuz if Ceasefire Collapses
If the ceasefire fails, Ukraine has a plan to unblock the Strait of Hormuz https://t.co/n300ozshow
AeroVironment Appoints Raytheon Veteran Robert Smith as COO to Accelerate Manufacturing Scale
AeroVironment, the NASDAQ‑listed defense‑technology firm, named Dr. Robert (Rob) Smith as executive vice president and chief operating officer effective April 13, 2026. The former Raytheon executive will oversee the company’s autonomous systems, space, cyber and directed‑energy units, and its global...
Russia Profits as Europe’s Sanctions Hinge on Energy
Europe might sanction Russia, but when push comes to shove, it depends on Russian energy. As I’ve been saying since Day 1 of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Russia is a big winner. https://t.co/boFO4l8cc7
Neuron Energy to Build 5 GWh Battery Factory in India
Neuron Energy plans 5 GWh battery storage factory in India #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/lCGZ48gTkw

Philippine Manufacturers Call for ‘Ayuda’ Amid War-Linked Crisis
The Federation of Philippine Industries (FPI) urged the government to provide targeted, time‑bound aid to manufacturers as the Middle East conflict keeps oil and logistics costs high. Despite the recent reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, fuel surcharges have risen...

China Halts Jet Fuel Exports, Triggering Global Shortage
Jet fuel supply disruptions continue. China has halted jet fuel exports; Asia is running out of fuel. Major shortages could soon spread to Europe and the US. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MAJOR DAMAGE. https://t.co/1BeaFpUw8i
Six‑Week Gulf Standoff Pushes Oil Workers to Breaking Point
‘Mental breakdown’: oil tanker workers stuck in Gulf for six weeks are reaching their limit https://t.co/Y0T3Q8vOl1

Festo to Unify Design and Commissioning at MODEX
Festo will showcase a unified design‑to‑commissioning ecosystem at MODEX 2026 in Atlanta, linking system design, sizing, component selection, ordering and commissioning into a single workflow. The solution promises faster build times, fewer integration errors, and instant CAD configuration with on‑the‑spot...

Iran's Minefield Hampers Hormuz Shipping, Lacks Removal Capability
(NYT) - Iran has been unable to open the Strait of Hormuz to more shipping traffic because it cannot locate all of the mines it laid in the waterway and lacks the capability to remove them, according to U.S. officials. @nytimes...

Thai Export Pain Set to Continue Despite Mideast Truce
Thai export growth is expected to stall at 0‑1% this year as the Middle East conflict disrupts supply chains and dampens demand in key markets. The partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz with Iranian tolls raises shipping costs, while...
FedEx Freight Adopts AI-Driven Stack for Growth
.@FedEx Freight eyes AI, simplified stack to unlock growth as independent company https://t.co/PzcG5kJdZ4 The technology and AI strategy will simplify operations, reduce customer friction and create an architecture that can leverage AI today as well as future advances. @ldignan
USPS Faces Bankruptcy; E‑commerce Parcels Could Be Salvation
USPS. Run out of money in 12 months. Must deliver to every address. Big drop in mail volume, especially first class. Still has discounted junk mail. Wants parcels. Logistics infrastructure for mail vs parcels. Can #ecommerce be the savior?

China to Ban Sulfuric Acid Exports as War Hits Supply
China announced a ban on sulfuric acid exports starting in May, targeting acid produced as a by‑product of copper and zinc smelting. The restriction follows supply disruptions caused by the Iran‑Israel war, which has choked sulfur shipments from the Middle...
Recycled Aluminum Buffers US, Yet Concerns Remain
In the USA we use a lot of recycled aluminum so we won’t be hit as hard as this by some countries, but still, this isn’t good news.

Gulf Allays Concerns over LNG Supplies
Gulf Development Plc, Thailand’s largest energy firm, said its LNG supply remained stable despite recent spot‑price spikes caused by the Strait of Hormuz closure and disruptions in Qatar’s exports. The company has diversified its gas purchases, notably sourcing from Nigeria,...
Trump Pushes Massive Shipyard Revival to Counter China
Trump Administration Pushes Biggest Noncombat Ship Upgrade in Decades—Budget proposal aims to revitalize U.S. shipyards, counter China’s maritime dominance with surge in orders for logistics vessels @pdberger https://t.co/YyzHiCyS6E https://t.co/YyzHiCyS6E

US Lawmakers Seek to Block China’s DUV Lithography Access
Bipartisan U.S. lawmakers introduced the MATCH Act to block Chinese chipmakers from acquiring deep‑ultraviolet (DUV) immersion lithography systems, related parts, and servicing. The bill coordinates export controls with allies, targeting firms such as SMIC, CXMT, Huawei, Hua Hong and YMTC,...
Antwerp Oil Spill Adds to Pressure on Congested European Ports
An oil spill during bunkering at the Deurganck Dock of the Port of Antwerp‑Bruges blocked the Scheldt River on April 10, halting traffic for several hours and closing the MSC PSA European Terminal. The blockage delayed 54 vessels, and although...
Driver Shortage Myth: No Perpetual Shortage Exists
Anyone want to take the "driver shortage" discussion? I am tired of having to clear the record - there is no perpetual driver shortage.

Iran War: Expensive Oil Drives Rising Inflation in U.S.
The ongoing Iran‑War has choked oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing diesel prices up 55% year‑to‑date and sparking a sharp energy‑price shock. In March, the energy component of the CPI jumped 10.9%, while the gasoline index surged...

CBP Expands Product Authentication Tech Program
U.S. Customs and Border Protection announced on April 9 that it is scaling its product‑authentication initiative beyond the JFK Airport pilot to several major U.S. ports. The program, built with the Alliance for Gray Market and Counterfeit Abatement and powered by...
Industrial Buyers Sluggish on Hybrid PPAs
BBDF 2026: Hybrid PPAs face slow uptake among industrial buyers #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/lRSr0kdA8b
US and French Rare Earth Companies Partner in Bid to Catch up with China
USA Rare Earth is taking a 12.5% stake in France’s Carester to accelerate rare‑earth separation capabilities in both the United States and Europe. Carester will use its expertise to scale a Colorado‑based process and to fund a commercial‑scale plant in...
CBP: Tariff Refund Process Will Take 60-90 Days to Issue Returns
U.S. Customs and Border Protection announced that its new Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries (CAPE) system will take 60‑90 days to issue tariff refunds for eligible entries, extending the previously stated 45‑day window. The agency reports the system is...
Fervo Energy Secures 1.7 GW Turbine Deal with Turboden
Fervo Energy and Turboden, a Mitsubishi Heavy Industries unit, have signed a three‑year framework agreement to deliver Organic Rankine Cycle turbines for up to 1.7 GW of geothermal power. The deal locks in domestic turbine capacity for 35 standardized 50 MW GeoBlocks,...

Oil Prices Drop After Iran Ceasefire, Hormuz Still Closed
🛢️ OIL & IRAN WAR CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ Crude prices collapsed following the announcement of an Iran War ceasefire, during which attacks have continued, to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which remains closed; all eyes on weekend negotiations Summary below, full report...

Greer: U.S. and China Relationship Is Stable
U.S. Trade Representative Ambassador Jamieson Greer told a Hudson‑hosted forum that the United States and China have settled into a stable trade relationship, even as substantial tariffs on advanced Chinese goods remain in place. He emphasized the dual priority of...

Why Opening the Strait of Hormuz Won’t Immediately Lower Gas Prices
The New York Times explains that even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, gasoline prices will not fall right away. While the waterway carries roughly 20% of global oil shipments, damage to dozens of Gulf refineries, pipelines and export terminals...