A Full Week Of Coil For SPX. Do We Trend Next Week? April 27 Pan
Over the past month the S&P 500 e‑mini (ES) has posted a steep upside rally, with each minor dip quickly bought up. The author attributes the move to a classic "failed breakdown" pattern, where institutions accumulate during sharp, short‑lived drops and then trap short sellers. This week the contract consolidated in a tight flag between roughly 7,085 and 7,178, before breaking above the upper boundary. The next key question is whether the breakout can hold into next week.
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
Finviz’s latest heat map shows capital gravitating toward mega‑cap tech stocks, with Nvidia, Apple and Microsoft posting the strongest gains. The AI‑driven semiconductor rally lifted Nvidia about 3%, while Apple and Microsoft each rose over 2% on robust earnings. In...
The Market Brief
U.S. equities are riding a sharp rally that faces its toughest test next week as the five Magnificent Seven megacap stocks report earnings and the Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady. So far, 82% of S&P 500 companies...
One Platform to Trade Them All
U.S. equities hit record highs as a Trump‑brokered Iran cease‑fire eased geopolitical risk and strong earnings lifted sentiment. In that climate, Kalshi announced plans to launch CFTC‑approved crypto perpetual futures, positioning itself against Coinbase, Kraken and Binance. Simultaneously, DoorDash began...
TMTB Morning Wrap: TXN, Tesla, ServiceNow (NOW), IBM, SK Hynix Takeaways and Bull Vs. Bear Debates; & Research/News
ServiceNow posted a solid Q1 with subscription revenue beating estimates, yet its organic growth and margin outlook disappointed investors, sending the stock down 13%. Texas Instruments reported an 18.6% revenue surge, driven by industrial and data‑center segments, and lifted its...
Stocks Enter the Trump Dimension
The S&P 500 is forging ahead on its own, posting steady gains even as oil, volatility, rates and broader macro data point in opposite directions. David Llewellyn‑Smith describes this as a “Trump dimension” where equities rise independently of fundamentals. The...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The QQQ ETF rose 1.7% to fresh all‑time highs as AI‑driven enthusiasm fuels market momentum. Semiconductors outperformed, gaining roughly 3%, while software lagged after disappointing earnings from ServiceNow and IBM. Texas Instruments surged 10% following better‑than‑expected results and guidance, contrasting...
S&P 500 Prints New Highs as Oil Surge Fails to Rattle Risk
The S&P 500 reached new record highs despite a sharp oil price surge triggered by Iran’s actions in the Strait of Hormuz. Earnings strength and a dominant AI theme—now accounting for about 45 % of the index’s market cap—have insulated equities...
Tech Leads Rally After Cease Fire Extension. Tesla, IBM Report.
The U.S. market rebounded after the U.S. extended the Iran cease‑fire, pushing the Nasdaq to fresh highs and the S&P 500 close to its recent peak. Tech stocks led the charge, with the XLK ETF up about 2% and semiconductor...
Tech Giants Surge as Semiconductors Lead a Bullish Wave
Tech and consumer‑cyclical stocks led a broad market uplift, with semiconductors at the forefront. Micron jumped 5.09% and AMD rose 3.74%, while Apple gained 2.20% on strong sales outlooks. Big‑tech giants Microsoft and Alphabet each added around 1.7%, and Amazon...
TMTB Morning Wrap
SpaceX secured an option to acquire code‑editing AI startup Cursor for $60 bn, positioning the rocket maker to accelerate its AI capabilities ahead of a potential IPO. Google Cloud introduced the TPU 8t and 8i chips, delivering roughly 124% and 117%...
The IPO Buzz: Yesway (YSWY) Prices Upsized IPO at $20 – Low End – & Stock Opens at $22
Yesway (YSWY) priced its IPO at the low end of the $20‑$23 range, setting the price at $20 per share and upsizing the offering to 14 million shares, which raised roughly $280 million. The stock opened at $22, climbed to $22.60 intraday,...
TMTB EOD Wrap
Amazon announced a $5 billion investment in Anthropic, with an option to add up to $20 billion, securing up to 5 GW of Trainium AI compute for the startup. Meta revealed it will capture employee mouse movements, clicks and keystrokes to feed its...
Two Things: Breadth And Revisions
Analysts’ bottom‑up EPS forecasts for the S&P 500 have risen this year, but the gains are driven almost entirely by upward revisions in Energy and Technology stocks. The breadth of those revisions is exceptionally narrow, the weakest since the late‑1990s dot‑com...
Stock Market At Record High as Iran Crisis Deepens
U.S. equities closed at a record high on April 17, even as Iran’s hardliners kept the Strait of Hormuz closed and a U.S. Navy vessel seized an Iranian cargo ship. The S&P 500 set a speed record for its rally, driven largely...
Beyond the Momentum - Selling the Greed
U.S. equity markets surged for a third straight week, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 all posting new all‑time highs. The Nasdaq logged a 13‑session winning streak, its longest run since 1992, while crude oil prices plunged...
