European Gas Prices Fall Despite Reduced LNG Imports
European gas prices tumble as Trump says an Iran deal is imminent 🇪🇺📉 While Hormuz has been shut for 3+ months, choking a ~20% of global LNG supply, gas prices have remained below the highs of March This comes even as Europe has cut back LNG imports since May (down 11% y/y) https://t.co/StyJAitD85
Nifty Pivot at 23350, 23500 Resistance Holds
GammaGrid Insights | Nifty50 Option Chain Analysis👇🔥 >> Nifty is sitting around 23350 with localized Net GEX still strongly positive (+699M), which suggests dealers remain long gamma. >> 23500 continues to stand out as the key resistance zone with the 👉highest positive...
Nasdaq Bullish Reversal Signals Hold Zone, SPCX Inclusion
The #Nasdaq Composite is showing a bullish reversal from oversold conditions considering the Stochastic. The bounce came from the volume shelves gap, the price needs to hold this zone to avoid a selloff to 24K. #SPCX will be included tomorrow...
RSI Pattern Mirrors Late July; Expect Potential Repeat
$SPX - I posted earlier how the 6 day decline in RSI at yesterday's low was similar to 07/24/24, but in terms of the interaction with the lower BB it's similar to 07/25/24. 4 days later it bounced to the...
AUD/USD Slides 4%, Uptrend Meets First Test
Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Drops 4%—Uptrend Faces First Major Test https://t.co/7oxjMXAnUB $AUDUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/U44bO4PeP5
Equal‑weight RSP Outperforms SPY Except in Speculative Bubbles
After the extraordinary run in the market-cap weighted $SPY v its equal-weight version $RSP from April to mid May, it's interesting to see that the ratio has now retraced about half its gains (first chart, red/black). In the very long-run, RSP...
AGI Jumps 60% as Novomatic Loses Control
$AGI.AX is up 60% since Novomatic failed to squeeze out minorities. The setup has changed fast. Ainsworth has lifted its stake to c. 10%. Days before that, the management team that looked firmly aligned with Novomatic was basically replaced. Novomatic lost control here. Ainsworth...
Hong Kong Offers Tax Breaks to Revive Logistics Hub
Hong Kong unveils new tax breaks to lure commodity traders and shipping firms. Is Hong Kong trying to reestablish the logistics and supply chain status it had before China took over? https://t.co/r3L2jwG5iR
Buy June 12 205/195‑190 Put Spread, Credit
$ORCL "Trade Idea 1: Buy the June 12 Expiry 205/195-190 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 205/195 Put Spread near $10. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining put or roll...
ECB Raises Rates, Flags Higher Inflation, Slower Growth
🇪🇺 ECB hikes rates for the first time since September 2023. Inflation projections revised higher (though 2026 core HICP at 2.5% looks a bit lower than feared); GDP growth projections down (0.8% in 2026). July may be live, but the ECB is...
Semis Lead as PPI Inflation Test Looms
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – June 11, 2026 🚨 🔥 Another inflation test hits the market this morning as traders digest PPI data and jobless claims after yesterday’s CPI release. 📊 Economic Events: 📈 PPI m/m (May): Exp. 0.7% vs Prior 1.4% 💰 PPI...
COF CEO Sees Strong Consumer Spending, Positive Outlook
$COF CEO: "If we didn't read any news and all we did was just really look at the data we see in the economy and the data we see on our portfolio, we would have a really quite positive...
USD/CHF Breakout Meets First Major Test
Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Breakout Faces First Major Test https://t.co/VgI2aG7r9I $USDCHF Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/UylHnc03YZ
HROW Jumps 9%, Poised for 5‑bagger Potential
Big day for $HROW shareholders... stock up 9% and now pushing through the 50d, VWAPs and trendlines... still has some overhead supply to work through. @FirstWaveFund is a top 25 shareholder based on Q1 13Fs and we remain very bullish... this...
Fed Faces 1970s‑Style Inflation, Growth Stocks at Risk
The Federal Reserve has a problem The Fed generally looks through temporary energy spikes. However, if the energy shock spreads into broader inflation: * Oil remains elevated. * Wage growth stays firm. * Inflation expectations rise. * CPI remains 4–5%+. This is very similar to the...
