Today's American Stocks Pulse
Goldman Sachs lifts S&P 500 year‑end target, dismisses bubble fears
Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for the S&P 500’s year‑end level, citing continued earnings strength, and said the market is not in a bubble. Analysts also note a potential melt‑up could push the index toward 8,000 if momentum holds.
Will Job Losses Spoil America’s ‘Goldilocks Plus’ Economy?
The United States continues to be described as a ‘Goldilocks Plus’ economy, balancing low inflation with solid growth. Recent data show the labor market still tight, but a wave of layoffs in technology and manufacturing raises concerns. Analysts warn that even modest job losses could disrupt consumer spending and force the Federal Reserve to reconsider its accommodative stance. The piece argues that the economy’s resilience will be tested if employment trends turn negative.
The Biggest Buyer Of US Stocks Isn’t Going Away
Investors are confronting a new capital‑allocation landscape as hyper‑scale cloud firms pour record capex into AI infrastructure, squeezing the cash traditionally earmarked for share buybacks. The article argues that despite this shift, the market’s largest shareholder – passive index funds...
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/9/2026
On February 9, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan released a market‑update video reviewing the latest equity trends, inflation pressures, and Federal Reserve policy stance. He highlighted persistent volatility that keeps option premiums attractive and outlined sector rotation toward energy and technology stocks....
Software Company monday.com Plunges 22% Today, -82% From High, -50% From IPO Price, Into Our Imploded Stocks
Monday.com’s shares tumbled 22% to about $76.70 after its earnings release, marking a record‑low close. The stock is now 82% below its November 2021 peak and 51% beneath the $155 IPO price. While Q4 revenue rose 25% to $334 million and beat...
Pick Fed Chair by Sound Economic Reasoning, Not Politics
"Thus, the way to choose a good Federal Reserve chair is to read what candidates have said about how the economy operates and ask them about their economic beliefs. If what a candidate says is unrealistic or poorly reasoned, move...
Inflation-Adjusted S&P Still Below 1966 Peak After 25 Years
Today is the 60th anniversary of the great crash -- but little noticed. The S&P 500 peaked at 94.06 on February 9, 1966. The market did surpass that peak but not adjusted for inflation. 25 years later and the inflation...
A New Oil Era—Or Just Noise? The Venezuela Factor Lifts Big Oil
Big Oil’s XLE ETF has surged 19.1% year‑to‑date, outpacing the clean‑energy ICLN’s 13.2% gain. The rally follows the Trump administration’s move to ease sanctions on Venezuela, a country with the world’s largest proven oil reserves. While the prospect of tapping...
GE Vernova: High‑Conviction Buy with 32% Upside
GEV - GE Vernova Current Price: $794.20 Intrinsic Value Range: $720–$950 Rating: BUY (High Conviction, but tactically vulnerable near-term) 12-Month Price Targets: Bull Case: $1,050 (+32%) — accelerated gas turbine orders, Electrification margin beats, data center capex surge Base Case: $900 (+13%) — normalized execution, mid-teens...
All Major S&P Indices Hit Records, Dow Tops 50,000
S&P 500 Equal Weight, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 all hit records on Friday, and so did Dow, which also surpassed 50,000 level for first time ever Friday; although Dow is almost 130 years old, it has evolved over decades ensuring...
WELL: What To Do When Your Stock Gets Overvalued
The author revisits his "Buy right and sit tight" philosophy after confronting overvaluation in two holdings—Walmart (WMT) and senior‑housing REIT Welltower (WELL). While Walmart’s stock surged to a 50x forward P/E, the author sold too early, missing upside, yet still...
Value Soars, Growth Falters; Dividends Rise, Momentum Flat
Flight to value was unmistakable last week in factors; S&P 500 Pure Value +4.0%, while S&P 500 Growth slumped 2.1%; yield-seeking behavior also dominant theme, with S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats and Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend index +3.5% and +3.3% respectively; Momentum (powerful driver in past several...
MSTZ Hits Potential Record 477% Volatility Surge
Total eruption in the 10-day volatility of $MSTZ (-2x Strategy).. 477% may be an all time ETF record (I added $SPY for perspective), it's higher than $QBTX which got to 433% at one point. Crazy high vol is like degen...
America’s Tarnished Statistics Agency Takes Center Stage
The U.S. Census Bureau, long criticized for data gaps, is now thrust into the national spotlight as Congress debates a 15% budget cut for FY2027. Lawmakers argue the agency’s methodology has become politicized, citing recent appointments that could sway demographic...
Dow’s DIA Leads Flows, Poised for 2026 Rotation
$DIA leading all flows on Friday as the Dow Jones hits ATH and is running laps around SPX this year. This index is equiv of a rotary phone, price-weighted, invented when Grover Cleveland was POTUS, but it could be...
