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Every morning
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Home contract cancellations slipped to 7.2% in February 2026, down from 7.4% a year earlier and 7.6% in January, signaling growing buyer resolve. At the same time, pending home sales rose 4.2% year‑over‑year, the strongest gain in 15 months, buoyed by mortgage rates hovering near multi‑year lows below 6%. Among the 50 largest metros, New York City posted the lowest cancellation rate at 2.7%, followed by Buffalo, Raleigh, San Jose and San Francisco. Analysts attribute the stability to affluent buyer pools, nonrefundable deposits and tight inventory in high‑price markets.
The Iran‑Israel‑US conflict has forced the cancellation of several South American soymeal and soybean cargoes destined for Iran, prompting exporters to consider washouts or rerouting. Soymeal premiums are under pressure as freight rates spike, especially on Atlantic routes, while Brazil’s...
FYI, my latest article in the Financial Times discusses how the war in Iran and skyrocketing oil prices can compound the spillovers from an uncertain US labor market and financial strains in three market sectors. https://www.ft.com/content/418455bc-e177-46a4-8e25-44c837f49038 #economy #markets #oil #middleeastwar @financialtimes
Meta's $2 billion acquisition of Chinese AI startup Manus sparked criticism for overpaying, yet the deal highlights how strategic buyers can justify premium prices. The article argues that relying on comparable‑company analysis often undervalues a business’s future integration potential. It urges...
A historic red‑brick townhouse on West 74th Street is listed for $14.9 million, featuring a rare 41‑foot indoor swimming pool with skylight. The five‑story, 6,500‑sq‑ft residence includes five bedrooms, six full baths, two elevators, and a terrace‑enabled primary suite. Purchased by...
In February 2026 the European Union purchased every cargo from Russia’s Yamal LNG project, amounting to 1.54 million tonnes across 21 shipments, the first full‑yearly capture since 2018. The purchases came just nine months before the EU’s scheduled ban on Russian...
Cheniere Energy, Fair Isaac (FICO) and Zillow Group announced sizable share repurchase programs, collectively representing a significant portion of each company's market value. Cheniere boosted its capacity to $10.2 billion, roughly 20% of its $52 billion market cap, while FICO authorized a...
The Advent Convertible and Income Fund (AVK) delivers an 11.63% distribution yield by blending convertible securities with high‑yield junk bonds. Leverage sits at 37.07%, amplifying returns while keeping principal volatility moderate. The fund trades at a 6.86% discount to NAV,...
Macro and equity hedge funds delivered solid February returns as geopolitical tensions rose. The HFRI Composite Index rose 1.9%, driven by macro strategies that posted a 3% gain, the strongest monthly performance since 2003. Commodity‑focused macro managers led the charge...
The opinion piece argues that Ethiopia should be wary of joining the East African Community (EAC), citing systemic failures among current members. It highlights that several states have missed subscription payments, lack airspace integration, and prioritize arms spending over regional...
In this episode Clark Howard breaks down where to find the cheapest groceries in the U.S., citing Consumer Reports data that shows Walmart as the baseline and highlighting that warehouse clubs like Costco and BJ's, as well as Aldi and...
The article highlights four soft‑drink stocks poised for strong investor returns: AG Barr, Monster Energy, Keurig Dr Pepper and Celsius Holdings. AG Barr boasts a ROIC above 20% and a 6% free‑cash‑flow yield, while Monster delivers over 20% annual returns with virtually no debt....
About any IEA oil stocks release: ✔️ Volume may not be an issue. At 1.2 billion barrels government stockpiles and 0.6 bil barrels commercial stockpiles, the volume is enough *in theory* to offset the loss of 20 mil b/d for 90...
The South African rand weakened to below R16.90 per US dollar, its lowest level since mid‑December, as oil prices surged more than 25% amid the expanding US‑Israeli conflict with Iran. Higher crude costs and heightened global risk aversion pressured the...
