Mini Tech Wreck Or Repeat Of The Big One?
Technology stocks have tumbled sharply, prompting fears of a repeat of the 2000‑2002 tech bust. Analysts argue the current landscape differs, as major hyperscalers—Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta—are slated to spend roughly $650 billion on AI infrastructure by 2026, with the three largest alone committing $490 billion. Microsoft alone reports about $625 billion in contracted but unrecognized revenue, underscoring multi‑year cloud and AI contracts. This spending surge is expected to boost vendor revenues and broader economic activity, even if some projects face power or semiconductor constraints.
PYPL Is Too Cheap And Will Reward Patient Shareholders
PayPal (PYPL) is trading at a steep discount, with its stock price near $40 representing a 7.6‑times earnings multiple. The company plans a $6 billion share‑repurchase program in 2026 that could retire roughly 16% of its diluted shares, boosting earnings per...
Moderate Growth Still Expected For Delayed US Q4 GDP Report
The delayed fourth‑quarter GDP report, slated for Feb 20, is nowcast at a 2.7% annualized expansion, a slowdown from the 4.4% pace recorded in Q3 but still indicating resilience. Complementary data from the Dallas Fed’s Weekly Economic Index and recent PMI...
Too Many Bulls Getting Shocked As AI Turns On Humans
Investors Intelligence’s Bull/Bear Ratio climbed to 4.13, signaling an over‑bought market from a contrarian viewpoint. Despite the high sentiment, the S&P 500 broadened, with Communication Services, Consumer Staples, Energy, Industrials and Materials posting record highs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Value index appears...
The Dreaded Hindenburg Omen
The mid‑week market update flagged a fresh appearance of the Hindenburg Omen, a technical signal that emerges when market breadth splits and price momentum wanes. The omen indicates that a significant number of stocks are simultaneously hitting new highs and...
WEEKLY WEBCAST: Meet Kevin Warsh
In a new webcast, Dr. Ed interviews Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s leading candidate for Federal Reserve chair. Warsh argues the U.S. economy is entering a productivity‑driven growth phase that requires supply‑side, low‑tax, low‑regulation policies. He rejects the Phillips Curve, labeling...
Small Cap Stocks Continue To Roar In 2026
Small-cap and micro‑cap stocks have taken the lead in early 2026, with the iShares Micro‑Cap ETF (IWC) posting an 8.7% year‑to‑date gain. Small‑cap value (IJR) and core ETFs are also outperforming large‑cap value (IVE) and the broader S&P 500 (SPY),...
PayPal Shares Plunged 86% From the 2021 Goofball High and Right Into Our Imploded Stocks
PayPal’s stock tumbled 20% to $41.70 after it reported a Q4 earnings miss, weak total payment volume growth, and announced a surprise CEO change, appointing HP chief Enrique Lores as its new leader effective March 1, with CFO Jamie Miller serving...
Economy & Earnings Are Heating Up
The latest Yardeni Quick Takes forecasts a robust 2026, targeting the S&P 500 at 7,700 by year‑end and 10,000 by 2030. Treasury yields are expected to hover between 4.25% and 4.75%, while gold is projected at $6,000 per ounce now and...
Running of the Bulls
The episode reviews recent market volatility, noting that despite modest index moves, asset class swings were significant and the S&P 500 closed January with a gain—a historically bullish signal that correlates with strong annual performance. It highlights the energy sector’s...
Top Picks Update
In this early‑year episode, the host highlights a rapid shift in the housing market from tentative optimism to policy‑driven momentum, noting that mortgage rates are a key driver. The standout financial pick for 2026, Rocket Companies (RKT), has surged nearly...
Discounting the Chaos
The episode “Discounting the Chaos” examines how, despite a torrent of geopolitical turmoil—from Venezuela’s leadership shake‑up to potential conflicts involving Iran and Greenland—the stock market remains a reliable, fundamentals‑driven gauge of future economic conditions. Recent data suggest the U.S. economy...