Defense Social Media and Updates
Defense Social Media and Updates
Defense Pulse
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Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Fast Chips, Big Money, 3:30 a.m. Calls: Taiwan’s Urgent Quest to Win Over Trump https://t.co/XAPflnhoCQ
"NATO VOWS TO REOPEN HORMUZ" is wildly overstated @DeItaone What NATO chief Mark Rutte actually said was allies are talking about ways to reopen Hormuz He added he is "absolutely convinced" they can succeed. At talking & coordinating What EU does best #NATO #MarkRutte...
Created a chatgpt 5.4 plugin for Claude, it automatically gets a "second opinion", forges the best results for prd/spec/implementation. Once finished and reviewed, submits to chatgpt for bug review / security review analysis. Works insanely better having two work together. ⏺...
Blackouts in Tehran are not proof that the US has struck the city's electrical grid @JesseCohenInv It's possible but unverified. It's also well ahead of Trump's threatened 48 hours. #Iran #Tehran #Trump #Blackout #Airstrikes #Geopolitics #Misinformation #MiddleEast #Verification #BreakingNews
Starting with the premise that Israel should use nukes on Iran is already absurd @FurkanGozukara Then leaping to “Putin would answer with nukes” is even more absurd. That is not analysis. It is lurid escalation fantasy dressed up as an...
To be fair the Ukrainian Flamingo does have longer range and a larger warhead than the Tomahawk at a much lower cost. https://t.co/yfGe0ZD0GM
Based on my understanding, Beijing will try its best to mediate the conflict for the sake of its own economic interests, but the probability of it extending a security guarantee to Iran is extremely low. China’s foreign policy remains fundamentally anchored...
Sri Lanka has denied a US request to land fighter jets for Trump’s Iran war. TRUMP & THE US = COLLECTING ENEMIES BY THE BUSHEL. https://t.co/zyC7L7xJau
Why the fixation Kharg Island? I assume it's because they think they can cut off Iran's source of income this way. But perhaps should consider ground operations on Islands in strait of Hormuz? Might be more effective for opening the...
NightBeacon mobile version launched with AI assistant. Some late night coding lately, feel like I’m in the late 90s/early 2000s. Having so much fun. https://t.co/unvyKfDV6d #BinaryDefense https://t.co/tCyntTeePl
what shook + activated me wasn’t the overt horror + terror of Oct 7th in Israel. I had no doubts Israel would win the kinetic war No it was the covert decade+ long-planned insidious infiltration info ops into news, politicians, .edu...
New framework promises unprecedented level of cybersecurity for SCADA systems #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/WiAfR3TSL6
No brainer. Honestly just create a new alliance and everyone but Hungary and the US can join it. They'll ask to join later.
The US benefits from the closing of the Hormuz Strait are 'tremendous,' expert says https://t.co/KX4da2Twrp
U.S. ground troops on Kharg Island? “I just think that would be a disaster,” @joekent16jan19 said. “It would essentially be giving Iran a bunch of hostages on an island that they could barrage with drones and missiles.”
This is why I don't like the "never take anything off the table" chestnut. It was dumb with Hillary said it about nuclear weapons in Afghanistan; it's dumb now. (And no, I don't think he means it.)
Polymarket, a large prediction market, shows only a 28% chance that the Strait of Hormuz will open for normal traffic by the end of April. TRUMP & NETANYAHU’S WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COSTS. https://t.co/slk6gIZTUJ
"Guess again" is an interesting answer when you could just state the target you have in mind and then affirm that targeting an operational nuclear power plant would be a crime.
I wondered when the Iranians would get around to targeting data centers. They're pretty juicy, as potential targets go.
The use of RM-48U is a growing issue, supplementing existing SRBMs. Russia is dedicating certain S-400 air defense units to this strike role. https://t.co/RPvaVKxyaE
Only 7% of Americans support Trump's threat to send US ground troops into Iran. AMERICAN SUPPORT FOR THE US-ISRAELI WAR AGAINST IRAN = VIRTUALLY NONEXISTENT. https://t.co/5SDVzUht3L
At what point does this escalation by Trump-Netanyahu actually prompt Iran to mine the Straight of Hormuz... with these ships on it?! Then this humanitarian crisis goes from lock-down to existential pretty quickly.
Is Trump’s threat to destroy Iran's power grid a gambit to pull NATO and Europe into the Strait of Hormuz? It’s a smart leverage point, given that Europe and Turkey are the ones most vulnerable to a new refugee crisis.
Inbound for RSAC. Going to be an interesting week of cyber products, innovations and announcements. My initial thoughts: https://t.co/l36K8t0RcX #cio #ciso #rsac2026 #rsac https://t.co/BCThYsakyZ
"With thousands of regime members killed—from top leaders to street-level grunts—Iranians are reporting that a sense of disorder is starting to take hold. Security forces are under stress and on the run as they threaten protesters to stay off the...
