Sub v Sub ASW as described by a submariner friend: "Imagine you are in a pitch black warehouse with a knife. There may or may not be another person in that warehouse with a knife. Good luck."
Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central HQ Spokesperson: “If Iran’s fuel and energy infrastructure is attacked by the enemy, all energy infrastructure, information technology systems, and desalination facilities belonging to the United States and the regime in the region will be targeted.”
John Mearsheimer: Trump's War Is STRATEGIC DISASTER W/ No End In Sight https://t.co/xK8vUAAkSY via @YouTube
Iran lied. About uranium. About missiles. About proxies. American + allied defense is truth serum
The hard truth: the Iran war will dwarf the cost of Biden *loaning* Ukraine weapons, and having @ZelenskyyUa pay us back in the rare earths (a deal that Trump deftly negotiated) Looks like $200b at a minimum

If Hormuz isn’t open in 48 hours Trump says he’ll start hitting Iranian power plants. https://t.co/HQZe2Sax7l

President Trump threatened to attack Iran’s power plants if the country didn’t swiftly open the Strait of Hormuz to commercial ship traffic (The remarks mark a shift in tone since Trump on Friday said the US was considering “winding down” military...

From almost done, followed by close to winding down -- to a 48-hours ultimatum to Iran to re-open the Strait of Hormuz that the US doesn't use, and in any case, it would be very easy to re-open even by...
TRUMP GIVES IRAN 48 HOURS TO OPEN STRAIT OF HORMUZ=== this ain't no tariffs deadline
“Decapitation strikes don’t work,” they say. “The strategy isn’t working,” they say after 5, 10, or 20 days. Strategic effects are cumulative. Impatience is not analysis. Let's review just what Israel has stuck in Iran according to @IDF 🧵
Strait of Hormuz 3-Week Recap | What is the Status of the Ships, Transits and Escort Mission? Video: https://t.co/UqZWLMlwVT https://t.co/k0LjjVKtXf

The US intelligence community now assesses that China has no fixed timeline for unification with Taiwan and that no invasion of Taiwan is planned for 2027. I'm no China expert but this dovetails with how I see Xi and the upside...
The Strait of Hormuz saw no disruptions—even during the intense 12-day war with Iran last June—yet the Trump administration's National Security Strategy, released last November, still states: 👉"America will always have core interests in ensuring that Gulf energy supplies do not...
We can think of Hegseth's $200 billion supplemental military request for his Iran war as the cost to taxpayers of pulling out of the agreement on nuclear weapons negotiated by Obama
Israeli media reporting a mass casualty event in the city of Arad after missile defence systems failed to intercept an Iranian ballistic missile. Reports suggest that Iran used a new type of ballistic missile that can evade the Air Defence...
Don't worry, Trump said the U.S. knocked pout 100% of Iran's missile capabilities. Are you calling Trump a liar?
I want a HondaJet carrier borne ASW aircraft and no I don't care how bad of an idea that is.

If U.S. troops invade Iran, it will not be a quick war. It will be one of the most dangerous environments American soldiers have ever faced. People underestimate Iran because they picture open desert. That image is wrong. 1. The terrain is...
Many commentators on Iran war have seemingly not thought any further ahead than “China is hurt most by Hormuz closing” Below is just one small example of why that view is so wrong 👇

Even more reason to believe Iran did not fire ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia when a) they still haven’t acknowledged it, & b) the genocide chorus all sing the same lyrics again https://t.co/XnCWtECXnc
CNN live coverage showing MULTIPLE Iranian missiles making direct hits in the Israeli city of Tel Aviv … All over TikTok, young Americans are talking about how ADVANCED Iran is yet US media has been feeding them lies. Most are...

Iran War basically done. Or it’s only just beginning. Definitely one of the two… … or neither. https://t.co/nwQPF9aQYG
Trump claims that the US has “won” the war, and that Iran is “finished.” IF WE WON THE WAR, WHY ARE WE RUSHING THOUSANDS OF US TROOPS TO THE GULF? TRUMP = DELUSIONAL. https://t.co/g5aB73R1CU
Why shouldn't the presumption be that they will just negotiate deals with Iran and accommodate the regime the United States flirted with trying to change? India, Japan, Pakistan, others are already negotiating Hormuz passage directly. Why not presume they will "clean...
Two-stage is a helpful bit of data. Now more likely a two-stage IRBM derived from a solid SLV like the Zoljanah or Qaem-100/105.

