Defense Social Media and Updates

Deal Talks Mask Potential for Unforeseen War Escalation
SocialApr 25, 2026

Deal Talks Mask Potential for Unforeseen War Escalation

Trump wants to make a deal @jackmon23472449 That doesn’t mean escalation won’t happen Iran may overplay its hand or some accident may provoke a return to violence. War is the most fertile ground for unanticipated outcomes.

By Art Berman Blog
Europe’s Dilemma: Funding Ukraine, Buying Russian Energy, Aligning with China
SocialApr 25, 2026

Europe’s Dilemma: Funding Ukraine, Buying Russian Energy, Aligning with China

Could someone please explain to the europeans that China supports Russias war in Ukraine. Do Europeans want to: 1. Fund the Ukraine fighting Russia 2. Buy energy in Russia funding Russias war in Ukraine 3. Team up with China that is supporting...

By Mads Christiansen
Russia Prepares Another Sarmat ICBM Test After Failure
SocialApr 25, 2026

Russia Prepares Another Sarmat ICBM Test After Failure

It appears that another launch attempt is planned for the troubled Sarmat ICBM from Dombarovsky/Yasny deployment area: https://t.co/Jp0mtejWzK https://t.co/b4NVoZ5Ezn

By Anatoly Zak
Iran Holds the Cards on Hormuz Strait
SocialApr 25, 2026

Iran Holds the Cards on Hormuz Strait

My take on @RT_com on who will ultimately control the Strait of Hormuz: "Either you run the show, or the show runs you. And in the case of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran will be running the show." IRAN = HOLDS THE...

By Steve Hanke
Congress United on Missile Defense, Divided on SBIs
SocialApr 25, 2026

Congress United on Missile Defense, Divided on SBIs

Despite a consensus on missile defense, Congress doesn't see eye to eye on SBIs. https://t.co/3FvhnjrIXV

By Stephen Clark
US Favors Economic Pressure, Watches Iran and Europe's Allegiance
SocialApr 25, 2026

US Favors Economic Pressure, Watches Iran and Europe's Allegiance

Time works for USA atm. Economic Fury is way better than bombs. USA is waiting for Iran to figure out who the leadership is. Actually also waiting for Europe to chose a path - team China or team USA.

By Mads Christiansen
Former Islamist Figure Aims to Shift Syria, Peace Israel
SocialApr 25, 2026

Former Islamist Figure Aims to Shift Syria, Peace Israel

If he can be trusted and it is a risk, tempered by quest for survival, international legitimacy and funds He proves historic figure with Islamist terror roots who will have helped change the chessboard and remove Iran influence in Syria And make...

By Josh Wolfe
Beware: Fake Login Alerts with Password Reset Links
SocialApr 25, 2026

Beware: Fake Login Alerts with Password Reset Links

Received an email from X warning you of new or unusual login attempts, with a handy 'change password' link? Beware, it's a slick new phishing attack that can trick even the most vigilant user. I've seen this with other sites...

By Dave Taylor
Trump's Abrupt Cancellation Reveals Diplomatic Ignorance
SocialApr 25, 2026

Trump's Abrupt Cancellation Reveals Diplomatic Ignorance

Trump canceled Pakistan talks with Iran "We have all the cards," he said. He has no idea about international negotiations They take time. You build trust. Maybe they start to like you. Then the real work begins. What an ignoramus. #Geopolitics #Negotiation #Strategy https://t.co/Zh5aQx13iy

By Art Berman Blog
Iran’s Limited Strikes Damage US Bases, Reveal Vulnerability
SocialApr 25, 2026

Iran’s Limited Strikes Damage US Bases, Reveal Vulnerability

Iran’s strikes did real damage—bases hit, aircraft destroyed, troops wounded But not decisive damage. The bigger story is that even limited hits degrade operations and expose vulnerability https://t.co/3xbHUBsDXi #Geopolitics #Iran #USMilitary #EnergyCrisis #War

By Art Berman Blog
Trump's Unilateral Iran Deal Withdrawal Lacked Strategic Planning
SocialApr 25, 2026

Trump's Unilateral Iran Deal Withdrawal Lacked Strategic Planning

starting to think president trump’s unilateral withdrawal from the iranian nuclear deal wasn’t well thought through.

