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Tuesday recap
ISDA issued guidance for OTC derivative parties regarding the anticipated non‑publication of the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) on Good Friday, April 3 2026. The guidance outlines fallback mechanisms, amendment procedures, and confirms the holiday‑driven gap in the benchmark. It advises market participants to review contracts, consider alternative reference rates, and update documentation before the date. ISDA notes the guidance may be revised as circumstances evolve.
IV Crush: When Hype Turns Into a Premium Collapse Implied volatility is the driver that inflates option prices. Right before major events like earnings, announcements, catalysts. IV spikes and premiums get bloated. Example: You buy a $TSLA call for €4.50 before...
$640 is still the MVC on $SPY. We've really pinned $640 on SPY for the majority of this session. Negative exposure has continued to build at $640. Exposure at $635 has nearly doubled since the open.
The CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) closed at 92.37 on March 26, 2026, marking a 2.45% increase from the prior session. Brent crude futures traded at $107.10 per barrel, reflecting strong price momentum. The uptick in OVX suggests growing...
⚠️ The market hasn’t behaved like this since 2008 28 intraday reversals in 3 months. Almost HALF of sessions completely flip direction. Most traders are getting chopped trying to chase moves. 👇 Comment “VOLATILITY” — I’ll send you the Discord link# #DayTrading #FuturesTrading #TraderLife
Flipped the book short yesterday. Likely stay that way a while as long as these tops are valid. Sure look to be. Closed almost 100 primary trend positions. Second time weeding out longs in wholesale fashion in a single day...
Edward Corona announced the closure of a cash‑secured put on Ondas Holdings (ONDS) after collecting a $180 premium and realizing a $123 profit, representing a 68.33% capture of the premium. The trade was a -6 Apr 2 $7.5 cash‑secured put...
Already in gold long term via my options and shares portfolios Made sense to take the trade to the upside via futures Solid day in the futures market - nothing crazy MNQ earlier and now gold during NY session $550...
The ongoing Middle East conflict has wiped about $53 bn off the market value of the world’s 20 largest airlines in just three weeks, while jet fuel prices have jumped from $87 to $150‑$200 per barrel, doubling one of the sector’s...
Interactive Brokers rolled out version 2.2 of its IBKR Desktop platform, adding a Synthetic Price column to the Option Chain. The new calculation blends live market data, interest rates, dividends and other inputs to generate a theoretical option price and implied...
Kalshi, the U.S. event‑contract exchange, listed SpaceX with a 94% probability of going public in 2026, the highest odds among all companies tracked. The surge in trading activity around corporate‑event contracts highlights a new frontier for investors seeking exposure to...
I'm quite nervous, and I spent 2 hours writing why you should be too. Consider: VIX has gone +60 twice in the last ~1.5 years. Once on a positioning debacle (Aug '24) and then again on the self-inflicted wound of April '25...
March Selling When They're Yelling in Grains - A takeaway from the March 24-25 Bloomberg Farm, Food & Fuel Summit in Kansas City was that many Corn Belt grain producers used recent price increases to hedge. Corn and soybean futures...
Silver’s open interest has fallen to its lowest level in over two decades, suggesting the metal is deeply oversold and may soon reverse higher. Gold also shows weakness, with Comex open interest under 400,000 contracts and prices testing key moving...
Deribit, the leading crypto derivatives exchange, is set for a large Bitcoin options expiry this week, with industry estimates hovering around $14 billion. The event coincides with a sharp rebound in oil prices and heightened geopolitical risk from the Middle East,...
Bridgewater Associates' $92 billion Pure Alpha strategy posted a loss of under 1% for March, outpacing rivals that logged multi‑billion‑dollar declines amid an Iran‑driven oil price shock. The fund’s defensive positioning highlights a widening gap between macro hedge funds that were...
$VIX is pumping this morning. Last night I walked my club members through the outflow data. This is the first $VIX spike — a second, bigger one is coming post-inflation data (pushed from April to May). I’ll be publishing my full market...
Entered Nifty 23100 PE (30 Mar expiry) around 365. IV is elevated (~27), but still acceptable for me. As long as IV holds above 20, I’m staying in. Structure-wise, downside opened below 22900, so this is more of a momentum + expansion...
In this episode of The Weekly Option, host Eric reviews last week’s option trades—including a covered call on Intuitive Machines, a cash‑secured put on W&T Offshore, a credit spread on the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, and a debit spread on...
Quick read on today’s Nifty50's 30th March expiry option chain. Spot around 22,927. ATM .. 23,000. IV at 98 percentile… market is tense. This is not a calm setup. Something is building. Continued...👇 #Nifty50 #optionchain
Palvella Therapeutics' chief operating officer, Kathleen Goin, exercised and immediately sold 4,302 stock options on March 18, 2026, generating roughly $508,000 in cash. The transaction, executed under a Rule 10b5‑1 plan, comes as the company celebrates Phase 3 trial success and a...
MNQ (Nasdaq futures) counter trend trade idea Important things to note ✅ Fridays are usually bullish ✅ Mondays are usually bullish Although counter trend to the overall trend… this is the setup to take IF your going to take a...
