Today's American Stocks Pulse
Dow climbs nearly 200 points to record close as oil eases on Iran truce hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 200 points, closing at a fresh all‑time high. The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices after optimism surrounding a potential Iran truce. Markets remained cautious amid mixed political signals.
Cloud Startup Render Raises Funding at $1.5 Billion Valuation as AI-Built Apps Boom
Render announced a $100 million financing round that lifts its valuation to $1.5 billion, reflecting the surge in AI‑generated applications. The San‑Francisco startup reports revenue growth exceeding 100 percent and a developer community of more than 4.5 million users. It runs on AWS and Google Cloud while testing its own server fleet to lower costs. High‑profile customers such as Shopify, Base44, and OpenAI’s Codex are already deploying on Render’s platform.
SPY Poised to Break November Range Amid Key Data
Is it finally the week $SPY breaks this range? Stuck here since November. Reports scheduled this week: - U.S. Trade Deficit Report (Thu) - GDP (Fri) - Inflation Report (Fri) - Consumer Sentiment (Fri)
Watch MU’s $386 Support to Gauge Memory Group Strength
📺 IS THE MEMORY GROUP STILL “SPECIAL”? $MU, $SNDK, and $WDC were some of the strongest names in the market recently. The key question is whether this group can maintain its leadership while broader tech faces downside pressure. $MU trade framework: – If $MU...
Morning Market Brief
In this February 17, 2026 episode, Lawrence Fuller reviews a turbulent market week where the S&P 500 erased its yearly gains, driven by a 7% decline in the “Magnificent Seven” mega‑cap tech stocks. He explains how the tech rotation is pulling...
Market Awaiting Decisive Breakout: Support or Resistance?
📺 THIS MARKET NEEDS RESOLUTION The market is stuck in a range. Breakouts fail, breakdowns bounce, and both longs and shorts get frustrated. We need a decisive move that breaks the range and sticks. That could mean: 🔻 A clean break below support $QQQ...
Wendy’s Stock Is Cheap, But Can the Turnaround Actually Work?
Wendy’s shares trade at roughly 12 × current‑year earnings and under eight times the 2030 forecast, positioning the stock as a deep‑value play. Analysts project a 34.6% upside with an average 12‑month target of $9.39, though most maintain a Hold rating....
Foreign Investment Steady, US Stocks Slightly Lagging
Balanced take from Bob. While the headline may be different than my "get out" thesis. The meat says the same. Flows suggest marginally weaker dollar and relative underperformance of U.S. stocks vs ROW. Don't panic out...
Nowcast IQ Predicts US Growth Despite Market Pessimism
A few of our weekly inputs have come in for US growth. We continue to rebound hard cyclically. EURUSD down, US assets (soon) up, and ISM PMI towards 60 by summer. Our Nowcast IQ is telling a VERY contrarian story to...
FDIS: Consumer Discretionary Dashboard For February
The February Consumer Discretionary Dashboard shows the sector’s services segment trading about 14% below its 11‑year average, while autos and components remain the most overpriced subsector. Fidelity’s FDIS ETF and SPDR’s XLY deliver comparable long‑term Sharpe ratios, but FDIS offers...
Retail Favorites, IPO Timing, and Base Rates Explained
🔬 Research links: the stocks retail investors favor, the impact of IPO timing, and why base rates matter so much. https://t.co/cjmTGAY0wz chart: https://t.co/rvyduDs39u https://t.co/EKv26rorKm
New Projections Quiet Bond Vigilantes, Ease Debt Fears
New US deficit and growth projections ""suggest a quiet period ahead for bond vigilantes and others who hand-wring over the unsustainable nature of the US debt and the inevitable market revolt – the Godot for which they have waited impatiently...
Oracle Surges 12% While Apple, Amazon Tumble in Choppy Tech Week
Oracle surged 12% after unveiling a multi‑billion AI cloud infrastructure plan, bucking a week where all Magnificent 7 stocks fell year‑to‑date. Microsoft and Amazon slipped into bear‑market territory despite solid earnings, while Apple dropped nearly 8% on memory‑price margin worries. Nvidia...
IGV Bottom? Watch
Did we get a 2X bottom in $IGV or does it take another leg lower. $orcl worth a look if software tries to hold last weeks low https://t.co/bmeM49XP1F
VIX Lags Behind Single‑Stock PC Ratio Indicator
In the spirit of committing chart crimes, here is the single stock PC ratio vs the VIX (green). VIX, a proxy for SPX IV, is clearly lagging. Likely unrelated is that VIX exp is tomorrow... https://t.co/ygiUeMv38z
Daniel Marchese
Daniel Marchese serves as an analyst at All Star Charts and co‑runs The Chart Report, a platform that delivers a steady stream of annotated charts with actionable insights on stocks, markets, trends, and sectors. His analysis zeroes in on price...
