Coinbase Options Play: Low‑Risk Bet on Potential 10× Upside
of all the stocks beat up lately, Coinbase $COIN is one of those names... if we zoom out to the weekly we can see it found support in this area multiple times before... i'd been tinkering with options as a way to participate in perceived opps without excessive risk and stood in yesterday... bought the Apr 17/26 $190 calls for about 10 bps of #AllINsync... paid $7.1 and told myself if it rallied to $270, it would be a 10x+... but worst case, lose only 10bps...
Post‑vacation Boost: XWEL Continues After‑hours Surge
Sometimes a little time away in a different environment can pay dividends... and we proved that this morning on $XWEL. Today was my first day back from vacation. $XWEL gave us phenomenal follow-through on the continuation from its after-hours gap up...
DC Height Act Forces Windowless Bedrooms in Apartments
If you ever wondered why DC has so many apartments with windowless bedrooms … it’s the Height Act https://t.co/Axl6cvRgrf
DDOG's Earnings Spike Masks Underlying Trading Risk
$DDOG in a group that has been hard to trade and trust. The name had good reaction to earnings and then fell to current lows. Clear risk. https://t.co/dEj54uWjDe
Strategic Reserve Could Stabilize Mineral Markets, Unlock Capital
Last night’s State of the Union address tied AI dominance to power plants, permits, and domestic mining. Earlier in the day, the House Energy & Minerals Subcommittee debated how to actually fix the mineral markets behind that ambition via the SECURE...
Mortgage Demand Hits 10‑month Low, Biggest Homebuyer Strike
Mortgage demand to buy houses just plummeted to its lowest level in 10 months. The MBA mortgage purchase index is now at 150. 57% crash from pandemic peak. 40% drop from 2018-2019 levels. It's the biggest homebuyer strike ever. https://t.co/FVB0HYY4bc
Discipline Is Loyalty to the Future You
Discipline doesn't necessarily mean you're "being strict". You're being loyal to who you’re becoming. When you wake up and work out. When you log off instead of doom scroll. When you say no. When you decide not to order that thing you saw on TikTok...
Look Beyond Median Sales Price to Understand Home Price Trends
What are home prices doing? It depends. Some thoughts today about interpreting price change. I think it's really important to think beyond the median sales price in 2026. I hope this helps. Any thoughts? https://t.co/KmyRaAIto8
Bears May Get Brief Relief, Not Full Trend Reversal
@GrainsGorilla your bearish tenacity may be about ready to payoff, at least for a little while. May be time time to shake the trees for a little bit and give some relief to the bears it seems. ...
Crude Oil Bullish Order Block, Yet No Range Expansion
CL had OD/ID BO pattern, but no range expansion (yet)...significant zone comes in well below. https://t.co/vLjGgmEMpf
Earn $100k+? Cut Debt with 17 2026 Changes
If you're making over $100k/yr but are still in debt... Stop what you're doing. Here are 17 changes you need to make to get ahead in 2026:
SPX Insights: Patterns, Volatility, Trends & Momentum Signals
Latest video - All about $SPX 📌 Patterns Overview 📉 Two-Way Volatility 📦 One Big Trading Box 📈 Trend Analysis 🕰️ Long-Term Trend 🚀 Momentum Signals 🆕 New Highs 🌊 Market Breadth https://t.co/s3PMNfDKkt
SpaceX Poised to Deliver Broadband Cheaper than Any Alternative
Dan Sundheim on SpaceX: "The telecom market globally is now the TAM... They've come so far down the cost curve that I think in a relatively short time - months or a few years - they'll be dramatically cheaper than...
Sold $
Long time let it ride $LOW sold today after ER and the cautious outlook. Made great coin. The name goes back on go-to list.
ECG Soars 26% to Fresh All‑Time High
$ECG monster move today, a favorite small cap wrote on last year, up 26% to new highs
Timing Matters: Five Distinct NY Trading Sessions
The market doesn't trade the same all day. The NY trading day has 5 distinct sessions: → Early NY Open → NY Open → NY Close → Asia Open → London Open Some are continuation trades. Some reversals. Do you agree that market...