By Ian Bremmer
UK Reaffirms Falklands Sovereignty Amid US Pressure
SocialApr 25, 2026

UK Reaffirms Falklands Sovereignty Amid US Pressure

FFS. Is the idiot going to have us invade the Falklands next? The wake up every morning asking where they can spread their shitshow next. UK insists control of Falklands ‘not in question’ despite US memo https://t.co/lMswmjmQbz

By Jeff Jarvis
Iran War Enters Week Nine, Strait of Hormuz Closed
SocialApr 25, 2026

Iran War Enters Week Nine, Strait of Hormuz Closed

Today marks the start of the 9th week of the Iran War and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/SlkCd7pW0e

By Rory Johnston
Third‑party Threat Materializes in Bab Al‑Mandab, Not Houthis
SocialApr 25, 2026

Third‑party Threat Materializes in Bab Al‑Mandab, Not Houthis

For those who attended the last two Spaces, I told you the fear in Bab Al Mandab is not from the Houthis, but from third parties…. Now it happened. Here:

By Anas Alhajji
Questioning Finland's NATO Entry, Urging Exclusion of Hostile States
SocialApr 25, 2026

Questioning Finland's NATO Entry, Urging Exclusion of Hostile States

Why did we let Finland into NATO? Any nation who hates us more than Turkey should go fend for themselves.

By John Konrad
DoJ’s National Security Division Loses 38% of Staff
SocialApr 25, 2026

DoJ’s National Security Division Loses 38% of Staff

DoJ has cut thousands of jobs. Its National Security Division, which handles intelligence and terrorism, has lost nearly 38% of staff. This includes the unit that handles espionage cases and the export of sensitive military ​technology https://t.co/vamkuDYRgp

By Kim Zetter
Finland Sparks EU Debate on China‑Russia‑North Korea Alliance
SocialApr 25, 2026

Finland Sparks EU Debate on China‑Russia‑North Korea Alliance

I think Finland is starting the ‘debate’ in EU if EU really want to be on team China+Russia+NorthKorea

By Mads Christiansen
Russia Fires 47 Missiles, 619 Drones; Ballistic Missiles Unblocked
SocialApr 25, 2026

Russia Fires 47 Missiles, 619 Drones; Ballistic Missiles Unblocked

According to the Ukrainian Air Force, overnight Russia launched 47 missiles and 619 OWA UAS, including: -12 Iskander-M / S-400 (R-48) ballistic missiles -29 Kh-101 cruise missiles -1 Iskander-K cruise missile - 5 Kalibr cruise missiles - 619 Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and...

By Rob Lee
Supply Chains Are Modern Battlefields: Minerals Power Geopolitics
SocialApr 25, 2026

Supply Chains Are Modern Battlefields: Minerals Power Geopolitics

Modern conflict runs on minerals, and supply chains are the new front line. Copper, diesel, and critical inputs are now strategic chokepoints. Disrupt them, and you don’t just slow economies You constrain militaries and industrial capacity at the same time. https://t.co/DP07bbbv9z ...