SPX Below 50‑Day MA, Support at 6780‑6790
$SPX is now below the 8/21/50day. The longer we sit under 6880ish the higher the odds we see lower prices. A reclaim back above there keeps this range action intact, while 6780–6790 remains the key major support zone. https://t.co/Zmq5a33GXE
Global Bonds Yield Under 5%, Delivering ~2% Real Return
Almost 90% of global public bonds trade at a yield lower than 5%: Apollo's Torsten Slok. "With inflation at close to 3%, this means that investors in public fixed income only get a 2% real return each year." https://t.co/oCUWfCIGpn
The Quiet Architect of Trump’s Global Trade War
Jamieson Greer, a low‑key lawyer turned U.S. Trade Representative, has become the chief architect of President Trump’s renewed global trade war. Since his appointment in early 2025, Greer has designed aggressive tariff structures and led negotiations with major trading partners,...
Walmart's EBITDA Multiple Jumps From 6x to 23x
What a re-rating for Walmart stock. From 6x EBITDA in 2011 to 23x today. Sometimes buying good businesses cheaply just works. https://t.co/ORuNNv1HBY
Institutional Sentiment Swings Rapidly Amid AI Disruption Fears
This week’s episode explores a dramatic shift in sentiment that unfolded in just a few days. Emily and Michael are joined by Jay Glickson (Macro Sales) to discuss what institutional investors are saying, how AI disruption fears are shaping their...
‘Magnificent’ Mega-Cap Margins Mask ‘Surging’ C-Suite Expense Angst
The S&P 500’s mega‑cap companies posted record‑high profit margins in Q4 2025, driven by strong pricing power and cost efficiencies. However, the earnings releases also revealed a sharp rise in C‑suite compensation and related overhead, outpacing earnings growth. Analysts note...
Nvidia
"AI Revolution" - Nvidia unchanged since July, off 3% in 2026. Street Research $NVDA at $181 Buys 92.8% ...
73% of Stocks Rose, AMAT Leads Gains
Got Good Stock Picking or Bag-holding #Bag7 names? 73% of stocks were up an avg +2.0% on Friday with our $AMAT Long leading the way @HedgeyeTech https://t.co/1HxQYIbhYb
How a Trump Tax Break Rescued Horse Racing
Owners poured nearly $1.5 billion into racehorses last year, a 21 percent jump from 2024, while the Keeneland September Yearling Sale set a record $531.5 million in sales, up 24 percent. A Trump‑era bonus depreciation provision now lets owners immediately deduct the full purchase...
Quad3 Dynamics Active on Dollar up, Gold Down
Correlation Math #Quad3 Dynamics very much in play on a Dollar Up (Gold Down) morning https://t.co/QACdjs8zu2
Investors Urge CEOs to Curb Spending Amid Bullish Optimism
Wall Street is full of worried bulls. On one hand, investors are telling CEOs they're overinvesting. On the other, investors are feeling the best about the overall backdrop since June 2021, with "no landing" expectations at a record high: February...
☕ Did We Just Miss the Turn in Dutch Bros?
In this episode, Edward Corona examines Dutch Bros (BROS), a drive‑thru coffee chain that just reported one of its strongest quarters, asking whether the stock is showing an early momentum shift that could signal a broader market turn. He breaks...
Falling Rates Could Quickly Revive Builder Margins
Sales are weak. Inventory is tight. Builder sentiment is soft. If rates fall, incentives drop — and margins can snap back fast. The setup in homebuilders isn’t getting enough attention. Read more: https://t.co/AJREG4myee
Markets Overvalued: Between Very and Pornographically High
Market Update: We continue to view the market as being somewhere between very overvalued and pornographically overvalued. We have an out of consensus outlook. @dougkass @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @jimcramer @pboockvar @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @tomkeene @ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @business...
Iran Risk Unpriced: Trump Faces Bluff, Consequence Choice
Iran Risk Is Not Priced In Iran escalation does not look easily winnable for Trump. It looks like a bluff inside a trap, which sets up as a dangerous game of “concession or consequence”. https://t.co/XXKbHZrXhQ
2026 Macro Outlook: Resilient Momentum Amid Inflation Leaks
New episode 🎙️ Rob Haworth (U.S. Bank Asset Management) joins me to break down 2026 macro: resilient momentum, inflation + earnings “leaking” through the system, tariffs, geopolitics, Fed uncertainty, and what to watch if rates spike. https://t.co/OPTdLbcGgJ
Stock Futures Swing Wildly This Evening
This evening stock futures are having more moves than a shortstop batting .110. @KeithMcCullough @hedgeye @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @SquawkCNBC @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @Convertbond @pboockvar
AI Accelerates Market Signal Turnover and Degradation
One thing I feel strongly about regarding AI is that, when it comes to trading, we are going to witness a streamlined cycle of signal degradation. Classical signals will become crowded very quickly. The market will rotate through those cycles faster...
