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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has warned leveraged‑ETF issuers to pause the effective dates of new high‑leverage funds, citing concerns over compliance with Rule 18f‑4. The agency’s Division of Investment Management used a brief group call to signal that proposed 3× and 5× products may not meet the derivatives‑risk limits required for registration. Leveraged ETFs now hold roughly $150 billion in assets, yet no single‑stock 5× fund exists in the market. The SEC’s pushback follows a wave of filings from firms such as Leverage Shares, GraniteShares and Direxion.
Fitch Solutions warns that a broader US‑Iran conflict could trigger a sharp currency shock across sub‑Saharan Africa. In a prolonged escalation, Brent crude is projected to trade between $110 and $130 per barrel, raising energy costs and disrupting shipping routes....
Well well well... BlackRock marked a private credit loan at 100 cents on the dollar in Q3. By Q4, it was a big fat ZERO. Not 80. Not 50. ZERO. In 3 months. This is the second time $TCPC has done this recently....
German defence specialist Renk expects the ongoing Iran‑UAE conflict to spur regional defence spending. CEO Alexander Sagel said the war could drive demand across air, ammunition and ground systems, citing a recent prototype IFV order from a Gulf state. Renk reported...
The 2026 Global Insurance Law Connect (GILC) report shows a sharp acceleration in captive insurance formations worldwide, driven by rising premiums and tightening capacity in the broader market. Growth is especially pronounced in New Zealand and across South American jurisdictions, where...
Milliman’s 2025 Long‑Term Care Index estimates that a typical 65‑year‑old should earmark $135,000 for high‑intensity care, but costs diverge sharply by gender, health status and geography. Women face an average $171,000 bill versus $98,000 for men, reflecting longer lifespans. State‑level...
I understand the principle of precluding large firms from buying existing homes. They do “compete” with young families and raise prices. But the ROAD to Housing needs to be **clearly** re-written. Preventing "investors" from owning homes they built not only affects...
Are we finally seeing AI in the productivity data? A big upward revision to earlier data and strong Q4 bring us 2.2% above CBO's pre-pandemic forecast. Annual rates: 1 year: 2.8% 2 years: 2.5% 6 years: 2.2%
French real estate manager Epsicap REIM, via its SCPI vehicle Epsicap Nano, acquired the 54‑room Travelodge hotel in Inverness for £4.1 million. The property, refurbished in 2017, is under a 20‑year lease with Travelodge, marking the fund’s first hotel investment. The...
Market speculation All markets zig and zag -- most of the time randomly This zigging and zagging takes place on multiple time frames A market might be zigging and zagging downward on one time frame while zigging and zagging upwards on another time...
"The 2.2-percent annualized rate of nonfarm business productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is higher than the 1.5-percent rate of the previous business cycle, from the fourth quarter of 2007 through the fourth quarter of 2019, and...
Sunshine‑Eichner arranged a $75 million non‑recourse first‑mortgage loan to refinance the Marriott Monterey hotel in downtown Monterey, California. The five‑year, interest‑only loan carries a fixed rate with an all‑in cost below 6% after securing a low‑200s credit spread among 19 competing...
📺 THE MARKET’S BIGGEST TRAP RIGHT NOW It has been one of the most difficult and volatile trading weeks in a long time. Despite geopolitical headlines and sharp overnight moves, every attempted breakdown quickly failed. Key levels like $SPY $675–$682 and $QQQ...
U.S. solar demand stays robust as utilities, businesses and households adopt solar‑plus‑storage solutions, but the sector now faces near‑term policy and tariff headwinds. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act curtails Inflation Reduction Act tax credits and adds Foreign Entity of Concern rules, creating procurement...
BMO Capital Markets upgraded Westlake Corp., a U.S. plastics and construction‑materials maker, to Outperform and raised its price target to $127, implying roughly a 20% upside. The upgrade follows the Middle East conflict that has shut down the Strait of...
Wipro announced that Laura Miller will join its Board of Directors for a five‑year term starting April 1, 2026, pending shareholder approval. Miller brings more than two decades of executive leadership across retail, hospitality, payments and global technology operations, most...
The South Korea ETF EWY sparked debate over whether its implied volatility (IV) was overpriced. Daily‑sampled realized volatility (RV) suggested the 50% IV looked rich, yet a 25% price gain in February annualizes to an 87% vol, more than double...
McKinsey’s latest report finds India’s direct‑to‑consumer (D2C) market, now worth $10‑11 billion, is set to explode to $55‑60 billion by 2030, growing at a 38% CAGR. This outpaces traditional e‑commerce marketplaces, whose sales are expected to reach only $100 billion with a 10‑12%...
Touring a second-generation restaurant in Dupont Circle today and I’ve been getting a lot of calls about it. 3,700 square feet across two floors on Connecticut Ave with the Dupont Metro two minutes away. Second-generation restaurants create real opportunity because the infrastructure...
Broadcom delivered a strong first‑quarter beat, posting $19.31 billion revenue and $2.05 earnings per share, while AI‑related sales surged 106% year‑over‑year and the company projected $22 billion revenue for the second quarter along with a $10 billion share‑buyback. In contrast, China’s JD.com fell...
A new bubble‑map visualizes home‑price appreciation across 22,000 U.S. ZIP codes. It shows that the median ZIP code has seen prices double over the past decade. The map sizes each dot by population and colors it by percent change, avoiding...
A personal loan introduces a new monthly payment that typically raises a borrower’s debt‑to‑income (DTI) ratio, which can shrink the mortgage amount a lender will approve. In cases where the loan replaces higher‑cost revolving debt, it can actually lower DTI...
