Global Economy Videos

Canada's Trade Deficit Widened to $5.7 Billion

Canada’s trade balance slipped to a $5.7 billion deficit in February, the widest shortfall since August and the deepest reading in several months. The figure reflects activity before the Iran‑Israel conflict, but economists warn that the war will add further volatility to the data. The deficit was driven by a mix of one‑off and structural factors. Gold price swings and related import‑export movements created noise, while a sharp rebound in auto production after a January slowdown boosted vehicle exports. Despite these fluctuations, both imports and exports grew, signalling underlying economic strength. Senior economist Shelley Koshik highlighted that higher global oil prices and the ongoing war‑driven demand for energy, fertilizers, and aluminum could help narrow the gap in March. She also noted that Canada’s share of U.S. exports fell from roughly three‑quarters to two‑thirds, suggesting a modest shift toward market diversification. If energy prices remain elevated, the trade balance may improve, easing pressure on the Canadian dollar, which has held near 0.72 U.S. cents. However, persistent deficits and a reduced U.S. surplus could still weigh on the currency and prompt policymakers to accelerate diversification efforts.