Update From the Flightdeck
Equities rallied to record highs in April, led by mega‑caps that jumped 20% and even defensive staples joining the upside. The rally came despite oil rebounding above $90 a barrel, a firmer dollar and higher bond yields that still signal...
Record Highs, Record Earnings, and a Strait That May or May Not Be Open
U.S. equity markets surged to new highs, with the S&P 500 closing above 7,100 and the Nasdaq posting an 11‑day winning streak, its longest since 1992. Major banks delivered record earnings: JPMorgan posted $5.94 EPS on $50.5 billion revenue, Goldman Sachs...
Investing Update: I Told You So
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each closed at record highs, the Nasdaq logging its longest 13‑day winning streak since 1992. From the March 30 lows, the S&P 500 surged 13% in just 14 trading sessions, while the Russell 2000 led major...
An Overheating Feedback Loop
The equity market has rebounded to levels roughly 5% above historical peaks, erasing the dip triggered by the Iran‑war scare. The NASDAQ has logged a 13‑day winning streak, its longest uninterrupted rally since July 2009. While price action looks robust, analysts...
Bank of America Raises Apple Price Target to $325 From $320
Bank of America increased its price target for Apple Inc. to $325, up $5 from the prior $320, while maintaining a Buy rating ahead of the company’s fiscal Q2 earnings. BofA projects Q2 revenue of $113 billion and earnings per share...
[RE-SEND] 4 Green Days This Week For SPX. Can It Close Up With 5? April 17 Plan
The S&P 500 e‑mini (ES) has surged roughly 700 points in the past two weeks, marking one of the strongest short‑term rallies in years. The author attributes the move to a classic "Failed Breakdown" pattern, where institutions dump the contract,...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 tracking QQQ ETF added roughly 50 basis points, pushing the fund to fresh all‑time highs. Across the Treasury curve, yields nudged up 1‑3 basis points while the Federal Reserve’s policy expectations stayed flat. Market participants are increasingly betting...
Preparing for Q-Day
US equities hit record highs as megacap tech stocks surged, with Microsoft up 4% and Tesla 7%, buoyed by optimism over a potential US‑Iran de‑escalation. Meanwhile, crypto markets rebounded, pushing Bitcoin toward $75‑$76K and Ethereum into double‑digit gains. The post...
TMTB Morning Wrap
TSMC posted first‑quarter 2026 revenue of $35.9 bn, up 6.4% sequentially and slightly above its own guidance, while gross margin surged to 66.2%, outpacing the 63‑65% target. Advanced process technologies (3‑nm, 5‑nm, 7‑nm) accounted for 74% of wafer revenue, driven by...
🧾 The Proof Continues - INDICES
The author reports that the market "Proof of Process" identified on March 31 and published on April 1 has now moved into a confirmed expansion phase. The same structural framework continues to unfold, providing real‑time evidence rather than speculative forecasts. This development...
Whiplash Rally: Stocks Hit New High Just Days After Sharp Drop
After a 9.1% plunge on March 30, the S&P 500 surged to a new record high by Thursday, erasing the loss in just 11 trading days—the fastest rebound for a decline of that magnitude. The drawdown ranks as the 32nd‑deepest since 1955,...
After 5 Months, the Nasdaq Finally Hits a New Record High Amid US-Iran Deal Optimism
The Nasdaq Composite surged to a fresh all‑time high, its first record in five months, as optimism grew around a potential US‑Iran peace framework. Traders cite the rally that began in early April and the market’s repricing of growth expectations...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) surged 1.4% to a fresh all‑time closing high, putting the index up roughly 15% since the start of the month. The rally has broadened beyond growth‑heavy names, pulling in traditionally lagging tech stocks such as Nvidia,...
9 Stocks Stealing The Show
A group of nine mid‑cap stocks surged on Wednesday, led by quantum‑computing and AI‑related names. Credo Technology jumped 5.9% after Mizuho lifted its price target to $220 and highlighted the DustPhonics acquisition that could push optical revenues past $500 million by...
TMTB Morning News
ASML reported Q1 revenue of €8.8 billion (≈$9.6 billion), up 13% year‑over‑year and beating consensus, while its Q2 sales outlook of €8.4‑€9.0 billion (≈$9.2‑$9.8 billion) fell short of expectations. The Dutch lithography leader raised its FY26 revenue guidance to €36‑€40 billion (≈$39‑$44 billion) on stronger EUV...
Update: Price Action Dynamics
Price Action Lab released an update titled “Price Action Dynamics,” featuring a quantitative analysis and forward‑looking forecast for the S&P 500 index. The post, published on April 15, 2026, is gated behind the firm’s Premium Articles subscription, limiting full access to paying members....
