Traders Bet on Iran De‑Escalation with Bullish Options Amid Market Commentary
Market participants are adding bullish options on the Iran conflict as the war shows signs of winding down, according to commentary from recent earnings calls and CLSA research. The shift reflects a broader move to hedge or speculate on geopolitical resolution, with oil‑and‑gas and logistics derivatives also in focus.
CME Globex to Implement Software Upgrades for CME and CBOT Commodity Futures Markets
Starting Sunday March 29, CME Globex will roll out software upgrades for the CME and CBOT commodity futures markets (Market Segment ID 70), with the changes taking effect on the trade date March 30. The upgrades are designed to be transparent to...
Oil Cracks $100 Barrier, Sends S&P 500 Large‑Cap Stocks Tumbling
Crude oil surged past $100 a barrel, its highest level since 2022, prompting a wave of volatility across the S&P 500. Analysts warn that higher input costs and inflation risk could weigh on large‑cap energy, industrial and consumer firms.
Long SOFR Futures Cheap, Expect No Rate Hikes
Now that cuts have been completely priced out through late 2026 into 1H 2027, long SOFR futures are extremely attractively priced. I do not believe hikes will happen as that would twist the knife into a global recession, so therefore...
Cboe’s Kinahan Bets Simple, Risk-Defined Prediction Markets Will Draw a New Wave of Retail Traders
Cboe’s CEO Kinahan is launching simple, risk‑defined prediction‑market products aimed at retail traders, leveraging the growing appetite for options among younger investors. The exchange plans to offer binary contracts with clear payoff structures, differentiating from traditional futures and gambling‑style markets....
How to Get Arbed with Perfect Information
The piece uses Doug Costa’s coin‑flip contract example to illustrate the power of the no‑arbitrage axiom in derivative pricing. By calculating the no‑arbitrage price and delta hedge, it shows that even with perfect knowledge of true probabilities, a trader can...
Palantir Deploys Vergence AI on Polymarket to Combat Fraud in Prediction Markets
Palantir Technologies has entered a joint venture with Polymarket to embed its Vergence AI engine into the prediction‑market platform’s sports‑betting and event‑driven ecosystem. The partnership aims to detect and prevent fraud in real time, offering regulators and users greater confidence...
Master Nifty Options with Rohit Srivastava’s RMI Framework
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT 🚨 Nifty To Options: Rohit Srivastava’s Complete RMI Trading Framework Stop Guessing Market Moves. In this power-packed session, Rohit Srivastava (Creator of RMI) will show you how to go from accurate Nifty Analysis → High-probability options trades using a clear,...
Limit Trades to Three Per Market, Trust Weekly Charts
Trading frequency - a commentary from a five decade veteran I follow about 40 global futures markets I enter each year figuring that I might three good signals in a given market over the course of 12 months -- maybe four. That's...
PrimeXBT Wins Top Asian Awards for Trading Conditions and Forex/CFD Brokerage
PrimeXBT was named Best Trading Conditions – Asia and Best Forex & CFD Broker – Asia at the World Business Outlook Awards 2026. The accolades highlight its ultra‑fast execution, 99.98% uptime and access to over 350 markets, positioning the broker...
Automated Futures Strategy Delivers Consistent Wins in 10 Days
Testing an automated futures trading strategy on Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ). Day 10. Two trades. Two wins. +325. This is a rule based trading system built for consistency, using fixed risk management and structured execution. No discretionary trading. No overtrading. Tracking performance on a prop firm style account...
Profit From Options Even When Out‑of‑the‑Money
"Your Options don't have to be in-the-money for you to make money" - @sstrazza today LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link. Let us know what you think: https://t.co/4fzzcuHq16 https://t.co/VDX8ocHwoM
Unknown Traders Made a Fortune Shorting Oil 15 Minutes Before Trump Reversed Iran Threat
On Tuesday morning, oil futures trading surged dramatically as 734 contracts changed hands between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT, jumping to 2,168 contracts in the following minute—16 times the day’s average volume. Bloomberg valued the contracts traded in that 60‑second window at...
RBOB Futures at $2.21 Forecast $3.15 Pump Price
March 2027 RBOB gasoline futures $2.21, implying $3.15 at the pump by the winter https://t.co/TkEv0pc6Zf
Premarket VIX Spikes Far Beyond Oil Movement
Using premarket marks, this is Crude (USO) vs VIX. You can see the AM VIX move is high relative to the move in oil (red dot). Black dots are last 5 days. https://t.co/ZgBEOTzNOF
Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: March 25, 2026
U.S. grain futures closed higher on March 25, with May corn edging up to $4.67 per bushel and soybeans climbing to $11.71. Livestock prices slipped, as April live cattle fell to $234.42 and feeder cattle slipped modestly, while lean hogs...