Crude Prices Surge When US Inventories Drop Below Threshold
At what inventory levels do we start to see US crude oil prices take off again? https://t.co/CjvFD9TBPZ
Gold Poised for Buy If
GC getting first close outside of daily KC on "leg 2" down on weeklies. IF it takes out today's high the next two trading days, the model will give a buy. Otherwise, "ride the rails" on the KC to...
BoC Holds Rate; USDCAD Slides Amid Yield Spread
The Bank of Canada held its benchmark rate unchanged at 2.25% - as expected - and spoke to a policy 'dilemma' between a weakened economy and rising inflation. $USDCAD has backed off from trendline resistance and large 38.2% Fib, but...
Negative Gamma at $735 Signals Potential Resistance, Await Confirmation
Negative gamma exposure is present above and below the spot on $SPY. $735 has clear elevated negative exposure and may act as resistance here. I am interested in a potential rejection at $735, but am cautious given how strong the...
Adopt Tactical Trading Amid Market Weakness
📺 HOW TO TRADE A TACTICAL MARKET + $SPCX IPO & TRADES IN $ASTS / $RKLB In this Short video, I explain how my approach changes when the market shifts from a trending environment to a tactical one. After $SPY broke below key...
Yen Slides Past 160; Japan's Interventions Prove Futile
The Yen has now weakened decisively above $/JPY 160. Definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and hoping for a different result. Every time Japan intervenes, it's a sign of denial and - frankly - insanity....
Depleting Oil Buffers Hide True Price Signals
Oil strategists keep raising alarms over shrinking oil reserves. Carlyle's Jeff Currie: "It is robbing Peter to pay Paul -liquidating the buffer built over decades to suppress the very price signal that would trigger the investment response the mkt needs"...
Software/Cloud ETFs Retrace 40‑80% of April Gains
In just 6 trading days, the $IGV has already given back 50% of the gains from the April lows with many software/cloud stocks down 20-30% during this time. $NOW has given back more than 60% of the gains from the...
India Rushes LNG Purchases Amid Middle East Supply Disruption
India is rushing to buy LNG to replace supply disrupted by the Middle East conflict 🇮🇳💰 The move is to meet demand from: 🌾 Fertilizer plants ahead of planting season ⚡ Power producers as hot weather boosts cooling needs 🏠 Houses switching from LPG https://t.co/pco9idl1rl...
BOJ Poised to Intervene when Volatility Hits 4‑week Low
I think it is more a matter of 'when' - not 'if' - the BOJ intervenes again on (on behalf of the MOF) by buying the Yen again. When do they pull the trigger? Lowest level of volatility (4-week ATR)...
Market Drops as Top Five Stocks Drag Index
Nine of the S&P 500's eleven sectors closed GREEN today. The index still finished red — and the Nasdaq was down 3.7% at midday. That's not a market crashing. That's a market quietly firing the five stocks that have led...
AI Drives Market Moves; Non‑AI Stays Resilient
We can see that the narrowing or broadening is really just an AI vs ex-AI dynamic. Excluding AI, the market has not even taken out the pre-Iran highs, although in recent days it has come close. On Friday when the SPX was...
Canfor Acquires PinkWood I‑Joist to Diversify Amid Downcycle
Macro: Canfor buys PinkWood I-joist for $68M to diversify amid lumber downcycle. Key: 5x EBITDA, 46M ft cap, $55M at close. Risk: leverage, EPS pressure. Trade: buy on pullback. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
NVDA Breaches 50‑SMA, Risk of Gap‑down Looms
Overshoot of 50sma into 200 support $NVDA Again, needs that follow through but just like $GOOGL defined risk against today's lows. (bonus risk is gap down on escalated war situation however) https://t.co/UgzkFhhCHx
Silver Nears 200‑Day SMA Break, 301‑Day Bull Run
Silver is on pace to close below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time in 301 trading days. As of Monday's 300th close above, it overtook September 21, 2011's 299 day peak and marked the longest bullish drive...
Mega Backdoor Roth: Bypass Income Limits via 401(k)
My favorite loophole in the US tax code The IRS says if I make over $168K filing single or $252K married filing joint I cannot contribute directly to a Roth IRA but what I can do is use my 401K plan...
US PMI Recovery Set to Make Copper Top Performer
@Jefferies' analysis out this morning states that they expect the US to drive up all industrial commodities... with copper as the best performer. "Our analysis suggests the recovery in US PMI data should begin to feed through into copper demand in...
