Defense Social Media and Updates

Iran Conflict Reveals US Firepower Limits to Rivals
SocialMay 2, 2026

Iran Conflict Reveals US Firepower Limits to Rivals

Iran War Gives U.S.’s Rivals a Real-Time Look at Its Firepower—Adversaries have watched the U.S. burn through missile stockpiles, seen new tech in action and witnessed what cheap weapons can do to a stronger foe @timothywmartin @tggrove @ByChunHan https://t.co/u1iHjjA18i

By Jonathan Cheng
Mocking Unreal Demands to Halt Iran's Nuclear Program
SocialMay 2, 2026

Mocking Unreal Demands to Halt Iran's Nuclear Program

You say we must physically stop Iran from getting nukes Tell us how that works Mr Tough Guy @CRUDEOIL231 Do you also have some thoughts on how to get elephants off their butts & learn to fly already?

By Art Berman Blog
Iranian Strikes Render Conventional US Bases Obsolete
SocialMay 2, 2026

Iranian Strikes Render Conventional US Bases Obsolete

CNN isn’t claiming total destruction of US bases Iran’s strikes got through often enough & hit enough valuable targets, to cause real damage across the base network in the region This new kind of warfare makes conventional basing irrelevant. https://t.co/Lsk51S1bpZ #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #OSINT #EnergyCrisis...

By Art Berman Blog
US War on Iran Costs $25B, Seeks $200B
SocialMay 2, 2026

US War on Iran Costs $25B, Seeks $200B

My take @FortuneMagazine on the cost of the US-Israeli war on Iran: "Operation Epic Fury has burned through $25 billion so far. That's just the tip of the iceberg. The White House has requested a supplemental budget of $200 billion for its...

By Steve Hanke
Trump's Grudge, Not Strategy, Drives Troop Pullout
SocialMay 2, 2026

Trump's Grudge, Not Strategy, Drives Troop Pullout

any strategic purpose of withdrawing 5,000 us troops from germany? no. trump feeling personally insulted by the german chancellor is the policy priority.

By Ian Bremmer
Army Won’t Purchase BAE’s 30mm AMPV Test Vehicles
SocialMay 2, 2026

Army Won’t Purchase BAE’s 30mm AMPV Test Vehicles

No, The Army Isn’t Fielding New AMPV Armored Vehicles With 30mm Cannons BAE has delivered two AMPV 30 variants to the Army to help test them, but the service has no plans to buy this version. https://t.co/rwQx3uexJj

By Tyler Rogoway
Ex‑submarine Captain Blocks China’s Grab of Subic Bay
SocialMay 2, 2026

Ex‑submarine Captain Blocks China’s Grab of Subic Bay

Major win for 🇺🇸 Bill is a former submarine captain turned banker and advisor. He was instrumental in preventing Subic Bay shipyard from falling into the hands of China. A patriot Razor smart Genuinely good guy. Oh yes… and he’s a devout Christian https://t.co/in7MAaR9cc

By John Konrad
US Uniquely Disengages when Angry with You
SocialMay 1, 2026

US Uniquely Disengages when Angry with You

The US is the only country that occupies you less when it’s mad at you

By Doomberg
U.S. Must Outpace China in AI Infrastructure
SocialMay 1, 2026

U.S. Must Outpace China in AI Infrastructure

China is our adversary. They are building more power than we are, and then using it to power data centers to advance both economic interests and of course military as well. We can’t let the Chinese beat us in AI....

By Kevin O'Leary
China’s Naval Push Raises Hormuz‑style Tension Concerns
SocialMay 1, 2026

China’s Naval Push Raises Hormuz‑style Tension Concerns

China ships near other countries. Their military. Will the Strait of Hormuz fiasco play here?

By Tom Craig
Abandoning Iran Deal: Decade’s Biggest Strategic Mistake
SocialMay 1, 2026

Abandoning Iran Deal: Decade’s Biggest Strategic Mistake

Walking away from the Iran nuclear deal was one of the most consequential strategic errors of the last decade, writes @citrinowicz My take: The Iran War was the biggest military blunder since 1812 The greatest economic blunder in human history https://t.co/DN3n26r6W4

By Art Berman Blog
Modified Ex‑Qatari Jet Ready as New Air Force One
SocialMay 1, 2026

Modified Ex‑Qatari Jet Ready as New Air Force One

New VC-25B Air Force One “Bridge” Aircraft Now Fully Modified And Flight Tested The ex-Qatari royal flight aircraft is scheduled to be delivered to the Presidential Airlift Group this summer after a warp speed modifications and testing regime. https://t.co/pwFoonedWL

By Tyler Rogoway
Mobile SMS Blasters Hijack Toronto Networks, Disrupt Millions
SocialMay 1, 2026

