Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 climbs 3% on Trump‑Iran talks and easing oil prices
The S&P 500 jumped 3% on Tuesday, marking its strongest weekly gain since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was driven by President Trump’s remarks on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices, while the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF stays 7% below its January peak.
Goldman Sachs reports an 80% plunge in net immigration to the United States, falling from roughly one million annually in the 2010s to an estimated 200,000 arrivals in 2026. The decline is attributed to heightened deportations, a visa processing pause for 75 countries, and expanded travel bans enacted during President Trump’s second term. Fewer immigrant workers lower the economy’s “break‑even” job‑creation rate from about 70,000 to 50,000 jobs per month by the end of 2026. Goldman warns that the shrinking labor pipeline could mask underlying hiring weakness and increase recession risk.
Still far more interest in NVDA & MSFT than in stocks like Arrow Electronics which is on #IBD "Recent Breakouts list" from @IBDinvestors @marketsurge $ARW just cleared a lengthy 4.5 yr base since 2021 as wkly volume hit the highest...
$PANW, the object of affection on the show (by two members) today (and a third, last week ) @cnbc is now -$17 or -10% in after hours after poor guidance. Some say I dwell on my criticism and that...
Berkshire Hathaway reduced its Apple position by 4.3%, bringing the holding to $61.96 billion, yet Apple remains the conglomerate’s top equity. The firm also disclosed a new $351.7 million stake in The New York Times, expanding its media exposure. These moves were filed in...
MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild and crazy day, the S&P 500 started down 0.8%, but closed up 0.2%. The index gained over $500 BILLION in market cap from the intraday low 🙌 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk...
The episode explains how the U.S. economy is diverging into two distinct regimes—one of robust growth and inflation resilience, the other of slowing activity and tighter monetary policy—and how this split is driving market rotations. It outlines the macro drivers...
U.S. equity indexes posted modest gains as AI‑related uncertainty lifted volatility, with the VIX climbing to 22.96 before settling near 20. The utility sector saw DTE Energy’s earnings beat forecasts, propelled by a new 1.4 GW power contract for an AI‑driven...
Fab article about which vertical software will be hurt and which could be made stronger... "But here's the thing the market already understands: you don't need revenue to decline for the stock to crash. You need the multiple to compress. A...
Figma ($FIG) - down 83% from its IPO highs. Can earnings save them this week?
On February 17, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan released a new stock market update video on his blog. In the briefing, McMillan reviews recent equity market movements and outlines option‑based approaches for navigating volatility. He reiterates the importance of...
$ADBE trading at just 15x its earnings as the stock reaches five year lows. Are you buying? Earnings scheduled on March 12th.
Fed governor Michael Barr's latest speech contains 1) A short part on the current policy outlook. The key guidance: "Based on current conditions and the data in hand, it will likely be appropriate to hold rates steady for some time." 2) A...
Rigetti Computing’s stock plunged 72% from its October peak, settling near $15 after a 270% rally earlier this year. The quantum‑computing firm posted Q3 revenue of $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million, and a net loss that widened to $201 million versus $15 million...
Roku reported a robust Q4, with revenue rising 16% to $1.39 billion and EPS flipping to a profit of $0.53, beating expectations. Platform revenue surged 18% to $1.22 billion, driven by video ads and premium subscriptions, while device revenue barely grew. Adjusted...
Tripadvisor disclosed multiple discussions with activist investor Starboard Value, which owns about 9 % of the company and is seeking board control and a possible sale. Starboard criticizes a 50 % share decline since CEO Matt Goldberg’s 2022 appointment, slow adoption of...
‼️The largest US stock buyer since 2009 is STEPPING BACK: Combined buybacks by Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle fell to $12.6 billion in Q4 2025, the lowest in 7 YEARS. This marks the 3rd quarterly decline, a -70% DROP from the...
Two different measures of business inflation expectations have essentially returned to pre-pandemic levels. The Atlanta Fed survey (dark line), which asks businesses how much they expect their own unit costs to change, is back at 2%—right where it was in 2019....
A Finviz‑sourced heatmap reveals today’s capital allocations across U.S. equities, highlighting strong inflows into technology and renewable‑energy stocks while energy and financials lag. The visual shows green‑colored leaders posting double‑digit gains, contrasted with red zones where sectors such as utilities...
Is it finally the week $SPY breaks this range? Stuck here since November. Reports scheduled this week: - U.S. Trade Deficit Report (Thu) - GDP (Fri) - Inflation Report (Fri) - Consumer Sentiment (Fri)
Render announced a $100 million financing round that lifts its valuation to $1.5 billion, reflecting the surge in AI‑generated applications. The San‑Francisco startup reports revenue growth exceeding 100 percent and a developer community of more than 4.5 million users. It runs on AWS and...
📺 IS THE MEMORY GROUP STILL “SPECIAL”? $MU, $SNDK, and $WDC were some of the strongest names in the market recently. The key question is whether this group can maintain its leadership while broader tech faces downside pressure. $MU trade framework: – If $MU...
In this February 17, 2026 episode, Lawrence Fuller reviews a turbulent market week where the S&P 500 erased its yearly gains, driven by a 7% decline in the “Magnificent Seven” mega‑cap tech stocks. He explains how the tech rotation is pulling...
