Defense Social Media and Updates

Trump Claims Ceasefire, Iran Refuses Any Friday Talks
SocialApr 23, 2026

Trump Claims Ceasefire, Iran Refuses Any Friday Talks

Trump: The ceasefire will continue, as Iran will present some proposal very soon. IRAN: A nuclear weapon is a right for a country. and we can't compromise with this. TRUMP : US-Iran deal may be possible on Friday. meeting schedule on Friday. IRAN...

By Yogesh Mantri
EU Positions Itself as Emerging Geopolitical Commission
SocialApr 23, 2026

EU Positions Itself as Emerging Geopolitical Commission

So this may indeed turn out to be the "geopolitical Commission" EU working to secure its Western as well as Eastern flank ... 1/2 https://t.co/E5tZDyX9CS

By Brad Setser
Aerospace Stocks Peaked at Iran Conflict Start, Now Falling
SocialApr 23, 2026

Aerospace Stocks Peaked at Iran Conflict Start, Now Falling

Many investors might be surprised to see that Aerospace & Defense stocks peaked right near the beginning of the attack on Iran As we know, the market's forward looking & $ITA had pushed up 64% ahead of the conflict &...

By Mark Newton, CMT
Full‑Stack AI Ownership Is the New Strategic Imperative
SocialApr 23, 2026

Full‑Stack AI Ownership Is the New Strategic Imperative

Sovereign AI: Why Owning The Full Stack Is The New Strategic Imperative By @ChuckDBrooks https://t.co/5RVQiQJof7 #ai #sovereignai

By Chuck Brooks
Hegeseth's Moves Mirror Iran War Planning, Hormuz Focus
SocialApr 22, 2026

Hegeseth's Moves Mirror Iran War Planning, Hormuz Focus

Sec of War Hegeseth strikes again. Do his changes reflect the planning and ops of the Iran War. Especially the Strait of Hormuz.

By Tom Craig
Navy's $17B Trump-Class Battleships: New Strategic Role Revealed
SocialApr 22, 2026

Navy's $17B Trump-Class Battleships: New Strategic Role Revealed

Everything New We Just Learned About The Trump Class Battleship Program We are getting a clearer idea of how the Navy thinks it can use these ships, which have an estimated cost of $17B per vessel. https://t.co/k4FgtbB7pR

By Tyler Rogoway
US Deploys Massive Naval Force Amid Oil Market Apathy
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Deploys Massive Naval Force Amid Oil Market Apathy

JUST as the SSS Bush arrives this weekend to join the two other US aircraft carrier strike groups in the Middle East. How many assembled jets, missiles, destroyers, nuclear submarines & military personnel does that make - now in attack position? Market,...

By Samantha LaDuc
US Navy Leadership Ousted as Iran Blockade Falters
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Navy Leadership Ousted as Iran Blockade Falters

The US Blockade of Iran is FAILING…. And @realDonaldTrump has pushed out the man in charge of the US Navy… https://t.co/RnieA8mJkh

By Kudzai Mutisi
Navy's Top Conference Ends as Budget Talks Intensify
SocialApr 22, 2026

Navy's Top Conference Ends as Budget Talks Intensify

Doing this right as the Navy’s biggest conference ends, after Phelan spent the last three days laying out the Navy’s priorities to industry and media, and amid Phelan meeting with lawmakers on the budget, is some wild timing:

By Valerie Insinna
Zumwalt's $10B Flaws Exposed by Shipyard Fire
SocialApr 22, 2026

Zumwalt's $10B Flaws Exposed by Shipyard Fire

Really the dumbest boondoggle of them all. It will never end with these things and nobody is willing to cut them loose. We are at like $10B per ship all in. Absolutely insane. Cool ships yes, of course. But the...

By Tyler Rogoway
Revealed Vulnerability Shifts Bargaining Power; Iran's Capabilities Now Known
SocialApr 22, 2026

Revealed Vulnerability Shifts Bargaining Power; Iran's Capabilities Now Known

Bottom line: the issue isn't only what Iran can do. It's that everyone now knows what Iran can do. Revealed vulnerability changes bargaining power. https://t.co/icf9axhcM0

By Justin Wolfers
Low‑Cost RAACM‑ER Missile Matches Tomahawk Range
SocialApr 22, 2026

Low‑Cost RAACM‑ER Missile Matches Tomahawk Range

New RAACM-ER Low-Cost Cruise Missile Features Tomahawk-Like Range With a range of over 1,000 nautical miles, the RAACM-ER cruise missile aims to go far while costing less. https://t.co/smNIk3Nw1d

By Tyler Rogoway
US Opens Tough Cuba Talks, Deadline Looms This Week
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Opens Tough Cuba Talks, Deadline Looms This Week

The U.S. has begun new negotiations with Cuba, presenting sweeping demands with a looming deadline later this week. Full analysis available exclusively for Analyst Tier members on Patreon ➡️ https://t.co/MG6vaQVGos #cuba #geopolitics https://t.co/Y4hhm8sZaK

By Peter Zeihan
Auto-Protect: 24/7 Security Engineer for Your Apps
SocialApr 22, 2026

Auto-Protect: 24/7 Security Engineer for Your Apps

Sometime apps you made that are secure might suddenly become vulnerable when there is an exploit in one of its dependencies. Typically you need engineers on payroll to monitor and handle this. We just automated that with Auto-Protect. It’s like your security...

By Amjad Masad
Dorena Vessel Confirmed Under U.S. Destroyer Escort
SocialApr 22, 2026

Dorena Vessel Confirmed Under U.S. Destroyer Escort

The statement here about the Dorena matches reporting from @washingtonpost yesterday: We reported the vessel was under escort by a U.S. destroyer.

By Dan Lamothe
EU Grants Ukraine $90B as Kyiv Jokes “Donnyland”
SocialApr 22, 2026

EU Grants Ukraine $90B as Kyiv Jokes “Donnyland”

Funding secured: $90B for Ukraine from the EU And Ukraine playing up to Trump by suggesting a rename of some of its land in his name (dubbed Donnyland)

By David J. Doherty
Putin's Clownish Press Act Masks Russian Army's Failures
SocialApr 22, 2026

Putin's Clownish Press Act Masks Russian Army's Failures

The more smirking, giggling, sleazy jokes, awkward clowning, and empty bravado Putin puts on at his press conferences, the worse things are going for the Russian army on the front lines in Ukraine.

By Illia Ponomarenko
US Munitions Arrive in Israel as Carrier Group Approaches
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Munitions Arrive in Israel as Carrier Group Approaches

Is May 1, end of the ceasefire, going to be the date when Trump acts instead of settling new fallback dates? And ships in the Strait?

By Tom Craig
Iran Escalates Hormuz Attacks Despite Trump Ceasefire Extension
SocialApr 22, 2026

Iran Escalates Hormuz Attacks Despite Trump Ceasefire Extension

Iran Ramps Up Attacks On Ships In The Strait Of Hormuz After Trump Ceasefire Extension With Iran refusing to commit to peace talks, the future of the ceasefire remains in doubt. Updating live: https://t.co/Yg6DONMUnM

By Tyler Rogoway
Air Force Hikes VC-25B Budget, Bypasses FY27 Bridge Funding
SocialApr 22, 2026

Air Force Hikes VC-25B Budget, Bypasses FY27 Bridge Funding

The Air Force is increasing VC-25B spending to meet the newly announced schedule. Also, no money requested in FY27 for the Qatar-donated 'bridge aircraft.' Funding transferred from Sentinel, outside the typical budgetary process, covers the whole project https://t.co/nMNKAzWLff

By Brian Everstine
Saudi Arabia's US Pivot Raises Questions on Trump
SocialApr 22, 2026

Saudi Arabia's US Pivot Raises Questions on Trump

Saudi Arabia. Shift away from US. And its unpredictability. What will Trump do? Not a strong diplomatic admin.

By Tom Craig
Indonesia's Strait Fee Sparks UNCLOS, Supply‑Chain Turmoil
SocialApr 22, 2026

Indonesia's Strait Fee Sparks UNCLOS, Supply‑Chain Turmoil

Indonesia. Impose fee on ships going thru the Strait of Malacca. Learned money lesson from Iran. UNCLOS? Will there be military action to stop it? More maritime and supply chain hell.

By Tom Craig
Ship Seizures Signal Iran’s Growing Control of Hormuz
SocialApr 22, 2026

Ship Seizures Signal Iran’s Growing Control of Hormuz

Ship Seizures Mark New Phase in Iran’s De Facto Control of Hormuz. With extended ceasefire. The situation looks shaky. https://t.co/pThf20VEbW

By Tom Craig
Iran's Missile Fleet Underutilized Despite Active Air Force
SocialApr 22, 2026

Iran's Missile Fleet Underutilized Despite Active Air Force

This article is potentially pretty damning. But I'd like to know whether the 50% of the ballistic missiles + launchers can be utilized, why if Iran still has an Air Force was it not being used & are all these...

By Ellen Wald
Iran Conflict: Strategic Threat or Opportunity for China?
SocialApr 22, 2026

Iran Conflict: Strategic Threat or Opportunity for China?

Is the Iran war a strategic threat or an opportunity for China? https://t.co/E82r5V2x3h @QamarEnergy @TheNational

By Robin Mills
Ukraine's Long-Range Drones Now Routinely Hit Russian Refineries
SocialApr 22, 2026

Ukraine's Long-Range Drones Now Routinely Hit Russian Refineries

Back in September, I wrote about Ukraine's long-range drones. Now that they are regularly and accurately striking Russian refineries and oil infrastructure, I think it's worth reading again, for those who missed it. Gift link: https://t.co/FhWqhDkkBi

By Anne Applebaum
Bitcoin‑funded Van Delivered Amid Russian Drone Attacks
SocialApr 22, 2026

Bitcoin‑funded Van Delivered Amid Russian Drone Attacks

So I actually spent Easter in a small front line town near Kramatorsk, delivering a van bought with ₿ donations. Literally dozens of armed Russian FPV drones attacked that town during this "ceasefire". Hell, I even spotted one; the soldiers around...

By Peter Todd
Ford-Class Review Casts Doubt on Future Carriers
SocialApr 22, 2026

Ford-Class Review Casts Doubt on Future Carriers

Ford Class Review Puts Navy’s Future Carrier Plans Into Question The review includes comparing the Ford class to the Nimitz class and seeing what has been gained or lost operationally. https://t.co/WVncs2xAJx

By Tyler Rogoway
Iran Conflict Heightens Threat of Losing Iraq War 2
SocialApr 22, 2026

Iran Conflict Heightens Threat of Losing Iraq War 2

Translation: As a result of the Iran War, we are at increasing risk of losing Iraq War 2.

By Luke Gromen
Hormuz Mine Clearance Could Take Six Months, Delayed Until War Ends
SocialApr 22, 2026

Hormuz Mine Clearance Could Take Six Months, Delayed Until War Ends

EXCLUSIVE: It could take six months to fully clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines deployed by the Iranian military, and any such operation is unlikely to be carried out until the U.S. war with Iran ends, the Pentagon has...

By Dan Lamothe
Real Hacker Reveals AI's Threats and Countermeasures
SocialApr 22, 2026

Real Hacker Reveals AI's Threats and Countermeasures

Talking with a real hacker will freak you out. Thanks @theonejvo for freaking me out about how AI could be used to attack everything in our modern society. And what we can do about it. https://t.co/0znpRiZ0tz

By Robert Scoble
Pentagon Aims to Accelerate
SocialApr 22, 2026

Pentagon Aims to Accelerate

The Pentagon in its budget request says it can speed up fielding of the F-35's Block 4 by a year, to 2030, as it increases spending on the program. This is reliant on reconciliation approval https://t.co/F5NdnDxpKT

By Brian Everstine
IRGC, Not U.S., Threatens Iran's Fragile Leadership
SocialApr 22, 2026

IRGC, Not U.S., Threatens Iran's Fragile Leadership

Who is a bigger threat to the rickety leadership in Iran right now, the U.S. or the IRGC? I would argue the latter. This has always been the case. What game tree exists where the IRGC doesn't gain power if...

By Tyler Rogoway
Senator's War Critique May Undermine Peace Negotiations
SocialApr 22, 2026

Senator's War Critique May Undermine Peace Negotiations

I asked the Senator if her constant public trashing of the war and the President weakens our position at a high stakes moment to negotiate a more peaceful non-nuclear Iran and Middle East

By Sara Eisen
US Eyes Strait of Malacca as New Strategic Chokepoint
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Eyes Strait of Malacca as New Strategic Chokepoint

We talk a lot about a Taiwan scenario, but are we ready for a Strait of Malacca scenario? "A shipping route that carries roughly 40% of global trade and around 80% of China's imported oil, and is regarded as...

By John Spencer
Navy's 2027 Budget Revives P‑8 Purchases, Costs Surge
SocialApr 22, 2026

Navy's 2027 Budget Revives P‑8 Purchases, Costs Surge

The Navy is procuring new P-8s in its 2027 budget request for the first time since 2024. That gap has seen the flyaway cost per aircraft to substantially rise, connected in part to Boeing's production shift to MAXs https://t.co/ww2HzyUpU6

By Brian Everstine
AI-Powered Attacks Foreshadow Automated, Scalable Cyber Threats
SocialApr 22, 2026

AI-Powered Attacks Foreshadow Automated, Scalable Cyber Threats

Early AI-driven cyberattacks show systems can find vulnerabilities with little human input. Still rare, but signaling more automated, scalable threats. As AI advances, organizations must prioritize speed, visibility & resilience. https://t.co/rCsmckczrM

By Cristina Dolan
Navy Expands E‑2D Fleet Amid E‑3 Readiness Woes
SocialApr 22, 2026

Navy Expands E‑2D Fleet Amid E‑3 Readiness Woes

The Navy wants to grow its E-2D fleet because Advanced Hawkeyes are seeing "accelerated service life burn down" as they are taking on more overland airborne early warning taskings This as E-3s face readiness issues and the E-7 has an uncertain...

By Brian Everstine
U.S. Retreats From Seas; Who Will Police Space?
SocialApr 22, 2026

U.S. Retreats From Seas; Who Will Police Space?

Really good point. If the US is pulling back from policing the high seas, who will police the assets in outer space?

By Rebecca Bellan
Frontier AI Models Risk Degrading, Exposing Enterprises to Breaches
SocialApr 22, 2026

Frontier AI Models Risk Degrading, Exposing Enterprises to Breaches

Article I'm quoted in on Forbes on the recent Claude model degrading. Note, I am not anti-Anthropic in anyway. I loved Opus 4.6 when it first came out. I almost bought a I <3 Claude t-shirt (kinda joking there). My...

By Dave Kennedy
EU Unlocks €90 Billion Loan for Ukraine After Veto Lifted
SocialApr 22, 2026

EU Unlocks €90 Billion Loan for Ukraine After Veto Lifted

"Ukraine will finally start receiving a €90 billion ($106 billion) loan from the European Union after Hungary lifted its veto, ending months of wrangling over the vital cash injection for the war-torn country. EU ambassadors gave preliminary approval for the loan’s...

By Rob Lee
U.S. Deploys Ukrainian Counter‑Drone System at Saudi Base
SocialApr 22, 2026

U.S. Deploys Ukrainian Counter‑Drone System at Saudi Base

"The U.S. military has introduced Ukrainian counter-drone technology in recent weeks at a key U.S. air base in Saudi Arabia, according to five people with knowledge of the matter, as it seeks to stem attacks that have destroyed aircraft and...

By Rob Lee
US Cuts Iran Oil, Delivering Sharp Economic Pain
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Cuts Iran Oil, Delivering Sharp Economic Pain

The best way to deal with a belligerent oil exporter is to cut off its oil exports. The West dropped the ball on Russia in 2022, but the US is now doing this right with Iran. Iran faces severe economic...

By Robin Brooks
Secure Mineral Supply Will Cost a National Security Premium
SocialApr 22, 2026

Secure Mineral Supply Will Cost a National Security Premium

.@USTradeRep on critical minerals: "We will all pay a national security premium to have a secure supply chain"

By Ernest Scheyder
U.S. Blockade Sparks Iranian Infighting, Shows Economic Power
SocialApr 22, 2026

U.S. Blockade Sparks Iranian Infighting, Shows Economic Power

The US has pivoted to a full economic blockade of Iran. You can tell it's highly effective by the state of agitation in Iran, which has descended into infighting on how to deal with this. Economic warfare isn't perfect, but...

By Robin Brooks
Euphoria Passes Strait as IRGC Seizes Two Vessels
SocialApr 22, 2026

Euphoria Passes Strait as IRGC Seizes Two Vessels

Looks like Euphoria has made it through the Strait. Reports are that MSC Francesca and Epaminodas have been seized by the IRGC. https://t.co/fvsOG1RuKU

By Sal Mercogliano
US Dominates South Korea with 75 Bases, Third‑largest Overseas Footprint
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Dominates South Korea with 75 Bases, Third‑largest Overseas Footprint

The US has 75 military bases in South Korea, the 3rd  highest concentration of US foreign bases. In South Korea, Uncle Sam runs the show. https://t.co/A9l6MhQOa3

By Steve Hanke
US Ammo Shortage May Coincide with Russian Peak Power
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Ammo Shortage May Coincide with Russian Peak Power

Depleted U.S. precision munition stockpiles—and the 4–5 years required to replenish them—could coincide with a period of relatively peak Russian military power vis-à-vis NATO under a scenario in which a tenuous 2027 ceasefire in Ukraine frees Russian forces to reconstitute...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
US Depletes Half Its Missile Stockpiles in Weeks
SocialApr 22, 2026

US Depletes Half Its Missile Stockpiles in Weeks

‘Over the last seven weeks of war, the US military has expended at least 45% of its stockpile of Precision Strike Missiles; at least half of its inventory of THAAD missiles, which are designed to intercept ballistic missiles; and nearly...

By Franz‑Stefan Gady