Cyclical Growth Rises While Inflation Falls—A Rare Forecast
Our nowcasts suggest that cyclical growth is going up and inflation is going down. No one forecasts this cocktail
🩺 Molina Healthcare Deep Dive: When the Math Breaks, the Stock Pays the Price
In this episode, Edward Corona dissects Molina Healthcare’s disastrous earnings report, highlighting a stark mismatch between projected rates and actual costs that caused the stock to plunge over 25% in a single day. He breaks down the underlying financial math,...
US Equity Mutual Funds Hold Record Low Cash
Mutual funds are all in on the stock market At the start of 2026, US equity mutual funds held just 1.1% of asset in cash, the lowest level in 20 years of data history --Goldman https://t.co/BWZ5dGYfjM
Seven Firms Command 35% of SPX Investment Dollars
Employment in S&P 500 companies is 18% of total US employment, but 35 cents of every dollar that goes into the SPX goes to 7 companies. This is a market structure problem and a major issue with our 401k system.
Week in Review: Friday Flip
The episode reviews a dramatic market swing after a tough week for tech, highlighting the Dow’s historic breach of 50,000 points and a rapid rebound in chip stocks as investors shift from AI‑related anxiety to value‑focused buying. Analysts explain that...
IESC Rebounds, Recovers 20% Loss and More
After its last earnings report, $IESC dropped 20%. It's made it all back and then some. https://t.co/hebBMdjVup
Tech Trades Hit 30% of Retail Volume, Highest Since 2018
Trading in the tech sector makes up 30% of retail trading volumes--one of the highest shares since 2018 --Citi https://t.co/6pvw7muvfj
DEEP DIVE: Meet Kevin Warsh
President Donald Trump nominated former Fed governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as chair in May. Warsh, praised for his professional pedigree and youthful appearance, is expected to secure a smooth Senate confirmation once the president ends his criticism...
Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm Highlights Market Trends
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/eQY6d47hAk Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @topdowncharts @MarketCharts @MikeZaccardi @BlakeMillardCFA @WillieDelwiche @alphacharts @AugurInfinity @SnippetFinance @EricBalchunas @TuttleCapital @Todd_Sohn
Tech's First 100-Year Bond Since Motorola 1997
The last time a tech company announced a 100-year bond, it was Motorola in 1997 https://t.co/HKkDro85Ac https://t.co/w2S75DaL2J
Here We Go Again on Inflation: Used Vehicle Prices Jump in January, Expected to Jump More in Record Tax-Refund Season
Used‑vehicle auction prices surged 2.4% in January, outpacing the typical 0.4% seasonal gain, as Manheim reports stronger retail demand and tighter wholesale supply. Larger-than‑usual tax refunds, driven by new 2025 tax credits, are fueling bigger down‑payments and pushing prices higher....
Retail Inflows Hit Six-Year High on Furlough, Tax Refunds
JPM: "Similar to the risk-on trend seen among institutional investors, retail investor flows have been the strongest in the last six years, likely due to furlough payments and anticipated larger tax refunds of ~$600/household this year"
S&P 500 New 52‑Week Highs Reach Year‑
The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 making new 52-week highs has been expanding and just hit its highest level in the last year to end last week--@bespokeinvest https://t.co/BcNw0xKEmG
Bitcoin’s $60K Crash: One of the Worst Flushes in Crypto History
The episode breaks down Bitcoin’s sudden plunge to $60,000—a 17% intraday drop and one of the ten worst crashes in its history—highlighting over $2.4 billion in leveraged liquidations and a spike in Fear & Greed indexes to levels last seen during...
Live MRKT Call: Japan, Jobs, and $JETS Insights
New week, new MRKT Call with Dan, @GuyAdami & @CarterBWorth We're talking Japan, Jobs and $JETS LIVE at 11am ET over on YouTube ⤵️ https://t.co/7WiuWoxeXK https://t.co/5yktisUdAm
Fed's 175‑bp Cuts Signal Looming Dovish Pivot
175 basis points in cuts since September 2024 in response to labor market weakness. That's not ignoring.
Mini Tech Wreck Or Repeat Of The Big One?
Technology stocks have tumbled sharply, prompting fears of a repeat of the 2000‑2002 tech bust. Analysts argue the current landscape differs, as major hyperscalers—Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta—are slated to spend roughly $650 billion on AI infrastructure by 2026, with the...
Walmart Tops Forward P/E; Tech Stocks Cheaper
Forward P/E Ratios... Walmart $WMT: 39 Apple $AAPL: 30 Google $GOOGL: 24 Amazon $AMZN: 23 Microsoft $MSFT: 21 Nvidia $NVDA: 19 Meta $META: 19 https://t.co/BSywhjbEV0
Tech Titans Plunge, All Below All‑Time High
% Below All-Time High S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Microsoft $MSFT: -26% Palo Alto Networks $PANW: -28% CrowdStrike $CRWD: -29% Synopsys $SNPS: -34% Palantir $PLTR: -34% Intuit $INTU: -45% AppLovin $APP: -45% Salesforce $CRM: -48% Oracle $ORCL: -56% ServiceNow $NOW: -57% Adobe $ADBE: -61%
AI Hangover
The episode examines the sudden shift in market sentiment toward AI, moving from optimism to caution as investors question who truly benefits from the technology. It highlights emerging signs of a softer jobs market, including delayed employment data and rising...