Oil prices have surged sharply as the Middle East conflict intensifies, highlighted by Iran’s appointment of a new supreme leader. The spike has prompted an emergency G7 finance ministers meeting to discuss coordinated responses. In the UK, Prime Minister Sir...
Municipality Finance Plc (MuniFin) issued DKK 1 billion senior notes on 10 March 2026 with a fixed 2.288 % annual coupon and a maturity of 10 March 2031. The issuance is part of MuniFin’s EUR 50 billion medium‑term note programme and is being underwritten by Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken...
Oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel, reigniting market volatility amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Julius Baer strategist Mark Matthews says markets are already pricing in the shock, with Asian equities showing mixed reactions and India’s exposure mitigated by improved oil...
The U.S. dollar surged against the Taiwan dollar on March 9, closing at NT$31.920, a gain of NT$0.242. Trading volume hit US$2.728 billion, with the pair opening at NT$31.720 and peaking at NT$31.952. The sharp rise reflects heightened dollar strength in Asian...
Solaris Energy Infrastructure (NYSE:SEI) received upgraded price targets from Morgan Stanley and Barclays, both reaffirming Overweight ratings. Morgan Stanley lifted its target to $72, while Barclays raised it to $63, citing strong data‑center contracts and equipment procurement outlook. SEI reported...
The article highlights three European equities—ASML, Roche and Intesa Sanpaolo—as long‑term growth and income opportunities. ASML commands a monopoly in EUV lithography, delivering high margins and a projected 30% dividend yield at entry price. Roche leverages a diversified pharma pipeline...
Fitch Ratings warns that the ongoing Iran‑Israel conflict could create new credit risks for emerging‑market sovereigns. Disruptions to Gulf oil supplies may push energy import costs higher, strengthening the US dollar and tightening debt markets, especially for speculative‑grade issuers. Countries...
Reliance Industries shares hovered around ₹1,400 on Monday after an early 2% drop, stabilising despite broader market weakness. The stock oscillated between ₹1,370 and ₹1,413 before settling near its psychological level. Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its overweight stance, keeping the target...
Select Water Solutions (WTTR) received upbeat analyst upgrades after delivering strong fiscal Q4 results. Piper Sandler raised its price target to $16, maintaining an Overweight stance, while Citi lifted its target to $16.50 and reaffirmed a Buy rating. Both firms...
CRUDE OIL Prices above $120 🔥 Big bad news - whole Asian Market Falling 📉 Now understand why I booked remaining profit on Friday. More fall coming - Strong breakdown on chart.🚨 Don't panic ❌ Take decision's wisely ✅ @champ_trader
Traders have sharply increased bets that the European Central Bank will deliver two full 25‑basis‑point rate hikes before year‑end, up from a single hike priced on Friday. The shift follows a recent spike in energy prices that has reignited fears...
European natural‑gas futures jumped roughly 30% on Monday, marking the steepest weekly advance since the 2022 energy crisis. The rally coincided with oil breaching $100 a barrel as major Middle‑East producers curtailed output and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively...
Blood is on the streets. Sadly, even literally. Portfolios will bleed too, and this time it's a man made disaster. We've seen these before, and we've emerged eventually out of them better, but man made disasters tend to take a little...
The iShares Russell Mid‑Cap Growth ETF (IWP) provides diversified exposure to mid‑cap growth stocks, with a tilt toward industrials, consumer discretionary, information technology, and healthcare. While it has lagged its benchmark since inception, IWP has outperformed most peer mid‑cap growth...
Australia’s iron‑ore sector produced 967.8 million tonnes in 2025, a 1.4% YoY rise, maintaining a 36.8% share of global output. Prices softened to an average $100.2 per dry metric tonne, down 8.4% as Chinese steel demand cooled and supply grew. While...
Morningstar DBRS released its March 2026 Consider Credit—Fundamental Ratings Monthly Briefing, presenting a Credit Rating Actions Dashboard that spans sovereign, public‑finance, banking and corporate sectors. Most ratings were confirmations, with a handful of trend upgrades, a single bank downgrade, and upgrades for...