Alleged Ukrainian attack on Russian tanker leaves it abandoned and drifting... Geopolitical Guy | Substack https://bit.ly/4lIlrnH
It's especially impressive since Trump told us that we had eliminated 100% of Iran's missiles
Four years ago, in these very days, the fate of Kyiv was finally decided. Here, in the small dacha village of Moshchun on the outskirts of Kyiv, on the banks of the Irpin River, Russian forces suffered a decisive defeat,...

The Pentagon is requesting $200 BILLION to fund the Iran war. THIS IS BIG BUCKS. For context, Congress has only approved $188 BILLION to support the US proxy war in Ukraine. WAR = A MASSIVE TAX ON AMERICANS. https://t.co/nlL85D8hEN
Bunker-busting, but in reverse? And why I warned: Iran Is Winning, Which Is Dangerous https://t.co/5HAmJsOd5H

🚨 IRAN COULD NOW HIT LONDON, PARIS OR BERLIN They just launched ballistic missiles at the UK-US base on Diego Garcia (around 4,000 km away). Even though the missiles missed, it shows they have much longer range than previously thought. Big European capitals...
Exclusive: Pentagon to adopt Palantir AI as core US military system, memo says. The apotheosis of mil civ fusion... https://t.co/Sp7uxEvsGv

All 2022–2024 cyberattacks on energy infrastructure at a glance #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/3bPj3iU1nv https://t.co/PZo92XzX1Q

ISRAEL CONTINUES ITS REIGN OF TERROR IN LEBANON. Since March 2nd, Lebanon’s Health Ministry reports that at least 1,021 Lebanese have been killed by Israeli airstrikes. https://t.co/n95JS2F8UB

Intercepting ballistic missiles is really hard. Iranian ballistic missile making through the air defense in the Southern Israeli city of Dimona

The BBC reports that Iranian counter-attacks on US military bases in the Middle East have caused $800 MILLION in damage. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN IS COSTING AMERICANS AN ARM AND A LEG. https://t.co/hxarqU3UlU
Speechless. The Orban regime in Hungary is not just a pro-Russian government profiting from shady dealings with the Kremlin. It is a de facto client regime — a collaborator fully aligned with Moscow, reportedly to the point of briefing the Kremlin...
At 4,000+ km, I would happily sit in a lawn chair on the tarmac at Diego Garcia with a bottle of wine while Iran fired two conventionally-armed IRBMs at me. My only hesitation would be the quality of the...
This is very good, although I tend to think the SLVs were always designed with use as IRBMs in mind so I regard that as equally likely given the very long distances involved.
The politicized talking point about Khamenei's "fatwa" frames it as a firm religious prohibition on nuclear weapons development. Often used by JCPOA defenders, it presents the fatwa as an unbreakable barrier. This framing omits key facts about its form, limited...
How it feels watching the Iran War, Hormuz stoppage, and the still-so-sanguine global market reaction as the world economy just rolls into calamity. https://t.co/2S9HlfVhPt

What we know, what we don't know and what we are doing about the Iran War: @CalmInvestor writes at @CapitalmindMF letter on a way to look at the crisis that gives you a structured view of how to act. (read...
Bremmer's framing is common but wrong. Instead: 1. Iran was developing an ICBM when 2. Khamenei imposed a 2,000-km range limit. 3. The programs shifted to space launch. 4. Khamenei lifted the restriction in October 2025 after the June attacks. 5. Now he's dead,...

IRAN SAYS READY TO LET JAPAN VESSELS USE HORMUZ — KYODO REPORTS Who knows better about surprises than Japan? https://t.co/yR2ThmWwvU
While I can't rule out a low-payload stunt, Iran has several SLVs (including solid propellants) that could deliver a significant payload to these distances.
I’ve said many times On Here that the loser decides the war is over. If this conflict ends with Iran still fighting, and in de facto control of perhaps the most important waterway in the world, then no matter how...
The good news: Iran’s regime has been reduced to a disjointed terrorist force like Hezbollah The bad news: Israel & US have been trying to get rid of Hezbollah for 40 years
Chrome Security Update Patches 26 Vulnerabilities that Enable Attackers to Execute Malicious Code Remotely https://t.co/LgCt5yd3Zb
I’m sure this works great. I haven’t tried it yet. As a pentester, don’t use this without customer approval because your customers may not want their vulnerability data stored in third party systems. Also they would have to add a...
Interestingly, the threat actor is said to have swapped out the ICP backdoor payload for a dummy test string ("hello123"), likely to ensure that the entire attack chain is working as intended before adding the malware.