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Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
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Economists expect the January Consumer Price Index to rise 2.5% year‑over‑year, a dip from December’s 2.7% and the lowest headline inflation since May 2021. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, is also projected at 2.5%, matching the lowest level since 2021. Tariff‑related price pressures are moderating, with housing costs stabilizing, while gasoline and rent have flatlined or fallen. The softer numbers could ease the Federal Reserve’s resolve to keep policy rates elevated for an extended period.
January’s jobs report showed 130,000 new positions, nearly double expectations, and a unemployment rate drop to 4.3%, down from 4.5% in January. The stronger labor market has pushed back market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next rate cut from June...
The episode breaks down the modern repo market by illustrating how overnight rates and dealer spreads vary across different repo segments—triparty, GCF, DVP, and NCCBR. It explains that dealers profit by maintaining a positive spread between the cost of borrowing...
The episode examines Warrior Coal Company's Q4 2025 earnings outlook, emphasizing the stable performance of its legacy mines and the growing influence of the Blue Creek operation. It highlights the uncertainty around Blue Creek's steady‑state production as it gains market...
A TD Cowen survey of 58 institutional investors and mining executives identified Toronto‑listed Iamgold Corp. as the leading M&A candidate for 2026, with 20 % of respondents flagging the company. The poll also showed near‑universal expectations of heightened gold and silver...
In this episode, Sarah Esler, Managing Director of Mortgage Investments at AIMCo, walks listeners through the dynamics of an $8 billion institutional mortgage portfolio spanning Canada, the U.S., and Western Europe. She explains how pension‑backed capital is coping with historic spread...
In this episode, Mark Podolsky, Scott Bossman, Jon Burnett, and guest Landon Harris explore land investing as a "freedom multiplier" and argue that coaching is the missing link that turns curiosity into consistent results. Drawing on insights from the Dirt...
The episode reviews recent headline-driven confirmation points for Tematica’s thematic investment models, focusing on aging demographics, AI adoption, cash‑strapped consumers, cybersecurity, digital infrastructure, and emerging energy demands. Key takeaways include a resurgence in senior housing demand as boomers age, rapid...
The USDA’s February 2026 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report introduced modest revisions to U.S. and global grain balances, notably a slight increase in projected U.S. corn ending stocks for 2025/26. The higher stocks lift the corn export...
BNY was named the Best Trade Finance Bank in North America, reflecting its robust portfolio and eight global trade centers. The bank leverages high credit ratings, competitive pricing, and a suite of digital tools to streamline trade processing, risk mitigation,...
In this fast‑paced small‑cap episode, UK equity analyst Paul Scott and host discuss 16 AI‑adjacent stock ideas, ranging from UK fintechs like Moneysupermarket (MONY) and Craneware (CRW) to niche tech firms such as Seeing Machines (SEE) and hVivo (HVO). They...
Cloudflare’s shares jumped 5% after the company beat Q4 expectations, driven by surging demand for its edge networking and security services from AI agents like the viral Moltbot. The firm reported adjusted earnings of 28 cents per share on $615 million...
The episode examines Elon Musk’s proposal for an orbital data center constellation that would deliver hyperscale AI compute powered by continuous solar energy and radiative cooling, potentially reaching 100 GW of power in space. It argues that this technology could bypass...
CBO is mostly dismissive of the effects of AI on productivity growth (overly so IMHO). They expect *slowing* potential labor force productivity as the modest AI boost to TFP is swamped by the reduction in capital services. I would take the over...
The episode focuses on Venezuela, with a deep dive into its energy sector and the geopolitical implications for U.S. policy in Latin America. It also touches on related developments in Cuba, Argentina, and the strategic role of El Paso as a...
The European Investment Bank is injecting €60 million into Solas Capital’s Sustainable Energy Fund II to launch a new financing platform that will support energy‑efficiency projects for SMEs across the EU. The platform is designed to mobilize nearly €400 million of total capital,...
Sentiment in the stock market appears somewhat mixed. The Investors Intelligence survey (below) does show that the percentage of bulls is near the historical highs (62) while the percent bears is near the low (15). However, that level of enthusiasm is...
On the surface a strong jobs report (130K jobs & unemployment falls to 4.3%). And just about every detail makes that stronger: participation up, involuntary part-time down, hours up, wages up. The mystery of strong GDP and weak jobs is being resolved...
Since January 2020, US single‑family homes have appreciated 46% versus 34% for condos, widening the price premium to a record 22% or $74,000. The gap, historically 8‑17%, accelerated during the pandemic as remote work increased demand for space. Tightened condo...
The commercial sector is now the largest electricity consumer in Ohio, driven by data center expansions. Commercial electricity sales surpassed residential sales for the first time on a twelve-month moving average basis in August 2025 and now account for 35%...
Analytically, the January U.S. jobs report supports competing views. The market reaction, however, was clear: traders have sharply dialed back expectations for a June rate cut. The big beat on January job creation, paired with a dip in the unemployment rate...
In this episode, Mahesh Bhimalingam of Bloomberg Intelligence and Ashwin Palta of BNY Investments discuss the Bloomberg Intelligence 1Q26 Investor Survey, highlighting the continued resilience of credit and high‑yield markets despite recent tariff shocks and rate volatility. They examine why...
And it’s not just global earnings that have been showing momentum. Payouts (dividends + buybacks) have been advancing as well, as companies near and far have become more shareholder savvy. The growth rate of payouts has been the primary driver...
