Defense Social Media and Updates

US Escorts Turn Hormuz Into Managed War Zone
SocialMay 3, 2026

US Escorts Turn Hormuz Into Managed War Zone

US Hormuz Escort Plan Most likely: Escorts begin Iran tests but avoids decisive escalation The US responds selectively No immediate resolution Flows remain impaired, not restored The Strait doesn’t reopen cleanly—it becomes a managed war zone #Oil #Hormuz #Energy #Geopolitics

By Art Berman Blog
Trump’s Non‑announcement Leaves Markets Unmoved, White House Stuck
SocialMay 3, 2026

Trump’s Non‑announcement Leaves Markets Unmoved, White House Stuck

Apparently, Trump did NOT announce the Navy will start escorting ships through the Strait tomorrow (even though that is what he posted two hours ago). This might explain why markets are hardly moving on this news ... he effectively announced nothing...

By Jim Bianco
Iran Warns U.S. Interference in Hormuz Breaches Ceasefire
SocialMay 3, 2026

Iran Warns U.S. Interference in Hormuz Breaches Ceasefire

Iran sees it differently: "Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire. The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump's delusional...

By Samantha LaDuc
Trump Pledges US to Guide Neutral Ships Out of Gulf
SocialMay 3, 2026

Trump Pledges US to Guide Neutral Ships Out of Gulf

President Trump said the US will begin guiding neutral ships trapped in the Persian Gulf starting Monday. “This is a Humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern Countries but, in particular, the Country of Iran.” https://t.co/zfLjXmuuZ6

By Javier Blas
Salt Typhoon Hack Hits IBM Italy, Warns Europe
SocialMay 3, 2026

Salt Typhoon Hack Hits IBM Italy, Warns Europe

Salt Typhoon breach IBM subsidiary in Italy: a warning for Europe’s digital defenses https://t.co/beEgVw6fzU #APT https://t.co/JYfzkDZzUz

By Eric Vanderburg
Trump Announces US Aid for Ships Exiting Hormuz Monday
SocialMay 3, 2026

Trump Announces US Aid for Ships Exiting Hormuz Monday

*TRUMP SAYS US TO HELP SOME SHIPS LEAVE HORMUZ STARTING MONDAY Here comes your weekly dose of Monday hope-ium

By Andreas Steno Larsen
MDTF: Enabler, Not Strike Unit, Focuses on Non‑Kinetic Support
SocialMay 3, 2026

MDTF: Enabler, Not Strike Unit, Focuses on Non‑Kinetic Support

Spent some time researching the Multi-Domain Task Force concept for a book project, and want to emphasize one thing: The MDTF’s doctrinal target set in the European Theater is the Russian reconnaissance-strike complex / reconnaissance-fire complex, and the operational-strategic forces...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
Selling Older GPUs to China Boosts US Security
SocialMay 3, 2026

Selling Older GPUs to China Boosts US Security

The argument for selling deprecated GPUs to China: Selling them less advanced GPUs than we have in America decreases the odds that they develop more advanced GPUs than America that go down a different, more power intensive tech tree. Pro national-security.

By Gavin Baker
U
SocialMay 3, 2026

U

Ukrainian drone still flying after being hit by Russian ground fire. Reminds you of anything?

By Oleg Ciubotaru
X‑BAT Drone’s AI Pilot Could Redefine Air Combat
SocialMay 3, 2026

X‑BAT Drone’s AI Pilot Could Redefine Air Combat

Could The X-BAT Stealth Fighter Drone Change The Air Combat Game? We talk with Armor Harris, the chief designer of X-BAT, about its GE engine, thrust-vectoring controls, Hivemind AI 'pilot' and forthcoming flight-test plans. Check out the interview: https://t.co/IOsFmsa6QI

By Tyler Rogoway
Military Should Restrict Sensor Footage to Protect National Security
SocialMay 3, 2026

Military Should Restrict Sensor Footage to Protect National Security

Strongly disagree. Sensor data revealed to the public means adversaries get it. The military is in the best position to decide if the videos held anything of note or if their release would give adversaries too much. Besides, they are...

By Bob Gourley
Time and Weather: Nature’s Battlefield Shaping Military Strategy
SocialMay 3, 2026

Time and Weather: Nature’s Battlefield Shaping Military Strategy

1/ the CALENDAR is a COMBATANT thru history, seasons, weather, fog, cold, rain, heat, have provided the cover OR the obstacle to maneuver militaries from George Washington escaping the British when retreating from Brooklyn to...

By Josh Wolfe
Shot at Iranian‑flagged MV Touska: Clearly Hostile Act
SocialMay 3, 2026

Shot at Iranian‑flagged MV Touska: Clearly Hostile Act

We shot at MV Touska on April 19, an Iranian-flagged containership. That seems like a hostile act.

By Sal Mercogliano
Japan's Growing Frustration Over 101 U.S. Bases
SocialMay 3, 2026

Japan's Growing Frustration Over 101 U.S. Bases

Many Japanese are also fed up with the fact that the US has 101 military bases in Japan. That's second only to Germany, which is home for 118 US military bases. https://t.co/2vZKRWfr7Y

By Steve Hanke
AWS Platform-Wide Hack Triggers 17-Hour Service Outage
SocialMay 3, 2026

AWS Platform-Wide Hack Triggers 17-Hour Service Outage

as insane as it sounds, it appears #AWS had a platform wide hack and nobody is talking about it.. we've had 17+ hours of "Restricted Services" from ALL of @AWScloud in America & Australia. the reason given, was "Account Compromise", which...

By Dez Blanchfield
Armenia's Shift Marks Major Blow to Putin's Influence
SocialMay 3, 2026

Armenia's Shift Marks Major Blow to Putin's Influence

Mother of god. This is already nothing short of a colossal and humiliating slap in Putin’s face. Russia has ultimately lost Armenia as part of its sphere of influence, and this is far from the end.

By Illia Ponomarenko
US Space Force Flags Six Russian Satellites, Two as Debris
SocialMay 3, 2026

US Space Force Flags Six Russian Satellites, Two as Debris

The US Space Force identifies six satellites after a secretive Russian launch on April 17. Two objects are determined to be debris, possibly resulting from an anomaly. DETAILS, CONTEXT: https://t.co/WhEALPrNIZ

By Anatoly Zak
Aerospace Revenue Grows as Engines, Defence Offset Civil Slump
SocialMay 3, 2026

Aerospace Revenue Grows as Engines, Defence Offset Civil Slump

Melrose aerospace revenue rose in 2025 as engines, defence and aftermarket demand offset civil weakness. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/05/melrose-aerospace-revenue-rises-on.html

By The Metalnomist
Critical Linux Kernel LPE and Long‑Running cPanel 0‑day
SocialMay 3, 2026

Critical Linux Kernel LPE and Long‑Running cPanel 0‑day

#Weekinreview: High-severity LPE vulnerability in the Linux kernel, cPanel 0-day exploited for months https://t.co/ONQLU7P3N9 https://t.co/SU6nJcj4Uw

By Eric Vanderburg
Navy, Air Force Cover MDTF Gap, Sensor Fusion Lags
SocialMay 3, 2026

Navy, Air Force Cover MDTF Gap, Sensor Fusion Lags

Quick note on the supposed capability gap from the Trump administration halting the planned MDTF long-range fires battalion deployment to Germany: the US Navy and Air Force can partially substitute: carrier strike groups with Tomahawk-armed destroyers and subs, B-52s and...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
U.S. Faces Tough Road Challenging China’s Drone Dominance
SocialMay 3, 2026

U.S. Faces Tough Road Challenging China’s Drone Dominance

The U.S. Wants to Break China’s Drone Dominance. Here’s Where It Will Struggle.—A part-by-part breakdown of a typical first-person-view drone shows the strength of China’s stranglehold @joshchin https://t.co/YvlkeFWcuv https://t.co/YvlkeFWcuv

By Jonathan Cheng
Iran's Peace Offer Fails: Unrealistic Demands, No Chance
SocialMay 3, 2026

Iran's Peace Offer Fails: Unrealistic Demands, No Chance

Iran’s peace proposal is a non-starter—and they know it. End the war, lift sanctions, pay reparations, exit the region… then maybe we talk Hormuz On our terms https://t.co/NH7oTHzpkf

By Art Berman Blog
U.S. Overlooks Underground Protection Amid Counter‑UAS Spending
SocialMay 3, 2026

U.S. Overlooks Underground Protection Amid Counter‑UAS Spending

Fully agree with Steve Blank @sgblank here. The U.S. military has a long history but a modern sparse investment (time, resources, units, school, agency) in the underground in general. I've been a part of the conversation for over a decade...

By John Spencer
Trump’s Iran Strategy: Nonexistent, According to Chase
SocialMay 3, 2026

Trump’s Iran Strategy: Nonexistent, According to Chase

My buddy Chase at @pineconemacro killed me with his summary of Trump’s Iran plan🤣. Or lack of plan. We certainly share a similar view on this one. If you aren’t subscribed to his stuff, you’re missing out… https://t.co/6OJ1zP2IaA

By Harris Kupperman (Kuppy)
Drone‑Vulnerable Russian Troops Stall in Chasiv Yar
SocialMay 3, 2026

Drone‑Vulnerable Russian Troops Stall in Chasiv Yar

Great article. A year later and the Russians have still failed to capture Chasiv Yar. "In Chasiv Yar, the troop concentrations [Russsian] required to clear and hold a street are highly vulnerable to drone strikes." #urbanwarfare https://t.co/qr3PxGrMWM

By John Spencer
Iranian Drones Force Months‑long Amazon Data Center Repairs
SocialMay 3, 2026

Iranian Drones Force Months‑long Amazon Data Center Repairs

Amazon stuck with months of repairs after Iranian drone strikes on data centers targeted three Amazon data centers in the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain https://t.co/V4gYvKP7CM https://t.co/3mvb0Oy5Vd

By Glen Gilmore
Iran's Rope‑a‑dope: Chokepoint Control Drains Opponents
SocialMay 2, 2026

Iran's Rope‑a‑dope: Chokepoint Control Drains Opponents

I spoke w/ @davidlin_TV on why Iran will be hard to beat: "Iran is using Muhammad Ali's rope-a-dope strategy. They've taken a pounding and when the giant is exhausted, they'll land the knockout blow. Iran can do that with its control...

By Steve Hanke
Britons Demand Private Militias for Home Protection
SocialMay 2, 2026

Britons Demand Private Militias for Home Protection

Private militia needed to protect British citizens. In their homes. I never thought I’d see the day. https://t.co/oIt4UYQiqb

By Roger Mitchell
Decapitating Iran's Leadership Won’t Topple Government Overnight
SocialMay 2, 2026

Decapitating Iran's Leadership Won’t Topple Government Overnight

Ex-CIA agent John Kiriakou on Netanyahu's CON that if Iran’s leadership was decapitated, the Iranian gov't would collapse in a day: "We can't just fire a bunch of rockets and take down a government in a country of 93 million people,...

By Steve Hanke
US Arsenal Low Pre‑Iran Attack; Trump Dismissed Warning
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Arsenal Low Pre‑Iran Attack; Trump Dismissed Warning

The US arsenal was at dangerously low levels before the attacks on Iran @jackmon23472449 That was General Caine's main objection. Trump ignored it because he thought Iran would be Venezuela 2.0. Quick in, quick out. https://t.co/TOatB8JXXh

By Art Berman Blog
US Leads High‑tech Weapons Thanks to Massive R&D
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Leads High‑tech Weapons Thanks to Massive R&D

If you ask why the US dominates so many areas of high-tech weaponry in the West, the scale of defense R&D gives you an answer. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/svG6LEtgbH

By Adam Tooze
US Munitions Reliant on China’s Critical Materials
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Munitions Reliant on China’s Critical Materials

I spoke w/ @davidlin_TV about China’s control over replacing US munitions: "The US weapons cupboard is bare. Restocking these weapons requires many critical materials, & 95% of those materials come from China. To replenish US munitions, the US needs permission from...

By Steve Hanke
Pentagon Power Shift: Hegseth Tightens Control, Feels Secure
SocialMay 2, 2026

Pentagon Power Shift: Hegseth Tightens Control, Feels Secure

NEW: A @washingtonpost deep dive on the latest state of play in the Pentagon, where Pete Hegseth is tightening control and more confident in his job security than ever.

By Dan Lamothe
Low US Munitions Make Escalation Unlikely, Ceasefire Persists
SocialMay 2, 2026

Low US Munitions Make Escalation Unlikely, Ceasefire Persists

Escalation seems unlikely because of low US munitions levels, @zoomer_tate That was probably behind the ceasefire too “Unlikely” is a long way from “impossible” Unless Trump can see a quick win from escalation, I doubt he will face the many other headwinds Just...

By Art Berman Blog
Narratives Clash over Effectiveness of US Iran Blockade
SocialMay 2, 2026

Narratives Clash over Effectiveness of US Iran Blockade

Narrative shift on the blockade 1. The US blockade won't work 2. It works, but Iran can outsmart it 3. It works, but it's slow and incremental 4. Wow, it's hitting Iran quite badly already 5. The US blockade was a good idea 6. Should've done...

