Today's American Stocks Pulse
Dow climbs nearly 200 points to record close as oil eases on Iran truce hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 200 points, closing at a fresh all‑time high. The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices after optimism surrounding a potential Iran truce. Markets remained cautious amid mixed political signals.
Dispersion Trade ‘Cash-In’ Risks Index Vol Spike
A historic surge in dispersion across large‑cap U.S. equities has pushed the one‑month change in average S&P 500 constituent values to unprecedented levels. The spike stems from a confluence of early‑year sector rotation, the AI disruption theme, and divergent earnings outcomes. This volatility surge has heightened cash‑in risk for dispersion traders who rely on relative price moves. Market participants are now watching the dispersion index closely as volatility spikes threaten existing hedges.
Amazon's Shift to Capital‑intensive Model Triggers Sell‑off
The transition of $AMZN (and some other MAG7 constituents) from a capital light business model to a capital intensive business model is more than three months old... the transformation has been measured in multiple quarters and not in months. It...
Calm Market Surface Masks Powerful Underlying Volatility
The current market picture we paint is well embodied by a quote from Jules Verne in 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea. “The sea was perfectly calm; scarcely a ripple disturbed its surface. But beneath this tranquil exterior, powerful currents were ...
The Market Brief
The episode reviews the latest market dynamics, highlighting the impact of the FOMC meeting minutes and ongoing liquidity constraints that are driving sharp intraday swings. It notes a shift from AI‑driven equity rallies to caution, as investors weigh disruption risks...
Media Hype Ignored Risks, Gemini IPO Crashes
Remember the excitement in the business media about the Gemini IPO? $GEMI The shares have crashed from over $45 to $6... Remember the softballs thrown to the executives and the admiration bestowed on the Winkelvoss twins by the Fin TV community? I do....
Investors Underprice Risk as Stocks Reach Extreme Overvaluation
Coming up on @TheStreetPro (a multi-part series) Trouble Ahead, Trouble Behind * Investors are underpricing risk * Equities - both fundamentally and from a valuation standpoint - remain between somewhere between very overvalued and pornographically overvalued "Trouble with you Is the trouble with me Got two...
Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL) Gains Momentum on Jornay PM, Truist Highlights Robust Pain Portfolio
Collegium Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ:COLL) saw Truist Securities lift its price target to $58 and reaffirm a Buy rating, citing a strong pain‑management portfolio and growing momentum for its extended‑release opioid, Jornay PM. The company released its 2026 outlook, projecting total product revenue...
Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMRX) Added to S&P SmallCap 600 Index, Boosting Investor Visibility
Amneal Pharmaceuticals (AMRX) was added to the S&P SmallCap 600 Index on Jan. 29, giving the company heightened investor exposure. JP Morgan subsequently raised its price target by $4 while keeping a Buy rating, signaling analyst confidence. The firm also announced a...
Bank of America Cites Zoetis Inc.’s (ZTS) Strong Q4 Performance and Fiscal 2026 Outlook
Bank of America raised its price target for Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) to $140 from $135 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing the company’s strong fourth‑quarter 2025 results and an upbeat fiscal 2026 outlook. Zoetis reported adjusted EPS of $1.48, topping...
M7 Tech Stocks Test Low, Threatening Repeat Correction
However, as the AI narrative continues to unfold, from euphoria a few months ago to handwringing now (over the commodification of the SaaS stocks and the unknown ROI of hyperscaler capex), the Might Mag 7 is showing some strains. The...
BIBL: Biblical Values-Focused Strategy Outperforming In 2026 Has Disadvantages, A Hold
The Inspire 100 ETF (BIBL) offers exposure to 100 U.S. large‑cap companies screened for biblical alignment. In 2026 the fund outperformed the S&P 500 benchmark IVV, largely because of a heavier tilt toward cyclical sectors and zero allocation to communications. Over the...
The Great Valuation Rotation Of The Roaring 2020s
Since the pandemic, large‑cap stocks have outpaced mid‑ and small‑cap peers, but that dynamic shifted late last year as investors flagged riskier earnings and stretched valuations for the S&P 500. Meanwhile, SMidCap earnings have begun to climb while their valuations...
Global Indices Inch Higher as India VIX Plunges
Global Market Update: Gift Nifty +50.50 (0.20%) 25,760.50 DowJones +32.26 (+0.07%) 49,533.19 Nasdaq +31.71 (+0.14%) 22,578.38 India Vix -0.6600 (-4.95%) 12.6700 S&P 500 +7.05 (+0.10%) 6,843.22
Media's Shallow Analysis Misleads Retail Investors
No, Kip, not pumping and dumping $PANW. Just no or limited investment process, opinions full of hubris, memorized sound bytes, no company spreadsheets/models, no timestamps - which "works" when the tide is coming in but not when the tide is going...
