US-Israel Strikes Trigger Global Market Volatility
🚨 The US and Israel just launched strikes on Iran. Tehran is firing back. Missiles hitting Gulf states. Markets open Sunday night. Oil. Gold. Nasdaq. Forex. Everything gaps. I'm going LIVE Sunday 6PM ET to break down what this means for your trades. Don't get caught offside 👇 https://t.co/jRni9df3jo
Higher Diesel Prices Boost Profits for Large Truck Fleets
A weird irony is that most mid and large trucking fleets make more money with higher diesel prices due to fuel surcharges.
Q2Metals Hits All‑time High in Lithium Exploration
Check out our latest #RockStockRecap + update with the lithium industry’s most exciting spodumene exploration story @Q2Metals which closed yesterday at an all-time high. $QTWO.V 👇👇
Iran Bans Hormuz Traffic, yet Tankers Still Sail
Iran is sending out warnings on VHF announcing the banning of all ships from the Strait of Hormuz. However, traffic is still moving. What's Going on with Shipping will be monitoring traffic through the Strait. https://t.co/0rPIFY825Q
Gold +22%, Silver +31% Amid Global Chaos
The chaos doesn't stop. There's been Greenland, a yield spike in Japan, private credit ructions and AI. Now it's Iran. Easy to miss the forest for the trees and that's precious metals. Gold is up 22% this year. Silver 31%....
Iran Strike May Push Oil to $73.90 Resistance.
$USOIL monthly - The Israeli-U.S. strike in Iran will propel the price of crude oil to the 1st yearly resistance at 73.90. Above that there's the June 2025 high at 77.64. These are the 2 potential upside targets for next...
Recapping a Coast‑to‑Coast Lithium Tour in Podcast
Sun coming up on a redeye home from Reno after a long #lithium week stretching from meetings with investors & producers in south Florida to northern Nevada to see Thacker Pass. Will do a solo podcast to recap what I...
Poland Cuts Copper Tax, KGHM Eyes 2026 Output Boost
Poland’s KGHM targets higher copper output in 2026 as Poland cuts its copper extraction tax from January. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/polands-kghm-targets-higher-copper.html
PAX Gold Surges Past $5,500 as Spot Gold Nears Record
PAX Gold up about $200-250 today from the close of spot gold on Friday. At one point was north of $5,500. Plausible spot gold retests all-time highs early Monday https://t.co/dFRK76xspa
Silver RSI Near 1980 Peak, May Surge Past 94
$Silver - Despite the 40% drawdown from the January high, February was the 10th up month in a row, which never happened before. The 14 month RSI is now at 93.42, its highest level since the 1980 top. My expectation...
Gold Breaks Yearly Resistance, Targets 5764 Despite Record RSI
$Gold - The 14 month RSI closed at 95.67, its highest level in history, but it probably doesn't matter since gold closed the month above the 1st yearly resistance at 5043, and is headed to the 2nd yearly resistance at...
Record US Crude Exports Threaten Brent Price Rally
Is Crude Oil Becoming a Rally to Sell? US crude and liquid fuel net exports approaching 4 million barrels a day in 2026 -- the highest ever -- may be a primary price-pressure factor for oil. My graphic shows an annual...
Lithium Demand Rebounds 25% as Low‑cost Supply Tightens Price Gap
Lithium bottom: demand +25% as EV/ESS rebound; SQM+Codelco JV raises low-cost supply, tightens cost curve; prices ≈70% below 2022 — overweight low-cost lithium producers. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Chinese Drones Plausible, Hypersonics Doubtful; Markets See Calm
Reports of Chinese drones to Iran are plausible But talk of hypersonics is a leap. If true, I see little effect for the present Iran crisis Markets agree with Brent rolling into contango. This looks like calibrated support, not crisis-altering escalation https://t.co/x606IhOrev #Iran...
Brent Contango Signals Market Downplays Iran Disruption Risk
Brent DFL rolling into contango suggests the market is fading the Iran oil disruption risk @Rory_Johnston A US strike will probably still happen But traders aren’t pricing sustained barrels off the market. #Oil #Brent #Iran #EnergyMarkets #Geopolitics
EU Targets Pre‑consumer Scrap in CBAM to Stop Evasion
EU proposes CBAM treatment for pre-consumer aluminium and steel scrap to curb circumvention and boost traceability. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/eu-cbam-pre-consumer-scrap-proposal.html
February: Metals and Energy Surge While Stocks and Crypto Dive
February... Silver $SLV: +13% Energy $XLE: +10% Gold $GLD: +9% International Developed $VEA: +6% EM $IEMG: +6% Oil $USO: +3% Bonds $AGG: +2% S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: -2% Financials $XLF: -4% Mag 7 $MAGS: -7% Software $IGV: -10% Bitcoin $IBIT: -22% Fartcoin $FART: -31%
Funds Snap up Record CBOT Wheat, Futures Rise 3%
📈Funds bought a massive amount of CBOT wheat in the week ended Feb. 24. Net buying neared 51,000 futures & options contracts, the third most for any week on record. Funds were net short 17.3k contracts as of Feb. 24, but...