By Art Berman Blog
US Limits Make Israel‑Iran Stalemate More Likely
SocialApr 25, 2026

US Limits Make Israel‑Iran Stalemate More Likely

You may be right about Israeli intent @citrinowicz But intent is not capacity. Trump has munitions limits, midterms, quagmire risk, and growing distrust of Netanyahu’s agenda. Escalation is possible—but stalemate is more likely. #Iran #Israel #Oil #Geopolitics

By Art Berman Blog
Iran's Real Power: Strait of Hormuz Outweighs Nukes
SocialApr 25, 2026

Iran's Real Power: Strait of Hormuz Outweighs Nukes

“… The Strait of Hormuz, geography’s strategic gift to Iran, is now a more potent source of influence for Tehran than its nuclear program, ballistic missiles or proxies have ever been…” https://t.co/6yrHVfIioz

By Javier Blas
EU Plans Border Defense Amid Waning US Support
SocialApr 25, 2026

EU Plans Border Defense Amid Waning US Support

EU is drafting plans to defend its borders as US support wavers https://t.co/QrJJcEtPQf via @AfPalasciano @AlbertoNardelli @europressos https://t.co/kX9urSiE1C

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Ceasefire And
SocialApr 25, 2026

Ceasefire And

✍️ FT editorial 🤔 👉”A prolonged uneasy ceasefire with a blockade may push the war off the front pages and 💥allow Trump to walk away. 👉 the framework deal 👉”It would start with the US easing the blockade and Iran reopening the Strait....

By Richard Baldwin
US Weaponizes Gas Abroad, Fuels Climate Crisis, Needs Clean Energy
SocialApr 25, 2026

US Weaponizes Gas Abroad, Fuels Climate Crisis, Needs Clean Energy

America is basically using gas as a weapon of war against Asia and Europe: their violent actions in the Middle East have pushed up the price elsewhere but *not* in the US. Fossil gas causes climate change AND it's an...

By Ketan Joshi
Oil Bans Won’t Force Iran’s Surrender, Hormuz Remains Vulnerable
SocialApr 25, 2026

Oil Bans Won’t Force Iran’s Surrender, Hormuz Remains Vulnerable

Cutting Iran’s oil exports—even to zero—doesn’t guarantee capitulation, writes @RKelanic Countries fight through far worse. Ukraine lost 30% of GDP—and kept going. Iran doesn’t need prosperity to disrupt Hormuz. #Geopolitics #OilMarkets #Iran #EnergyCrisis #Strategy

By Art Berman Blog
Secretary of Defense Shouldn't Claim Missile Destination Knowledge
SocialApr 25, 2026

Secretary of Defense Shouldn't Claim Missile Destination Knowledge

How could the Secretary of Defense be expected to know where our Tomahawk missiles are going?

By Dean Baker
Drone Kills Cost $1k, Soldiers Wield Shotguns
SocialApr 25, 2026

Drone Kills Cost $1k, Soldiers Wield Shotguns

It costs $1000 to kill a human soldier with a drone. The soldiers are carrying shotguns.

By Noah Smith
Phishing Attacks Surge, Spreading Anxiety Across All Channels
SocialApr 25, 2026

Phishing Attacks Surge, Spreading Anxiety Across All Channels

It’s hard to overstate the acceleration in frequency, cleverness and diversity of phishing and targeted exploits across every media channel over the past month or so. Have experienced it personally but also via friends and family, several of whom have...

By Adam Butler
Shotguns Become Ukraine's Portable Anti‑drone Weapon
SocialApr 25, 2026

Shotguns Become Ukraine's Portable Anti‑drone Weapon

Talked to some Ukrainians. They confirmed a shotgun is the best man-portable drone defense. But what that means is that it takes 2 drones to kill a man instead of 1. They told me about one Russian soldier who shot...

By Noah Smith
Upgraded Marine F/A‑18s Become Lethal Drone Hunters
SocialApr 24, 2026

Upgraded Marine F/A‑18s Become Lethal Drone Hunters

USMC F/A-18C/Ds pushed to the Middle East are extremely capable drone hunters. Now significantly upgraded w/APG-79V4 AESA and APKWS air-to-air rockets. Good targeting pod etc. Marines better at dispersed ops. Expect them forward and working in counter air screen over...

