NASDAQ: Wave (Iv) Complete - Wave (v) Toward 30,000+ Underway
The analyst confirms that the Nasdaq‑100 E‑mini futures have finished a Wave (iv) correction, characterized by a classic W‑X‑Y structure and a decisive five‑wave decline on the final leg. With the corrective phase complete, the chart now points to Wave (v), an impulsive move that could push the index beyond the 30,000 level. The projection relies on Elliott Wave theory, suggesting a strong bullish continuation after the consolidation. Market participants are watching for the next breakout as the next wave unfolds.
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
A Finviz‑sourced heat map released today visualizes where investors are allocating capital across U.S. equities. The graphic shows strong net inflows into large‑cap technology, especially AI‑focused chip makers, while energy stocks register notable outflows as oil prices dip. Financials benefit...
Morgan Stanley Has a Stark Message for Investors in Apple
Morgan Stanley’s AlphaWise Global Smartphone Survey shows iPhone upgrade intentions climbing to a record 37%, driven largely by a 9‑point surge in China. The net switching rate to Apple hit an all‑time 11%, the only positive figure among major brands,...
The Market Brief
Monday recorded the lowest U.S. equity trading volume of the year, with 14.8 billion shares and $663 billion in notional value changing hands. Investors remain cautious as they hedge heavily with index puts while the market watches a looming Trump‑imposed deadline on...
The Bounce, the Barrel, and the Bet Nobody Wants to Make
The S&P 500 jumped 3.4% last week, its strongest gain since May, while the Nasdaq rose 4.4% and the Dow nearly 3%. The rally unfolded alongside a 12% weekly surge in WTI crude, which closed near $112 per barrel after...
10 Stocks With Unexpected Gains
Wall Street opened higher on strong U.S. jobs data, with all three major indices in the green, while investors kept an eye on the unfolding Iran conflict. Ten mid‑cap stocks with at least $2 billion market caps posted unexpected gains, led...
TMTB Mid-Day Wrap
The mid‑day wrap notes that the QQQ index added 20 basis points as investors hoped for a de‑escalation of the Iran crisis, with President Trump pushing the deadline to Tuesday night. In the internet sector, Netflix (NFLX) remained flat after...
Trading The Shit Show: April 2026 Market Update
The author highlights that his 26‑stock watchlist is beating the S&P 500 by roughly 7.7%, while macro forces are diverging. The escalating Iran‑Israel conflict is driving oil price spikes, inflating CPI expectations, raising bond yields and compressing equity multiples. Simultaneously, the...
Oil Peaks and Market Bottoms - Lessons From 1990
U.S. equity indexes snapped a five‑week losing streak on Friday, with all three major benchmarks turning positive as investors priced in a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Nasdaq posted its largest intraday reversal since April 2025 after...
Nasdaq Technical Analysis at investingLive Shows Bulls Are Good After All
Nasdaq futures are trading above the critical 23,100‑23,120 support zone, preserving a bullish structure that has delivered roughly a 4.5% rally since March. A double rejection at the 23,400 resistance level reinforced the market’s upward bias, while higher lows continue...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The market erased an early 2% dip after President Trump’s speech and news that Iran will charge tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, lifting oil by about 11.5%. Traders shifted from a defensive weekend‑avoidance stance to a more aggressive “don’t...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
A Finviz heatmap shows today’s capital allocations across major equity sectors. Technology leads with the strongest inflows, while energy experiences the deepest outflows as oil prices dip. Consumer discretionary and financials are also attracting notable buying, whereas healthcare remains a...
First Call April 2, 2026
Hedge Fund Telemetry’s April 2 2026 First Call package bundles a series of subscription‑based market intelligence notes, ranging from a pre‑market snapshot to mid‑morning trade ideas, a comprehensive Daily Note, and a forward‑looking Week Ahead outlook. The service also delivers dedicated Commodity...
The Closer – Trend Test, ISM, Home Loans – 4/1/26
The Closer highlighted today’s short‑term trend test covering the Nasdaq, mega‑cap technology stocks, the VIX and the U.S. dollar. The ISM Manufacturing index posted a new cycle high as its component indices surged. A record share of newly originated home...
Two Big Green Days For SPX. Can It Manage A Third? April 2nd Plan
Last week saw five consecutive red days in the S&P 500 e‑mini (ES), ending with a sharp 280‑point rally that pushed the index to a 6,647 high. The move was triggered by a classic "Failed Breakdown" pattern after ES briefly...
10 Pct Limit
The S&P 500 has slipped exactly 10% from its all‑time high, intersecting its 55‑day moving average. This threshold historically triggers algorithmic buying programs and heightened market attention. Analysts note that such a pullback often precedes a modestly positive April before resuming...
Amprius (AMPX) Climbs 14.5%, Mirrors Market Rally
Amprius Technologies (AMPX) rebounded from a three‑day decline, jumping 14.5% to close at $16.86 as the broader market rallied on optimism about a potential Middle‑East cease‑fire. The surge coincided with all three major U.S. indices posting double‑digit gains, led by...