Mobile SMS Blasters Hijack Toronto Networks, Disrupt Millions

Hackers used vehicle-mounted SMS blasters to impersonate networks, disrupt millions of connections, and infiltrate thousands of devices across Toronto streets. https://t.co/z5FSt0Afig

By TechRadar
China Escalates Stealth Flying‑wing Drone Testing
SocialMay 1, 2026

China Escalates Stealth Flying‑wing Drone Testing

Massive Chinese Stealth Flying Wings Spotted Together At Secretive Drone Test Base Testing of China's very large flying-wing drones appears to be ramping up, along with one unmanned fighter-like design. Latest on 'Monster of Malan' and more: https://t.co/9CYsXtUVYI

By Tyler Rogoway
US‑Iran Talks Stall, Oil Stocks Dip Another 100 M Barrels
SocialMay 1, 2026

US‑Iran Talks Stall, Oil Stocks Dip Another 100 M Barrels

Every weekend half my feed expects a sudden breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations and the other half expects a sharp resumption of bombings. Of course, the most likely outcome is that absolutely nothing changes and we do this again next week, down...

By Rory Johnston
Future Ukrainian Air Force: Ghosts, Vipers, Gripen, Mirage
SocialMay 1, 2026

Future Ukrainian Air Force: Ghosts, Vipers, Gripen, Mirage

Ghosts, Vipers, Gripens & Mirages - @EagleMena looks at the future Ukrainian Air Force 'In the latest issue of AEROSPACE - May 2026' #avgeek https://t.co/wiRuHNXDiN https://t.co/wRZnDZTEQC

By Tim Robinson
U.S. Navy Blockade Pushes Iran’s Oil to Sea Storage
SocialMay 1, 2026

U.S. Navy Blockade Pushes Iran’s Oil to Sea Storage

US Naval Blockade Squeezes Iran's Oil Exports, Forces Crude Onto Floating Storage. What us the Navy doing if there us no war? https://t.co/IVew9eYx3o

By Tom Craig
White House Declares Iran Hostilities Ended Amid War Powers Deadline
SocialMay 1, 2026

White House Declares Iran Hostilities Ended Amid War Powers Deadline

White House Says Iran Hostilities ‘Terminated’ as War Powers Deadline Arrives. Pulling the blockade and all the troops? Or dodging getting Congressional approval? And ships in the Strait looking for maritime security? https://t.co/v7grneaRf0

By Tom Craig
Trump Declares Iran War over After Final Blow Briefing
SocialMay 1, 2026

Trump Declares Iran War over After Final Blow Briefing

Thursday: US CENTCOM Commander briefs President Trump on a "final blow" to Iran, Fox News reports. Friday: Trump administration officially tells Congress the war against Iran is over, AP reports.

By Samantha LaDuc
Underwater Drones Echo Old Torpedoes; Surface Drones Differ
SocialMay 1, 2026

Underwater Drones Echo Old Torpedoes; Surface Drones Differ

Torpedoes have been around since the 19th century, so these underwater drones aren't doing anything groundbreaking. Surface maritime drones are a different story. #navalwarfare #drones #geopolitics Note: This video was recorded last year during one of Peter's backpacking...

By Peter Zeihan
UK Seeks New L85 Replacement for Future Small Arms
SocialMay 1, 2026

UK Seeks New L85 Replacement for Future Small Arms

Grayburn: The UK’s Future Small Arms Requirements - I write with @LaurenceT1942 for @RUSI_org on the requirements for an L85 replacement for the British military: https://t.co/Ez7VEaWRPM

By Jack Watling
Qatar's New AF One Aircraft Set for Summer Delivery
SocialMay 1, 2026

Qatar's New AF One Aircraft Set for Summer Delivery

Just in: AF says new Qatari-`Bridge' AF One ready for delivery this summer: ``The aircraft is on schedule to roll out in a new red, white and blue livery this summer,'' service says; L3 Harris disclosed as contractor modifying it.

By Tony Capaccio
Support for Ukraine Halting Russian Oil Production
SocialMay 1, 2026

Support for Ukraine Halting Russian Oil Production

If Ukraine manages to completely disrupt Russian oil production and export, I am here for it!

By Auke Hoekstra
Dark Eagle Extends Moscow Reach via Middle East
SocialMay 1, 2026

Dark Eagle Extends Moscow Reach via Middle East

An interesting wrinkle to @mgerrydoyle's story is that Dark Eagle can also range Moscow from Israel, Jordan and the Gulf. https://t.co/MgOn1Ht6oI

By Jeffrey Lewis
Blockade Needed: Stop Rogue Oil Blackmail After Ukraine Invasion
SocialMay 1, 2026

Blockade Needed: Stop Rogue Oil Blackmail After Ukraine Invasion

After Russia invaded Ukraine, Putin used the threat of high oil prices to scare the West into inaction. That's why I now support the blockade. We cannot allow rogue oil exporters to blackmail us. The cost of appeasement is visible...

