Coinbase Taps Egyptian-Founded Kemet for Institutional Crypto Derivatives Expansion
Coinbase has teamed with New York‑based, Egyptian‑founded Kemet to give institutional clients a single gateway to its four crypto‑derivatives venues, including the Coinbase Derivatives Exchange and Deribit. The partnership includes an undisclosed investment from Coinbase Ventures, underscoring Coinbase’s push to broaden its derivatives offering. Kemet’s order‑execution and risk‑management platform consolidates three legacy systems into one, targeting large traders worldwide. The deal arrives as Africa’s crypto market expands rapidly, though institutional‑grade derivatives remain scarce on the continent.
Risky Nifty PE Trade Hinges on IV Above 20
Holding Nifty 5 May 24150 PE, current around 200. If IV stays above 20, looking for 293...294 zone...But honestly, this is a risky one. Needs both price follow through and IV support. Let’s see how it plays out. #Nifty50 #OptionTrading
Hedgeye Signals Bond Volatility Breakout, Review at 9 AM
Big @Hedgeye TREND Breakout for Bond Market Vol that I'll review on The Macro Show 9AM https://t.co/niZaSORuLS
STT Hike Impacts Equity Derivatives Trading, BSE Cuts Charges to Enhance Liquidity
The Securities Transaction Tax (STT) increase in April pushed NSE’s equity derivatives volume down, with its average daily notional turnover (ADT) falling 26% to about ₹216 lakh crore (≈ $2.6 trillion). Meanwhile, BSE’s ADT rose nearly 20% to ₹269 lakh crore (≈ $3.2 trillion) as it slashed fees—zero...
RBA Delivers Third Consecutive Rate Hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia lifted its official cash rate by a quarter‑point to 4.35%, marking its third straight hike. Eight of nine board members voted in favor, citing renewed inflation pressure from late‑2025 capacity constraints and a worsening Middle‑East...
S&P 500 Futures Slip 0.5% as Implied Volatility Rises to 72.25
E‑mini S&P 500 futures closed at 72.25, down roughly 0.5% on the day, as implied volatility sharpened. The move comes as traders brace for a packed economic calendar, including non‑farm payrolls and Fed commentary, and it signals tighter pricing for...
J.P. Morgan Debuts Two Canadian‑Hedged Equity Premium Income ETFs
J.P. Morgan Asset Management launched two Canadian‑dollar‑hedged equity premium income ETFs—JEPH and JPQH—on the Toronto Stock Exchange, bringing its total Canadian‑listed ETFs to 11. The funds aim to deliver U.S. equity exposure with options‑based income while shielding Canadian investors from...
#58898
Effective May 4, 2026 the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) announced that the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) will no longer accept exercise and assignment transactions for Kezar Life Sciences (KZR) options. All KZR option exercises will therefore settle on a broker‑to‑broker basis,...
Plan Your Trade: Set SL, TP, Risk Before Execution
You keep moving stop loss cutting winners and overtrading. That’s why you’re not profitable. Entry stop loss take profit and risk management should be set before the trade. No plan no trade. This is how you fix execution and become consistent in...
Could Production Dips, LNG Demand Finally Push Natural Gas to $3?
NYMEX natural‑gas futures rose on Monday as a confluence of lower domestic output, persistent liquefied natural‑gas (LNG) export demand, and a milder heating outlook in the Midwest and Northeast lifted market sentiment. Production is estimated at 106.6 billion cubic feet per...
Situational Awareness LP Posts 61% Gain in Two Months on Options‑heavy AI Infrastructure Bets
Copy‑trading portfolio Situational Awareness LP surged 61% in just two months, propelled by aggressive options positions in AI‑infrastructure firms such as Bloom Energy, Coreweave and Intel. The fund’s only bearish bet – a $9 million put on Infosys – also performed...
#58896
Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) shareholders will vote on a merger with Banco Santander (SAN) that, if approved, converts each WBS share into 2.0548 SAN American Depositary Shares plus $48.75 cash. Options on WBS will be adjusted to a new contract symbol...
Hedge Funds Pull $45B in Q1 as Alpha Dispersion Returns
Hedge funds posted positive returns in Q1 2026 while U.S. equities fell, attracting nearly $45 billion of fresh capital. The surge marks the strongest two‑quarter inflow since 2007 and signals a return of alpha dispersion, giving managers new levers to generate...
Middle East Tensions Prompt $36M Mag 7 Put Surge
$36M Puts on Mag 7 today This morning, news of tensions in the Middle East sent $SPY down a few dollars.
Rates Spark: 10yr SOFR Hits the 4% Handle
On Monday the 10‑year SOFR rate climbed to 4%, up 50 basis points from the pre‑Iran‑war level of 3.5%. The rise places the rate in a zone the firm identifies as optimal for receiving fixed in swap‑to‑floating strategies, offering potentially...
Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up
Futures opened the week choppy as grains slipped lower while the soy complex posted gains. A more favorable U.S. weather outlook and stronger foreign export flows pressured wheat, especially after India lifted its export restrictions. Feed‑corn sales provided modest support,...
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz Won’t Return to Normal Until August or Later, According to Kalshi Traders
Prediction‑market traders on Kalshi see only a 56% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizes by August, with odds rising to 57% for September. The market defines normal flow as a 7‑day moving average of 60 vessels per day, based...
Vol‑control Exposure Climbs yet Lags S&P Highs
Vol-control implied notional equity exposure is rising off the lows but still well below the $225-300B range from late 2024 and early 2025. The S&P 500 is at highs. Vol-control exposure is not.
Palantir Poised for $26 Swing Before Earnings
Live look at $PLTR ahead of earnings. Option's expiring mid-June project a (+/-) $26 move following the report.
Vincere Trading Relaunches, Showcasing Near‑50% Annual Growth in Futures Algorithms
Vincere Trading announced a relaunch of its futures‑trading platform, highlighting an audited track record of almost 50% average annual growth over six years. The Chicago‑based fintech aims to bridge institutional algorithmic strategies with retail investors, expanding access to hedge‑fund‑style execution...
Avoid Gap Fill Losses: Use Puts for Protection
Long ago, when I was working at HP, when my colleagues did this, they were routinely stopped out, often *below* their stop limit. Most stop loss orders become market orders when triggered, so if the price has gapped below...
LEAPS Contracts Make 25‑year‑old Feel Ancient
These LEAPS contracts making me feel old at 25 😭 You’re telling me I can get a $300 $NVDA CONTRACT FOR 12/15/2028. I’ll be 28 by then but sounds like a good investment to me.
April 2026 Metals Options Report
Gold options activity in April moderated, with monthly ADV falling to 42.5 K contracts and weekly ADV to 17.3 K, while spot gold stayed above $4,700/oz amid 10‑year Treasury yields near 4.32%. The market’s implied volatility remains elevated as investors weigh hawkish...
Exited Calls as SPY Hit $720 Resistance, Momentum Slowed
Right back to where we started at that $720 MVC on $SPY. Momentum slowed on the upside as we approached $722-$723, which gave me a good opportunity to exit those calls. Analysis from earlier still stands.
Morning Rant – 5/4/26
On May 4, 2026, JB released his daily "Morning Rant," a brief market commentary that covered the latest equity trends, macroeconomic data releases, and a few options‑trading ideas. The post noted a continued rally in large‑cap tech stocks, mixed signals from the...
Only Trade When the Precise Signal Appears
Wait until you see the specific signal they look for... #optionstrading #vix #tradingstrategy #investingforbeginners #stockmarket
Captured 55% Gain on SPY Calls
Closed out my Calls on $SPY for 55% just now. Since the open, we had that elevated positive exposure paired with clear Call divergence on $SPY.
Gambling or Derivatives: CFTC Rulemaking Exposes a Structural Divide Over Prediction Markets
The CFTC closed its public comment period on a proposed rule for prediction markets after receiving more than 1,500 responses, revealing a stark split between industry and state regulators. Companies such as Coinbase, Kalshi, and investors like Andreessen Horowitz argue...
Vita Coco Exec Sells 50,000 Shares for $3.4 M Under 10b5‑1 Plan Amid Near‑Double Stock Rise
Vita Coco Executive Chairman Michael Kirban sold 50,000 shares worth about $3.4 million through a Rule 10b5‑1 trading plan, reducing his direct and indirect holdings by 2.28%. The sale came as the stock logged a near‑double gain over the past year, but...
Crude Futures Rise on Reported US Vessel Attack: Update
Front‑month Brent futures surged more than $5 a barrel, hitting $114.30 after unverified reports that a U.S. Navy frigate was struck by missiles near Iran’s Jask island in the Strait of Hormuz. The price jump represented a 5.7% rise from...
Soybean Net-Longs Triple Corn, Heightening Liquidation Risk
Following the Money, Soybeans Lead Risk vs. Reward Speculator net-longs in soybeans dwarf those in corn and wheat, indicating an epicenter for position liquidation risks in grains. The dollar value of hedge fund net-longs in soybean complex futures is about 3x...
Wheat Futures Hit 2‑Year High on Record Speculator Net‑Long
Bouncing Wheat, Long Specs and Reversion Risks The benchmark wheat future has risen to its highest price in about two years on the back of grain speculators being the most net-long in four years -- and it's the time of year...
UAE Says It Is Discussing Currency Swap Line with US
The United Arab Emirates is in talks with the United States to establish a central‑bank currency swap line, a facility currently reserved for an elite group of five major economies. Trade Minister Thani Al Zeyoudi emphasized that the arrangement would support...