Trump says he's ready to declare victory and wind down military efforts. Iran is still blocking the Strait of Hormuz and extorting tolls from passing vessels. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/yhVxRubLDX
Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on current geopolitics: "In many ways, the US can not compete with China [in both manufacturing and diplomacy]... And I think we all feel it's not a temporary phenomenon but really the end of the...
KHARG ISLAND — a thread: Trump has talked about taking Iran's Kharg Island for 40 years. The problem? Capturing it won't shut down Iran’s entire oil export system. And thus it won't lead to Hormuz re-opening fast enough. 🧵1/10 @Opinion FREE-TO-READ: https://t.co/ZOYtq3KESE https://t.co/xtLBqPShB6
Zelenskiy Urges Allies To Keep Up Pressure On Russia Ahead Of Talks With US https://t.co/27YNF6I723
This would seem to be advocating a military strike on an operating nuclear power plant. Apart from being criminal, it's also very stupid.
The problem is that Iran will never be more powerful than it is today @dshephard What’s the incentive to take anything less (especially since it doesn’t care about the Iranian people) ?
This is what @gbrew24 said on Odd Lots, that ultimately, as a result of this war, the Gulf states will have no choice but to deepen their security links to the US.
Is the Royal Canadian “navy” going to send three staff officers to help with paperwork like they did to reopen the Red Sea? Or can they not even manage that anymore?
My response to Trump’s threat to bomb Iran’s electric grid is simple: Don’t. My latest. Link is below. https://t.co/kLs8lfC8Or
The team (@sam_lair, @DuitsmanMS, others) spent the last few weeks examining this video showing a U.S. Patriot launch in Bahrain. We're confident this interceptor was involved in the explosion over Sitra that damaged 60 residences and injured more than...
In which Stubb states reality ... So to those who dream of a "reverse Nixon," here's the reality of a "reverse 'reverse Nixon'," where Russia and China largely hang together despite their points of difference and tension while the West...
This is a joke…. right? My twelve year old could find the coordinates of every major US military base. You don’t even need GPS to hit them. This is why it’s ridiculous the Army moved prepositioned supply ashore. We can take out...
"To expect it to cave in today... ignores past lessons. And unlike the Islamic Republic, the White House doesn’t have the benefit of time. It needs to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in days or, at worst, weeks." - @JavierBlas...
If Israel were doing this it would get resupplied by the United States for the bombs it used.
Polymarket: 60% chance that the US will have troops on the ground in Iran by the end of April. >$22 million wagered on this so far. I don't think it should be legal to "bet" on something like this - you're creating...
Sad but true: “Japan can’t cut a deal with Iran without U.S. approval” And that’s why Japanese are protesting now. Energy insecurity in Japan can turn food insecurity can trigger events that US equity, bond, currency market are not pricing in. And Trump’s...
It’s the desalination plants, stupid. — Iran said that if its energy infrastructure is targeted, it will strike back at energy, IT and desalination facilities belonging to the United States and its allies in the region. https://t.co/gAFL9FJeZ2
China's Rare Earth Weapon: Inside the "Mineral War" with Tomasz Nadrowski. Read more and sign up to my newsletter here: https://t.co/uDfSXat1Xl https://t.co/MXFQAofK9T
All the AI in the world and your operational solutions to open Hormuz is to bomb civilian power plants? @TheStalwart
Let’s unpack this: US exceptionalism/hegemony is based on our “security guarantees” which Trump clearly voided for our Gulf Arab allies when he and Netanyahu started a war on Iran (and Lebanon). And Trump also started a trade war with China that extracts,...
Given UK air & missile defence IAMD was only allocated £1bn in SDR & a SINGLE THAAD battery is roughly about the same - vast gap between threats & funding. MRBM strikes perhaps lowest risk, but most challenging &...
“Leadership targeting has existed throughout history. What is new is simultaneity and precision. Entire layers of political and military leadership can now be targeted nearly at once.“ my latest @nypost https://t.co/fpqRfQlLxD
“Yes we have fewer ships. Well we also have fewer horses and bayonets.” Everyone’s blaming Trump for not having enough Navy ships available to escort supertankers. But ask the real question: did this hull shortage start with Trump?
If the US bombs Iran's power plants, there's no power to fill up oil tankers, so it's an embargo. Same with taking Kharg Island by force. Iran will stop exporting oil, so it's an embargo. Much better to do an...
This is a very interesting if true Many analysts have suggested that the War against Iran is actually a war against China This would support the point that 21st century will either remain American or become Chinese which would be a...
