Today's American Stocks Pulse
Dow climbs nearly 200 points to record close as oil eases on Iran truce hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 200 points, closing at a fresh all‑time high. The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices after optimism surrounding a potential Iran truce. Markets remained cautious amid mixed political signals.
Americans’ Credit Card Balance Hits $1.3 Trillion
The New York Federal Reserve’s latest household‑debt report shows U.S. credit‑card balances climbing to a record $1.3 trillion in the fourth quarter, while the number of open accounts also hit an all‑time high. The surge reflects persistent consumer spending despite elevated inflation and tighter credit conditions. Mortgage and auto‑loan growth slowed, leaving revolving credit as the primary driver of household debt expansion. Analysts warn that the mounting balances could strain finances as interest rates rise.
Dow Hits Record High, Markets Eye January CPI
MARKET RECAP 📈 The Dow Jones closed at another record high, now up 4.3% so far in 2026. All eyes on January CPI coming this Friday 👀 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️
Financial Stocks Overvalued, Commoditization Signals Short Opportunity
Financial stocks are "overearning" and subject to disruption. Altruist's tool is the tip of the iceberg. Today's share price declines are justified, imho - as pricing of industry product offerings will become more commoditized. This was inevitable. Trading at historic premiums...
US Employment Costs Are Still Falling
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Employment Cost Index (ECI) fell for the second straight quarter, marking the slowest annual wage growth in more than four years. In Q4, total compensation rose just 2.8% year‑over‑year, down from...
Dallas Fed Sees Rates Near Neutral, Warns Stubborn Inflation
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan sounded more confident about the labor market outlook compared to Sept and Nov. She is also slightly more optimistic about inflation, pointing to recent downtrends in the "trimmed mean" PCE reading. But her bottom line is...
Fed Likely Holds Off Policy Changes for Year
Bessent on balance sheet policy in a Warsh Fed: "I wouldn't expect them to do anything quickly. They've moved to an ample [reserves] regime ... that does require a larger balance sheet. So I would think they'll probably sit back,...
American Consumers Slam On The Brakes
The U.S. Commerce Department reported that January 2026 consumer spending stalled, with retail sales slipping amid unusually cold weather. Month‑over‑month retail sales fell 1.2%, while personal consumption expenditures dropped 0.8% year‑over‑year. Analysts say the weather‑induced headwind temporarily depressed demand, but...
Software Sector Oversold Bounce, Not Sustainable Trend Reversal
📺 SOFTWARE SECTOR: TACTICAL OVERSOLD BOUNCE, NOT A TREND REVERSAL Software $IGV is seeing a short-term oversold bounce, not a trend reversal. The sector remains broken after losing key moving averages, so upside is likely limited near short-term resistance like the 8-day....
Morning Market Brief
Lawrence Fuller reviews the market rebound after last week's sell‑off, noting that while volatility has eased and precious metals and crypto have steadied, technology stocks remain overvalued and lack true bargains. He highlights upcoming economic data—strong Redbook retail sales, a...
Bulls Hold SPY Above 680, Eye 7,000 Target
📺 BULLS TOOK CONTROL: HERE’S THE LEVEL THAT MATTERS Active bulls regained control after $SPY held the $687 level and followed through on Friday’s strength. Small caps $IWM and mid caps $MDY continue to lead, while $QQQ works back into key...
The Market Brief
The episode reviews the S&P 500’s pause just short of record highs as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, starting with retail sales. It highlights that technology stocks led the recent rally, buoyed by AI news from OpenAI, and that...
Global Equities Outpacing US in 2026, Stay Overweight
"It is deja vu all over again." Yogi Berra The US stock market is doing fine, but the rest of the world is soaring so far in '26. This is similar to what we saw last year and is a big...
US Stocks Lead 97 Years of Superior Returns
𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐔𝐒 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬, 𝐁𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐬, 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡, 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 & 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 (𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓) CTTO: Ben Carlson — https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2026/01/historical-returns-for-stocks-bonds-cash-housing-gold-2025/ The US, which currently is 60% of the global equity market, continues to influence investment portfolios worldwide, such as endowments and retirement funds. And for over...
Emerging Markets Continuing To Emerge
The US MSCI index has underperformed global peers in 2025, ending a year of relative strength. Investors are shifting toward high‑growth emerging‑market stocks such as South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, and Taiwan, while Japan rallied 5.7% after a decisive election. The...
