China’s 5-Year Plan Boosts Energy Security, Regional Self‑Reliance
How China’s 5-year energy plan could change the way it powers its economy Beijing will prioritise energy security through large-scale projects and greater regional self-reliance, as risks mount at home and overseas https://t.co/HwoETxozqe via @scmpnews
Rich 5s Cheapen Ahead of Auction; Yields Rise
Not surprising to see some cheapening of very rich 5s before the auction later today. 2s5s10s up a few bps from Monday's Citrini low. Interesting to see if the move has legs post-auction https://t.co/ZQjjNm6NwT
Buy March Call Calendar, Sell Feb Put
$LOW "Trade Idea 3: Buy the February 27 Expiry/March 295 Call Calendar ($3.10) and sell the February 27 Expiry 270 Put for 90 cents." Feb calls expire, puts on edge, may need to roll down and out. Leaves a...
Midterm Years Naturally Bring Stock Market Volatility
Yes, stocks in the US have been choppy so far this year. But looking at a four-year Presidential cycle, this is actually quite common for mid-term years. https://t.co/gX328BtAzw
Pullback Below 5 SMA Signals Potential Continuation or Buying Climax
W - pullback below 5 SMA. However, it also had range expansion bar with close outside KC, (which I failed to note yesterday.) The low of the climax bar will determine if this forms continuation pattern or if...
LNG Export Permits Strengthen U.S. Industry and European Security
I can't remember--who was the president 10 years ago? That Administration's decision to grant permits for LNG exports was a boon for the domestic O&G industry while also helping U.S. and European security by reducing dependence on Russian energy exports.
Essential Guide to Private Real Estate Incentives
If you are just learning about the private real estate business, either as a prospective GP or LP, please read this short book. It’s a pretty balanced explanation of the game, including the incentives driving the different players. https://t.co/3pvXJikrV5
Spotting Bounce Trade Opportunities Across Diverse Stocks
$ADBE $BA $BROS $C $CRWD $HOOD $JPM $KRC $MSFT $OKLO $ORLC $OWL $PLTR $QCOM $RBRK $REAL $RKT $TOST $TSLA $TTWO $WOLF some names that caught my eye while scrolling charts. I know, my eyes see chart much different...
NVDA Earnings Loom; BO Triangle Guides Early Trade Decisions
Naz - same, along with a three bar BO triangle on the dailies. Will market wait for NVDA's earnings after the close? BO mode can move in either direction, first hour range provides best structure for hold/fold...test/reject or...
Tactical 200‑Day RDR Trades: Trim or Take Short Position
$jpm did a tactical RDR around the 200day for active cash flow. There were many yesterday. Trim if u held some - or just take the day and a half trade. Same tactic happened in $MSFT and $hood....
S&P Stagnates as Global, Small‑Cap, Value Stocks Surge
WSJ: While the S&P 500 has wrenched up and down but gone pretty much nowhere this year, international, emerging-market, small stocks and value stocks have taken off. https://t.co/eRPZ3CVqAy
Cathie Wood's 40% CAGR Promise Turns Negative
In December 2021, Cathie Wood remarked that her flagship fund, with its best-in-class research, could deliver a 40% CAGR over the next five years. As we surpass the 4Y mark, they are hitting a negative 6.5% CAGR.
Delayed Left Tail, Emerging Right Tail Signals Green Growth
Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots I wrote about this for clients Tues: https://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y
Boeing Shares Slide, Forming a Weekly Flag Pattern
BA: A B C down on dailies into weekly flag forming. (Courtesy of Kyle} https://t.co/y5EJounZmE
VIX Below $19 Signals Bull Market, Nvidia Earnings Await
Good morning, That was prob one of the funniest SOTU's ever 🤣 but with it the vix rejected $20 and we saw the market get bullish & now the final boss...Nvidia's earnings which I'll post the call and put at 3...
Crypto & AI Drive Risk‑On; Metals Follow Dollar
Here’s my🔥 #stickynote for Feb 25, 2026: 📉 Market Headline: Crypto and AI names leading risk-on flows while metals remain tied to USD direction. Earnings and macro could spark volatility. 🧠 Trade Ideas & Levels: $COIN $170 LONG – Key level break. Crypto...