USDJPY‑Yield Spread Correlation Rebounds to Strong Positive
The rolling 40-day (2 month) correlation between $USDJPY and the US-Japan 2-year yield spread has rebound to a stronger positive (+0.6) after 10 months of inversion. Will it just start syncing up or will this gap in carry standing close?...
Tech Exports Drive 5% GDP, 7% Jobs in India
According to the World Bank, computer & information services exports account for nearly 5% of India’s GDP and generate roughly 7% of India’s employment. NO WONDER PM MODI IS SO POPULAR. https://t.co/aWyUaxVmlL
Bull Flag Signals Fresh ROC Flip, New Upward Leg
AD on Buy Day, fresh flip up on ROC, daily bull flag suggests potential for new leg up. https://t.co/2uLjv0D8HZ
Post‑close Narrative Shift Will Reshape Investor Confidence
Just a reminder that after the close today the market narrative is likely to change and with that so will investor confidence and their decisions.
AGI Privatization Falters; Stock Trades Above $1 Bid
As expected, $AGI.AX privatization failed - Novomatic (67%) failed to reach 75% delisting threshold - Stock now ~15% above the A$1.00/sh bid since Sep - Activist argues for ~A$3.00/sh (likely stretched) - Novo can re-bid in a few months, overbid thesis looks enticing now.
Doji Signals Reversal; Trade Cautiously, Not Blindly
See the daily chart. Doji yesterday and confirmed today. I see it as a reversal. Will the trade be better around 140? Yes. But then I missed $10 run. Clear risk. I call out what...
Uber Aggregates Robotaxis, Offering a Leveraged AV Bet
Uber isn’t building robotaxis. It’s aggregating them. That changes everything. $UBRL may be a leveraged bet on the entire AV ecosystem. Read why: https://t.co/uYTNGDwJMe @willrhind @graniteshares
ECG Earnings Gap Signals Potential Breakout After Base
$ECG earnings gapper today. Have been tracking this one since the bottoming base... never pulled the trigger Weekly chart: https://t.co/x7s6TzdGMN
Housing Prices Slip Below 2022 Peaks After Inflation Adjustment
Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.2% Below 2022 Peak Price-to-rent index is 9.5% below 2022 peak https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/inflation-adjusted-house-prices-22-75d
Front-Month Futures Dip, Back Months Stay Premium Amid Elections
Interesting (to me anyway) that the front months are coming down from the recent highs, but the back months are holding their premium. Mid-term elections? https://t.co/I5WS2ewLoF
Rising Sales, Inventory, and Prices Co‑occurred Historically
The reason I draw these black lines in 1980's, 1990's, and 2000s It was common that we had rising sales, rising inventory, and rising prices together, a lot of people = rising inventory with pricing falling on this site (This...
Wealth Isn't Punished—Lack of Asset Protection Is
We don’t actually punish wealth. We punish people who don’t know how to ring-fence it. And this is why asset protection becomes so important when you pass a certain level of wealth.
IBIT Rebounds, Testing 10‑EMA After Yesterday’s Reversal
$IBIT we had the oops reversal yesterday and now the push higher. Testing the 10ema. https://t.co/ciIrySSGG1
Rapid Apartment Boom Hits Non‑Rent‑Controlled Metro Areas
What share of your metro area's apartment units were built since 2020? These numbers put into context the sheer size of this development boom. More than 4 of every 10 existing apartments in Huntsville AL were built just since 2020. More...
U.S. Ethanol Output Surpasses 1.11M BPD, Up
🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production continued at a strong rate last week, topping 1.11M barrels per day for a third straight week. For the last three weeks, output has been about 3% above the year-ago levels. https://t.co/VcHmt2Mthb
Use AVWAP to Spot Buyers and Sellers
If you are trading names in the software group put an AVWAP on your charts to show where buyers/sellers may show up. If you don't know about avwap buy @Alphatrends book and follow him.