Uniti Group (UNIT) Climbs 15.8% as 2 Firms Eye Business Assets
Uniti Group Inc. (NASDAQ:UNIT) surged 15.8% to close at $9.38 after reports that T‑Mobile and private‑equity firm TPG are evaluating its fiber assets. T‑Mobile is reportedly focused on the kinetic fiber‑to‑the‑home segment, while TPG is eyeing the enterprise side. The...
The Closer – Quarter End Chaos, JOLTS, Consumer Confidence – 3/31/26
The S&P 500 surged 2.91 % on the final trading day of the quarter, marking the strongest quarter‑end rally since 1953. At the same time, the latest JOLTS report showed hires slipping to a 10‑year low when the COVID‑19 crash is...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
The Hedge Fund Tips article visualizes the latest money‑flow data from Finviz, highlighting which equity sectors are receiving net buying versus net selling. Green‑shaded areas indicate capital inflows, while red zones show outflows across the market. The chart shows technology...
The Market Brief
U.S. equity futures rose after reports that former President Donald Trump may end military operations against Iran, even as the Strait of Hormuz stays partially closed. The news eased the pressure that had driven the S&P 500 and Dow toward their...
10 Stocks Leaving the Market in the Dust Today: Insmed, FMC, Alcoa, and More
Ten stocks outperformed the broader market on Monday, each posting double‑digit gains as investors reacted to upcoming dividend dates, analyst upgrades, and sector‑specific news. NIO surged 3.8% ahead of its Q1 delivery results, while Dow rose 2.6% on petrochemical supply...
Oil, Sentiment, and the Correction That Nobody Wanted
The S&P 500 closed its fifth straight losing week, falling to 6,368.85 and slipping into correction territory. Oil prices surged, with Brent near $107 per barrel and WTI above $93, pushing the 10‑year Treasury yield to 4.44%, its highest level...
The Mag 7 Ate Your Index
For nearly two years the S&P 500’s rally has been powered by an unusually tight group of seven mega‑cap stocks, often dubbed the “Magnificent 7.” That concentration masked historically thin market breadth, leaving most equities lagging behind the index. Recent price action...
S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratios
Yardeni’s latest chart shows the S&P 500’s forward price‑to‑earnings ratios diverging sharply across market segments. The so‑called Magnificent Seven tech‑heavy stocks are trading above a 30‑times forward P/E, while the broader large‑cap index sits near 22‑times and small‑to‑medium caps hover around...
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 29 March 2026
The S&P 500 slipped through a pivotal support zone this week, handing control to bearish forces. Despite the downside, implied correlation metrics and heightened leveraged‑ETF activity suggest a short‑term bounce may be on the horizon. Longer‑term cycle gauges are flashing warnings...
Easter Trading Strategy: Does the Stock Market Rally Before the Holiday?
The Easter trading strategy exploits a seasonal rally that consistently appears on the Thursday before Good Friday, the market’s last trading day of the week. Backtests using the S&P 500 since 1960 show a 0.35% average gain when buying at Wednesday’s...
TMTB Mid-Day Wrap: Reddit, Applovin, META Weakness; TMT Momentum Worst Day in Years; Netflix Price Increase?; Memory/Semicap/Optical Unwind
The Nasdaq‑linked QQQ index dropped 2% as 10‑year Treasury yields neared 4.5% and oil prices rose 5%, tightening the macro backdrop for tech investors. Meta fell 7% after a July verdict holding it and Google liable for addictive product designs,...
TMTB Morning Wrap
ARM announced a new AGI‑focused server CPU and a shift toward a fabless semiconductor model, prompting multiple analyst upgrades. Raymond James lifted its price target to $166, Evercore ISI to $227, and BofA to $155, citing projected revenue growth and...
A Technical Look at the Broader US Stock Indices with a Bonus Look at Nvidia
Nvidia’s shares slipped below their 200‑day moving average at $178.78, marking the first breach since May 2025 and signaling a bearish tilt. The broader market mirrored this move, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 also closing beneath their respective 200‑day...
Tech Falters While Energy Surges: Today's Market Analysis
The technology sector posted sharp declines on the day, with Microsoft down 2.67% and Oracle slipping 4.10%, signaling heightened bearish sentiment. In contrast, the energy sector rallied, led by Exxon Mobil’s 2.94% gain and Chevron’s 1.88% rise, buoyed by higher...
Thanks For The Memory
President Donald Trump postponed a threatened strike on Iran, prompting a brief market rally, but analysts quickly shifted focus to the memory‑chip sector. AI‑driven demand for high‑bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced DRAM has turned the traditionally cyclical memory market into...
The Regimes Are Dead. Long Live The Regimes.
Donald Trump announced a postponement of threatened strikes on Iran’s power plants, prompting a rapid rally in U.S. equities and a sharp decline in crude oil prices. CNBC seized on the move, wondering whether the market surge signaled the long‑awaited...