SPX Volatility Appears Unusually Bid This Morning
SPX vols look quite oddly bid this morning? @NoelSmith lemme know if I'm just being dumb (please)
BTC CME Gap Likely to Fill, 95% Historical Rate
The #BTC CME Gap is still present. Historically, about 95% of such Gaps eventually get filled. https://t.co/qkvxNOs2am
Oil Futures Surge $580 M Minutes Before Trump’s Iran Pause, Triggering Insider‑Trading Probe
A sudden $580 million rush of oil futures contracts hit the market minutes before President Donald Trump announced a five‑day cease‑fire on attacks against Iran, prompting the CFTC to launch an insider‑trading investigation. The spike coincided with a 10% drop in...
DFL Spreads Near Spot, Strongest Indicator Despite Lower Spikes
Brent crude: - Flat price (white) - Prompt futures timespread (blue) - Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) spread (orange) All off their highs, but DFLs are both closest to the "real" spot market and they're trading nearest the high of the lot. In relative terms DFLs didn't get...
SPX Is Coiled Tight Still. Big Move Incoming. What Way? March 26 Plan
The author breaks down the recent S&P 500 futures (ES) action, highlighting an "elevator down" sell that led to a rapid failed‑breakdown and a 200‑point rally up to the 6720 level. After the surge, ES entered a tight consolidation between...
Futures Settle: Natural Gas Prices Gain as War Risks Offset Mildest March in 14 Years
Natural gas futures rose on Wednesday after earlier declines, driven by heightened geopolitical risk following Tehran's rejection of a U.S. peace proposal. The market also absorbed bullish signals from rising LNG feed‑gas demand and expectations of tighter storage balances. Despite...
Oil Below 86 Needed to Sustain Equity Rally
Light Crude Futures $CL_F $USO 2 hour chart on left 30 minute on right Oil had been holding support btwn 94-92 until the 🟠"taco tweet" removed some of the perceived risk in oil It dropped down to the anchor from the beginning of the...
Insider Trade Exploits Trump’s Iran Pause Announcement
6:49am: sudden spike in oil futures trading. no news. no announcement. nothing public. 7:05am: trump announces a pause on iran strikes. markets move. someone knew. 16 minutes early. $580 million in contracts. the corruption is staggering.
🎯 Take Profit Alert On Open Cash Secured Puts
Options writer Edward Corona announced he is closing two cash‑secured put positions on Hut8 Corp and Redwire Corp after capturing more than 80 % of the collected premiums. The Hut8 trade yielded a $184 open profit on a $213 premium, while...
CFTC Probes Sudden Oil Futures Surge Ahead of Trump's Iran Remarks, Citing Insider‑trading Risk
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission opened a formal inquiry after a sudden, undisclosed spike in oil futures trading volume occurred minutes before President Donald Trump's televised statement on Iran. The probe comes as the Middle‑East conflict squeezes supply, with...
Calls Surge Ahead of Unemployment Claims Impact
High impact news tomorrow The day trade opportunity happened in the futures market during London session I’m personally not entering any new option positions today due to the fact that high impact news (unemployment claims) However, the data still gets...
This Athleisure Giant Is Primed for a Sharp Move Lower. How to Trade It Using Options
Lululemon (LULU) is confronting a slowdown as stagflationary pressures erode premium discretionary demand. The stock has repeatedly tested a long‑term support level near $160, and a decisive break could push it toward $140. While its net margin of roughly 14%...
Anterview with Andy Millett
Andy Millett and Alasdair Macleod dissect the recent plunge in gold and silver prices, arguing that paper markets have become detached from the underlying bullion demand. They highlight weak speculative activity on COMEX and note that retail demand in the...
Why Euronext Chose the Xeneta Index to Power Euronext Container Freight Futures
Euronext has launched container freight futures and selected Xeneta’s Global Container Price Index (XSI‑C) as the underlying benchmark. The index is praised for its real‑time data, comprehensive coverage of carriers and trade lanes, and focus on 40‑foot containers. Its independence...
Bearish Technical Signal Amid Middle East Turmoil Prompts Trader Caution
A technical indicator flagged a bearish pattern across U.S. equity futures, prompting short‑term traders to reassess risk. The signal arrived as Brent crude hovered above $100, gold slipped 15% month‑over‑month, and geopolitical tension in the Middle East intensified. Analysts warn...
Oil Above $100 and 2‑Year Yield Near 3.9% Push Large‑Cap Futures Lower Amid War Escalation
Brent crude rebounded past $100 a barrel while the two‑year Treasury yield rose to 3.88%, sending S&P 500 futures down 0.2% and weighing on large‑cap energy and industrial stocks. The move follows fresh missile and drone attacks in the Middle...
#58627
On March 27, 2026, the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) implemented a further adjustment to SABESP (SBS) American Depositary Share (ADR) options (symbol SBS1) following a 0.16098% stock dividend and a $0.05 ADR issuance fee. Each SBS1 contract now delivers 102...