Trump Crackdown Drives 80% Plunge in Immigrant Employment, Reshaping Labor Market, Goldman Says
Goldman Sachs reports an 80% plunge in net immigration to the United States, falling from roughly one million annually in the 2010s to an estimated 200,000 arrivals in 2026. The decline is attributed to heightened deportations, a visa processing pause...
New QQQ Tactics and Sell Rules for Trade
$qqq gave many ways to tactically adjust yesterday around a few key pivots. Now u can use some sell rules to manage the trade https://t.co/qldCOKB0UE
AI-Integrated Security Boosts PANW Demand and Value
PANW strong q/good initial guide with CyberArk. The need for AI-native, integrated security platforms rather than fragmented point solutions is further increasing demand for PANW platform. AI increasing PANW’s value proposition-not displacing it. $225 PT..very well positioned🏆
Berkshire Hathaway Trims Apple Stake, Buys NYTimes Stock in Buffett's Last Moves as CEO
Berkshire Hathaway reduced its Apple position by 4.3%, bringing the holding to $61.96 billion, yet Apple remains the conglomerate’s top equity. The firm also disclosed a new $351.7 million stake in The New York Times, expanding its media exposure. These moves were filed in...
SPX Futures Jump 40 as SPY Holds Key Range
$spx futures +40 after $spy held $675 and reclaimed $677 to keep the range intact yesterday. A few RDR’s across the board to cover some shorts and put on small risk. We’ll see if early strength holds...
Markets May Slip as Fed Delays Rate Cuts
Will stock markets tip over amid worries about the Fed dragging its feet on rate cuts? FOMC meeting minutes are in focus. #stockmarkets #fed #fomc #dollar #macro #trading https://t.co/yYSQfOx27L
The Economy Is Splitting in Two: How to Trade the Rotation
The episode explains how the U.S. economy is diverging into two distinct regimes—one of robust growth and inflation resilience, the other of slowing activity and tighter monetary policy—and how this split is driving market rotations. It outlines the macro drivers...
PANW Chase at $221 Requires 47% Rally to Breakeven
If you "loved the chart" and chased $PANW at $221, you now only have to be up +47% (from here) to get back to breakeven #bags https://t.co/UStQewrZkp
Right‑angled Broadening Pattern Signals Bearish Outlook
The rules of classical charting principles have been lost to the younger generations. This is a right angled broadening pattern. According to E&M, 5th edition, page 149, the pattern has bearish implications regardless of which boundary is horizontal $XLF Don't shoot the...
Stocks Make More Big Up and Down Moves: Stock Market Today
U.S. equity indexes posted modest gains as AI‑related uncertainty lifted volatility, with the VIX climbing to 22.96 before settling near 20. The utility sector saw DTE Energy’s earnings beat forecasts, propelled by a new 1.4 GW power contract for an AI‑driven...
ARW Breaks 4.5‑Year Base Amid Tech Weakness
Still far more interest in NVDA & MSFT than in stocks like Arrow Electronics which is on #IBD "Recent Breakouts list" from @IBDinvestors @marketsurge $ARW just cleared a lengthy 4.5 yr base since 2021 as wkly volume hit the highest...
CNBC Panel’s Unfounded Praise Triggers PANW Stock Drop
$PANW, the object of affection on the show (by two members) today (and a third, last week ) @cnbc is now -$17 or -10% in after hours after poor guidance. Some say I dwell on my criticism and that...
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/17/2026
On February 17, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan released a new stock market update video on his blog. In the briefing, McMillan reviews recent equity market movements and outlines option‑based approaches for navigating volatility. He reiterates the importance of...
S&P Rebounds, Adds $500B Market Cap Despite Dip
MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild and crazy day, the S&P 500 started down 0.8%, but closed up 0.2%. The index gained over $500 BILLION in market cap from the intraday low 🙌 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk...
Stock Crashes Stem From Multiple Compression, Not Revenue Loss
Fab article about which vertical software will be hurt and which could be made stronger... "But here's the thing the market already understands: you don't need revenue to decline for the stock to crash. You need the multiple to compress. A...
Down 72%, Should You Buy the Dip on Rigetti Computing?
Rigetti Computing’s stock plunged 72% from its October peak, settling near $15 after a 270% rally earlier this year. The quantum‑computing firm posted Q3 revenue of $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million, and a net loss that widened to $201 million versus $15 million...
Figma Plummets 83%; Earnings May Be Lifeline
Figma ($FIG) - down 83% from its IPO highs. Can earnings save them this week?