The only thing vaguely positive about this chart is that $VIX9D is just a hair below $VIX. Otherwise, it's all bad news. https://t.co/bwp5uLxYty
John Lothian News is preparing to launch “Auditions,” a new platform on its website and newsletter for market‑related entertainment creators. The venue will accept TV scripts, movies, documentaries, short stories, books and poems that weave finance topics into narrative form....
Poking through a bunch of vol surfaces this am...PLTR vols look cheap relatively and the skew is jacked which means put spreads are cheap. PLTR kinda has that BTC signature...held up well in the past month but got worked in...
The problem with the TACOs is the moral hazard. Market participants are afraid of selling and missing a big rally. It now goes beyond financial engineering. It's a mix of that and cognitive bias manipulation. #ES_F $SPY
United Airlines (UAL) stock reversed lower on Wednesday after a brief rally sparked by higher revenue projections. The pullback has prompted a recommendation for a bear call spread that bets the price will stay below $100 through the April 17 expiration....
Consulting the weekly charts and reminding the audience that you may not want to stick your neck out. https://t.co/WIM9bkH71c https://t.co/ESi6dhTHC3
We are going to print so much money it’s disgusting. Buying BTC, ZEC, and SPY puts.
Investors are weighing the dividend growth records of Realty Income and NNN REIT against a backdrop of sharp oil price gains and a cryptocurrency sell‑off, highlighting how macro volatility can pressure yield‑focused strategies.
OK, let me say it... 95% of you who think you will become this successful active trader driving a Lambo, drinking fine bourbon, taking pics with blonds on a private jet... ...will absolutely fail My advice to you -- PLEASE trade real futures...
5y SOFR swap spreads have been heavy lately and just narrowed below -35 bps. Tactically good level IMO esp with the possibility of reg relief soon https://t.co/fjvHI7HVCz
$SPX futures -27 as yesterday’s weakness gets follow-through. $SPX broke 6525 and is now below last Friday’s low of 6473, with tech pressuring the tape and many names at new March lows. Time to get tactical when $SPX breaks the...
🤯 According to Coinglass data, $186,840,000 in long positions were liquidated within just one hour. BTC < $67,000 https://t.co/JwcBNe1Nec
$ES_F Nearing that first potential save level 6475 as AVWAP off the 2025 low Not to scare anyone, but in a hell of a volume pocket that projects back to nearly 6100 if we lose it https://t.co/COiPC7PJJF
That’s oil on left and S&P futures on right. Half-life of Trump jawboning is about 30 seconds now. https://t.co/p9gVQNbsrd
Ask them if they know where Gamma and its Throttle are before they make decisions with YOUR hard-earned capital @t1alpha https://t.co/NFbbyNF2dn
🚨 ASTER WEEK 1 NUMBERS ARE IN More than $2.66B in USD1 perp volume went through in the first week, with 625K $WLFI distributed in trading rewards. Worth noting: the USD1 holding rewards are separate, with 2.5M $WLFI/month allocated there. Week 2 is...
Tired of false breakouts and market traps? 📉🛑 Join us this Sunday at 10 AM to learn how to spot early momentum shifts and convert your Nifty view into high-probability CE/PE trades using the RMI framework. Register Here: https://t.co/Drtz4W0ktL #Nifty #OptionsTrading #StockMarketIndia
Dyam those $META puts. A reminder for everyone including me stock market is best but also not easy like last few years this is how it always have been.
$300 a day trading stock options can cover most people’s expenses for the month if everyone was HONEST about their income‼️
Theta: The Rent You Pay for Holding Options Theta is the rent you pay for holding options. Every day, a slice of your premium evaporates, and the closer you get to expiration, the faster it burns. Example: Buy a $TSLA call...
When CTAs unwind, they don't ask for permission. They sell into whatever liquidity is available. The signal is already at levels that preceded major drawdowns in 2022 and early 2024. Price follows positioning. It usually takes time a little longer than you...
SPX is sitting 167 points below the gamma flip level. When price is below the flip, dealers are short gamma. They throttle vol moves instead of suppressing them. Swings get bigger in both directions. Bulls need a reclaim of 6,681 to get...
Systematic funds haven't panic sold yet. CTA and vol-control models are sitting at neutral positioning right now. That means they still have long exposure to unwind. If this downtrend continues, these models will keep selling mechanically. No capitulation signal. Just more rules-based selling still...
Sure is tempting to hold Puts down to $645 on $SPY, but I would be cautious of chop around $650. Especially as momentum slows into lunch. I would expect a few tests of $650 before anything gives...
A generation of SIG traders learned B-S from Doug over a 2 day period during "class" as it was called
Some of the biggest changes in options open interest ... HYG puts, VIX calls https://t.co/d4aFpBQUXh
JP Morgan has launched a basket of credit default swaps designed to let hedge funds bet against the debt of $GOOGL, $AMZN, $ORCL, $META, and $MSFT 👀 https://t.co/snSNwBvm2p
How do you hedge exposure to the volatility of energy prices? Sean Murray of @fuseenergy responds https://t.co/meE1SvxnF0