US Stockpiles Keep $5 Corn From Surpassing 2022 Peak
$5 Corn May Mark a 2026 Peak Alongside $120 Crude - The December corn future (Dec26) stretch to $4.99 a bushel around the onset of the Iran war on March 9 may have peak inklings akin to Dec22's $7.66 apex...
A Market-Making Project You Can Do Today
The post outlines a hands‑on market‑making experiment using Polymarket’s crude‑oil binary contract and a tight 89.5/90.5 call spread priced with Black‑Scholes. By computing each instrument’s implied delta—how many probability points move per $1 change in CL—you can spot when the...
US Stock Futures Give up some Gains as Iran Says Ceasefire Negotiations Lack Legitimacy
U.S. equity futures slipped from 6,678 to 6,660 after an Iranian semi‑official outlet reported Tehran’s rejection of any ceasefire or negotiations with the United States. The report, released at 7:50 a.m. ET, highlighted Iran’s view that talks lack legitimacy and that...
Can Hedging Really Support a Struggling Market?
Investors have sharply increased hedging as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF’s 20‑day put‑call implied volatility (IV) skew jumped to 2.0, a level not seen since 2021 and only eight times since 2010. Historical episodes show that when the skew reaches this...
From Iran to Taylor Swift: Informed Trading in Prediction Markets
A cluster of six Polymarket wallets earned roughly $1.2 million by buying low‑priced "Yes" shares on a contract predicting a U.S.–Israeli strike on Iran on February 28, 2026. Similar insider‑informed bets generated $485,000 from a $38,500 stake on the covert capture of Venezuelan...
The Law of Decoupled Ownership: The Architecture of Basis Defense
The article outlines a "basis defense" mechanism where a persistent positive spread between futures and spot prices creates a synthetic floor that forces institutional investors to buy index‑heavy stocks during foreign spot sell‑offs. On March 25, 2026, foreign investors dumped roughly...
Hyperliquid Strategies Launches First Listed Options on PURR Stock
Hyperliquid Strategies Inc. began trading listed options on its PURR common stock on the Nasdaq Options Market, giving investors new hedging and speculative tools. The launch arrives as crypto‑linked derivatives expand, highlighted by Wintermute’s new oil CFD offering.
Live Gold Futures Trade Session with Chill Beats
https://www.tiktok.com/@theblackliststocks?_r=1&_t=ZP-94ylxCCXmzW Going live about to enter gold futures trade and listen to music and just chill I’ll see yall there 🫱🏾🫲🏻📈🚀
BMLL, Tradefeedr Partner on Analytics for Equities and Futures Data
BMLL and Tradefeedr announced a partnership to create an AI‑ready analytics layer for equities and futures trading data, leveraging BMLL’s harmonised historical order‑book datasets. The collaboration will extend Tradefeedr’s existing FX analytics APIs to cover multi‑asset execution data, delivered through...
Targeting Gold Futures After $900 Profit Surge
Had a pretty good day with futures yesterday (around $900 in profits) Today I’ll be looking to go long gold via the futures market (TBL team and I are already in gold option positions and shares) I love the daily confluence. Strong...
Record $14.6B BTC Options Expiry Sparks Friday Volatility
This Friday, the market is expected to be volatile: BTC options worth a record $14.6 billion are set to expire. This is the largest expiry in the past couple of months. The maximum “pain price” is at $75,000. https://t.co/fDAMfSj474
Corcept $50 Puts Surge $13/Min Before Halt
Corcept (CORT) 700 May $50 puts selling to open $13 a minute ahead of the halt SEC: https://t.co/g4LgvLustp
Oil Futures Curve Tracks Middle East News Shifts
I find the oil futures curve to be a useful way of keeping track of news out of the Middle East, as it provides a useful metric for assessing what's changing, and how much. https://t.co/Hl3XzfUEfP
Single Stock Calls Appear Undervalued Compared to Index Options
Single stock calls are looking cheap, with stock IV seemingly cheap relative to Index calls. I think that could be an interesting trade setup here. https://t.co/kZqM2eCdlo
VIX at 25 Signals Bearish Market Comfort
$VIX at 25 is pretty much right where the stock market bears want to see it (I posted an X article this morning for my subscribers about this) https://t.co/nM3ANvkYbo
May RBOB Price Drop Signals Lower National Average
May soon becomes the RBOB prompt.. it's $2.89... implying a $3.80-$3.85 national average (down from today's $3.99 level) https://t.co/0eD1CGzOZ5
Ceasefire Talks Boost Global Markets, SPX Near Resistance
Mostly green arrows around the World as Israel says there’s growing talks for a 30 Day Ceasefire. Europe and Asia broadly higher $spx futures +62. We’ll see if early strength builds or fades. $spy pivot resistance $662...