The earnings boom has gone global, with estimates in both EAFE and EM showing good momentum. The blue squiggles show estimates for the S&P 500 and the pink ones are for the MSCI EAFE index. The days of significant divergences...
The House approved the Housing for the 21st Century Act, a federal effort to ease regulations on manufactured‑home financing, HUD programs, and construction lending for small builders. The legislation also grants regulatory relief to local banks, aiming to revive mortgage...
Tepid response of the Dollar to a big upside surprise in payrolls. The whisper number for consensus was weak, so this was a solid beat, yet USD is barely able to rise. We're on our way to the correlation switch...
Two major coal developments in the last 24 hours. 1. White House announcing purchases and support to revive the industry 2. Indonesia just ordered the world's largest nickel mine to sharply cut output. They are also looking to cut coal production by...
Saba Capital Management has urged shareholders of Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust (EWIT) to accept a 100% cash exit at 99% of net asset value if its board slate wins the upcoming AGM. The activist hedge fund, which has unsuccessfully challenged...
This formidable earnings growth has allowed valuations to take a back seat for a change. While the 5-year CAPE ratio is up there at 32x, the n12m P/E multiple doesn’t seem too onerous at 22x, considering not only the earnings...
Malaysia upgraded its e‑waste import prohibition from a conditional to an absolute ban, ending all shipments of end‑of‑life batteries and related waste. The move creates immediate supply uncertainty for battery recyclers that rely on imported black mass, likely driving up...
NFP BREAKDOWN : Unemployment rate dropped to 4.3% while headline number crushed the expectations. In simple words , this was a much solid NFP all across the board. FED pause will continue. Profit taking in Gold , SPX , NASDAQ on reduced rate cut...
NEW US JOBS DATA: Non-farm Payrolls: +130k Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (-0.1%) Prime Age (25-54) Employment-Population Ratio: 80.9% (+0.2%) Average Hourly Earnings: +0.4% Annual Benchmark Revisions: -898k
Off-Topic ChartStorm - Tech Stocks Tech has topped, what's next? Here's 10 charts outlining the situation and thoughts on the risks + opportunities: https://t.co/WKltkF9gOt https://t.co/k0pxNxZedy
If the EU were only able to issue its own debt, imagine the possibilities… Yeah, imagine if you gave EU bureaucrats the power to spend an astronomical amount in addition to its power to regulate https://t.co/KAqbSOG71R
CHART OF THE DAY: If anything characterised January was oil outages: Kazakhstan, Venezuela, and the US (due to weather), plus several others. In total, it adds to nearly 3m b/d, highest in about 18 months, according to the @EIAgov https://t.co/Gb7hmQGvLw
Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwinding Like You Think $USDJPY $FXY $QQQ $DXY Japan & China’s pressure on Treasury sales are weakening the USD, supporting equities + metals overall, without triggering a disruptive yen carry trade unwind. https://t.co/m6Mu3FpuRf
Great conversations at @iFXEXPO diving into the 2026 Prop Trading roadmap - with a few hints about big announcements coming from @the5erstrading @FundedNext @IC_Funded Apparently I was “grilling” them (according to the audience)😄… or just asking questions everyone’s thinking? https://t.co/GEGDCIAXIG
AI spending isn't a debate anymore, it's cemented. @DivesTech on the multiplier effect across software, infrastructure and data centers 💻🚧 https://t.co/TC1BjQAHtv
Charles Schwab scanned my brain… and this is what they found 👀 Inside the Mind of a Trader | Kathy Lien https://t.co/7k3G7EUtU5 via @YouTube
Argentina’s January inflation came in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. Pres. Milei’s monetary model is not working. MILEI MUST DOLLARIZE NOW. https://t.co/MLSKqYfys7
The average stock reporting so far this earnings season has moved 5.2% up or down, the biggest post-earnings move since at least 2012--Citi https://t.co/Avh8yKzn1V
$USDJPY is down over -2.5% over the past three days. One of the biggest drops in the past year and a half. Doesn't mean it has to stall and reverse though... https://t.co/LRjhnctyzL
US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Stabilizes After NFP – CPI to Decide the Next Move https://t.co/xwnZkIUN3I $DXY Weekly Chart https://t.co/Cp7VSktXM6
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production in the first week of February popped right back up to the pre-arctic blast levels, totaling 1.11M bpd, a February best. U.S. temperatures have been unseasonably mild this week, and that should largely continue through the rest of...
Today's Opening Bell A look at the USD crosses post-NFP with on-the-fly analysis on EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY https://t.co/Tu1RqyYsZf
Trump says lower rates would save "at least one trillion dollars per year." The federal government's entire annual net interest bill was $970 billion in fiscal 2025—and much of that is locked in at rates on previously issued debt that...
#NFPs beat expectations by the most in 10 months - a 130K vs 40K expected. That said, revisions aggregated through 2025 have lowered the year's total by over 1 million https://t.co/p1pkqEWC57
"The market isn't taking this latest threat seriously at all," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at investingLive, adding that investors doubt that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a continental trade pact, will be discontinued ... I'll say it...
Small Warner Bros. Discovery Shareholder Blasts ‘Flawed, Inferior’ Netflix Offer and Backs Paramount’s Hostile Bid — but Will It Matter? https://t.co/NGSPvAdqOW via @variety
Jan jobs data better than expected and benchmark revision more or less in line. Unemployment rate ticks lower. $USD jump sold into quickly. Mkt still pricing in around two cuts this year.
