MSCI ACWI Ends Year Positive 28 of 38 Times
Despite intra-year volatility, the MSCI $ACWI Index had positive year-end total returns 28 out of the last 38 years since 1988. Standard Chartered https://t.co/Gs34aTnb4j
Biotech Breakout Highlights Gaps Amid Four‑week Index Rally
Four straight weeks higher for the major indices, but not everything is extended. Biotech is a good example. $XBI broke out of a 4-month range and just printed an inside week. We discuss where to find opportunity now: Watch:...
Goldman Correctly Holds 7,600 Year‑End S&P Target
It appears Goldman was right not to reduce its 7600 YE SPX price target https://t.co/rCZSmegO7w
Founders Must Distinguish Pilot, Bookings, Revenue Accurately
Here's YC's official advice about being truthful and precise about what is pilot, bookings, revenue and recurring revenue. Founders, particularly first time founders, need to sear this into their brains. Don't mistake one tier for another. Be precise, and always...
Senate Banking Committee Schedules Warsh Fed Chair Vote
The Senate Banking Committee has set a committee vote for Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination on Wednesday https://t.co/l3pMHESk0G
India Holds $600bn, Should Sell Dollars, Not Seek Swap
India doesn't need a swap line. It has 600bn$ nearly, to sell, if it wants and sadly it doesn't want to. Cad is 50bn to 75bn a year. There is no exit tax. 20% above 10L a year is only...
Swap Lines Are Loans, Not Gifts, Fueling Dollar Demand
For those new to swap lines due to recent headlines, swap lines are not USD “gifts”, they are USD “loans”. The difference? Loans need to be paid back. And as such create dollar demand. Swap lines...
May 2026: Markets in Transition, No Central Bank Meetings
May 2026 Monthly: The global capital markets will enter May with a sense of transition rather than resolution. Neither the Federal Reserve, nor the European Central Bank or the Bank of Japan meet in the month ahead. The market is...
US Shock 2.0: Iran War Drives Market Disruption
May Monthly drops. Much talk about China 2.0 shock, but the main disruptive force is not emanating from Beijing now. US shock 1.0 were the tariffs and US shock 2.0 is the war on Iran. May is...
Silver Near Sell Signal; Break Below 72.59 Triggers Drop
$Silver - It looks like the bounce out of the March low ended at the 0.618 retracement of the March 3-23 downtrend and we're getting close to another sell signal. A close below 72.59 will likely lead to another decline...
SPX Stochastic Signals Ongoing Bullish Momentum
SPX: During the last 10 years, every time the Stochastic bounced from oversold area and made it above 50, the index maintained bullish continuation and consolidated when the oscillator was overbought (+80) with both lines. There is room for further...
Gold Misses Bounce, Faces Potential Drop Below 4644
$Gold - I was expecting the bounce out of the March low to continue towards the 0.618 retracement at 5027. Instead, this week was a down week and price is getting close to another sell signal. A close below 4644...
Analysts Forecast Capex Trends Ahead of Earnings
Preparing for earnings next week. Analyst expectations (mostly what the companies are saying) for capex https://t.co/zuLMi1j3YK
Libya's Oil Boom and Currency Surge Amid US‑Israeli Conflict
Libya’s oil production JUMPED from roughly 400 thousand barrels a day in March to 1.43 million barrels a day in April. In the same time frame, the Libyan dinar has APPRECIATED by over 17% vs. the USD. LIBYA = BIG WINNERS OF...
Singapore’s Fuel Hub Doubles Russian Oil Imports Amid War
Singapore, the world’s biggest ship refueling port, TURNS TO RUSSIA FOR OIL. Oil imports from Russia have DOUBLED since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. RUSSIA = BIG WINNER. https://t.co/oBUnq9FGNS
China’s Commodity Stockpiles, Not Strategy, Cushioned Iran War Impact
1/5 It's true that China was able to withstand the effects of the Iran war better than many other countries because it had stockpiled commodities. But it is a little silly, perhaps even a little orientalist, to say that it did...
Markets Hit New Highs, Momentum Fades Slightly
#RSP -0.2% #SPX +0.8 ATH #Nasdaq +1.6% ATH #VIX contained. Momentum still good, but slowing down.