By Tyler Rogoway
Trump Confirms US Desire to Close Hormuz Strait
SocialApr 24, 2026

Trump Confirms US Desire to Close Hormuz Strait

💥President Trump has admitted he wanted the Hormuz Strait closed. 💥We knew from June/July and later in November that Washington wanted it closed. 💥We know the largest beneficiary from closing it is the U.S. And I told you that since day one. ...

By Anas Alhajji
Accountability Essential for Learning After Hacks
SocialApr 24, 2026

Accountability Essential for Learning After Hacks

Every time there's a hack, people say 'no grave dancing.' But @TuongvyLe12 points out: without accountability, how does anything ever improve? @DEXintheCityPod 🎧 https://t.co/t3NOHgv3hb

By Laura Shin
Iran Refuses Talks Until US Lifts Blockade, Heads to Islamabad
SocialApr 24, 2026

Iran Refuses Talks Until US Lifts Blockade, Heads to Islamabad

iran said absolutely no talks unless the united states ends blockade. blockade still in place. iranian delegation en route to islamabad.

By Ian Bremmer
Kawasaki Kaleido 9 Expands Robots From Rescue to Combat
SocialApr 24, 2026

Kawasaki Kaleido 9 Expands Robots From Rescue to Combat

From Rescue to Combat: Kawasaki’s Kaleido 9 Pushes #Robotic Boundaries by @CyberRobooo #AI #Robots #Engineering #ArtificialIntelligence #Innovation #Technology https://t.co/uHaKEZKIgC

By Ron van Loon
Cybersecurity and Geopolitics Redefine Operational Risk
SocialApr 24, 2026

Cybersecurity and Geopolitics Redefine Operational Risk

The New Frontier of Operational Risk: Why Cybersecurity and Geopolitics Now Define Business Survival by Chuck Brooks — SKYTOP https://t.co/1fdZiUXtUn

By Chuck Brooks
Air Force to Introduce C‑37C, Replacing Legacy Fleet by 2027
SocialApr 24, 2026

Air Force to Introduce C‑37C, Replacing Legacy Fleet by 2027

The Air Force wants to start recapitalizing its C-37 executive airlift fleet, bringing on the C-37C in 2027 to replace C-37A/Bs. https://t.co/LjA6EBohu2

By Brian Everstine
U.S. Prepares Unprecedented Large‑Scale Combat Ops Against Iran
SocialApr 24, 2026

U.S. Prepares Unprecedented Large‑Scale Combat Ops Against Iran

The U.S. military is prepared to conduct combat operations at a scale not yet seen in Iran. That includes operations to degrade/destroy all means Iran has (radar, communication, munitions, mines, boats, C2, etc) to influence the Strait of Hormuz, which...

By John Spencer
President Demands Immediate Action on Shipbuilding Crisis
SocialApr 24, 2026

President Demands Immediate Action on Shipbuilding Crisis

The shipbuilding crisis is absolutely 💯 urgent. What’s astonishing is how many people keep dropping the ball, slow-walking decisions, then acting shocked when the president gets angry. He is not OK with “maybe in two weeks.” I’ve never met POTUS, but multiple...

By John Konrad
Pentagon Tests Ukrainian Drone Tactics, Revamps Counter‑drone Strategy
SocialApr 24, 2026

Pentagon Tests Ukrainian Drone Tactics, Revamps Counter‑drone Strategy

"The Pentagon replicated a Ukrainian-style drone attack in Florida. Now it’s changing its counter-drone strategy." https://t.co/XdZUAowAFT members of the 10th Special Forces Group launched a drone assault that mirrored the “spiderweb” attack that Ukraine had recently staged against Russia. In their mock assault,...

By John Spencer
Iran Publishes List of Potential Energy Targets
SocialApr 24, 2026

Iran Publishes List of Potential Energy Targets

How do you say TACO in Farsi? Iran lists energy infrastructure it will (but won't) target when shooting begins again (but won't) Abqaiq, Safaniya,Khurais, RasGas, Ras Laffan, Das and Zirku gas hubs, Burgan Maybe the Permian too?