Underlying Inflation Near 2.5%, Likely to Ease Further
The ECI data out this morning is consistent with the thesis that underlying inflation is around 2.5%. And labor market looseness suggests that is more likely to go down than up. Wages ex volatile incentive pay have been steadily growing at...
Uber Slides to Multi‑month Low, 30% Off Recent High
$UBER one of the show's favorite longs hits a multi month low and is now close to -30% below its recent high. Crickets. @dougkass @KeithMcCullough
Upcoming Jobs Report May Reveal Weaker Labor Market
The jobs report is due out tomorrow. Along with it, are the annual benchmark revisions. In other words, we may soon learn that the labor market is in worse shape than we thought. https://t.co/b44jhyLPVL
Seeking Bull Case for Discounted HAL Stock
RPK, last time I asked you about $RIG signaling buy more - what's the bull case on $HAL on sale? @RPKent
Snap‑back Rallies Off Strong Support Aren’t Reversals
Little Bounces Off Big Support From my live trading room Friday... Snap-back rallies off big support does not a trend-reversal make 🙃 $MSFT $AMZN $QQQ $BTCUSD $SLV https://t.co/OLa6XrVvqJ
Railroads Hit All-Time Highs, AI Disruption Unlikely
No AI disruption worries in railroads, with Union Pacific, CSX, and Norfolk Southern all touching ATHs
U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low
The 'sell America' trade pressure seems to be picking up again. The SPX-VEU (rest of world equity ETF) ratio is the lowest since April 22nd. A little further and it is a two year low. Adding the DXY Dollar Index in for...
Amazon Steadies; Rally to 200‑day MA Signals Trade
$AMZN is holding steady after the gap frenzy last week. A rally back to the 200-day moving average would make sense for the bulls and the bears, but that feels more like a "trade" to me. The real question...
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Now at 3.7% Q4 2025
GDPNow model (a “nowcast,” not a forecast) from @AtlantaFed down to +3.7% q/q annualized for 4Q2025 https://t.co/NKqC4jdaL0
Committee Claims New Focus, Still Clings to Big Caps
Imagine being on a pretent "investment committee" that has finally figured out being Long Industrials $XLI and isn't Long of the Big $CAT ? lol Reality: they're all still long of the #Bag7 Stocks and widely held Large Cap Financials...
White House Inflates Payrolls; Revisions Could
WH keeps 'pumping up' payrolls for tomorrow. Here's why. Revisions could wipe out all job growth last year. Zero. zip. nada. https://t.co/RILDizthdl
Private-Sector Wages Barely Slowed, up 3.38% YoY
ECI: Private-sector pay growth decelerated ever so slightly last year. Wages and salaries for private sector workers ex-incentive paid occupations was +3.38% in Q4 from a year earlier, unchanged from Q3. https://t.co/769ycb4jwP
COIN Bounces Off $145 Support, Aligns With Low Targets
Can't help but notice $COIN is bouncing off major league support around $145, lining up well with the Sep '24 and Mar '25 lows. Previous lows have been confirmed with a bullish crossover from weekly PPO. But dang...
Software Multiples Hit 2014 Lows Amid AI Fears
Software earnings have been quite resilient, yet prices have collapsed over AI worries. As a result, multiples are the cheapest they've been since 2014. Sometimes things are cheap for a reason, but what if this is another DeepSeek moment? Nice charts...