China PE Pivots to Hard Tech, Old Sectors Collapse
Yicai: "China’s private equity market is showing a sharp split. “Hard tech” industries such as robotics and advanced materials are attracting most of the capital, while previously popular areas such as second-hand e-commerce and apparel have seen funding drop by...
Endure the Silence, Reap Decades of 20% Returns
The hardest part of value investing isn't the math. It's the silence. Silence when your portfolio lags the index for 18 months. Silence when your group says you're wrong. Munger tolerated that silence. That's why he compounded at 20%+ for decades.
Shriram Finance Q4 Profit Surges 41% Amid Steady AUM Growth
Shriram Finance reported strong Q4 FY26 results 💰 Profitability Net Profit: ₹3,013.57 Cr (+40.86% YoY) 👉 Strong earnings growth 📈 Growth AUM: ₹3,02,273.75 Cr (+14.85% YoY) 👉 Healthy but not hyper growth 🏦 Income Net Interest Income (NII): ₹6,994.08 Cr (+15.58% YoY) Net Interest Margin (NIM): 8.61% Growth Guidance...
Early-Cycle Sugar Stocks: Value Wave Multi‑Bagger Picks
Do you have a sweet tooth? Consider our top picks in sugar stocks under 'Value Wave Investments' - what is the value wave model? It is our way of finding stocks early on in the cycle so that we can...
2025: China's Surplus Increasingly Recycled Through State Banks
100% wrong substantively. The key change in 2025 is that a rising share of China's surplus is being recycled through the state banks. They aren't the PBOC but they aren't exactly private either 1/2 https://t.co/VGghVlVzkz
Smart Money Moves Before Prices Signal Opportunity
When money moves vs when people notice. Most investors think price = opportunity. It doesn’t. Price is just a reflection of what has already happened. This chart shows two things: Capital flow (smart money) Price movement (public reaction) First, understand the axes: X-axis = Market cycle stage (early...
Tech Hardware May Revert to Low‑margin Commodity Perception
5 years ago, investors considered tech hardware to be a commoditized, low-margin business. I think that market perception will eventually return.
2026 Ties 2007, 1966 with Nine S&P Highs
That is nine new all-time highs for the S&P 500 in 2026. 2007 peaked at nine, so did 1966. https://t.co/M0iY2xMTgy
Bull Markets Double in ~3.5 Years, Then Linger Another Three Years
It took 3.5 years for this bull market to double, a tad faster than normal. Did you know after previous bull markets doubled they had another three years on average left? https://t.co/0yTMAlZpem
Subscribe for Full Stock Thesis, Research, & Trades
Will be starting a substack , here I will post my full thesis on stocks, deep research , macro analysis , my buy & sells. So make sure you’re subscribed https://bdinvesting.substack.com
US May Weaponize Dollar Swap Lines Amid Tensions
🧵Some other important swap line factoids: 1/ Robert McCauley has been warning about the potential weaponisation of dollar swap lines for quite a while. In this view, the US is likely to apply statecrafty terms and conditions on dollar...
Attention, Not More Money, Drives Financial Success
I pulled together the most compelling research I found on money behavior for a practical guide that will change how you think about your finances. You do not need more money, you just need to start paying more attention to...
Iran’s Oil Revenue Persists After Export Shutdowns
Important nuance. Most observers are focused on a countdown to Iran’s storages filling up and oil fields shutting down. But the physical and the financial flows move in different cycles, especially for Tehran under the sanctions regime. Revenues will continue to flow...
Austin Expands with Affordable Detached Homes Beyond City Limits
That’s exactly what Austin has done. And continues to do Yes some infill (which developers like @americanhousing are doing) … but a TON of small, inexpensive detached homes outside the City https://t.co/uFSuYKWH2m
Mag7 Near Record Highs, Yet Up Only 2% YTD
#Mag7 are trading near record highs again, but the group is barely up 2% YTD. A powerful rebound w/surprisingly little to show for it. https://t.co/CMbEVQZEpC
Private‑Bank Tools Go Mainstream in 2026
Trust structures. Premium financing. Credit lines. Multi-currency custody. For most of the last 30 years, these instruments lived mainly inside a private bank. The shelf looks different in 2026.
