Market Fueled by Doomers and Boomers, Says Nomura
Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF
ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace
ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
Apple Becomes Modern Two‑Year Note, Rallies on Risk‑Off
Pretty cool that $AAPL has become the two year note of the modern age. Risk off equals appl rally.
Consumer Staples Outvalue Netflix on Forward P/E
Forward P/E Ratios... Colgate $CL: 23.4x Proctor & Gamble $PG: 22.5x Netflix $NFLX: 19.9x 🤔 https://t.co/3B4ig8yjTW
Avoid the Rotation Trade: Dow Signals Reversal
It is a Big Trap - Avoid the Rotation trade The rotation trade is making the rounds on social media, but this trend is based on what worked in 2025 and might not work in 2026. Dow theory suggests it...
Stick to Your Process, Not the Market Noise
i'd like to think i've learned a lot about investing over the years... there were times that i was very discouraged as profits disappeared and/or losses grew... it happens so fast... there've been times of great excitement & enthusiasm, which have coincided...
Apple’s 2026 Lead Threatened by Priced‑In Expectations
Everyone assumes Apple’s lead is secure. But 2026 may test that narrative. Leadership isn’t about new products. It’s about what’s already priced in. Expectations are the real risk. Read closely: https://t.co/L377mvJehE @willrhind @graniteshares
S&P and NYSE Median Stocks Outpace Nasdaq Median
The median stock in the S&P500 Index is up 6.7% so far in 2026. The median stock on the NYSE (> $300M Market-cap) is up 6.3% YTD. Meanwhile, the median stock in the Nasdaq100 Index is up 1.3%, while the...
Winning Stock Picking Means Knowing When to Sell
Successful stock picking isn’t just picking winners. It also means picking out the losers in your portfolio. The greatest advantage in public markets is “You can sell”. But you must know when to sell. https://t.co/iL6AHqtOyR
Core PCE Goods Over 2% Inflation Trending Upward
The number of core goods in the PCE basket with >2% inflation is clearly on the rise https://t.co/zfnw5c3Qnr
National Bank of Canada Cuts MSTR Stake by Half
National Bank of Canada just sold 1.04M MSTR shares valued at $127.8M. Now holds 1M shares worth $122.7M. https://t.co/w8ishlNKSE
TPX Raises Guidance, Still Cheap Yet Unheld
#TPX raised Guidance and says has momentum. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 9.3 falling to 7.9; could be cheap still. I don't hold.
BTG Meets Expectations, Dividend up, but I Stay Out
#BTG (used to be #BEG ) "in line with expectations". "Challenging" backdrop helping them. ShareScope has fwd p/e 10.8 falling to 10.2 with fwd Divvy 3.8% rising to 4%; lot to like. I don't hold.
AI Boom Keeps Payroll Flat, Cuts Original Workers
The software industry's payroll has been flat since ChatGPT launched. The AI productivity boom may be eliminating the workers who created it first. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/xRx5vLZILo
AI Winners Will Be Infrastructure, Not Software
AI winners aren’t who you think. Dell’s margin shift changes the AI narrative. Infrastructure, not software, may drive the next leg of leadership. Most investors are looking the wrong way. Read this: https://t.co/nY4GbIKIfM @graniteshares @willrhind
AMC's $10K Debt Revives Bankruptcy Risk
$AMC 10K firmly puts bankruptcy back on the table. To quote: In order to achieve net positive cash flows from operating activities, revenues will need to increase from current levels to levels at least in line with pre-COVID-19 revenues. However, there...
SNDA Announces Major Merger and Massive PSU Grant
As a friend dm'd me, $SNDA just pulled the "Andrew Walker" special (big merger followed by a massive PSU grant with ambitious stock price versting targets) https://t.co/iEnOdITDX3
All‑Weather Portfolio Outperforms Thanks to Yellow Rock
Today was a solid day of relative outperformance for the all-weather portfolio thanks once again to our yellow rock. https://t.co/o0Q3fVP5ux
Leverage Boosts Stock Volatility, Not Business Quality
"Financial leverage increases equity volatility, not business quality." Leverage doesn’t make a business better — it just makes the stock wilder. ⚠️📈 Financial leverage amplifies equity volatility. When debt is added to the capital structure, small changes in operating performance translate into...