Gold Hits Record High, Extends 7‑Month Streak
Gold $GLD just another record monthly high.. by a mile. 7-month winning streak... +9% in February https://t.co/K0ucOz3DnD
U.S. Critical Mineral Imports Surge, Few Nations Dominate
America’s net import reliance for critical minerals in 2025, along with the primary countries supplying them between 2021 and 2024 https://t.co/89QwEHKe16 via @visualcap
Corn Insurance Falls, Soybean Coverage Rises in 2026
🇺🇸2026 U.S. insurance guarantees: Corn: $4.62 per bushel (down 2% from last year) Soybeans: $11.09 per bushel (up 5% from last year) https://t.co/QFcJ5xrOCI
Hidden Market Volatility May Surface via Crypto, Bonds, Metals
Stock market volatility is still buried. Falling cryptos, T-bond yields and spiking precious metals volatility may trickle down. https://t.co/SeGPI6EvAe
Lower 48 Oil Output Flat, Barely up 90k B/D
U.S. CRUDE and condensate production from the Lower 48 states excluding federal waters in the Gulf of America/Mexico has flattened in response to the downturn in prices and drilling. Lower 48 onshore production was up by just 90,000 b/d in...
Tariff Refunds Spark Unexpected Market Reaction
I run a family account that is very light on profanity, but I'm making an exception here because this is highly relevant re: policy - i.e., the market response to tariff refunds - and is also kinda funny https://t.co/W4w9escVzV https://t.co/5sIpIX72ON
Power Price Hikes Barely Dent Big Tech Spending
When (any) price is right: Rising power prices are still a small slice of Big Tech's spending. https://t.co/FLLrii1nD4 via @McKinsey in @axios
Glencore Secures $115M Cobalt Deal with Weisfisch
ICYMI: Glencore to buy almost $115 million of cobalt from industry veteran Weisfisch, sources say https://t.co/mu9OLpnjiO
GKN Scraps Magnet Factory, Europe Rare Earths Setback
Exclusive: GKN cancels plans for magnet factory in setback for Europe's rare earths plans https://t.co/KLadnSKxvw
Core Wholesale Prices Jump 0.8% in January, Outpacing Forecasts
"Core wholesale prices rose 0.8% in January, much more than expected" https://t.co/LVa2AuC787 "For the full year, core wholesale prices accelerated 3.6%" Big Jan26 drivers: -professional & commercial equipment wholesaling services -Trade services -metals https://t.co/SIuJIRE7bD
Intrepid Potash Breakout Mirrors Wheat Surge, CF Long
$IPI Daily. Clean base breakout for Intrepid Potash to dovetail the surge in Wheat this week. Ags heating up. $CF worth a look long, too. https://t.co/xrg1BQiWhA
Lithium May Mirror Silver's March‑April Surge?
Is Lithium about to pull 'a Silver' in March and April? $ALB $SQM $LIT $LAC https://t.co/Db55dIPSLT
AI's Asset Demand Shifts Money From Tech to Commodities
The framing here just seems so clear to me. AI buildout requires a ton of real assets and commodities to complete Cyclical re acceleration is bullish commodities Everyone is overweight tech and AI is now questioning the validity of the multiples...
Gold's $5,000 Level Marks Pause, Not Sell‑Off
After the January sell-off, gold has settled above $5,000. So that sell-off wasn't a sell-off at all, it's a pause. We saw the same thing after the pull-back in October after the IMF/WB meetings. A short pause before the debasement...
Metals May Lift Commodities, Yet Risks Favor Decline
Deflation May Reign If Metals Meet High-Price Cure - That orange juice and cocoa were the worst-performing commodities in 2025, after being among the best in 2024, may foreshadow metals in 2026. In the history of the Bloomberg Commodity Spot...
EU Carbon Prices Slip 20% Amid Reform Push
CHART OF THE DAY: The cost of European CO2 allowances has fallen ~20% in recent days after several key countries asked Brussels for a reform. Italy has gone as far as asking the Emissions Trading Syste to be suspended. CO2...
Metals Enter Bull Market’s High‑Price Phase, Spark Speculation
From Top Commodity Value to Stretched Speculation - Metals 2026: The Bloomberg All Metals Total Return Subindex represents the top-performing sector over time, but metals may have entered the high-price cure stage of a bull market. The highest-velocity rallies since...
India Cuts Coal Imports, Prioritizes Security Over Climate
India prioritizes national security and economic growth above aggressive, ideologically driven climate policies seen in some European countries. India seeks to cut power sector coal imports by 30% this year, sources say https://t.co/bA7W0ywe6Y
US Gas Stocks Near Seasonal Norm, Prices Dip Below $3
U.S. GAS inventories depleted much more slowly than normal for the time of year in the middle part of February, largely erasing the previous storage deficit and causing futures prices to slip below $3 per million British thermal units to...
Gold Volatility Eases, Bitcoin Emerges as Next Opportunity
Slowly, but surely, after such a peak, the volatility starts to go down on Gold. That's great. That's going to turn the lights slowly towards #Bitcoin as an opportunity. I don't think we'll start to see big new highs for Gold....
AI Data Centers Will Need Their Own Power Sources
“Bring your own power” is coming for AI data centers Higher rates, curtailment, and political backlash are growing as data centers strain grids https://t.co/oS784Z1ZAk #AI #datacenters #energy #powergrid #naturalgas #PJM #infrastructure #geopolitics
Strategic Lithium Reserve Needed to Stabilize Supply
I’ve submitted formal comments into the docket. My core message: supply diversification alone is not enough. If we want durable investment in allied lithium production and processing, we must address price volatility. Lithium’s boom-bust cycles have repeatedly delayed capital formation and midstream...
Italy's Carbon Rebates Hide High Power Costs, Gas Dominates
Italy wants to mask high power prices by rebating carbon costs But gas still sets the marginal price and firm capacity is still scarce. When will Europe learn it can't regulate its way around energy constraints? https://t.co/bvwbqV1FTZ #EnergyPolicy #PowerMarkets #CarbonMarkets #EnergyTransition #EnergyPhysics
Nornickel Forecasts Nickel Surplus, Tight Copper Post‑2025, PGM Rally
Nornickel sees nickel surplus, tighter copper after 2025, and a renewed PGM rally led by investor demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/nornickel-nickel-surplus-and-copper.html
Grid Constraints Will Limit Electrification Before Copper Supply
Your "copper cliff" assumes demand is unlimited @simonnextclick It isn’t Grid bottlenecks, permitting delays, power shortages & capital constraints will cap electrification long before geology does #Copper #EnergyTransition #Grid #Electrification #Commodities @ctindale @wbaltzley02
US Natgas Deficit Shrinks, Prices Near Seasonal Average
U.S natural gas comparative rose 70 bcf to a deficit of 24 bcf week ending February 20 Henry Hub spot price decreased $0.19 from $3.27 to $3.08 Price is reverting to ~$3.07 May - October average after the polar vortex shock #energy #NaturalGas...
Gold Undervalued; Expect Massive Sector Rotation Ahead
New podcast with @davidlin_TV... My thesis: #gold and gold stocks are undervalued when compared to other asset classes, I thus expect a major rotation into our tiny sector as geopolitical risks, debt, supply-demand imbalances, etc., build. Meaty podcast: https://t.co/aEmxBYkF6K
Silver Poised to Hit $250 per Ounce
The #gold-#silver ratio table tells us the silver price is eventually headed to $250. Or more... https://t.co/nKwKjms6nr
Funds Defend Soybean Longs, Holding Above $11
Funds defending that long position in #soybeans like crazy. 11.55 in May looks like the area it needs to keep closing above for now.
US Chipmakers Turn to Sunrise Metals Amid Scandium Shortage
U.S. semiconductor manufacturers are feeling the pinch from Chinese restrictions on scandium exports, @Reuters reports, underscoring the importance of @SunriseMetals’ Syerston Scandium Project as an essential supplier to key U.S. industries. “U.S. chipmakers have experienced delays in receiving new scandium export licenses from...
Vox Royalty Secures Aussie Gold
Mngt at @vox_royalty buys a producing Australian #gold asset for <$200 an ounce, an obvious wide margin vs spot. See the Part That Pays from JV, how the company is stacking incremental cash-flowing exposure in pro-jurisdictions, & why stock is...
Germany's Nuclear Shutdown: A Strategic Emissions Setback
In 2023, #Germany concluded its #nuclear phase-out, permanently closing its final three #reactors. Those plants had collectively generated approximately 13% of Germany’s power. The shutdown eliminated a reliable, carbon-free power source that would have helped the country achieve its emissions...