Vaca Muerta's Promise Stalls Behind Fiscal and Infrastructure Hurdles
Argentina’s Vaca Muerta looks great on paper, but it’s not the next Permian. Argentina’s fiscal mess, weak infrastructure, & massive capex needs are real barriers. Continental’s hype says as much about a fading Bakken play as it does about Vaca Muerta. https://t.co/SGzycaNHEd #Oil #Energy #VacaMuerta #Argentina #Shale #Permian #Capex #Geopolitics #Commodities
Gold Mirrors Pre‑ATH Pullback, Poised for New Highs
$GOLD It looks the exact same as the last pullback before it pumped to new all time highs. https://t.co/bIrm4xXjAp
Tariffs Boost Steel Jobs, Undermine U.S. Manufacturing
"Trump’s Tariffs Are Adding Steel Mill Jobs, and Crushing American Factories" https://t.co/EdQKmnKPzv You guys will never believe this, but heavily taxing a vital manufacturing input isn't good for manufacturing. https://t.co/6IRvgAXzPH
Base Metals Bullish Signal Emerges Across Major Stocks
NEW POST: I Saw the Sign for Base Metals https://t.co/Ts6jMvV3dF $AA $COPX $BHP $XME $FCX
EU Anticipates US Softening of Metals Tariffs Soon
EU sees the US easing impact of metals tariffs in the coming weeks https://t.co/qG2gkI6D64 via @AlbertoNardelli @europressos https://t.co/QmBgb5eFOv
Optimism Returns as Lithium Prices and ESS Boom Questioned
Sunny & cold in Florida. How high will #lithium price go this cycle was the # 1 question. How real is the ESS boom was #2. Nice to see some optimism after a couple of lean years. https://t.co/KLtvzNOlxk
U.S. Tops Global Oil, Gas Production Under Biden
What's interesting about this is that the U.S. led the world in oil and natural gas production during the Biden Administration, too.
Parana's Second Corn Planting Lags Year‑ago, Barely Above Five‑year Average
🇧🇷Second corn was 45% planted in Parana, Brazil as of Monday, well behind the year-ago pace of 64%. It reads above the five-year average for the date, but the five-year includes the dreadfully slow 2021 & 2023 campaigns. https://t.co/Bv10A7ILhk
Iran's Oil Loadings Hit 2018 Highs, Margins Thin
Iran is pumping and loading at near-2018 highs ahead of nuclear talks Loadings are surging, buyers are softer, and oil-on-water is piling up More leverage, more risk, thinner margins. https://t.co/AZPC1zaGls #Oil #Iran #Hormuz #Sanctions #Geopolitics #EnergyMarkets
Gold Poised for Higher Leg; Buy Near 5080‑5100
Gold ( XAUUSD ) : Macro picture remains the same as told earlier. Current move is simply a small profit taking move before next leg higher , which is common after such quick bullish moves. I remain bullish. 5080s - 5100s looks...
Japan's New Rare Earth Find Won't Shift Global Supply
Japan has identified a large rare earth deposit of its own, but it's not going to change global supply dynamics. Here's the situation... #rareearths #japan #geopolitics https://t.co/2WX7oeO6Jm
Copper Must Stay Above $6 to Avoid Deflationary Dominoes
Atlas' Burden Shifting to $6 Copper? Bitcoin's Gravity Pull - Copper may need to remain above $6 a pound or else. If the economically and stock-market-sensitive industrial metal follows falling Bitcoin, iron ore, crude oil and Chinese government-bond yields, it...
Copper Above $6 Offers Poor Risk‑Reward for New Longs
A Lot Riding on Copper Remaining Over $6 - Copper, the S&P 500 and US Treasury 30-year yield on the same scale may emphasize the implications of some normal reversion. That the metal hasn't had a year since 2021 without...
Copper Overheated: Price Spike Signals Potential Deflation
Is Copper a Prudent Short? Next to its industrial commodity and inflation companions -- iron ore, Brent crude oil and Chinese Government 10-year Bond yields (CGBs) -- copper might be too hot. From a base of 100, starting with our iron...
Tanker Rates Hit Three-Year High Amid US‑Iran Tensions
TANKER RATES for chartering vessels to carry crude (or other dirty products such as fuel oil) have surged to the highest for more than three years as the United States and Iran edge towards war. The Baltic Exchange dirty tanker...
U.S. Plant Retirements Clash With Surging Power Demand
The U.S. plans to retire ~11 GW of power plants in 2026, mostly coal & aging gas Don’t count on it. Power demand is surging faster than new generation can be brought into the grid. Renewables aren't fit for purpose except at the...
Bloomberg's Oil Glut Narrative Shows They're Six Months Late
Bloomberg is still arguing “oil glut” & saying the correlation between geopolitics in the Middle East & oil prices is "broken" How can @bbgoriginals be 6 months behind the curve & still be in the news business? #Oil #EnergyMarkets #Geopolitics #Commodities...