By Robin Brooks
Blockade Needed to Cut Off Dangerous Oil Exporters
SocialMay 1, 2026

Blockade Needed to Cut Off Dangerous Oil Exporters

I first proposed a blockade on March 16, one month before it got announced. Whatever you think of Trump, he's right on this. Only way to counter a dangerous oil exporter is to cut off its lifeblood. That's what 4...

By Robin Brooks
Bin Laden Killed Near Pakistan’s Military Academy, Not Remote.
SocialMay 1, 2026

Bin Laden Killed Near Pakistan’s Military Academy, Not Remote.

On this day in 2011, Osama bin Laden was found and killed in Abbottabad, Pakistan. Not in a remote tribal area, but less than a mile (.8, walking distance) from the Pakistan Military Academy, their version of West Point. A garrison...

By John Spencer
US Blockade Pressures Iran, Mirroring Hormuz Tactics
SocialMay 1, 2026

US Blockade Pressures Iran, Mirroring Hormuz Tactics

The US blockade aims to do two things: (i) give Iran a taste of its own medicine for blockading the Strait of Hormuz; (ii) send Iran’s economy into a tailspin and thereby bring the regime to the negotiating table in...

By Robin Brooks
Former DIA CTO Links AI, Cybersecurity, and Data Center Strategies
SocialMay 1, 2026

Former DIA CTO Links AI, Cybersecurity, and Data Center Strategies

We are discussing cybersecurity, data centers and AI with the former CTO of the Defense Intelligence Agency https://t.co/vDEsjpoKep

By Vala Afshar
New Nuclear Bunker‑Buster Plans Unveiled After Decades
SocialMay 1, 2026

New Nuclear Bunker‑Buster Plans Unveiled After Decades

New Nuclear Bunker Buster Bomb Plans Revealed There has been talk for decades about a true successor to the specialized deep bunker-busting B61-11 nuclear bomb. https://t.co/lMZFN6fq1P

By Tyler Rogoway
Exploring Vibe-Replaced Security Tools: Lessons Coming Soon
SocialMay 1, 2026

Exploring Vibe-Replaced Security Tools: Lessons Coming Soon

Inspired by recent "can I vibe-replace my security tools" discussions.... more lessons next week :-) https://t.co/s63hzaCpBb

By Dr. Anton Chuvakin
Iran War Stalemate Fuels Oil Price Gamble
SocialMay 1, 2026

Iran War Stalemate Fuels Oil Price Gamble

The bottom line is the Iran War is "stuck." No War (shooting) No Peace No Shipping No Crude Oil, LNG, Fertilizer, and/or Helium And it will stay "stuck" until circumstances change. The most likely change ... * The US/Israel restart kinetic attacks with the goal...

By Jim Bianco
White House Says Ceasefire Bypasses Congress, Despite Deadline
SocialMay 1, 2026

White House Says Ceasefire Bypasses Congress, Despite Deadline

White House Claims Ceasefire Means No Congressional Approval Needed For Iran War… Yet The White House stance on seeking permission to continue the war comes on the deadline for Congressional action. Latest on the conflict: https://t.co/FO8WtS6Zoo

By Tyler Rogoway
Estimating May's Chances For
SocialMay 1, 2026

Estimating May's Chances For

What is the probability of a bilateral agreement between to end the war between Iran and the U.S. being announced in May in your opinion

By Andy Constan
Negotiation Hinges on Who Bends: Iran or US
SocialMay 1, 2026

Negotiation Hinges on Who Bends: Iran or US

Trump says Iran is asking for things he "can't agree with." But in reality, what he means is that he doesn't **want** to to agree to them. Ultimately, however, this is a negotiation. Both sides would have to swallow stuff they...

By Javier Blas
Iran Vows to Retain Nuclear, Missile Capabilities, Reversing Pre‑war Stance
SocialMay 1, 2026

Iran Vows to Retain Nuclear, Missile Capabilities, Reversing Pre‑war Stance

Iran's Supreme Leader has said they will maintain their nuclear and missile capabilities. That is backwards from where we were before the war...