By Art Berman Blog
Air Force Expands KC-46 Fleet to 319, Costs Rise
SocialApr 24, 2026

Air Force Expands KC-46 Fleet to 319, Costs Rise

New: The Air Force wants to greatly increase its KC-46 fleet Long-term plan now includes 319 of the tankers to replace KC-135s. That’s 140 more than the original program of record. Plus, budget docs show fly-away unit costs increasing...

By Brian Everstine
Trump and Skydio Pledge $3.5B Boost to U.S. Drones
SocialApr 24, 2026

Trump and Skydio Pledge $3.5B Boost to U.S. Drones

President Trump is unleashing American drone dominance. And today, @SkydioHQ announced a $3.5 Billion investment in our domestic drone market. 🇺🇸 This means more U.S. jobs, innovation, & leadership. Pleased to join for their announcement at Fairfax County Police HQ with President...

By Brendan Carr
Dual IMO and USCG Rules Stifle U.S. Shipbuilding
SocialApr 24, 2026

Dual IMO and USCG Rules Stifle U.S. Shipbuilding

When asked how we fix shipbuilding and the Merchant Marine, U.S. Maritime Administrator Steve Carmel points to the United Nations @IMOHQ as a primary problem. Most of the world follows one set of rules: UN IMO. U.S.-flagged ships suffer under a...

By John Konrad
US Navy Logistics Struggle: Limited Sealift, Vulnerable Bases
SocialApr 24, 2026

US Navy Logistics Struggle: Limited Sealift, Vulnerable Bases

I posted this video today on how the @USNavy is conducting logistics in the Indian Ocean to support Operation Epic Fury. A few major issues stand out: 1⃣The initial logistics infrastructure ashore was too vulnerable to attack and the US...

By Sal Mercogliano
Iran Conflict Drains Taiwan‑Ready Missiles, Threatening Victory
SocialApr 24, 2026

Iran Conflict Drains Taiwan‑Ready Missiles, Threatening Victory

The Iran war burned through America’s L-RASM, JASSM-ER, and Tomahawk stockpiles — weapons designed for a Pacific fight against the PLA Navy, not the Iranian corvette fleet. Now Pentagon insiders are leaking that we can’t win a war over Taiwan,...

By Jordan Schneider
Destroying Tuapse Beaches Could Save 2,250 Ukrainian Lives
SocialApr 24, 2026

Destroying Tuapse Beaches Could Save 2,250 Ukrainian Lives

Grok thinks Tuapse represents roughly $1.5 billion/year in tourism, almost entirely from Russians. Let's suppose that this oil spill results in 10% of those tourist dollars getting spent outside of Russia instead, and let's suppose that 30% of those dollars were...

By Peter Todd
Air Force, Navy Boost F-35 Orders Through 2031
SocialApr 24, 2026

Air Force, Navy Boost F-35 Orders Through 2031

The Air Force and Navy proposed stepping up purchases of of Lockheed Martin Corp’s F-35 fighter jet over the next five years. Planned purchases of the AF model increase from 38 jets next year to 42 in fiscal 2028, 46...

By Tony Capaccio
Two Months In, Hormuz Closure Signals Escalating Fallout
SocialApr 24, 2026

Two Months In, Hormuz Closure Signals Escalating Fallout

This week marks the war’s two-month anniversary. The Strait of Hormuz has been closed most of that time. But we’re only now transitioning from the f*ck around phase to the find out phase. Read my thoughts about the fallout headed...

By Scott Galloway
Bessent's Swap Lines Risk Accelerating US Deindustrialization
SocialApr 24, 2026

Bessent's Swap Lines Risk Accelerating US Deindustrialization

Unless Bessent also extends “permanent swap lines” to the US defense industrial base, this would only accelerate the de-industrialization of the US. Why invest in manufacturing in the US while Bessent is giving cheap USDs to support lower cost competitors around...

By Luke Gromen