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Tuesday recap
Morgan Stanley kept an Overweight rating on MercadoLibre (MELI) but lowered its price target to $2,800, down from $2,950. The bank also cut its 2026 EBIT‑margin forecast to 10.1% from 11.5%, citing higher logistics and marketing expenditures. Management frames the spending as a long‑term expansion play in a region where e‑commerce penetration and digital banking remain low. Analysts note the trade‑off between near‑term margin pressure and the company’s growing competitive moat across Latin America’s e‑commerce and fintech ecosystem.
The US‑Israeli strikes on Iran prompted Tehran to shut the Strait of Hormuz, cutting roughly a fifth of global oil flows and pushing Brent crude above $100 a barrel. The surge in oil and LNG prices is spilling into gasoline,...
Heineken announced it will intensify its focus on India, calling the country the world’s biggest untapped beer market. The brewer, which controls United Breweries and the Kingfisher brand, already commands close to 50% of Indian beer sales. It cites structural...
Thai refiners have secured a rare cargo of North Sea Forties crude, purchasing roughly 700,000 barrels from Trafigura for a late‑March shipment. This marks the first Thai acquisition of North Sea oil since Bloomberg began tracking in 2019, highlighting a...
Iran has stated it will allow tankers through the Strait of Hormuz - but only for shipments paid for in Chinese yuan rather than US dollars. The dollar is THE standard currency of the fossil fuel trade. Iran didn’t just announce...
Chinese tech magnates, including the founders of TCL and Xpeng, announced plans to double their outbound investment, targeting the Middle East and Latin America. The pledge comes as the US‑Israel conflict with Iran escalates and Washington intensifies pressure on Venezuela....
In Episode 418 of The Weekly Option, host Eric reviews last week’s option trades on UiPath, Redcat Holdings, the US Oil ETF, and Occidental Petroleum, noting mostly profitable outcomes and minimal adjustments needed. He then introduces four new trades for...
Risk premium rising across equities and credit while intraday correlation between oil and equities around -80%. Oil shocks push the tide out and expose underlying weak links. The peak in oil in June 2022 explained the first low in markets...
The weekly recap highlights a sharp rise in oil to $99 amid the Iran‑Israel conflict, pressuring equities and widening the S&P 500 correction. Gold and silver have pulled back 10% and 33% respectively, but the author views these moves as...
Hong Kong’s upcoming five‑year plan proposes making the Sino‑Indian partnership a strategic pillar. The proposal calls for extending visa‑free entry for Indian nationals, leveraging the Indian diaspora for scholarships and AI talent, and offering tax incentives to attract Indian firms...
Wall Street closed lower on Friday, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all in the red, putting the week on a negative trajectory. The decline was driven by heightened tensions in the war on Iran, which pushed crude oil above...
Rising fuel prices in the Philippines have sparked a surge in consumer interest for electric vehicles and rooftop solar installations. Experts caution that the rush is driven more by panic than sound financial analysis, emphasizing that true value lies in...
Is the gold rush over? The safe haven appeal seems to be fizzling out in gold and silver, the reason is probably something most are overlooking.
MORE US LNG EXPORTS 🇺🇸 🚢 Venture Global will move forward with an $8.6 billion expansion of its third LNG plant in Louisiana Global demand for US LNG is surging as the war in the Middle East cuts off shipments from...
Wall Street is betting on cybersecurity firms as AI agents expand enterprise traffic. Analysts highlight CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, Cloudflare and Okta as the top AI‑proof plays, citing strong platform capabilities and favorable valuation metrics. The iShares Cybersecurity ETF outperformed...
This is what we are going to do today to prepare for next week. Nifty outlook for the week month or year ahead. https://t.co/3heCkFAHQ1
Gold selling off with stocks is necessary now for Treasuries to return. And this is playing out exactly as I argued it would. Phase 1 of the reverse carry trade.
U.S. officials, including Interior Secretary Doug Burgum, confirmed that the Trump administration has discussed using oil futures contracts to temper soaring crude prices amid the escalating Iran‑Israel conflict. While the idea was explored, Burgum said no concrete market intervention has...
Rate were under 3% in 2021 and now over 6 What did 5 years of renting really get him
Frank Holmes: Why Gold Could Be the Biggest Winner of the Oil Crisis https://t.co/1FnUMR2dSZ via @USFunds
Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer at Carlyle Energy Pathways, told Bloomberg Surveillance that the ongoing Iran war is already disrupting the global oil and gas supply chain. He warned that the damage could take months to unwind and cautioned market...
Despite the recent rally, oil priced in gold has barely budged. That puts into perspective how undervalued oil may still be. And no, this is not negative for gold. If anything, it reinforces the idea that we are entering an era of structurally...
WOW. ANOTHER ONE. Japanese builders are rapidly acquiring U.S. homebuilders—striking their third deal in a month This week, Japan-based Hajime Construction agreed to buy Utah-based Wright Homes My latest for ResiClub: https://t.co/FgJwjNewbx
Brent crude futures climbed above $103 a barrel on Friday, extending their run into triple‑digit levels. The rally was driven by traders’ concerns over a potential prolonged disruption of Gulf oil supplies amid the ongoing regional conflict. Simultaneously, several governments...
Most investors misunderstand the cost of equity. Below is the most explicit Buffett has ever been on his cost of equity... BUT the real insights come from Charlie Munger's push back and Buffett's Punch Card Idea ⬇️Link⬇️
US oil prices surge above $99/barrel, now up nearly +10% on the week. Once again, the US appears to be losing control of the oil market.