📺 THIS MARKET NEEDS RESOLUTION The market is stuck in a range. Breakouts fail, breakdowns bounce, and both longs and shorts get frustrated. We need a decisive move that breaks the range and sticks. That could mean: 🔻 A clean break below support $QQQ...
Wendy’s shares trade at roughly 12 × current‑year earnings and under eight times the 2030 forecast, positioning the stock as a deep‑value play. Analysts project a 34.6% upside with an average 12‑month target of $9.39, though most maintain a Hold rating....
Balanced take from Bob. While the headline may be different than my "get out" thesis. The meat says the same. Flows suggest marginally weaker dollar and relative underperformance of U.S. stocks vs ROW. Don't panic out...
Elevated Margin Loans … wonder if the crypto volatility and metal volatility and software volatility has something to do with that 🥺
The February Consumer Discretionary Dashboard shows the sector’s services segment trading about 14% below its 11‑year average, while autos and components remain the most overpriced subsector. Fidelity’s FDIS ETF and SPDR’s XLY deliver comparable long‑term Sharpe ratios, but FDIS offers...
#Amazon snaps 9d losing streak during which it lost more than $450bn in value. https://t.co/0lGS8k6lrO https://t.co/TjEQVxihvT
Berkshire Hathaway reduces its $AAPL holdings from 238.21 million to 227.92 million shares. No biggie. @ScottWapnerCNBC @dougkass
If you're still bag-holding consensus CNBC names like $APP $HOOD $PLTR, that will bother your pocketbook
Will be interesting to see if Sam @SamofAmerica is interested in $HAL like RPK @RPKent is
AI cos and data centers are expected to issue $220 billion of debt this year, making up 15% of JPM's high-grade bond index (and making them bigger issuers than banks) https://t.co/LPkxfJGhNK
Must listen. Rare interview with activist investor Mason Morfit with @WilfredFrost my favorite part when they discuss why he says the market is wrong on Salesforce @Benioff
If there was something else to "dig into", I would have. Dollar Up has its implied Correlation Risk today. I'll do what the signal does. It didn't change.
Switzerland is hitting a new all-time high again today as U.S. stocks break down to new 6-month lows relative to European stocks. https://t.co/z6UH4K1Vfo
A few of our weekly inputs have come in for US growth. We continue to rebound hard cyclically. EURUSD down, US assets (soon) up, and ISM PMI towards 60 by summer. Our Nowcast IQ is telling a VERY contrarian story to...
🔬 Research links: the stocks retail investors favor, the impact of IPO timing, and why base rates matter so much. https://t.co/cjmTGAY0wz chart: https://t.co/rvyduDs39u https://t.co/EKv26rorKm
New US deficit and growth projections ""suggest a quiet period ahead for bond vigilantes and others who hand-wring over the unsustainable nature of the US debt and the inevitable market revolt – the Godot for which they have waited impatiently...
Did we get a 2X bottom in $IGV or does it take another leg lower. $orcl worth a look if software tries to hold last weeks low https://t.co/bmeM49XP1F
In the spirit of committing chart crimes, here is the single stock PC ratio vs the VIX (green). VIX, a proxy for SPX IV, is clearly lagging. Likely unrelated is that VIX exp is tomorrow... https://t.co/ygiUeMv38z
$SPX is now below the 8/21/50day. The longer we sit under 6880ish the higher the odds we see lower prices. A reclaim back above there keeps this range action intact, while 6780–6790 remains the key major support zone. https://t.co/Zmq5a33GXE
Almost 90% of global public bonds trade at a yield lower than 5%: Apollo's Torsten Slok. "With inflation at close to 3%, this means that investors in public fixed income only get a 2% real return each year." https://t.co/oCUWfCIGpn
What a re-rating for Walmart stock. From 6x EBITDA in 2011 to 23x today. Sometimes buying good businesses cheaply just works. https://t.co/ORuNNv1HBY
This week’s episode explores a dramatic shift in sentiment that unfolded in just a few days. Emily and Michael are joined by Jay Glickson (Macro Sales) to discuss what institutional investors are saying, how AI disruption fears are shaping their...
"AI Revolution" - Nvidia unchanged since July, off 3% in 2026. Street Research $NVDA at $181 Buys 92.8% ...
Got Good Stock Picking or Bag-holding #Bag7 names? 73% of stocks were up an avg +2.0% on Friday with our $AMAT Long leading the way @HedgeyeTech https://t.co/1HxQYIbhYb
Correlation Math #Quad3 Dynamics very much in play on a Dollar Up (Gold Down) morning https://t.co/QACdjs8zu2
Wall Street is full of worried bulls. On one hand, investors are telling CEOs they're overinvesting. On the other, investors are feeling the best about the overall backdrop since June 2021, with "no landing" expectations at a record high: February...
Sales are weak. Inventory is tight. Builder sentiment is soft. If rates fall, incentives drop — and margins can snap back fast. The setup in homebuilders isn’t getting enough attention. Read more: https://t.co/AJREG4myee
Market Update: We continue to view the market as being somewhere between very overvalued and pornographically overvalued. We have an out of consensus outlook. @dougkass @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @carlquintanilla @ScottWapnerCNBC @jimcramer @pboockvar @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @tomkeene @ferrotv @lisaabramowicz1 @business...