Insider Take‑Private Looms as Settlement Clears Weedmaps Squeeze‑Out Path
No Cheap Squeeze-Outs: My Process Letter to the Weedmaps Board The settlement AIP cleared the path for insiders to strike. With a renewed take-private looking imminent before the proxy, I just served formal notice to the $MAPS Special Committee. See full presentation,...
Green Tech Production Quadruples, Outpaces All Consumer Goods
Technology production (green) * ~50 in 2000 * ~190 today Nearly a 4x increase over 25 years This is the only category with powerful long-term structural growth. It recovered strongly after 2008 and exploded again post-2020. Everything else? Mostly flat. Industrial Production: Consumer Goods (2017...
Sell‑side Analysts: Useless in Bull, Deadly in Bear
This is not specific to OWL, but today’s sell-side discourse reminds me of some excellent advice I got when I was just starting in this biz: “you don’t need sell-side analysts in a bull market, and in a bear market...
ASML Climbs 38% YTD Amid Market Uncertainty
ASML Holdings quietly floating higher in a sea of uncertainty seen here on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. Consistent earnings execution and already up 38% YTD. $ASML #IBDPartner https://t.co/6bDmMq5jpN
Small‑cap Value Poised for Violent Surge Post‑tech Dominance
Russell 2000 $IWM slightly ahead of Nasdaq $QQQ since 2000 and now ahead year-on-year. But the path was dramatic. From 2000–2006 → Small caps crushed tech after the dot-com bust Since 2006, small caps have underperformed large-cap growth for two decades, and severely...
Invest in Real Assets, Not Crypto Hype
Warren Buffett teaches the ultimate investing lesson: Real investing is about assets that produce value—farms, apartment buildings, businesses—not hype or hot crypto. Focus on fundamentals, build long-term wealth, and avoid speculation. Most people invest backwards. 💸 Warren Buffett teaches a simple truth:...
Tech Momentum Hits 100th Percentile, Echoing 2000 Bubble Burst
"in tech, momentum’s performance has moved into the 100th percentile. To see similar levels of performance differential between winners and losers go back to 2000 as the dot-com bubble was bursting and the semis were holding up relative to the...
Emerging Markets Still Offer Cheap Value Opportunities
Emerging markets portfolio manager Juan Torres on: * Where the Real Emerging Markets Value Is * If US Stocks Fall, What Happens to Emerging Markets? * Should You Hedge Emerging Markets Currency Risk? * Is Buying the Dip Still Smart? * Emerging Markets Outlook: Cheap or...
Undervalued Stock <
Imagine selling a security barely above net cash because of industry overhang/listing deficiency while it trades at <2x EV/TTM FCF with massive impending regulatory tailwinds? https://t.co/HZIgUsuHYT
Complacency Ignoring Imminent Software Stock Crash
Still tons of complacency out there for what is developing as an outright crash in software stocks $IGV
Temperament Trumps IQ in Investing Success
Warren Buffett: “Success in investing doesn’t correlate with IQ once you’re above a certain level.” Takeaway: Temperament outweighs raw intelligence. Most investors don’t fail from low IQ — they fail from low discipline. 📉
SoftBank's $30B OpenAI Bet Yields 160% Gain
Quite the investment from SoftBank. SoftBank is up 160% since April 6, 2025 when I wrote it up specifically because of its investment in OpenAI. $9984 $SFTBY
Tariff Tensions Rise as Markets Await Inflation and Fed Signals
Trump's tariff drama intensifies while markets await key inflation data and Fed signals. The plot thickens on every front this week. 🟢 Open https://t.co/8tpXkyVt89
Mean Reversion Drives Margins, Multiples, and Sentiment
"Mean reversion applies to margins, multiples, and market sentiment." 🚀 Markets always swing, but smart investors know: extremes don’t last. Mean reversion isn’t just a theory—it drives margins, valuation multiples, and market sentiment.