Shadow Oil Fleet Stressed, Sanctions Spur Higher Prices
The shadow oil fleet isn’t gone — it’s under stress Seizures raise costs & strand barrels, but doing more against Russian & Iranian flows means higher oil prices & inflation https://t.co/P5EDN7PrRY #Oil #Sanctions #EnergySecurity #Russia #Iran #Geopolitics
Section 122 Tariffs Reduced to 10% From 15%
Section 122 tariffs now being collected at 10%, not Trump's weekend 15%. Clearly, a well-oiled tariff machine here. 🤷🤷 https://t.co/5MjbcrZuXD https://t.co/jb72H2AZQ8
Fortescue Bets on Green Iron Amid
Fortescue’s green iron bet in a €300 per tonne iron world #energysky -- via Renew Economy: https://t.co/o9SQlmpEPc https://t.co/oEuy12U2pf
USCF Launches Iron Ore Index Fund for Futures
New: @USCFInvestments files for a an Iron Ore Index Fund. Will invest in Iron order futures contracts. https://t.co/RHtnD2joQb
SigmaLithium Forecasts 240k‑tonne Annual Output, 520k
.@SigmaLithium providing formal guidance just a few weeks after restarting mining under owner/operator model: ◦12 months annualized forward production: 240,000 tonnes ◦24 months annualized forward production: 520,000 tonnes $SGML 👇
Gold Overvalued? Questioning Its Safe‑Haven Status
Is the store-of-value, gold, too stretched to be considered a safe haven? https://t.co/nC6Jxgznlb #gold #bonds @markets https://t.co/VvCZYA742S
Chinese Investors Surge Gold ETF Holdings by 52%
The Chinese are buying gold ETFs like HOT CAKES. According to the World Gold Council, China’s gold ETF holdings rose from 188.8 tonnes at the end of August 2025 to 286.3 tonnes by the end of January, a 52% increase. BUY GOLD,...
Rupee's Fall Fuels 349% Surge in Gold Imports
The WEAKENING Indian rupee is triggering a GOLD RUSH. The rupee is DOWN 5.6% against the USD since the start of last year. In response, India’s gold imports has surged 349% during the past year. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/iGjJpyGh1p
China Swapped US Treasuries for Commodities via BRI
How China largely sold out of their net UST exposure yrs ago AND cornered critical minerals without ever impacting UST or commodity markets: Lend USDs along Belt & Road (BRI), repayable in either USD, CNY, or physical commodities This amounted to swapping...
Gold and Silver Lead YTD Asset Gains
here's a weekly glance at our "all asset" list and the short, intermediate and long-term trend condition all sorted by YTD % change... #AssetWatch gold & silver leading the charge... https://t.co/3O0CHkZQj7
USDA Confirms 125,000‑Ton U.S. Corn Sale to Colombia
USDA confirms the sale of 125,000 metric tons of U.S. corn for delivery to Colombia in 2025/26.
Livestock Insurance Subsidy Harvest Costs More Than Direct Payments
New @nberpubs: "A Theory of Subsidy Harvesting in Livestock Price Insurance" https://t.co/a2BTA7aoME "The subsidy harvest is a pure rent and costlier than a direct payment because it requires administrative oversight and federally-subsidized delivery" https://t.co/gmAA7SjVyG
Local Content Rules Halve EV Subsidy Effectiveness
New @nberpubs: "Industrial Policies for Multi-Stage Production: The Battle for Battery-Powered Vehicles" https://t.co/DX6XB7e1R0 "local content requirements... drive up costs and reduce subsidy uptake, undoing more than half of the EV adoption stimulus coming from pure buyer subsidies" 😲
Analysts Overstate Global Copper Supply by Ignoring Strategic Reserves
I am seeing many market analysts include the accumulated copper stockpiles in the US in their global balance of copper stockpiles and therefore conclude that there are >1 million tonnes of available copper in global stockpiles today. I am not...
Short Bitcoin, Copper, Silver Near 2026 Peaks
Sell the 2026 Open, Buy the Close? Bitcoin, Copper, Silver Tilts - Potentially prudent shorts around $90,000 for Bitcoin, $6 per pound for copper and $100 an ounce for silver could gain traction -- and companions -- when stock...
U.S. Gas Exports Surpass Domestic Use in 2025
UNITED STATES exported an average of 14.8 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) by tanker and other 9.4 bcf/d by pipeline during the first eleven months of 2025. Total exports exceeded the combined consumption by households (12.0 bcf/d) and offices,...
China’s 2026 Policy Loosening Boosts Steel, Non‑Ferrous Demand
China signals looser policy and faster green transition for 2026, supporting steel and non-ferrous demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/china-2026-economic-policy-direction.html
Syria's Oil Output Slashed To
Syria's oil production is a zero-rounding error @NoamRaydan Current levels are roughly 100–120 kb/d. Max production before the Civil War was 400 kb/d. As you note, its heavy, sour crude must be exported to Greece or Italy b/c it has no complex...