Gold Overtakes Major Currencies as Dollar Reserve Share Plummets
⚠️The US Dollar's role in global reserves is FALLING: USD share in global currency reserves dropped to ~40%, the lowest in at least 25 years. This is down from ~58% a decade ago. During the same period, gold’s share has risen from 16%...
US Growth Decouples From Jobs, Entering Uncharted Territory
Via the Financial Times: My thoughts on why US "jobless growth" may have entered uncharted territory. The decoupling of US growth from employment looks more persistent—and consequential—than the three previous episodes we've seen over the last 40 years: https://www.ft.com/content/298a38bb-4cc1-44f3-bd62-6aff25d58b94 #economy #jobs #employment #unemployment #growth...
Institutional Cash at Historic Low Triggers Global Sell Signal
🚨Global equities 'SELL SIGNAL' was triggered for the 7th month STRAIGHT: Institutional investors' cash as a share of assets fell to 3.2% in January, the lowest EVER. Cash allocations at or below 4% indicate a SELL SIGNAL for world stocks.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-ended-the-week-mixed-after-a-powerful-rebound-on-friday-weekly-market-recap-trading-week-0
Dalio's Stage 6: 5 Stocks for the New World Order
Ray Dalio says the world order has broken down. His “Stage 6” post went viral on X. What does that mean for markets? I mapped his framework to 5 stocks positioned for trade wars, tech controls, rearmament, energy shocks & gold. Here’s the playbook: https://t.co/FrP3YuOJA9
Low‑end Apple Releases Spark Brief Sales Bump
Agree with Mark. March 4 will likely be highlighted by a low-end MacBook and maybe a new lower-priced iPhone 17e (the 16e came out a year ago). Siri won't be addressed. My take: The low-end products have historically led to a...
2025 Profitability Snapshot: Sector Returns & Excess Gains
In my sixth data update, I look at business profitability in 2025, across sectors, industries and regions, scaled to revenues (profit margins) and to invested capital (accounting returns). I use the latter to compute and compare excess returns. https://t.co/L3PDmph4VA
US Tech Dominance Fades as Global Rotation Shifts
This chart captures the 2 most important themes in the Stockmarket right now. 1. Global vs US rotation 2. Top in tech stocks For the past 17-years US Tech stocks have dominated global markets, but that is starting to change... https://t.co/6DhUXusR6C
Investors Shift From S&P 500 to Alternatives, Gains Accelerate
Rotation away from S&P500 (flat on the year) into other assets like foreign stocks, US value, etc up 10-15% seems to be accelerating...
Weekly S&P 500 Chart Review Highlights Key Trends
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/B5a4uBC2Q4 Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @topdowncharts @dailychartbook @MauiBoyMacro @KobeissiLetter @StealthQE4 @HayekAndKeynes
Sector Rotation Ends; Brace for Upcoming Volatility
Given I timed the sector rotation with precision in Nov & said it would likely run until Feb, and we are here, I'm gonna share what else I also told clients: IN LIEU OF SECTOR ROTATION, THERE WILL BE VOLATILITY™️😉
Warsh May Threaten Fed Stability Despite Doubtful Capability
Good piece. Warsh would be a fundamental break from the Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell Feds if he carried out his views. Do I think he’s capable of pulling that off? Not really. Do I think he might try to and...
Metal Volatility Reveals Hidden Market Shifts
Metal Volatility Changed Everything $GLD $SLV $BTCUSD $SPX $QQQ $IGV $XLK Sharp volatility in gold, silver, crypto and equities was easier to spot than most think. And why I study sector rotation, options structure, and investor confidence. https://t.co/PYmLxcJSCJ
Small‑cap S&P Weights Outshine Mag 7, Walmart Spikes
A few interesting mkt observations YTD: the sector outperformers are led by the smallest weightings in $SPX while the Mag 7 is -7%, $WMT is +12% vs software -22% and $AMZN down 9 days in a row - 1st time...
AI Boom Sparks DRAM Crunch Across All Companies
NEW ODD LOTS - THE DRAM EPISODE The AI boom has created voracious demand for memory, meaning even consumer-facing companies are now having to compete for the chips @TheStalwart & I speak with @rwang07, analyst at SemiAnalysis, about the big DRAM crunch https://t.co/HYFcg7nK8Z
Chamath's SPACs Crash: All Lose Over 90%
Meanwhile Chamath Palihapitiya’s SPAC track record - Chamath became the face of the SPAC boom through his Social Capital Hedosophia deals. Their performance since? • $SPCE: −95% • $OPEN: −98% • $CLOV: −90% • $SOFI: −45% • $AKLI: −95% •...
Flat Index Hides Underlying Market Turbulence
Flat Index Masks Hidden Chaos A guest contribution post by our partners at SpotGamma https://t.co/XlP50y4c9B
NQ Needs 26,800 Consolidation to Avoid Wyckoff Distribution
Unless and until NQ can consolidate above 26,800 there is a distinct possibility (50% Bayesian view) that this chart displays classic Wyckoff distribution For me the jury is still undecided @NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/NdTFclpl7U