23800 was a crucial support for Nifty50 and it’s been brutally broken today 😬 >> Holding 10 Mar 23900 PE, avg ~195.50. Option already spiked to 325.95, largely driven by gamma expansion + IV spike after the breakdown...💥🔥 >> Current plan: looking for...
$VX 30 was tested overnight but VIX futures reversed from there. May still be a spicy day ahead of us. https://t.co/NDJwW1XZhG
Traders have lifted the probability of a Bank of England rate hike this year to roughly 50%, up from near‑zero earlier in the month. The shift follows persistent inflation readings and tighter labour market data that suggest price pressures remain...
Couple of impressive aspects to #CKN - 23 years of Dividend growth and ShareScope showing the Share Price Chart in an Uptrend for 23 years (coincidence?). Quite wide swings in the Uptrend Channel though. I don't hold.
GAMMA @t1alpha If you don't know where Gamma and its Throttle are, you really don't know how to manage risk like Macro Pros @Hedgeye do https://t.co/fU17MkB83v
ICE Futures US announced a settlement with BofA Securities over an alleged violation of Rule 4.02(c). The issue stemmed from a September 2024 trade where a trader entered simultaneous buy and sell orders that executed against each other, creating a...
Is the European Bear Market officially here? A 5-wave decline on the FTSE is currently underway, which will confirm the major trend reversal: Check the exact chart structure link: https://t.co/4oJ2BVaD7J #FTSE100 #UKStocks #ElliottWave #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis $UKX https://t.co/hEs6rEDuGu
"This may be a war but it's also perhaps the biggest energy supply/logistics crisis we've ever seen in modern history:" Mizuho's Jordan Rochester. "Oil is now on a $100pb handle and it might be there to stay," with greater likelihood...
A wave of consumers is leveraging artificial‑intelligence platforms to design and monitor their retirement savings, with usage estimates reaching tens of millions worldwide. FinTech firms report a 40% year‑over‑year increase in AI‑driven pension queries, driven by user‑friendly chatbots and predictive...
History of IEA collective oil emergecy stockpiles releases (and size; note the size was volume offered): 1991: First Gulf War (~75 million) 2005: Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (~60 million) 2011: Libya civil war (~60 million) 2022: Russia-Ukraine (~180 million in two tranches)
“Most OPEC+ spare capacity (about 4 mb/d) is trapped behind Gulf export bottlenecks, rendering near‑term policy interventions ineffective. Even Saudi Arabia’s pre‑conflict ramp‑up toward 10.9 mb/d does little to ease global supply unless export routes re‑open.” - SocGen
Crude in a holding pattern -- likely short-lived -- with Brent at $106-108/bbl, awaiting IEA stock release decision.
Basically; 2026 was supposed to be the year where you bought carry in 26 STIR contracts, and cash bond curves would steepen. Best laid plans and all that.
10 Yr Note Futures fall again (-13.5/32's to 112-00+) Since tagging 114 and seeing the UST Active 10 Yr Note fall under 4%, it has been a steady reversal aided by the war in the Middle East. https://t.co/aX13QG6ARo
Markets pricing in rate hikes from the ECB, the BoE... and the SNB. You gotta be kidding me.
Current oil supply is not zero. It is 20% less than before. So this would mean 20 days of consumption.
No. China is the big winner. Putin will still lose in Ukraine. But Xi looks increasingly stable and sane to the world, as the US looks worse and worse, and weakens and distracts itself. China's EV industry stands to benefit...
Demand destruction as we speak, starting with Bangladesh. Thailand and China curbed exports of diesel and gas. Vietnam will do so next.
G7 finance ministers to hold emergency conference call at 12.30pm London time to discuss the impact of the US- -Iran war, Paris said in a statement. According to the Financial Times, several G7 nations favour a release of their Strategic Petroleum...
$EURUSD gapped down -0.6% over the weekend. That is the largest bearish gap in 11 months. Of the last four gaps lower of this size or greater, the pair mounts a quick and significant recovery https://t.co/1MB9YzNdvG