Hedging IBIT with MSTR to Target $83,999 BTC
Almost time to hedge up my long $IBIT with short $MSTR. Figure $STRC is almost full of dividends and will be sold at par allowing the common to breath from ATM and MNAv premium expand while the Strc selling...
Apple Shows Minimal Downside, Safe Long-Term Bet
"It feels like it has very little downside... certainly the catalyst for that, the earnings has come and gone, but it does not feel as though this is a risky placeholder on the long side." @CarterBWorth & Dan discuss $AAPL on...
IMAX CEO Executes Decade‑Old Options, Sells 8,943 Shares for $334,000
IMAX chief executive Richard L. Gelfond exercised a 2016 stock‑option tranche and sold 8,943 common shares for roughly $334,000 on April 27, 2026. The transaction, executed through a pre‑filed Rule 10b5‑1 plan, marks the final unwind of a decade‑old grant and...
Bot Flips $900k eBay Calls, Profit Doubles Overnight
On Friday some lucky fella bot $900k worth of $EBAY May 15th $106 calls for ~$3. Friday night deal announced. Today those are worth ~$6. https://t.co/d2TrOCJCuT
High Volatility Renders Short-Term
4 hour across gasoline, $CL_F , brent and the 2 year yield. Again most either bought late, faded early or just are using chart time frames that won't help much when vol is this high for this long. https://t.co/Ie8cBLcCWt
Leveraged ETFs Hit $160.5 Billion, Capture 8% of U.S. Trading Volume as Direxion Targets Growth
Leveraged exchange‑traded funds and notes now total $160.5 billion in assets, representing roughly 8% of daily U.S. exchange trading. The surge is driven by active retail traders, who generate about 90% of turnover, and has positioned provider Direxion to launch new...
Oil Futures Hit New Highs, Expect $90+ Prices
What does the oil market think? Both the July (orange) and December (blue) Brent Crude Oil Futures Contracts are at new highs. The December contract is now signaling that the market expects crude oil to be above $90 for the next seven...
Option Market Still Signals Limbo, Updated Call Confirms
Playing The Limbo Bigger picture, I updated my call that option market is still calling for… https://t.co/KnZYGLpxLL
Pre-Market IV Report May 4, 2026
The pre‑market implied‑volatility (IV) snapshot shows a sharp rise in option IV for several tech and consumer names, most notably GameStop (GME) and eBay (EBAY) after a non‑binding $125‑per‑share acquisition proposal. ServiceNow (NOW) and Corning (GLW) also post elevated IVs...
Traders Price ~9% Swing for PLTR Earnings
$PLTR implied move Options traders are pricing in an expected move of roughly ±8.6% to ±9.8% for the earnings reaction (typically measured to the next options expiration, e.g., May 8 weekly).
Gas Price Forecast Jumps to $5.40, up $1
Top tick in gas prices this year? $5.40 per @Kalshi ... that's up a buck from the current level https://t.co/6iN7z5X7oB https://t.co/tl2oanX6LG
Silver Futures Plunge Rs 3,917 to Rs 2.47 Lakh/Kg on Weak Global Trends
Silver futures on India’s MCX fell 1.56% on Monday, dropping Rs 3,917 to Rs 2.47 lakh per kilogram (≈ $3,000/kg). The decline came amid higher crude‑oil prices and inflation worries that dampened investor sentiment, even as global Comex contracts slipped 2.06% to $74.85 per...
Option Volume Jumps
From @Cboe: Friday's option volume of 78.2M contracts was 14% above recent average levels, with calls leading puts 3 to 2. Among the 500 most liquid single stocks, 30D IV was higher for 98 and lower for 354. @tastyliveshow
ETF Firms Seek SEC Approval for Prediction Market Funds
Amazed to learn that ETF companies have filed for prediction market ETFs for yes/no events like election results. They would be derivatives tied to platforms like Kalshi. SEC is reviewing and asked for more info today.
Calendar Trade for Bonds
A calendar trade strategy applied to Treasury bond ETFs (TLT) generated a modest but consistent equity curve. Over 284 trades the approach delivered an average gain of 0.35% per trade, a 61% win ratio and a profit factor of 1.8....
Mean Reversion Strategies Deliver Double‑Digit Returns Since Inception
Mean reversion (MR) for subs. There are new signals. Since inception: ✔️#ES_F bonus MR +44.7% (May 21, 2025) YTD +15.7% ✔️Bonus MR+Momentum: +4.4% (October 9, 2025. YTD +4.3% ✔️Main MR strategy: +38% (June 27, 2023) YTD +5.2% 🔽Link in profile (Daily mean reversion) 🔽...
Fermat Backs ADB's Inaugural Catastrophe Bonds for Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan
Fermat Capital Management has invested in the Asian Development Bank’s first-ever catastrophe bonds, designed to shield Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan against specific types of natural disasters https://t.co/JQ1cwhqjzw