In the debut episode of Gundlach Unlocked, DoubleLine founder Jeffrey Gundlach warned that inflation is likely to stay above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and that long‑term rates have stalled despite recent cuts. He also sees the U.S. dollar entering a...
Rick Rule warns that renewed oil price volatility is inflating mining operating costs and reshaping the sector’s risk profile. He draws parallels to the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo, noting how energy shocks can trigger profound real‑asset cycles. The interview also...
European power markets are experiencing a sharp price surge as gas costs climb sharply following the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Major gas hubs across Europe have seen prices more than double, pushing gas‑fired electricity tariffs to roughly...
The number Wall Street was dreading arrived today. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.7% — literally half the initial reading — while core PCE inflation climbed to 3.1%, its highest since early 2024. The S&P 500 responded by hitting...
The Center for Economic and Business Forecasting at UTCC outlined three Middle‑East war scenarios, estimating that a prolonged, wide‑scale conflict could shave 2.31 percentage points off Thailand’s GDP. In the worst case, energy‑cost burdens would rise above 200 billion baht, exports could...
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its policy rate at 0.75% at the March 2026 meeting, postponing any hike until at least April. Market participants cite heightened volatility from the Iran‑Israel conflict and surging energy prices as key...
In 2010, homes in Vegas were $100K and people still said “I’m waiting for the crash.” Today they’re $500K…
The Senate passed the 21st Century Road to Housing Act, targeting increased supply and tighter rules on institutional investors. Inflation eased to 2.4% in February, prompting the Federal Reserve to likely hold rates at its March meeting, while mortgage rates rose...
👀 💵Remember the fuss about Bessent conducting an ESF-funded fx swap exchange to support the Argentinian peso back in October 2025? We now have the details of those transactions via the quarterly reporting Congress requires for Treasury’s Exchange Stabilization Fund operations. They...
Effective March 13, 2026, the National Securities Clearing Corporation will no longer accept exercise and assignment activity for ClearSign Technologies Corp. (CLIR) options, forcing all such transactions to settle on a broker‑to‑broker basis through the Options Clearing Corporation. The OCC...
The Seeking Alpha piece spotlights 18 silver mining companies that are projected to increase production over the next 12‑18 months. It highlights firms with expanding reserves, higher ore grades, and cost‑efficient operations, many of which are positioned in North America...
5 setups. 4 winners. 1 loss. 🎯 Here’s exactly how I traded Friday’s balanced NQ session using the VWAP Wave System. Comment VWAP and I’ll send you the free VWAP Wave guide + Discord where we trade these setups live. #futures #vwap...
OK, I suppose we should admit the White House was right, and, all along, they did have a plan to deal with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Bomb Kharg Island.
Northeast Private Client Group closed a $4.375 million sale of 21 Spring St., a 31‑unit multifamily building in Windsor Locks, Connecticut. The buyer and seller were not disclosed, and NPCG’s investment VPs represented the seller and sourced the buyer. The property, known as...
New at THE OVERSHOOT: Markets Are Still Sanguine About the Oil Outlook https://t.co/QsizGVkoI5 Prior oil shocks in 1973 and 1979 involved far larger price increases than what we have seen so far. Yet this shock involves a hit to volumes that is unprecedented...
Value investing is alive and well. The indices (S&P & Russell) have cap, sector and factor-selection biases that mask the performance of classic investment strategies. Buying a cross-sectional (sector-neutral basket) of cheap stocks has outperformed over time, and even during...
The U.S. Trade Representative announced Section 301 investigations into 16 countries, including China, and separate probes into 60 economies over forced‑labor concerns. In response, Chinese officials warned they could reinstate rare‑earth export restrictions and halt soybean purchases if Washington proceeds with...
Rate locks between 6.20% - 6.35% corrinadting with positive purchase application data and weekly pending sales all year long, so far, yes. At 6.41% today is the first day that pricing is above the September 17th, 2025 data point https://t.co/lqWqldYe3s
attention all you who are decidedly negative and pessimistic... there are 70 large-cap U.S. stocks that are up more than +30% YTD... how many do you own? study the charts, learn to understand how to spot demand and supply inflection......
Analyst Komal Sarwar initiates coverage of the iShares US Basic Materials ETF (IYM) with a buy rating, highlighting its 35% total return over the past twelve months. The fund’s targeted exposure to industrial gases, gold, copper and other metals drives outperformance versus peers such...
MORE COLLATERAL DAMAGE FROM THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN: Fertilizer shipments from the Persian Gulf are stuck. Fertilizer prices have jumped about 30%. US FARMERS ARE STARTING TO TURN AGAINST TRUMP. https://t.co/IwXKoWCUj0
Challenging week with the unknowns but pretty oversold according to S&P Ocillator at -8. By the time we have the knowns I think stocks will be higher. $NOW $SNPS $NFLX $COF $DKS - a few gems on sale....
tonight at your cocktail 🍸 party when someone says that interest rates are coming down and the central bank has you covered, tell them the @bankofcanada has dropped rates 7 times since Sep/24 and 5 & 10 yields are higher...
Since 2000, the average year has seen an 87 bps range between the highest 30-year fixed mortgage rate reading in the calendar year and the lowest reading So far in 2026, that range has been 42 bps Lowest this year: 5.99% Highest...