By Robin Brooks
May 2026 AEROSPACE: Tankers, Weapon Rush, Typhoon, Ukraine
SocialMay 2, 2026

May 2026 AEROSPACE: Tankers, Weapon Rush, Typhoon, Ukraine

Re-up! In the latest edition of AEROSPACE - May 2026 - tankers in the danger zone, accelerating weapons development, Eurofighter Typhoon & future Ukrainian air force #avgeek https://t.co/PICLXlhRG5 https://t.co/0WZJzj7unA

By Tim Robinson
Iran's Resilience May Outlast US Amid Looming Inevitability
SocialMay 2, 2026

Iran's Resilience May Outlast US Amid Looming Inevitability

Iran knows how to absorb & manage economic pain. It's bet is that continuing the layered crises hurt the US more than Iran The gray swan in both warring parties' future is Simon Montefiore's "Momentous Inevitability" When what initially seems unlikely suddenly becomes...

By Art Berman Blog
Europe Must Step Up Security, Still Rely on US
SocialMay 2, 2026

Europe Must Step Up Security, Still Rely on US

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius says Europe must assume greater responsibility for security in the region, while emphasizing the continued importance of shared military interests with the US https://t.co/G5rcA9Rcko via @cullenang https://t.co/nsmXBOhsVa

By Zöe Schneeweiss
China’s Mineral Grip Tests Integrated vs Shotgun Strategies
SocialMay 2, 2026

China’s Mineral Grip Tests Integrated vs Shotgun Strategies

Strategic mineral. China controls. Iran war. Weapons fired. Is there an integrated approach to dealing with China. Or is it a shotgun?

By Tom Craig
Persistent Argument Can Turn Ideas Into Policy
SocialMay 2, 2026

Persistent Argument Can Turn Ideas Into Policy

Here’s @RyanHoliday arguing against X, telling people to retreat into a shell & “argue less.” He briefly mentions arguing “to prove yourself right,” which I agree is a bad reason to log online. But the rest says the opposite. And he says...

By John Konrad
US Bans Foreign‑made Routers over Security Concerns
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Bans Foreign‑made Routers over Security Concerns

What You Need to Know About the Foreign-Made Router Ban in the US https://t.co/6hCZLPWOgi https://t.co/a16QQa1vNK

By Eric Vanderburg
US Blockade Stalls Iran, Keeps Oil Prices Stable
SocialMay 2, 2026

US Blockade Stalls Iran, Keeps Oil Prices Stable

Iran's most potent weapon is to cause an uncontrolled rise in oil prices and panic in global financial markets. It hasn't been able to do that, even though the US blockade of Iranian oil is now 3 weeks old. That's...

By Robin Brooks
IDF Razes Monastery; Hebrew University Remains Silent
SocialMay 2, 2026

IDF Razes Monastery; Hebrew University Remains Silent

But when the IDF demolishes an entire monastery, the Hebrew University has nothing to say.

By Frances Coppola
Russia's Occupied Territory Shrinks 11.9% in April
SocialMay 2, 2026

Russia's Occupied Territory Shrinks 11.9% in April

.@Deepstate_UA assesses that Russia occupied 141 square kilometers in April, 11.9% less than in March. https://t.co/rHszuwGFvM https://t.co/R8qi7pmY93

By Rob Lee
US-Israeli Conflict Could Cost Pakistan Up to $68 Billion
SocialMay 2, 2026

US-Israeli Conflict Could Cost Pakistan Up to $68 Billion

#PAKWatch🇵🇰: According to Ali Salman, head of the Policy Research Institute of Market Economy (PRIME), the US-Israeli war in Iran is set to COST Pakistan $10 BILLION to $68 BILLION. PAKISTAN SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/WqbiHpkSQo

By Steve Hanke
Control Claim Invalid Without Freedom of Navigation
SocialMay 2, 2026

Control Claim Invalid Without Freedom of Navigation

Honest question… How can one claim “complete control” of the Strait when there’s no freedom of navigation? https://t.co/cpQoaPVURy

By Tavi Costa
Yttrium Shortage Threatens Aircraft; US Seeks New Sources
SocialMay 2, 2026

Yttrium Shortage Threatens Aircraft; US Seeks New Sources

Yttrium is obscure and only traded in the thousands of tons each year. But aircraft will fall out of the sky without it. China controls production and has exported very little to the US over the past year. That might...

By Lewis Jackson
Germany's War Supply Lines Still Far From Ready
SocialMay 2, 2026

Germany's War Supply Lines Still Far From Ready

Germany is preparing supply lines for a war — it’s far from ready https://t.co/j3MU9sxkpO https://t.co/lXwut0R5V7

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Pentagon to Pull 5,000 Troops From Germany
SocialMay 2, 2026

Pentagon to Pull 5,000 Troops From Germany

Given time window I assume rotational 3rd Armored Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division & Long-Range Fires Battalion of 2nd Multi-Domain Task Force (3rd Battalion, 12th Field Artillery Regiment).

By Franz‑Stefan Gady