Oil, Yields Decline, Equities Back Near Highs
U.S. equities edged closer to all‑time highs as the S&P 500 hovered just below record levels, propelled by strong tech performance. Crude oil retreated to $92 a barrel, easing inflation concerns and supporting the rally. The Producer Price Index rose...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 tracking QQQ rose 1.05% as investors digested calmer rhetoric from Trump and Iran and a continuing ceasefire, lifting risk appetite. Oil jumped 1.5% on the same optimism, while Treasury yields slipped 3‑4 basis points, nudging Fed expectations toward...
It's Like We Fell Down an Escalator That's Going up ↙️
The S&P 500 slipped 9% from its Jan. 27 peak of 6,978.60 to a Mar. 30 low of 6,343.72, a pullback that falls short of a classic bear market and below the 14‑18% intra‑year declines typical of election cycles. While...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
A Finviz treemap visualizes today’s equity capital flows, coloring gains in green and losses in red. Large‑cap tech titans—Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet and Tesla—appear as the biggest green blocks, indicating strong price appreciation. Smaller firms across a range of sectors...
Stock Market Update: Tech Giants Propel Amid Semiconductor Strains
Technology stocks led market gains while semiconductors slipped. Microsoft rose 1.8% and Oracle surged 7.3%, boosting the software‑infrastructure segment. Micron fell 2.1% and Nvidia edged down, highlighting pressure on chips. Investors remain cautiously optimistic, favoring resilient tech over volatile semiconductor...
US Stocks Turn Positive as US Naval Blockade of Iran Goes Into Force
U.S. equity markets rose as the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz took effect at 10 a.m. ET. Traders view the move as a diplomatic signal rather than an escalation, keeping the S&P 500 within 200 points of pre‑war levels....
Vol Crush Lifts the S&P 500 — Will the Rally Last?
Last week the S&P 500 jumped roughly 3% to 6,800 as implied volatility collapsed, driving a sharp VIX decline. The rally was powered by a “vol crush” that reduced put deltas, prompting dealers to unwind short hedges—a process known as vanna....
Palantir Stock Fell 8% After Michael Burry Argued Anthropic Is Capturing Enterprise AI Spending that Palantir Cannot Compete For
Michael Burry warned that Anthropic is seizing the bulk of enterprise AI spend, claiming the startup captures 73% of new budgets and wins seven out of ten head‑to‑head contests with OpenAI. He contrasted Anthropic’s plug‑and‑play API with Palantir’s labor‑intensive consulting...
Top Stocks in Each Sector Driving Information Flow
The Capital Flows livestream identified the S&P 500 stocks that have generated the strongest fundamental attribution over the past three months, revealing where informed capital is positioning itself. AI‑related themes dominate, with data‑center REIT EQIX up 30% and utilities tied...
The Market Brief
A two‑week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has eased geopolitical tension, sending U.S. equity indexes higher. The S&P 500 is on track for its largest weekly gain since November, while the Dow Jones aims for its strongest weekly...
Capturing 2000 Points & 4840
Ashraf Laidi’s latest intraday market thoughts recap a successful Nasdaq call, pinpointing the index bottom at 22,780 on March 30 and projecting a rally to 24,440 at the 200‑day moving average. The strategy also kept a long position in gold, capturing...
Stocks Chase the Madman
The S&P 500 has erased the recent sell‑off, completing a full round‑trip back to the middle of its trading range. Volatility has collapsed to near‑record lows, and systematic fund flows have shifted from aggressive selling to providing net support. While...
Upside or Downside Risk to Threat to Destroy Civilization?
The Substack post satirically examines how former President Donald Trump's hyperbolic threat to "destroy an entire civilization" could be interpreted by investors as a market risk. It references CNBC anchor Sara Eisen’s on‑air reaction and uses Star Wars imagery—short‑term out‑of‑the‑money...
2026 S&P 500 Reflexive Forecast - April 9, 2026
The research firm released its first full‑year S&P 500 forecast, projecting the index to close near 6,800 by the end of 2026. The outlook hinges on a six‑week Iran conflict that triggered the largest oil‑supply shock in modern history, a newly...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
Today’s Finviz heatmap shows capital flowing into technology and semiconductor stocks, which posted the strongest gains over the past 24 hours. Consumer discretionary also advanced, while energy and financial sectors lagged, registering modest declines. The visual snapshot highlights a risk‑on...
The Market Brief
The Market Brief notes that the initial optimism from a two‑week cease‑fire is fading as markets give back Wednesday’s gains. Systematic macro hedge funds (CTAs) were positioned deep short the S&P 500 and max long WTI crude before the April 7 moves,...
Mid-Week Macro (4/8/2026)
Iran announced a two‑week ceasefire, prompting the S&P 500 to close above 6,700, though analysts warn the optimism may be premature. Gold slipped to $4,727, roughly 16% below its recent all‑time high, while silver sits near $74, down 38% from...
The Closer – Ceasefire Confusion, Valuations, Fed – 4/8/26
U.S. equity valuations have slid sharply since their late‑October 2025 peak, reflecting tighter monetary conditions and lingering geopolitical risk. The Federal Reserve’s latest minutes adopted a more hawkish tone than recent meetings, hinting at possible further rate hikes. Despite the...