In 2025 the United States recorded a negative net migration rate as legal immigration was sharply curtailed, a trend that economists warn will dampen economic growth. President Donald Trump has framed this demographic shift as part of a broader “Golden...
i've followed Druck's comments, insights and portfolio changes from the sidelines for years... he certainly knows how to use charts, how to manage risk and spot emerging trends... when my relative strength process has been spotting area X or area...
Bretton Capital Management’s Bretton Fund posted an 11.58% return for 2025, lagging the S&P 500’s 17.88% gain. In its Q4 2025 investor letter the fund disclosed a complete exit from Revvity (RVTY), citing disappointing post‑COVID acquisitions and a slowdown in...
You may not remember when $META was at $87 It got the full blown $AMD treatment Zuck had ‘wrecked’ the company because of his Metaverse plans But what people failed to consider was their enormous FCF Price recovered and ran to $736 +840% This is where...
Alasdair Macleod warns that an escalating conflict with Iran could ignite a global financial crisis, driving energy prices higher and pushing bond yields sharply upward. He argues that U.S. equities are perched in a dangerous bubble vulnerable to rapid correction....
Peak Energy Price Inklings in 1Q? Midterms in 4Q a Top Test - The leader of the world's largest energy producer -- and net crude oil and natural gas exporter -- wants lower prices, and elections are in November. The...
Loop Capital has initiated Astera Labs (ALAB) with a buy rating and a $250 price target, implying roughly 120% upside from its recent close. The analyst positions Astera as the most diversified AI‑silicon pure‑play outside Nvidia, poised to benefit from...
Leverate announced a partnership with Swiss‑backed prop‑trading firm JoinX Capital, designating Leverate’s end‑to‑end infrastructure as the technology backbone of JoinX’s global platform. The collaboration supports a community of over 47,500 traders in 184 countries, offering multi‑asset access to Forex, crypto...
The ECB Governing Council met on 4‑5 February 2026 and kept its three key rates unchanged, signalling a data‑dependent stance through 2027. Market reactions to recent geopolitical and tariff shocks were muted, with the euro gaining about 1 % against the dollar...
China’s property market deepened its slump in February as new‑home prices in the 100 largest cities slipped 0.04%, the sharpest monthly decline since late 2022. Sales by the top 100 developers are down about 27% year‑over‑year, prompting firms to halt...
$2 Natural Gas Support vs. $5 Resistance - The inability of the front US natural gas future to stay above $5 per million British thermal units may be emphasized by the price just below $3 on March 4 despite a...
negative call going aroundo on $MU- Bytedance and Tencent are in talks to Buy more DRAM and NAND flash form two China firms. ChangXin and Yangtze Memory Technologie could pressure WDC MU SNDK https://t.co/ZXWt84acxg
Abercrombie & Fitch reported a 6% decline in operating income to £524 million for the year, even as net sales rose 6% to £3.95 billion. The fourth quarter delivered a record £1.25 billion in sales, up 5%, but operating income fell 8% to...
$AVGO "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 322.50/330 Call Spread ($3.90) and sell the March 6 Expiry 297.50 Put for free." sell to close call spread on any weakess in the stock price, puts look to expire
$KR "Trade Idea 4: Sell the March 6 Expiry 64/73 Strangle for a 75 cent credit." looks to expiore, let IV fall then can buy to close or watch
I love this chart Shawn I also think ag products will enter a period of re-pricing. Live Moo Cows have already done so
✍️ Longform links: a look at a potential SpaceX IPO, the long-term health impacts of Covid, and how the iPod changed our relationship with music. https://t.co/6bSrheJuzD image: https://t.co/vMSvzVUcJK https://t.co/8bTwTklNAR
One market that has shown a recent 5% canary signal with confirmation is Indonesia's Jakarta Stock Exchange. https://t.co/dls4RSmwO4
Over the past 14 months, International stocks have outperformed US stocks by 27%, the widest margin since 1993-94. But zoom out. On a rolling 5-year basis, US stocks have outperformed for 15 years running. This is by far the longest stretch of US...
The Dollar (blue) has risen sharply above rate differentials (black). That's the best indication this week's Dollar spike is about short-term risk aversion and repatriation flows. Totally short-term and doesn't invalidate Dollar weakness later this year... https://t.co/2nXDj5db75 https://t.co/EXSOCllmRB
Options for ~2.2 bln euros at $1.16 expire at 10 am ET Options for ~535 mln at $1.3350 expire then Options for ~$355 mln at CAD1.3650 also expire DTCC listed
Regardless of how bad things are in the Gulf, the gold price does not appear to reflect it... yet.
Another boldface #tech name decamps to #SoFla. #Google cofounder #SergeyBrin pays $51M for waterfront home of #LVMH boss #MichaelBurke on #AlisonIsland, joining the #Zuckerbergs+fellow Google creator #LarryPage. #realestate #mortgage #Miami #CoconutGrove https://t.co/3BfAXAnLCz
Markets are pricing war with Iran as a hawkish shock for the Fed (lhs). But the US rate differential versus its G10 peers is moving against the Dollar (rhs), because central banks outside the US will also be less dovish....
Surging crude prices (bottom chart) make "pause" the Fed's default position. 2026 rate cuts down to 39 bps (top chart) https://t.co/Wi5u5aYQXn
This week's rise in USD confounded those who said the US is losing reserve currency status. That's NOT what it's about. Americans repatriate assets when bad shocks hit, like in 2008, 2020 or 2025. A very short-term thing. The Dollar...
In a Riskier Era, China Bets on Technology to Resist U.S. Pressure China announced a 7 percent increase in military spending and a five-year plan to try to reduce its military and industry’s reliance on Western technology. https://t.co/c3cRysLtmX via @NYTimes
Some recent data: * ISM services best since Aug '22 * ISM manufacturing >50 two months in row after years < 50 * Auto sales were better than expected * ADP best in 7 months and most of the jobs came from small...