Holiday Sales Slump and Rising Delinquencies Hit Young, Low‑Income Americans
The one-two punch today of highly disappointing holiday retail sales and the highest consumer delinquencies since 2017 paints a bleak picture for lower-income and younger Americans. https://t.co/Bd2eX18BAU https://t.co/H1biY6UCIL
Weekly ChartStorm Reveals Hidden Stock Market Seasonality Angles
You may think you know all about stockmarket seasonality... but this special focus piece from the Weekly ChartStorm lays out a few more angles and details that you might not have considered before: https://t.co/5sf2QCC8pE https://t.co/XBuZIufwiB
Top Picks: Hundreds of Weekly Charts Highlighted
Our team probably creates a couple hundred charts each week. Here are some of our favorites from last week in the @CarsonResearch Charts of the Week. https://t.co/UIFr74RPu4
Market
Great analysis in his note this week on some positives and negatives from @scottcharts. But breadth continues to be the one big reason to expect this bull to continue imo. https://t.co/WO4e9HXrem
Doubling Down: Shorting QQQ to Complement SPY Bet
Adding Some QQQ to My SPY Short @TheStreetPro I just shorted (QQQ) (to add to my (SPY) short earlier this morning): * QQQ $615.74 By Doug Kass Feb 10, 2026 9:26 AM EST
TLT's 15-Year Low ATR Signals Potential Breakout
$TLT : The Average True Range (orange) is now the lowest in over 15 years. Something has to give. Might the plummeting @truflation readings be a clue to which direction a breakout might occur? https://t.co/0pEENxYpXs
US Stocks Look Strong, Yet Lag Global Peers
"The US stock market, while it looks strong, is actually much weaker than almost any other industrialized country.... So while we're doing well… everyone else is doing even better." https://t.co/7KavXe5LXh
December Retail Sales Stall at 0%, Missing Forecast
December retail sales 0% vs. +0.4% est. & +0.6% prior; control group -0.1% vs. +0.2% prior (rev down from +0.4%); ex-autos 0% vs. +0.4% prior (rev down from +0.5%) https://t.co/BbJwHL35ne
Small Business Optimism Falls, Uncertainty Rises
January @NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down to 99.3 vs. 99.8 est. & 99.5 prior … net % of respondents expecting a better economy ticked down to 21%; percentage saying it’s a good time to expand rose to 15%; uncertainty...
U.S. Large Caps Lead Inflows; High‑Yield Bonds Lose Ground
U.S. large caps dominated inflows last week, followed by global equities and consumer cyclicals ... high yield bonds saw most outflows, but broader fixed income universe was still positive @DataArbor https://t.co/l0soXmQF4S
Household Pessimism on Finances Rises, Stays Elevated
Share of households expecting to be in a worse financial situation a year from now ticked up in January and has been elevated over past year per @NewYorkFed https://t.co/fGqXylhwzD
Nearly 42% Expect Rising Unemployment, Survey Shows
Consumers still showing concerns over labor market, with average of nearly 42% expecting higher unemployment in next year per January @NewYorkFed survey https://t.co/ykN7Bdc2C0
Energy Sector Outpaces S&P 500 by 19 Points.
Quarter-to-date, Energy sector is outpacing S&P 500 by nearly 19 percentage points … best since first quarter of 2022 and one of best performance spreads (as of now) since 2000 [Past performance is no guarantee of future results] https://t.co/1vvb9Qf0Mh
Vanguard's $70B ETF Inflows Rank Top Three
Vanguard has already taken in $70b in ETF flows to start year, that's nearly $3b a day and more than all but 3 issuers took in last year. If VOO alone were an issuer it would be in 3rd place...
Consumers' 1‑Year Inflation Expectation Drops to 3.09%
Per @NewYorkFed survey, as of January, consumers’ median 1y inflation expectations moved down to 3.09% https://t.co/y6Jab93CyT
SPX Futures Rise, Bulls Hold Above 6900, Target 7002
$SPX futures +10 after Friday’s action put active bulls back in control and yesterday’s dip was bought off 6902—7002 remains the ATH pivot into Wednesday’s jobs report. https://t.co/bUhLX4Ywid
Infrastructure Software Set for Multi-Month Rally as App Vendors Falter
Application software vendors are struggling and providing weak guidance, quality infrastructure software firms' revenue is accelerating. Infrastructure software vendors are attractively valued now and their stocks appear poised for a multi-month rally.
Live Premarket Picks: NVDA, TSLA, IBIT, SPY
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/88cKgbrKKl https://t.co/K8dY5tEQml
Nvidia’s Value Outpaces IBM with Far Fewer Employees
In 1985, IBM was America’s most valuable company & employed nearly 400,000. Today, Nvidia is nearly 20 times as valuable and five times as profitable as IBM was yet it employs roughly a 10th as many people. https://t.co/indMwMz0TO @greg_ip https://t.co/HDl995cUhw
Harvest Losses to Acquire Google at $101
no, but may harvest the loss to pick up the google 100 at 101. #theyieldbook
Jobs Data Wednesday, CPI Hits Friday
All the data coming for the rest of the week. We're going to have Jobs Wednesday and then CPI Friday https://t.co/8DDq0vkOvD
Markets Could Slip If Data Undermines Fed Cut Hopes
Stock markets may sour if this week’s US economic data casts doubt on Fed rate cut speculation. #stockmarkets #Fed #Economy #InterestRates #USD #Macro #trading https://t.co/ZEfchApMC0