Near-Term Tech Trade Flagged in June Update
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: June 9, 2026 - High Tech…" "Flagging" a near-term trade in tech - via The Lyons Share https://t.co/FRUqKLqEgT https://t.co/xrpO7NwARx
Market Narrows on Gains, Broadens on Losses
With the S&P 500 cap-weighted index down 2.6% on Friday and the equal-weighted index down 1.4%, it is clear that the market narrows on the way up and broadens on the way down as shown in the S&P 500 Index...
Rising Fear After Dumb Money Confidence Signals Defensive Stance
SPX: Fear is rising after an extended period of dumb money confidence, which usually precedes declines. Sentiment indicators like Fear & Greed or Smart/Dumb Money do not time turning points like price action, but they signal when to stay in...
S&P 500 Forward Estimates Rise Fastest in 16 Years
According to $DB: $SPX forward estimates are being revised higher at the fastest rate in the last 16+ years.
China Cuts Japan Rare‑earth Shipments 80%, Firms Scramble
China's rare-earth exports to Japan drop 80%, sending companies scrambling Yes, including US companies how are end users of Japanese company intermediary procesing... https://t.co/fLmxgxF5Ju
CoreWeave Eyes Euro Bond Amid Expanding AI Debt
Macro: AI debt expands; CoreWeave considers euro bond to tap European HY. Facts: $20bn+ 2026 raises; Ba3/B+/BB-. Risk: sector concentration, FX. Trade: buy nearby CoreWeave euros on tightening. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
China’s Consumption Push Repeats Old Production‑centric, Flawed Strategy
“China’s long-term strategy to improve consumption has turned out to not be a new strategy at all; instead, it is the same strategy China has always relied on—one that focuses on increasing production with an expectation that household incomes will...
SPX Futures Rise 30, Watching Key Resistance Level
$spx futures +30 as yesterday mapping out resistance#1 area was prudent. We’ll do that again today. $spy hit $744.50ish. We’ll see if it can get back there, stall below, or take it out. https://t.co/IyP15hbdV8
Childfree Estate Plans Need Custom Trusts, Not Traditional Clauses
The starting point is to recognize that for Childfree clients who don't have children, 'just' coming up with someone to serve as attorney-in-fact, executor, and/or trustee, can be a remarkably difficult decision. https://t.co/KFZlvuilqG Because the focus of estate planning for Childfree...
Hot Economy, Geopolitics Fuel Inflation, Threaten IPO Momentum
Last week’s momentum-filled gains were abruptly reversed on Friday after the jobs report showed that the US economy is running quite hot while there is still no easy offramp from the conflict in Iran. Add them up and we get...
DXY Bears Despite 13‑Month Congestion, Inverse H&S Unlikely
Some technical analysis debate: This is the past 18 months of DXY Dollar Index price action. Larger bias is bearish but we've had 13 months of congestion. Could be labeled an inverse head-and-shoulders. I don't think it will play out as one...
SPY Put Spread Nets 84% Return on Bearish Bet
Just closed out my $SPY Puts for 84% I entered a debit spread earlier when I tweeted that I was expecting some downside under $744 on $SPY. Negative exposure was growing and bearish prems were flowing in.
Added OSCR and HIMS After Thorough Due Diligence
Bought so far today: $OSCR $HIMS (I have done DD on all of these 👇)
Nasdaq Closes Friday Without Any Drawdown, Historic First
Apparently Nasdaq made history today because it didn't have any drawdown from Friday's close. https://t.co/7Za41Z4SJg
SPY Chop Likely Holds; Minor Dip to 740 Acceptable
Who knows how long this chop will last on $SPY. $744 is the current MVC, and negative exposure is growing at $740. The downside from $743 to $740 doesn't look like a horrible move.
Every €1 on Cyprus Renewables Yields €11‑€19 Returns
New study: For every €1 spent on renewables in Cyprus, it has generated between €11 and €19 in benefits. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6683998
Only Energy, Industrials, Real Estate Up Across All Timeframes
Only 3 S&P 500 sectors up over the past 5 days, 1 month, 3 months, and YTD; Energy, Industrials, Real Estate.
IV Rank Rebounds, Expect Wider Intraday Moves Ahead
Friday's $SPX drop pushed IV rank back into the April/early May range. Vol is elevated now, which often means wider intraday ranges. The last few weeks have been tight, range-bound chop. If the regime is shifting, the setups that worked recently...