Bank of America Data Validates ISM Trucking Surge
Bank of America's own measure of trucking activity confirms the uptick in the ISMs https://t.co/BLUrghpS3Q
Broad Market Peaks, but Concentrated Bets Can Crash
The stock market is more or less at all-time highs Same with small caps & foreign stocks Yet many name-brand companies are getting nuked right now Concentrated positions are very fun on the upside They can also wreck you on the downside https://t.co/Ng2WpRK35K https://t.co/nMR87p0Tgx
PYPL Is Too Cheap And Will Reward Patient Shareholders
PayPal (PYPL) is trading at a steep discount, with its stock price near $40 representing a 7.6‑times earnings multiple. The company plans a $6 billion share‑repurchase program in 2026 that could retire roughly 16% of its diluted shares, boosting earnings per...
Americans Optimistic About Market, yet Foresee Rising Inflation, Unemployment
Americans expect the stock market (50%) and economy (49%) to improve over the next six months but predict higher inflation (62%) and unemployment (50%) @Gallup https://t.co/n8pQ2GIAHd
Recent Trade Unwind Unlikely to Spark Broad Selloff, Say HSBC
HSBC's Kettner: "Last week's rotation and unwinding of popular trades is unlikely to trigger a broad selloff – we stay constructive" DB's Reid on how this feels like 2000, when "an enormous rotation after the tech bubble burst" was enough to...
Moderate Growth Still Expected For Delayed US Q4 GDP Report
The delayed fourth‑quarter GDP report, slated for Feb 20, is nowcast at a 2.7% annualized expansion, a slowdown from the 4.4% pace recorded in Q3 but still indicating resilience. Complementary data from the Dallas Fed’s Weekly Economic Index and recent PMI...
Salesforce, ServiceNow Rejoin AI 30 Amid Market Panic
We are adding Salesforce and ServiceNow to the IVES AI 30 list after taking them off in early December with this software Armageddon sell-off the last few weeks assuming software/tech behemoths like Salesforce and ServiceNow are structurally broken…and we strongly...
Too Many Bulls Getting Shocked As AI Turns On Humans
Investors Intelligence’s Bull/Bear Ratio climbed to 4.13, signaling an over‑bought market from a contrarian viewpoint. Despite the high sentiment, the S&P 500 broadened, with Communication Services, Consumer Staples, Energy, Industrials and Materials posting record highs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Value index appears...
The Dreaded Hindenburg Omen
The mid‑week market update flagged a fresh appearance of the Hindenburg Omen, a technical signal that emerges when market breadth splits and price momentum wanes. The omen indicates that a significant number of stocks are simultaneously hitting new highs and...
WEEKLY WEBCAST: Meet Kevin Warsh
In a new webcast, Dr. Ed interviews Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s leading candidate for Federal Reserve chair. Warsh argues the U.S. economy is entering a productivity‑driven growth phase that requires supply‑side, low‑tax, low‑regulation policies. He rejects the Phillips Curve, labeling...
Small Cap Stocks Continue To Roar In 2026
Small-cap and micro‑cap stocks have taken the lead in early 2026, with the iShares Micro‑Cap ETF (IWC) posting an 8.7% year‑to‑date gain. Small‑cap value (IJR) and core ETFs are also outperforming large‑cap value (IVE) and the broader S&P 500 (SPY),...
PayPal Shares Plunged 86% From the 2021 Goofball High and Right Into Our Imploded Stocks
PayPal’s stock tumbled 20% to $41.70 after it reported a Q4 earnings miss, weak total payment volume growth, and announced a surprise CEO change, appointing HP chief Enrique Lores as its new leader effective March 1, with CFO Jamie Miller serving...
Economy & Earnings Are Heating Up
The latest Yardeni Quick Takes forecasts a robust 2026, targeting the S&P 500 at 7,700 by year‑end and 10,000 by 2030. Treasury yields are expected to hover between 4.25% and 4.75%, while gold is projected at $6,000 per ounce now and...
Running of the Bulls
The episode reviews recent market volatility, noting that despite modest index moves, asset class swings were significant and the S&P 500 closed January with a gain—a historically bullish signal that correlates with strong annual performance. It highlights the energy sector’s...
Who Is Trump's Fed Chair Pick?
In this six‑minute episode, host David Brancaccio examines President Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair. The discussion outlines Warsh’s background as a former Fed governor and his reputation for advocating low‑interest rates and a...
The Messy, Tricky, Hairy Task of Economic Forecasting
In this 7‑minute episode, host David Brancaccio explores the reliability and usefulness of economic forecasting, debating whether such predictions are valuable or merely speculative. He discusses how fast‑moving news cycles can quickly render forecasts obsolete, yet argues that they still...