Airport Terminal Signals Strong Growth for Fairfax India
Check out the airport terminal in the beginning of this video and you’ll understand why I’m bullish Fairfax India https://t.co/KDIukR4iLv
MACD Lags yet Highlights Gold‑silver C
Sprott Physical Gold & Silver $CEF as you know from my past posts, these standard 12/26/9 #MACD signals are a little slow for my own taste, but nonetheless... i do like to acknowledge turns from high and/or low points for context......
Market Poised at Resistance Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
One River's LGT Quant Purchase Increases Assets by One‑Third
One River is buying the quant arm of LGT Capital Partners, a deal that will boost the hedge fund’s assets by roughly a third https://t.co/KuxkGui39M
Inside Hedge Funds' Secret Method for Detecting Market Regimes
The secret hedge funds use to detect market regimes... A 37 page PDF reveals everything:
Microcap Success Demands Independent, Self‑driven Research
Successful microcap investors are always independent minded people. They are used to no analyst coverage, no institutional following, no liquidity - no safety net. They are used to doing their own work and building their own conviction. It's why most...
North Korean Won Plummets, Becomes World’s Second Worst Currency
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 2ND WORST CURRENCY. The won has depreciated by over 50% against the USD in the past year. KIM JONG UN'S ANTICS = CURRENCY CATASTROPHE. https://t.co/mODtL8ocdu
Holding, Not Trading, Generates Real Investment Returns
Benjamin Graham: “The real money in investing will have to be made not out of buying and selling, but of owning and holding securities.” Takeaway: Compounding rewards commitment. Most investors lose money not because they pick bad stocks — but because they...
Capital Raising Is the Real Estate Bottleneck
The biggest bottleneck in real estate is raising capital for your first deals. In my case, I raised $400k from eight friends after calling everyone I knew when I was 26. Others who’ve built real estate portfolios, how did you raise the...
Expecting $COIN to Surge in Today's Crypto Trade
Good Morning all. What setups are we looking at for todays trade? I am think $COIN on this #crypto move higher.
Software Volatility Premium May Boost SPX to 7k
CRM and NVDA report tonight. I think the VRP in software stocks is interesting, as the vol is now higher that during the Apr 24 crash. Options spreads could do well even if the stocks disappoint. You can see this in...
Fed Talks and Mega‑Cap Earnings Fuel Market Volatility
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – Feb 25, 2026 🚨 🧠 Economic Events: 1040 – Fed’s Barkin speaks 1100 – Fed’s Schmid speaks 1320 – Fed’s Musalem speaks 📊 Premarket Movers: Trading Higher ($): $NVDA, $BMNR, $RXRX Trading Lower ($): $LCID, $OPEN, $HPQ 💰 Earnings Today: Premarket: $RXRX, $LOW, $TJX Post-market:...
Financials Post Worst Two‑day Underperformance Since March 2025
From @soberlook: The underperformance of the financials sector relative to the S&P 500 over the past two days was the worst since March 2025. $XLF https://t.co/EGLX7QmA3x https://t.co/J5cJSM8UE3
Gold's Historic Premium Signals Potential 2025 Bust
The 2026 Gold Rush Risks a 2025 Bitcoin-Like Bust - At almost 3x, gold has never sustained a greater stretch vs. its 120-month moving average with inflation so low. The graphic highlights a historic oxymoron for the traditional haven: its...
Retail Lithium Investors Should Prioritize Proven Production Assets
Nobody likes to hear it but these are dangerous times for retail #lithium investors that throw money at projects that shouldn’t (and ultimately won’t) be built. Buy quality assets - currently producing or with a clear path to production. Traders?...
Yen Rebounds, Forint Climbs, Yuan Rallies Onward
JPY reversing weaker HUF gaining (on negative polls for Orban) CNH continues to rally consistently
SPX Futures Hold, Target 6916 Before NVDA Earnings
$SPX futures are up 18 after the range held again yesterday, with 6815 proving support. Now we see if it can clear 6916 and hold it ahead of $NVDA earnings tonight, with the top end of the range at 6993–7002....
Alcohol Spending Hits Third‑lowest Level in 40 Years
BofAI: Alcohol spending as a share of total expenditures has reached it third-lowest level in the past 40 years $DEO -8% this morning https://t.co/vYHxySWBiJ
US Treasury Borrowing No Longer Cheap Despite 4% Yield
There's lots of buzz about 10-year Treasury yield falling to 4%. But when you look at this yield vs US peers - hedging those yields back into US Dollars - the US picture isn't nearly so sanguine. The days when...