Tech Titans Hit 52‑Week Highs, Heat Map Shifts
Drawdown heat map looks a bit different now $NVDA $GOOGL $AMZN $TSM $AVGO all ~at 52wk highs https://t.co/1DXB8SylAf
S&P Earnings Surge 25% with Quarter Still Early
A lot going on this week but most importantly is that EPS growth is 25% with 27% of the $SPX having reported. So far really good in the face of many unknowns. Have a good weekend. Enjoy Lenny Kravitz -...
Shorter EPS Windows Reveal Stronger S&P Earnings Growth
While everybody knows that S&P EPS estimates are moving higher, shorter-dated windows of estimates (removing stale numbers) show even stronger numbers in the past 60, 30, and 20 days. Wall Street is always looking at the 90-day window for an...
Bessent Open to Fed Chair, Not Elected Office
Bessent says he has no ambition to run for office but “wouldn’t say ‘no’ to being Fed chair later.” “There’s no election involved. You can shape the economy, and it’s an institution.” https://t.co/3lx7XrYMiD
Charts Lack Memory, Context, and True Predictive Power
They call themselves 'Chart Guys.' The chart has no memory, no Quad context, no Vol Signal. It's a picture of the past dressed up as a view of the future https://t.co/FT6EBlqeAm
Longevity Market Set to Outpace AI at $8 Trillion
The rise of the longevity family office UBS projects an 8T global longevity market (surpassing AI as the largest category) 🔗https://t.co/Tp7fKl68VS Echoes what I'm seeing through longevity consulting and speaking at family office summits👨⚕️ 🔗https://t.co/TxbwLaEbmk | @Longevity_Inv
Wealth Surge Forces Family Offices to Evolve Rapidly
Here's the deal - the surge in global wealth isn't just making more people rich, it's changing everything when it comes to managing money. Family offices are not only getting bigger, they're also changing fast. The old ways no longer...
10 Days, No Shorts Squeeze,
Over a 10 day period where my former-self would have been royally squeezed on the Shorts... https://t.co/MqFwbBtR8l
Chip Stocks Surge While Market Sectors Falter
Friday, April 24, 2026 — Daily Market Review. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at brand-new all-time highs. Intel had its best day since 1987 (+23.6%). AMD crossed $500B in market cap. Nvidia reclaimed $5T. And yet, eight of the eleven S&P...
New AlphaMoon CEO Eoin Reveals Must‑Read Insights
Eoin, new CEO of AlphaMoon $AFM.V, with some bangers in this interview every shareholder should read https://t.co/oDa6V3DDyx
Silver Shortage Claim Challenged by Low Futures Delivery Volume
If there is such a shortage of Silver, as those making the bullish case say there is, what do they say about only 3,301 contracts taking delivery in April Silver Futures....... that's approximately $1.2B which is like an intra day tick...
Even at Market Highs, Long Opportunities Remain
Sentiment feels worse now that we're at all-time highs than it did in the lows of March. In this week's episode we discuss the concentrated leadership and why there's still so much opportunity on the long side. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $XLE...
Chicago's Housing Inventory Plummets, Driving Price Spikes
Chicago's housing market is in crisis. Listings are down 59% from pre-pandemic norms. There were 30k listings across the metro back in 2019. Now there's only 12k. Such a massive inventory shortage is creating bidding wars and double-digit value...
Pending Home Sales Surge in Unprecedented Weekly Spike
A very noticeble pickup in demand for our weekly pending home sales this week. More on this with our weekend tracker, with some more interesting data lines. One of the more interesting weeks over the past few years, in fact.
Oil Market Imbalance Drives Prices Higher
The oil market is not in equilibrium. ~14 mbd of supply has been disrupted. Inventories are being drawn at an extreme pace. Demand is falling — but not enough. There’s still a gap. This only clears one way: higher prices. Outstanding report by JPM. H/t to @HFI_Research...
FedWatch Shows 84% Chance of 2026 Rate Cut
FedWatch now pricing 84% odds of a rate cut in 2026. I am old enough to remember when the market was pricing in 0% in March, and I won't be surprised when this goes back to zero. Time will tell.
Invest in Proven Canine Cardiac Reversal Biotech
I co-founded @RejuvenateBio & have enjoyed the science from day one. Cardiac disease reversal in dogs. 3 years of safety data. Zero safety signals. They’ve opened a unique opportunity for the biotech community to invest & secure equity at this early...