First Call March 23, 2026
Hedge Fund Telemetry launched its “First Call” suite on March 23 2026, offering a sequence of timed market briefs for traders and institutional investors. The pre‑market note summarizes overnight price moves, macro data, and geopolitical events, while subsequent Mid‑Morning, Daily, and Week‑Ahead...
S&P 500 Skyrockets as Trump Announces Ceasefire. Real TACO or Just Usual Jawboning?
U.S. equity markets surged as former President Donald Trump posted a cease‑fire announcement on Truth Social, prompting the S&P 500 to bounce sharply from near‑term lows. Technical charts show the index probing the 6,760 resistance level, with sellers poised to...
Weekly Market Pulse: Questions
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed below their 200‑day moving averages, sparking debate over whether the recent pullback signals a new bear market. While the EAFE index outperformed the U.S. last year, it is now lagging as energy‑related geopolitical risks weigh...
S&P500 Key Levels
The S&P 500 closed at the lower edge of its multi‑month trading range, prompting debate over whether the move signals a genuine breakdown or a routine shake‑out. Positioning data shows crowded short interest, yet traders remain defensive rather than panicked. Futures...
Indicator of the Day (Video): DOW Advances Index
The Indicator of the Day spotlights the Dow Advances Index, a breadth metric that counts how many Dow Jones Industrial Average component stocks close higher each trading session. The chart covering March 2024 to March 2026 reveals a surge in advancing stocks...
Explaining the Resilient S&P 500
The S&P 500 has shown unexpected resilience, slipping only about 7% from its peak despite Brent crude breaching $100 per barrel. Analysts attribute this stability to robust corporate earnings, a sector tilt toward defensive stocks, and continued monetary support. While...
Stocks Close the Day Lower. Dow -1.0%. S&P -1.5% Nasdaq -2.0
U.S. equity markets closed lower on the day, with the Dow down 1.0%, the S&P 500 down 1.5% and the Nasdaq slipping 2.0%. All three benchmarks finished the session beneath their 200‑day moving averages, a technical signal of sustained weakness....
Super Week Delivered. Nobody Blinked.
US equity markets experienced a sharp reversal after a brief rally, erasing much of the early‑March small‑cap gains. The Russell 2000 slipped 0.41% YTD, a 9.3‑point drop in less than two weeks, while the S&P 500 fell 3.49% to four‑month...
AXT Inc. (AXTI) Soars to All-Time High Firm Upbeat as Q1 Ends
AXT Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) surged to a record $58.13, closing up 19.13% as the first quarter ended. The rally was driven by the company’s upbeat Q1 outlook, anchored by strong demand for indium phosphide in AI infrastructure and progress on export...
Erasca (ERAS) Adds 13%; Soars 310% YTD
Erasca Inc. (NASDAQ:ERAS) surged 13.04% on Thursday, closing at $15.26, propelling its year‑to‑date gain to 310%. The rally follows upbeat analyst coverage and early clinical optimism for its pan‑RAS molecular‑glue degrader, ERAS‑0015. Early trial data revealed two confirmed and one...
BioCryst (BCRX) Rallies 7.10% on Acquisition Buzz
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) surged 7.10% to $9.81 after rumors of a takeover by a large‑cap U.S. biopharma surfaced. The company has not confirmed the speculation, but the market reacted strongly. BioCryst recently reported a dramatic earnings turnaround, posting $263.86 million net...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
The latest Finviz treemap visualizes today’s money flow across the U.S. equity market, spotlighting heavyweight names such as Microsoft, Google, Meta, Netflix, JPMorgan, Visa and Berkshire Hathaway. Large‑cap technology stocks dominate the top‑right quadrant, indicating strong inflows, while financials occupy...
Que Sera Sera
Mid‑week market commentary highlighted heightened uncertainty as both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq‑100 briefly breached key support levels. Traders are urged to exercise patience amid volatile price action and unclear directional cues. The brief breakdowns suggest potential short‑term weakness, though broader...
US Major Indices Closed Sharply Lower with the Dow and Russell 2000 Falling -1.6%
U.S. major stock indices closed sharply lower after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s mildly hawkish press conference, despite the Fed holding rates steady. The Dow dropped 768 points, its biggest single‑day decline in weeks, while the Russell 2000 led losses at...
TMTB EOD Wrap: Amazon, Nvidia / Lumentum (LITE) Investor Mtg Recaps and More...
Amazon announced 1‑hour and 3‑hour delivery for over 90,000 items, expanding its ultra‑fast logistics network across hundreds of U.S. cities. OpenAI is now using AWS to run U.S. government and national‑security workloads, while AWS CEO Andy Jassy projected AI‑driven revenue...
FOMC Tomorrow. Can The New SPX Rally Survive? March 18 Plan
S&P 500 futures (ES) lost the 6819 support level early last week, dropping to 6658 before staging a rebound. A failed breakdown at the 6689 shelf triggered a short squeeze that lifted prices to a 6808 high, aligning with the...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The QQQ index climbed 1.1% as investors cheered President Trump’s remarks about an international naval coalition that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices down 5% and trimming Treasury yields by 3‑5 basis points. Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference...