Defense Social Media and Updates
Defense Social Media and Updates
Defense Pulse
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EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
F-22, B-52 Flight Testing Over The Mojave Showcases Advanced USAF Developments We've gotten our best look yet at new stealthy underwing tanks and sensor pods for the F-22, and the USAF's new AGM-181 nuclear cruise missile. https://t.co/sd23IzPPeJ
NEW from @zackwhittaker @lorenzofb: Someone has posted an exploit kit that can hack hundreds of millions of iPhones to Github. The hacking tool, known as DarkSword, targets out-of-date and older iOS devices. Apple recommends updating to the newest OS now. https://t.co/tJfqYWDOe1
Truly hope that this is really almost over. But can't help but remember all the way back to a month ago when the Trump admin was "negotiating" with Iran while accumulating military assets in the region. More marines will also arrive in...
Europe is supporting US efforts in Iran, they just don't want to be seen doing so publicly: https://t.co/wmNKRdls6g
If the possible deployment of US boots on the ground to Iran in an effort to manage/control the energy assets come as a surprise to you…you have not been paying attention
Ukraine's military is moving into the future faster than any other on earth. Faster than the US. Faster than Israel.
I can't keep track. Is Trump winning because he achieved his goals and Iran is now entirely contained and Hormuz is open by next week? Or is Trump winning because he meant to trigger the largest energy crisis in history to flex...
From the Palantir bros to the Secretary of War to the President, everyone involved must change their thinking about Iran or the next set of conflict outcomes will be as disastrous as the first. "But I Did Have Breakfast: Kill Chains,...
Ukraine have now demonstrated they can design and build the weapons to cripple Russia and win this war. They deserve the funding to see this through to completion. Fund Ukraine, and they will win.
"they [IRGC] are all confused and have no idea who is talking to whom. Their chain of command is broken."
There is an eyewitness report on the Novosti Kosmonavtiki web forum from the Ukhta area (NE of Plesetsk) about a rocket launch and stage separation (in one piece), possibly indicating an ICBM launch: https://t.co/bElbE6hVlW https://t.co/adIadiu1hY
president trump has backed away from his self-imposed 48 hour deadline on iran. this is to be welcomed. if trump had followed through it would have been a disaster for all sides. as of now, nothing else has changed.
The Straits of Hormuz and maritime generally is THE story of the war with Iran. Iran cannot be left in charge of the Straits and choke the world. I recorded a special episode of Invested with @AmiDaniel1, founder & CEO...
Month two. No de-escalation. More troops. Kharg Island occupation being planned. In my experience, markets that price short conflicts and get long ones reprice quickly and painfully. Kharg Island handles 90%+ of Iran's oil exports. The implicit assumption built into current market prices...
War is entering month 2. No de-escalation signals. More troops being deployed. Kharg Island occupation being planned. Markets priced a short conflict. They haven't priced a long one. $SPY https://t.co/Vbt33yVHPd
Could Iran's very long-range ballistic missile attempted strike supposedly targeting Diego Garcia (UK says no proof of this at all) actually been an anti-ship attack?
While there is clear doubt around the market's confidence in the US-Iran having productive talks, the prediction markets have shown a jump (from 39% to 55%) in the probability of a ceasefire by April 30th. Still, that implies a further...
Poll results: 72% of respondents said this is a war and Congress should be required to approve continued military action against Iran... https://t.co/FayWJf10w0
Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on Pres. Trump’s claim that the US is engaged in negotiations with Iran: “The Iranians have been saying very clearly that there are no negotiations... I think it raises questions about the President.” https://t.co/aM61cohaAc
As with its nuclear program, Iran can not unlearnt new knowledge. And Tehran has learnt lots in the last 4 weeks. Iran assumed the Strait of Hormuz gave it a lever. But its effectiveness was unproven, and it didn’t know...
The War Is Going Cyber and Companies Are the First to Be Attacked #ArtificialDecisions #MCC https://t.co/PGGJukkaqK
My take on Iran's war strategy: "The Iranians have adopted the Muhammad Ali Rope-a-Dope strategy. Iran will absorb massive punishment until the US and Israel are exhausted. Then, Iran will land a knock-out blow." IRAN CONTROLS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. https://t.co/Vfv8lDJsQc
A new geopolitical equilibrium could emerge in the Middle East that includes almost constant kinetic action and YET markets could be OK with that. The 1980 Iran-Iraq war is a good example of that. All that matters is whether ships...
In an effort to halt new offshore wind development, the U.S. announced today a deal with TotalEnergies to redirect the $1 billion the energy giant paid for an offshore wind lease and put it toward U.S. oil and gas projects....
"Raising a lobster" is the new Labubu OpenClaw AI goes viral in China, raising cybersecurity fears Email deletion scare underscores risks as ‘lobster’ agents surge across real-world AI systems handling sensitive personal data #China #techwar #chips #tech @baoshaoshan @thecyrusjanssen @DOualaalou @lajohnstondr @PSTAsiatech https://t.co/LceRUFV7T6
As Trump flip flops on his latest ultimatum, now is a good time to look at how the remainder of this conflict may play out and how domestic politics might influence the outcome... Geopolitical Guy | Substack https://bit.ly/3NkAKGD #Iran #OperationEpicFury #StraitOfHormuz #Trump...