Adobe at 15× Earnings—Five‑year Low, Consider Buying
$ADBE trading at just 15x its earnings as the stock reaches five year lows. Are you buying? Earnings scheduled on March 12th.
Roku Shares Climb. Is It Too Late to Buy the Stock?
Roku reported a robust Q4, with revenue rising 16% to $1.39 billion and EPS flipping to a profit of $0.53, beating expectations. Platform revenue surged 18% to $1.22 billion, driven by video ads and premium subscriptions, while device revenue barely grew. Adjusted...
Fed Says AI Boom Won’t Prompt Rate Cuts
Fed governor Michael Barr's latest speech contains 1) A short part on the current policy outlook. The key guidance: "Based on current conditions and the data in hand, it will likely be appropriate to hold rates steady for some time." 2) A...
Tripadvisor Engages with Starboard as Activist Seeks Board Control, Sale
Tripadvisor disclosed multiple discussions with activist investor Starboard Value, which owns about 9 % of the company and is seeking board control and a possible sale. Starboard criticizes a 50 % share decline since CEO Matt Goldberg’s 2022 appointment, slow adoption of...
Big Tech Cuts Buybacks, Shifts to AI Spending
‼️The largest US stock buyer since 2009 is STEPPING BACK: Combined buybacks by Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle fell to $12.6 billion in Q4 2025, the lowest in 7 YEARS. This marks the 3rd quarterly decline, a -70% DROP from the...
Business Inflation Expectations Return to Pre‑Pandemic Levels
Two different measures of business inflation expectations have essentially returned to pre-pandemic levels. The Atlanta Fed survey (dark line), which asks businesses how much they expect their own unit costs to change, is back at 2%—right where it was in 2019....
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
A Finviz‑sourced heatmap reveals today’s capital allocations across U.S. equities, highlighting strong inflows into technology and renewable‑energy stocks while energy and financials lag. The visual shows green‑colored leaders posting double‑digit gains, contrasted with red zones where sectors such as utilities...
SPY Poised to Break November Range Amid Key Data
Is it finally the week $SPY breaks this range? Stuck here since November. Reports scheduled this week: - U.S. Trade Deficit Report (Thu) - GDP (Fri) - Inflation Report (Fri) - Consumer Sentiment (Fri)
Rising Margin Loans Tied to Crypto, Metal, Software Volatility
Elevated Margin Loans … wonder if the crypto volatility and metal volatility and software volatility has something to do with that 🥺
Amazon Ends Nine‑day Slide, Halts $450bn Loss
#Amazon snaps 9d losing streak during which it lost more than $450bn in value. https://t.co/0lGS8k6lrO https://t.co/TjEQVxihvT
Berkshire Hathaway Trims Apple Stake by 10 Million Shares
Berkshire Hathaway reduces its $AAPL holdings from 238.21 million to 227.92 million shares. No biggie. @ScottWapnerCNBC @dougkass
Holding Consensus Picks Like APP, HOOD, PLTR Costs Money
If you're still bag-holding consensus CNBC names like $APP $HOOD $PLTR, that will bother your pocketbook
Speculating Sam's Potential Interest in $HAL Like RPK
Will be interesting to see if Sam @SamofAmerica is interested in $HAL like RPK @RPKent is
AI Firms, Data Centers to Issue $220B Debt, Outpace Banks
AI cos and data centers are expected to issue $220 billion of debt this year, making up 15% of JPM's high-grade bond index (and making them bigger issuers than banks) https://t.co/LPkxfJGhNK
Mason Morfit Calls Market Wrong on Salesforce Valuation
Must listen. Rare interview with activist investor Mason Morfit with @WilfredFrost my favorite part when they discuss why he says the market is wrong on Salesforce @Benioff
Dollar Up Shows Unchanged Signal Amid Correlation Risk
If there was something else to "dig into", I would have. Dollar Up has its implied Correlation Risk today. I'll do what the signal does. It didn't change.
Swiss Market Hits Record High as US Stocks Slide
Switzerland is hitting a new all-time high again today as U.S. stocks break down to new 6-month lows relative to European stocks. https://t.co/z6UH4K1Vfo
Nowcast IQ Predicts US Growth Despite Market Pessimism
A few of our weekly inputs have come in for US growth. We continue to rebound hard cyclically. EURUSD down, US assets (soon) up, and ISM PMI towards 60 by summer. Our Nowcast IQ is telling a VERY contrarian story to...
Retail Favorites, IPO Timing, and Base Rates Explained
🔬 Research links: the stocks retail investors favor, the impact of IPO timing, and why base rates matter so much. https://t.co/cjmTGAY0wz chart: https://t.co/rvyduDs39u https://t.co/EKv26rorKm