Microcap Olympics Unites 16 Nations
On theme with the Olympics. The goal is to bring the world of microcap together. 16 countries represented so far... 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇬🇧🇪🇸 🇦🇺🇧🇪🇧🇷🇨🇱🇩🇪🇮🇱🇲🇽🇵🇦🇸🇬🇨🇭🇦🇪🇧🇸
55 Dividend Hikes, 17 Companies Celebrate 10‑Year Streak
There were 55 companies that increased dividends last week 17 of them have managed to increase dividends for at least ten years in a row The list is below:
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.
Smart Discipline Turns Small Savings Into Massive Wealth
Warren Buffett on wealth building: Small sums grow fast with effort, but massive portfolios need smart investing, discipline, and patience. Discover how his timeless strategies in value investing and compounding wealth can guide your financial journey. Small amounts can snowball into...
Equal‑Weight S&P Soars While Cap‑Weighted Stalls
The equal-weight S&P 500 keeps hitting new highs while the market-weight index loops below 7000. Same stocks, completely different story. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/tKGVSNbdyK
Avoid Massive Drawdowns: 99.99% Loss Needs 9,900% Gain
For the avoidance of doubt the marketer cited a 99.99% loss, which requires a 99,900% gain to get back to breakeven. Start w 100 drop 99.99% = a penny To return to 100 from 0.01, you capital must increase 9,900-fold. Avoid big drawdowns....
Market Swings Between Extremes; Stay Rational and Ready
Benjamin Graham: “The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism.” Takeaway: Expect extremes and prepare to act rationally. Markets are wild—but that’s where opportunity lives. ⚡
Discover 10x Small‑Cap Gems Only Retail Can Own
There are a bunch of small stocks that will 10x over the next five years that are waiting to be found. Institutions can’t buy them. Only you can. https://t.co/yI75FFwGuc
Preserve Capital First: Never Lose Money Before Earning
"Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1." ~ Warren Buffett Stop losing money before you even think about making it.
Master M&A Basics and Profit Strategies – Free PDF
Mergers & Acquisitions 101 M&A and how you can profit from it Here’s what you’ll learn: • What Is M&A? • Why M&A? • Types of M&A Deals • How M&A Works • Benefits of M&A • The Risks • Who Drives M&A? • The Hard Truth • Serial Acquirers 📚 Grab...
Invest $1k with Simons, Earn $2.2B After Fees
If you gave Jim Simons $1,000 in 1988 and never touched it, you'd have $4 billion after 30 years—before fees. After Simons takes his $1.76 billion cut, you’re still left with $2.24 billion.
MLCI Could Hit $8, Offering 55% Upside
Gemini's view on $MLCI's 10b5-1 impact post tender heading into their next quarterly update in March. Getting back to 0.75x BV after these assumptions would put the stock at nearly $8... which sounds miles away (+55%) and yet would still...
Deere’s Dividend Surge Validates 12‑Year Analysis
I analyzed this company twelve years ago You will never guess what happened next https://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/2014/07/deere-co-de-dividend-stock-analysis.html
Airbnb Hits 9M Listings, Bookings up 10% YoY
Airbnb Q4 FY25 letter: "We ended 2025 with over nine million active listings around the world. During Q4 FY25, active listings grew relatively in-line with the YoY increase of Nights and Seats Booked [+10% YoY.]"
Record 76 Dividend Hikes, 33 Sustain Decade‑long Growth
There were a record 76 companies that increased dividends last week 33 of these companies have also managed to increase dividends for at least a decade The companies include: