Russian Oil Exports Up 6% Since Pre‑War
Is Russia exporting more oil now that it was before the Russo-Ukrainian war? Contrary to Western propaganda, the answer is YES. Russian crude export volumes are 6% above pre-invasion levels. SANCTIONS = NEVER WORK. https://t.co/pElmHdXmbQ
Oil Reverses Upward, Signals Heightened Iran Tensions
$USO Daily. Strong upside reversal in crude oil today, off 20-day m.a. for ETF. I'm still using oil as a gauge for how serious Iran situation is. https://t.co/w7SKdZNPuo
Data Centers Push Power Use, Threaten Residential Rate Backlash
U.S. data centres seek to avert power price battle with voters After stagnating for more than a decade, U.S. electricity consumption has surged to a record high, driven primarily by growing demand from data centres handling artificial intelligence and other applications. But...
US‑Iran Tensions Push Gold, Oil up; Stocks
Since the US session has opened : Gold : higher Oil : Higher Vix : Higher Indices : Lower Talks between Iranian & US officials are not going that well so far & markets are clearly reacting to that. I am short on SPX (small risk...
State Reclaims 35% Stake in Ramu Nickel
Wonder if they are planning on buying in or exercising rights....nickel tape is coming... --> Post Courier: "State to take back 35% equity from Ramu Nickel" https://t.co/dJzUin421K #nickel #mining
Gold Forecast Rises to $6K‑$7K, JPMorgan at $6.3K
On February 3rd, I revised my gold forecast from $6,000 to $6,000-7,000 per ounce. JP Morgan just revised its end-of-year gold price forecast to $6,300 per ounce. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/Hi3nzEv5w2
Final EPA RVO Rule Arrives March, Redefines B
1. Reasonably clear that the all-important final EPA rulemaking on 2026-27 RVOs will be released by the end of March and that it will be fundamentally different from the June 2025 proposed rulemaking. Todd Hubbs and I tackle the...
Gold Prices Set to Remain High for Two Years
The World Bank’s January 2026 Global Economic Prospects report on GOLD PRICES: "Strong investor demand, continued central bank purchases, and safe-haven inflows...are expected to sustain markedly high gold prices over the next two years..." BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/fGfk9ZNBcn
China's Duties Keep US Soybeans Off Its Market
US farmers and soybeans exporters not to get more China business? China duty still exists. Supply chains. Maritime.
Indonesia Likely to Miss US Farm Import Commitments
"Indonesia may struggle to deliver on new US farm import promises, traders say" 😲 https://t.co/EJEVp0S8sc
USDA Confirms 178k‑ton
USDA confirms the sale of 178,000 tons of U.S. corn for delivery to Japan. 154kt is for 2026/27 and 24kt is for 2027/28.
US Export Sales Slump, Wheat Outsells Expectations
🇺🇸U.S. export sales were pretty dismal across the board last week. 107kt new crop wheat was sold in the week, which was more than expected. https://t.co/Jk2c7Ibkg5
Crude Oil Slipped Into the Cave Overnight.
Crude DID end up trading partially into the cave last night....but of course, not when we were looking for this yesterday... https://t.co/BuN0hJWHds
Soybeans Overextended; Funds Defend Upper Keltner Band
And for what it's worth, I even think the #soybeans are over extended here. Funds defended right at the upper keltner band yesterday, but wouldn't take much of a break to get below it leading to a possible break....
US Oversupply Drives Down Energy Prices, Peaks Likely 2026
Peak Gas, Crude Risks Elevated in 2026; Energy Price Trend Down - Absent a supply shock from potential hostilities with Iran, crude oil may be more likely to peak in 1Q on the back of natural gas. Predominant downward price...
Brazil's Record Soy Output Caps 2026 Prices Near $11.70
Are Soybeans Getting Too Hot Near $11.70? Runaway Brazilian soybean production is a top pressure factor for prices, and $11.70 a bushel in 2026 may be too high. My graphic shows the US-traded oilseed bumping up against the 2025 peak, at...
US Crude Stocks Surge 16M Barrels, Gulf Coast Leads
U.S. CRUDE OILinventories surged by 16 million barrels over the seven days ending on February 20, the largest one-week increase for three years. The increase was concentrated at refineries and tank farms along the Gulf Coast where stocks rose by...
Zimbabwe's Lithium Ban Likely Short‑Lived, Minimal GDP Impact
The Zimbabwe export ban seems to be due to transfer pricing, ie producers understating grade/value of exports. Similar to what we saw from the Chinese company that operated Bald Hill in Australia a few years ago. On my calcs, average Zimbabwe...
China's Rare Earth Export Curbs Still Limit US Supply
Chinese rare earth export controls are still choking off lots of material to the US
Ecuador to Extend Mirador Mine Contract, Enable Norte Expansion
Ecuador plans a Mirador copper mine contract extension in 1H 2026 to unlock Mirador Norte expansion. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/mirador-copper-mine-contract-extension.html
WTI Surplus Grows, Prices Hover Near $65
WTI comparative inventory returned to a surplus It has increased 12 mmb to 5.3 mmb more than the 5-year average $65.30 WTI was $8 > marginal price on the red yield curve the week ending February 20 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit...
US Inventories Rise, Supporting Oil Glut Narrative
A good week for the oil glut story U.S. comparative inventory rose 12 mmb for the week ending February 20 Crude C.I. rose 13 mmb, gasoline was flat and rose distillate rose 0.1 mmb #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities...
Metals Rally yet to Spark Inflation, History Warns
A very compelling chart. The recent rally in metals and mining has not yet evolved into a material inflationary impulse, in my view. Markets still seem to be dismissing that possibility — even though history suggests otherwise. https://t.co/FhHZJUOI67
Sky‑high Prices Strain Americans, Exposing Trump's Affordability Flaw
Americans are exhausted by prices that remain far above pre-pandemic levels. From a year earlier: Coffee +18.3%. Ground beef +17.2%. Electricity +6.3%. AFFORDABILITY = TRUMP'S ACHILLES HEEL. https://t.co/b1uvKYJPHt
Lithium Corp Targets Lithium, Graphite, Fluorspar, Neodymium
Lithium Corp $LTUM Junior spec run by Tom Lewis: Lithium, Graphite, Fluorspar & Neodymium ... https://t.co/gv3RzOcArh
Depressed Oil‑Gold Ratio Signals Multi‑Year Energy Outperformance
Oil peaked in 2008 at $140 and has fallen sideways since to ~$65 today. In hard-money gold terms, 1 ounce buys 100 barrels of oil. Oil has been deflating for decades. The only time it was cheaper was 2020 when...
Europe's Anti‑Russia Stance Fails: Oil Still Bought
Are the RUSSOPHOBES in Europe still buying Russian oil? The answer is YES. SANCTIONS = NEVER WORK. https://t.co/EGIEz4CjE2
Gold Surge Signals Safety; Crypto Remains Risky
Gold and silver pumping tells us money is moving to safety. That’s simply the current appetite of investors. Crypto still trades like is a risk asset. Long-term I’m bullish. Short-term, you need to start respecting where we’re at in the cycle.
China's Gold Reserves Jump 260% Since 2022
Since October 2022, China’s gold reserves have SURGED by 260%. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/ot9Q5fMQ8n
Strategic Reserve Could Stabilize Mineral Markets, Unlock Capital
Last night’s State of the Union address tied AI dominance to power plants, permits, and domestic mining. Earlier in the day, the House Energy & Minerals Subcommittee debated how to actually fix the mineral markets behind that ambition via the SECURE...
Bears May Get Brief Relief, Not Full Trend Reversal
@GrainsGorilla your bearish tenacity may be about ready to payoff, at least for a little while. May be time time to shake the trees for a little bit and give some relief to the bears it seems. ...
Crude Oil Bullish Order Block, Yet No Range Expansion
CL had OD/ID BO pattern, but no range expansion (yet)...significant zone comes in well below. https://t.co/vLjGgmEMpf
U.S. Frack Fleets Eye Argentina as New Growth Frontier
U.S. shale isn’t dead but frack fleets are heading overseas “The opportunity in Argentina is one of the most promising," says Patterson-UTI Energy CEO. https://t.co/BGmL1ZLCnL #Shale #Oil #Fracking #EnergyMarkets #SupplyConstraints
OPEC+ Poised for Cautious Supply Hikes Amid Y2K‑style Glut
OPEC+ likely to restart supply hikes The oil glut is looking more like Y2K Still, OPEC+ increases will probably be cautious. https://t.co/XT9I0sGhYp #Oil #OPECPlus #EnergyMarkets #Geopolitics #Shale
U.S. Ethanol Output Surpasses 1.11M BPD, Up
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production continued at a strong rate last week, topping 1.11M barrels per day for a third straight week. For the last three weeks, output has been about 3% above the year-ago levels. https://t.co/VcHmt2Mthb
RBOB Gas Futures Dip 1%, Pump Prices Near $3
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
LNG Export Permits Strengthen U.S. Industry and European Security
I can't remember--who was the president 10 years ago? That Administration's decision to grant permits for LNG exports was a boon for the domestic O&G industry while also helping U.S. and European security by reducing dependence on Russian energy exports.
MACD Lags yet Highlights Gold‑silver C
Sprott Physical Gold & Silver $CEF as you know from my past posts, these standard 12/26/9 #MACD signals are a little slow for my own taste, but nonetheless... i do like to acknowledge turns from high and/or low points for context......
Congo’s Sovereignty, Not Ownership, Controls Cobalt Supply
China’s cobalt strategy assumed that owning mines guaranteed supply. Congo’s export controls show that sovereignty trumps ownership. China controls processing; Congo controls the tap. https://t.co/sBpdLF03jS #Cobalt #CriticalMinerals #China #SupplyChains #Geopolitics @ctindale
AI Growth Hits Power Grid, Not Capital, Bottleneck
The AI buildout is running into hard physical limits. Capital isn’t the constraint; power is Grids are full, turbines are sold out, and timelines don’t bend for hyperscalers. https://t.co/GNXtK2Hb8p #AI #Energy #PowerGrid #DataCenters #Infrastructure #Geopolitics
Gold's Historic Premium Signals Potential 2025 Bust
The 2026 Gold Rush Risks a 2025 Bitcoin-Like Bust - At almost 3x, gold has never sustained a greater stretch vs. its 120-month moving average with inflation so low. The graphic highlights a historic oxymoron for the traditional haven: its...
ILi Markets: Rare, Timely Lithium Market Insight Source
Thanks @D_Jimenez_Sch - there are limited sources of useful, timely information on the #lithium market. Daniel (& his team at iLi Markets) is one of them. Great podcast guest too.
US Electricity Hits Record, Solar Leads Non‑fossil Surge
U.S. ELECTRICITY net generation at utility-scale facilities climbed to a record 4,430 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh or TWh) in 2025 up from 4,309 billion kWh in 2024. Nearly four-fifths of the increase came from non-fossil generators (+94 billion kWh) led by...
Ernst Vows to Cover Iowa’s $2.55 Price Gap
$2.55 Iowa average https://t.co/qKoxDrbRtX, but Senator Ernst promises to make up the difference compared to what you'll pay
Renewable‑heavy States Enjoy the Cheapest Electricity Rates
Wow: @EIAgov data show the US states that produced >100% of their grid+behind-the-meter electricity demand with WindWaterSolar in 2025 had among the lowest electricity prices 2 states supplied over 100% and 14 states supplied 50-124% of demand with WWS https://t.co/KP3uii4BqI https://t.co/Ctxu1cCI4I
High Lithium Prices Won’t Rescue Poor Assets
Higher #lithium prices don’t have the power to make low quality lithium assets good investments. Be careful out there. https://t.co/BDwn05D4Fc
Copper Profits Depend on Long‑term Price Strength
Copper is driving miners' profits But exposure is hard to scale unless prices stay high for years Profits are hard to maintain unless supply growth fails Mega-mergers failed because sellers wanted to be paid for the future scarcity now Usual good insights from @ClydeCommods...
US Shale and SPR only Temporary Buffers for Iran Shock
U.S. shale + SPR barrels & China’s vast stockpiles will offset Iran oil disruptions, writes @ronbousso1 But shale doesn't surge on command & stockpiles are a short-lived buffer The most likely shock absorbers are a limited Iran conflict & China stepping...
Uranium Enrichment Capacity, Not Reactors, Limits Supply
Uranium enrichment is running straight into a hard physical bottleneck Enrichment capacity, not reactors, is the constraint The US is still deeply dependent on Russian enrichment https://t.co/UzZh17Lcy5 #NuclearEnergy #Uranium #EnergySecurity #SupplyChains #EnergyTransition #Geopolitics
Oil Growth Hinges on Brent Holding $70 Level
Oil industry won’t grow unless Brent gets up to ~$70 & stays there Below that, drilling dries up and investment stalls. https://t.co/GEUV5bEdMd #OilPrices #EnergyMarkets #Brent #Permian #Production #Capex #Commodities #OilIndustry #MarketSignals