Beaten‑down Stocks and Crypto Rally as IWM Stalls
Interesting day so far. $IWM gives up its pre-market gains. We are seeing some of the most beaten-up names rally a bit: quantum, $COIN, $HOOD, $BTC.X
Factor National Interests, Avoid Becoming Market Victim
You can begin factoring national interests and power factors into your preferred free market analysis or you can be a victim of it. https://t.co/bDXsO4Jd8A
Weekly Sales Dip Yet Up 12% YoY Amid Snow Melt
Purchase application data update -5% week to week +12% year over year So far this year, even with a higher bar to work with, every week has had positive year-over-year growth The last 2 weeks, our weekly pending sales data have...
UUUU Forms Bullish Cup‑Handle, Target Mid‑$20s
$UUUU Daily. Uranium/rare earth miner still forming an attractive, bullish cup and handle pattern. Needs to push back into mid-$20's now. https://t.co/jqAyOlkNY0
Rising Rents and Lower Rates Drive Renters Toward Buying
For renters, a strong nudge to think about buying a home often comes from a big renewal increase. As the rental market crawls out of its recession, and mortgage rates start with a 5 not a 6, expect more renters...
Invest Early, Skip Fancy Cars, Learn Finance Now
I asked 50 year olds for their best advice for people in their 20s: 1. Buy less alcohol, invest instead 2. Stop buying fancy cars. It's a terrible financial decision. 3. Become financially literate asap. Retirement will be easier. Anything to add?
Fed Moves Needn't Dictate Other Central Banks' Actions
The policies of the Fed impact economies globally, but that doesn’t mean other central banks have to follow the Fed. If the Fed were to implement surprise rate cuts, the Bank of England should arguably do the exact opposite. My latest...
Buy the Dip, Sell the Rally: Disciplined Growth Rules
I’m 62 years old and previously worked as a financial analyst at Morgan Stanley. After decades in the market, here are my simple rules for beginners: 📉 If it drops 5% → Hold 📉 If it drops 15% → Add 10% 📉 If it...
UPS Surpasses Median Forecast, Near 90% Target
Our fundamental team use the Monte Carlo simulation to derive a 12 month projection In September when $UPS was at $84, we shared our analysis The Median target was $106 The 90% percentile was $147 Price hit $120 recently We combine our fundamental analysis...
Housing Inventory Down 2.6 M From 2008 Levels
For those asking about the gap in this chart today vs 2008 2008: 4,000,000 existing home sales 2008: 3.8 million active inventory Currently active inventory here is 1,220,000 roughly a 2.6 million gap Normal inventory levels are actually 2-2.5 million
Broad Market Wins: Can't Beat VOO Long-Term
This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....
Country Exposures Keep Outperforming the S&P 500
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Country Exposures Continue To Outperform $SPY Monkeys https://t.co/xvYrId3oap via @hedgeye
Goldman's Endorsement Turns Speculation Into Assumed Fact
I suppose that now that the team at Goldman thinks this is true, it must be...
Diageo NA Sales Fall 7% Amid Tequila Competition
Diageo North America 1H FY26 organic net sales down ~7% YoY "Consumer wallet pressure and competitiveness in tequila" https://t.co/BHQJiiv6lk
ByteDance Valued at $550 Billion in Proposed Sale
Exclusive: ByteDance valued at $550 billion in proposed share sale by General Atlantic, sources say With the national emergency finally over.... https://t.co/meRO3PXF22
Kali Chaudhuri Bets $470M to Revitalize LA Towers
#KaliChaudhuri looked at #LA's graffiti-scarred towers+saw potential. Poised to pay $470M for #OceanwidePlaza, storied for its #Chinese failure,+its 2 brethren. 'I'll try my very best to turn it around+make it a jewel' #realestate #multifamily #KPC https://t.co/CANYdyTniX
RBOB Gas Futures Dip 1%, Pump Prices Near $3
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
International ETFs Hit June 2023 Highs
International vs US stocks... fresh highs back to June 2023 on $VEU vs $SPY @stockcharts https://t.co/aAmaYUIj34