Europe’s Gas Crunch Stems From Storage Shortage, Not LNG Scarcity
Europe’s gas problem isn’t a lack of LNG — it’s a lack of buffer, writes @seb_kennedy With storage below 32%, even hypothetical risks like Hormuz move prices fast. #TTF #LNG #EnergySecurity #GasMarkets #Geopolitics
Core PPI Spikes, Fed Sees Hotter Inflation, Oil Rallies
January PPI lands Friday. Core PPI already printed +0.7% MoM vs 0.2% expected — biggest monthly jump since July 2025. NY Fed puts underlying PCE trend at 2.83% by December, up from 2.55% in September. WTI crude +15.6% YTD. Rapidan...
Oil Glut Myth Debunked: Sanctions Tighten Real Supply
The oil glut narrative is dying or dead A market rallying 18% YTD isn’t drowning in supply. Yes, barrels exist on paper But sanctions, disruptions, inventories & geopolitics mean they’re not available where prices are set. These views are from the @BloombergNRG article. I agree...
REalloys Secures 5‑Year Rare‑Earth Deal, Boosts Saskatoon Expansion
REalloys signs 5-year SRC deal for NdPr, Dy, Tb and funds Saskatoon capacity expansion. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/realloys-rare-earth-supply-deal-with.html
Japan's Deep-Sea Rare Earths: Promise Meets Extraction Hurdle
Japan’s deep-sea rare earth find at Minamitorishima sounds like a game-changer. And on paper, it is. The 50-50 mix of light and heavy rare earths is impressive, especially since heavy elements are the truly scarce ones. The bad news is it’s...
Brent Spreads Widen Sharply as Front‑month Jumps
Where's the Glut? Brent 12-month spread widened $1.79 (52%) 6-month spread widened $0.68 (30%) for the week ending February 20 Front-month price increased $4.01 from $67.75 to $71.76 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/GkGOzWLZRj
Jan Gas Futures Near $5, Could Slip Below $4.40
January Natural Gas vs. Lower Energy, Rates Goals - The January natural gas future (Jan27) is typically the tip of the price curve and will be tops in relevance around the US midterms, with a potential downward bias. Preexisting trends...
Closing Fossil Plants Drives Winter Grid Strain, Price Spikes
Had we not shut down so many coal plants and suppressed so many pipelines and prevented so many gas plants, this winter's electricity demand could have been easily and cheaply met. Instead, it strained grids, spiked power prices, and spiked heating...
BTC Poised for 65‑70K Range, Bullish on 72K Break
BULL CASE: ETF inflows sustain, 72K breaks, CLARITY Act passes, whales' 236K BTC accumulation since December proves prescient. BEAR CASE: Tariff uncertainty persists, institutions keep distributing into retail buying, 65,600 USD breaks and opens a path to 60K. MY CALL: Range-bound between...
Gold and Silver Surge Amid Iran Tensions, CNY Break Ends
Gold back over $5100 USD and Silver over $84 USD. We have a potential Iran conflict, and the end of the CNY break next week. https://t.co/Eac6sG80np
Gold Reclaims $5,100 Amid Geopolitical and Rate‑Cut Pressures
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) : 5100 Has Been Reclaimed. Exactly as shared ahead of time. Technical break of market structure , Rising Geopolitical concerns , Tariffs uncertainty , Stagflation concerns , Rate cuts pricing = Higher Gold.
Sanctions Cripple Cuba's Grid, Wealth Fuels Private Power
Sanctions + fuel shortages broke the Cuban grid Those with dollars self-electrify while the rest sit in the dark. Energy desperation risks deepening inequality while the broader economy deteriorates. https://t.co/xOjVSt4Eep #EnergyCrisis #Cuba #Sanctions #Solar #GridFailure
Oil Volatility Beats Fundamentals Amid Trump Risk
Markets are trading a binary Trump headline risk, says @Ole_S_Hansen Oil isn’t moving on fundamentals alone—traders are loading up on upside calls while inventories draw hard. When positioning shifts this fast, volatility is the signal, not the noise. https://t.co/Lan48DvOA7 #OilMarkets #Brent #WTI...
Mineral Resources Posts Interim Profit on Onslow Boost, Lithium Rebound
Mineral Resources swings to interim profit on stronger Onslow output, lithium rebound https://t.co/DOTSeLY4pB via @KitcoNewsNOW
US Sells Venezuelan Oil to India, Surprising Twist
Today, the US announced a plan to sell Venezuelan oil to India. Note who’s selling Venezuela’s oil to India. It’s Uncle Sam. AMAZING. https://t.co/SLitquccox