ILi Markets: Rare, Timely Lithium Market Insight Source
Thanks @D_Jimenez_Sch - there are limited sources of useful, timely information on the #lithium market. Daniel (& his team at iLi Markets) is one of them. Great podcast guest too.
Indonesian-Chinese Shift Assets to Singapore, I’d Follow
You can tell that Indonesian-Chinese have moved assets to Singapore the past year. I would have done the same.
S&P 500 Daily Movers Surge, Indicating Low Correlation
The share of S&P 500 names moving more than 10% in a single day has increased, and high dispersion and low implied correlation suggest stocks are increasingly trading on their own fundamentals - Torsten at Apollo https://t.co/wgshI0i288
Tech XLK Stagnant for 106 Days, Unchanged Since 2025
technology $XLK stocks are trading where they were on September 22nd, 2025 and are flat on 106 days... https://t.co/Bvlgo1pYA5
Yen Rebounds; Intervention Futile Amid Debt Overhang
The Yen is heading back to where it was before the "rate check" from the NY Fed. Intervention doesn't work, especially when the underlying issue is a massive debt overhang and politicians who prefer denial to taking hard, but needed...
Japanese Stocks Hit Record Highs Amid Yen, JGB Selloff
Yen and JGBs Sold on New BOJ Nominees While Japanese Stocks Rally to Record Highs: The dollar was initially sold during President Trump’s State of the Union Address. However, against most of the G10 currencies, it remains within the well-worn...
Turkey's Reserve Losses Signal Strong Depreciation Pressure
Turkey had sustained reserve losses towards the end of last year (blue), even though Lira was falling and USD was weak. That's a sign that depreciation pressure is substantial, a reflection of the large current account deficit. Same old story...
Seek Stocks That Outperform Both Market and Relative Index
i think that having a security/stock/ETF hit new highs while at the same time, hitting new relative highs against the relatively strong market (i.e., Canada $TSX vs. U.S. $SPX) is what any investor should want - at least what a...
Dovish BOJ Picks Trigger Yen Selloff, Stock Surge
The main development today is the reaction to the two dovish nominations to the BOJ board. The yen and JGBs have been sold, while Japanese stocks raced to record highs. Note there are many large option FX...
Starlink Blackout Isolates Russian Troops, Fuels Ukrainian Gains
Starlink cut service to Russian forces along the front line, leaving these troops largely isolated. Ukraine has taken advantage of the situation by launching localized offensives and reclaiming a nice chunk of land. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/Q0eHcVCvu2 #ukrainewar #geopolitics
Avoid Shifting From Public to Private During Market Crashes
"If there is a violent drop in public equity prices, we cannot be in a position where we're taking money out of the public book and sliding it into the private book. That's the ultimate sin of our job." - Sean...
Tech ETFs Battle: Green Shows Winners, Red Losers
here's a bunch of technology ETFs shown as an @Optuma ratio pairs grid... you can see the performance of each against the others... [hint: green/positive numbers show strength = good vs. red/negative numbers = weak] $PTF $SMH $PSCT $ARKQ https://t.co/GRkWjAK3x6
US Electricity Hits Record, Solar Leads Non‑fossil Surge
U.S. ELECTRICITY net generation at utility-scale facilities climbed to a record 4,430 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh or TWh) in 2025 up from 4,309 billion kWh in 2024. Nearly four-fifths of the increase came from non-fossil generators (+94 billion kWh) led by...
Investors Eye Deep Pullback in Quantum Stocks Ahead of Earnings
i'm old enough to remember when these three quantum stocks $RGTI $QBTS $IONQ were all the rage... who's buying the -60-70%+ "pullback"? [honest point: the group continues to perform very well $QTUM] all three have earnings just ahead... https://t.co/gy5OeOXBtm
Vin Murria Vehicle Appears Cheap After Cash Strip
#ADVT "ahead of market consensus". 80% Recurring. £96m Cash. ShareScope has fwd p/e 14.7 falling to 14.2 but no Dividend, BEFORE 6% rise today. Strip out cash looks cheap. This is the Vin Murria vehicle. I don't hold.