By John Kicklighter
Accelerating Weapon Development: A New Testing Revolution
SocialMay 1, 2026

Accelerating Weapon Development: A New Testing Revolution

Speeding up testing and fielding of new weapons - time for a revolution at the speed of relevance? 'In the latest issue of AEROSPACE - May 2026' #avgeek https://t.co/W2p61C5nRQ https://t.co/yjUHZycecJ

By Tim Robinson
Break Larger Forces by Isolating Smaller Units
SocialMay 1, 2026

Break Larger Forces by Isolating Smaller Units

“I very rarely ever fight a brigade. I try to isolate a battalion, then fight a company, then a platoon. Piece by piece, you can take the entire formation apart.” @KTB_500 discussing the proven defensive tactics of #urbanwarfare on my...

By John Spencer
Americans Spend War Money on Driving, Matching Military
SocialMay 1, 2026

Americans Spend War Money on Driving, Matching Military

The US Military estimates it has spent $25B prosecuting the war since February 28 … American motorist have spent almost the same.

By Jim Bianco
Deadlock Persists as Mines Block Shipping and Navigation
SocialMay 1, 2026

Deadlock Persists as Mines Block Shipping and Navigation

Bessent says U.S. blockade will continue until "pre-February 27 Freedom of Navigation" is restored. Hegseth says mines are the biggest issue. Iran says it doesn't know where it's mines are. Shipping says it won't return until it's confirmed free of...

By Mike Schuler
Pentagon Priorities Skewed: More Ships, Fewer Think Tanks
SocialMay 1, 2026

Pentagon Priorities Skewed: More Ships, Fewer Think Tanks

This is the think tank Hegseth shut down because America needs more ships and fewer Pentagon salons. James Baker may be beloved by liberal media, but he helped steer the Pentagon wrong for years. Cue the “how dare you criticize Baker who...

By John Konrad
Logistics Strain Evident as UGVs Crushed Near Kostyantynivka
SocialMay 1, 2026

Logistics Strain Evident as UGVs Crushed Near Kostyantynivka

Video of destroyed UGVs on the road to Kostyantynivka, demonstrating how difficult it is to maintain logistics for Ukrainian units holding the city. https://t.co/F0WuHqrFV3 https://t.co/x2BMMzZEAm https://t.co/jVXVPphPJg

By Rob Lee
Iran Blockade Foreshadows Epic Taiwan Blockade
SocialMay 1, 2026

Iran Blockade Foreshadows Epic Taiwan Blockade

The blockade of Iran sets the table for the coming blockade of Taiwan. It’s going to be a mess of truly epic proportions.

By Zach Coelius
US Munitions Depleted: Half of Key Systems Exhausted
SocialMay 1, 2026

US Munitions Depleted: Half of Key Systems Exhausted

My take @FortuneMagazine on the depleted US munitions: "In Iran, the US has burned through 45% of its Precision Strike Missiles, 50% of its THAAD interceptors, 50% of its Patriot PAC-3 inventory, and 30% of its Tomahawks." US WEAPONS CUPBOARD = EMPTY https://t.co/M437EG5SfV

By Steve Hanke
Europe's Endless Meetings Stall Decisive Hormuz Action
SocialMay 1, 2026

Europe's Endless Meetings Stall Decisive Hormuz Action

Don’t worry Don. Europe is only 8,403 Zoom calls, 103 HR meltdowns, 3 multilateral summits, 33 think tank presentations, and 62 joint planning exercises away from bravely considering the possibility of thinking about sending a minesweeper to Hormuz. https://t.co/qMZgW6eAmU

By John Konrad
Palantir's Dragnet Shows Real Surveillance Dwarfs Advertising Myths
SocialMay 1, 2026

Palantir's Dragnet Shows Real Surveillance Dwarfs Advertising Myths

I've long objected to the "surveillance advertising" trope, for it trivializes actual surveillance under force of government, such as this, brought to us by the folks at Palantir. Gift link. ‘We Know You Live Right Here’: No Secrets in America’s...

By Jeff Jarvis
Ukrainian Guard’s Drone‑UGV Strike Kills Ten Russians
SocialMay 1, 2026

Ukrainian Guard’s Drone‑UGV Strike Kills Ten Russians

Video from the Ukrainian National Guard’s @khartiiabrygada of an operation in February in Kupyansk with kamikaze UAS and UGVs that killed 10 Russian soldiers in a building. https://t.co/NjGOeqALuX https://t.co/RUFDZIsAlw

By Rob Lee
America Unwilling to Risk Lives Over Hormuz
SocialMay 1, 2026

America Unwilling to Risk Lives Over Hormuz

We can. But nobody in America cares enough about Hormuz to risk a single service member’s life.

By John Konrad
GCC May Leverage Insecurity for Cheap US Funding
SocialMay 1, 2026

GCC May Leverage Insecurity for Cheap US Funding

Very much agree and it wouldn't totally surprise me if the GCC countries are trying to play on that insecurity to get a bit of cheap funding from the US ...

By Brad Setser