Thanks to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is ‘closed’. As a result, countries worldwide are facing a gas supply CLIFF-EDGE. LNG from Qatar is NOWHERE TO BE FOUND. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COLLATERAL DAMAGE. https://t.co/qE8zgTwxgC
Top market watcher on why this may be a real inflection point in the Iran war https://t.co/mltKPnPYb8 thanks from @AcadSecurities @MorganLBrennan for having us on! The segment, despite being before the 5 day pause post, hasn't aged too badly :)
#ThisDayInTechHistory. March 23, 1983. President Ronald Reagan delivered his famous "Star Wars" speech, officially the Strategic Defense Initiative or SDI. #JVGpost https://t.co/Q1TbucLMjG
Good read from my @CarnegieIndia teammate @KonarkBhandari on "What Could a Reciprocal Defense Procurement Agreement Do for U.S.-India Ties?" https://t.co/BrZDRydmDm
NATO & US troops from Victoria Base in Baghdad have TAKEN THE EXIT DOOR. After the US regime change that took out Saddam Hussein 23 years ago, NATO & the US have determined Iraq is STILL TOO DANGEROUS A PLACE TO...
Trump just said there are 15 points of agreement between Iran and the U.S. in their negotiations.
I just shipped /cso v2 based on feedback I got on X from 24 hours ago when I dropped /cso v1 in GStack It's true - you're much more likely to get hacked via infra attack surface than code bugs (remember hire...
“Can take twice as long” Are you kidding me?? We have been building the aircraft carrier USS John F Kennedy for SEVENTEEN YEARS and it’s still not completed.
As long as Iran still controls the strait of Hormuz, we’re gonna have issues. That’s really the bottom line here. By realizing it can control the strait (at least so far) Iran has gained strategic leverage relative to the outset...
Trump just gave Iran 24 hours. Reopen Hormuz. Or face strikes on power facilities. Iran's response: We'll hit every US energy and desalination plant in the Gulf. $SPY is not pricing a full energy war. It should be. https://t.co/wOxm8bXbEC
We’ve cleaned out Iran’s nukes and drone factories, and gutted their navy. If the Strait reopens without a single U.S. naval casualty… will every Dem here finally admit @PeteHegseth is doing a good job… or just gaslight us again? https://t.co/8Fpfnm7TNh
> Trump threatens to attack Iranian power plants, thrust region further down path of major facility attacks > Crude price flat out of weekend > Trump says now he isn’t going to attack Iranian power plants > Crude price falls $16/bbl https://t.co/e81KQnsv14
We could be around 12 hours from a major escalation in the war on Iran. There is no appetite for risk. Bonds and stocks sold aggressively. Gold and silver offer no haven. The greenback is broadly higher....
I joined @davidgura and the @BloombergTV Weekend team to analyze Trump’s way of war and why US high-end capabilities and operational effectivenesss hasn’t translated into strategic success against Iran’s asymmetric approach. https://t.co/ewdcJZuArV
Elections are coming up in Hungary, and the campaign is surreal. Orban (the current PM) is effectively saying anyone voting for him votes for Putin and Russia (repeats Russian propaganda, and claims anyone voting for the opposition [Tisza] votes for Ukraine...
Starmer will hold an emergency meeting with his top ministers and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey on the Iran crisis on Monday https://t.co/LskwVBZ8gS via @Joe_Mayes https://t.co/oxyxdRDalL
Ukraine imposes kinetic sanctions on Russian oil exports. They increasingly have the ability to do this at scale, and to destroy refineries and factories crucial to the Russian war effort. This particular port is further from Ukraine than Moscow is.
AI Swarm Attacks Are Coming, Is Your Business Ready? #AI #swarm attacks, powered by autonomous agents, #deepfake #phishing , and always-on malware, could transform #cybercrime and leave unprepared businesses dangerously exposed. This article explains why leaders need a new #cybersecurity...
Because of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Switzerland has suspended military exports to the United States. TRUMP = A MASTERCLASS IN CREATING ENEMIES. https://t.co/dQ6lG3KAgS
Ukraine. Is. Destroying. Russian. Oil. Export. Facilities. On. The. Baltic. Sea. I would never have believed words like these even two years ago, let alone before February 24, 2022.
Every democratic civilized country wants Israeli defense technology That technology was developed not to invade or expand—unlike all other conquering, imperial countries in history—but to defend against intolerant Islamist conquest trying to kill Jewish minorities and end Israel
New Nukesletter this Sunday evening: 7 takeaways from the longest-range use of ballistic missiles in combat to date (March 20, by Iran, against unknown targets in Diego Garcia). https://t.co/rFxfn8Zpx2 https://t.co/Gar5L9A2If
Global supply chains are fragmenting right now. From a risk perspective this means that every major piece of defense equipment destroyed in the Gulf, may be almost irreplaceable without China’s support. How did team USA get here? Failures of risk...
The US & Israel wrongly believed bombing Iran would spark a popular uprising, writes @MarkMazzettiNYT I don't believe that. “Uprising” was a convenient fantasy that helped sell a war whose actual endgame was never credible. https://t.co/HZZi8Zp475 #IranWar #RegimeChange #Mossad #Trump #Netanyahu #MiddleEast #Strategy...
