Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 jumps 3% for strongest weekly gain in five months as oil eases and Trump signals Iran talks
The S&P 500 surged 3% on Tuesday, delivering its best weekly performance since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was sparked by President Donald Trump’s comments on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF remains 7% below its January peak, while AMD posted a 2.5% monthly gain.
Fidelity Fundamental Small‑Mid Cap ETF (FFSM) is an actively managed, non‑transparent fund that combines quantitative screening with fundamental research. Since its 2024 strategy shift, FFSM has outperformed the S&P 500 and several SMID peers such as IJH and SMMD, driven by stronger growth, GARP, and momentum exposures. However, the fund exhibits a deep maximum drawdown, an over‑190% downside‑capture ratio, relatively high expense ratios, and modest liquidity. Consequently, the author recommends keeping FFSM on a watch list but stops short of a bullish thesis.
Biggest strength for Tech Stocks. and their biggest weakness? (stretched valuations are underpinned by stretched profit margins) https://t.co/JyYGvhtRlC
CPI cools to 2.4%. Yields fall 18bps. S&P 500 posts its worst week since November. If inflation is easing… why aren’t stocks cheering? The market isn’t repricing rates. It’s repricing disruption. Disinflation Relief, Disruption Fear 👇 https://t.co/JM3yRs0tFM
Arunima Sinha explains that a pending U.S. Supreme Court ruling on the president's authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) could sharply reduce tariffs on many consumer goods, lowering the effective tariff rate from about 15% to the...
Closing out the week with @GregDaco and @ElizRosner talking about inflation: "On the latest episode of The Inflation Brief from ECON-versations with NABE, hosts Greg Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton are joined by special guest Claudia Sahm to break down the...
Leadership didn’t vanish; it rotated. Capital moved from high-growth tech into value, dividends, and economically sensitive sectors. When rates stay higher and scrutiny rises, cash flow today beats promises tomorrow. Style matters again.
Instacart reported fourth‑quarter revenue that beat expectations and a 14% rise in gross transaction value, its strongest growth in three years. Orders reached 89.5 million, surpassing StreetAccount forecasts, and the company projected GTV of $10.13‑$10.28 billion for the year, above analyst estimates....
The leaders of last year are no longer the favorites. The trading landscape is changing, and you have to adapt quickly to keep an edge.
While sectors like staples (XLP), energy (XLE), materials (XLB) and industrials (XLI) have all provided a safe haven in recent weeks as large cap tech has sucked wind, most of these are all now reaching exhaustion. This means that from...
Altria Group, a legacy tobacco conglomerate, is confronting a shrinking base of smokers, which is pressuring its traditional cigarette revenues. The company’s core brands include Philip Morris USA and John Middleton cigars, while its smoke‑free portfolio features NJOY, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco and...
$PLTR not my style to buy dips after big breakdowns, but would have attractiveness from counter-trend perspective near 120 into Monday-Wed of next week. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge NEW charts link https://t.co/XW54gpkuMU Note that 4/7/25-11/3/25 rally of 210 cal. days...
Pauses aren’t pivots. Central banks are holding steady, but easing remains conditional. Inflation is cooler, labor is softer, yet not weak enough to confirm a recession. Markets are trading the transition, not the destination.
Infosys ADRs rebounded on Friday, jumping 4% to a intraday high of $14.77, while Wipro ADRs rose 2.2% to $2.33 despite a weakening Nasdaq and soft domestic IT trading. The broader U.S. market slipped, with the Nasdaq down 0.9% and...
$COIN rebounding despite its earnings miss. Is the fallout over for crypto? Its recovery will be highly tied to the crypto markets. No crypto trading = less fees earned. Valuation is pretty attractive, but remains high risk. Solid upside above 170.00.
After this week's employment & inflation data it is starting to look like the elusive soft landing may finally happen. Would be the first indisputable US post-WW II soft landing. We've had false hopes before dashed by the underlying economic dynamics &...
The latest U.S. inflation report appears modest, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ decision to assign a zero year‑over‑year change to housing components that were not surveyed during the recent government shutdown artificially depresses the CPI reading. This methodological adjustment...
Core CPI inflation rose during the month of January. But it fell and was relatively muted over longer periods of time--although still some concern the numbers a bit lower due to shutdown-related quirks. Annual rates: 1 month: 3.3% 6 months: 2.5% 12 months: 2.5%
Despite a cascade of wars, pandemics, social unrest and economic strain, global equity markets are soaring, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average breaking the 50,000 mark. The article argues that this disconnect is not a glitch but a structural feature:...
The episode reviews a flat QQQ market after CPI data and a broad Asian sell‑off, then dives into earnings from Arista Networks (ANET), Applied Materials (AMAT), Roku, CarT, and Airbnb. Arista beat expectations, raised its FY26 growth outlook to ~25%...
In this Morning Market Brief, host Morris Fuller outlines a recent pullback in futures, attributing yesterday's broad market decline to AI-driven disruptions affecting transportation, logistics, real‑estate, and financial‑services sectors. He emphasizes that while some industries suffer, others stand to gain...
There's only been 28 trading days this year and ETFs have already pulled in about $250b. More than double any other start to a year. Up until 2020, $250b was what they averaged for a YEAR. That's $9b/day pace, or...
Yes, most of the jobs last month (and the previous 18 months) have come from health care/social assistance. But if things were so bad would there be 32k in construction? Or 5k added in manufacturing? The labor market isn't great by...
Defensive rotation continues. Utilities and real estate led again, $VIX closed above 20, and my short-term trend model flipped bearish. I also answered questions on holding through earnings ($MAR), #Bitcoin correlation, and what makes a trader great. Watch here: https://t.co/dJtLYZYHoz
This classical pattern is called a continuation inverted head and shoulders. This is one of the most reliable patterns with a success rate of 61%, of which 43% travel to the target with minimum interruption. $CME @TechCharts #probabilities matter in...
"The exceptional profitability of the largest stocks boosted the aggregate S&P 500 profit margin to a new record high of 12.6% in 4Q" - Goldman https://t.co/5fnYCaoDhm
Visa total return the last decade or so basically all earnings growth; P/E unchanged while change in EPS estimates roughly equal TSR https://t.co/wYh3Mkz7Aq
Ford just disclosed an additional $900M tariff hit in its Q4 results. TARIFFS = BAD NEWS FOR AMERICAN CORPORATIONS. https://t.co/kau61WOizz
We now have the longest and strongest breadth rotation in recent years. Notably, it’s the only rotation that has been propelled by broader macro and micro fundamentals rather than lower rates. We first recommended a broadening trade of value and...
Some ask. What do I think next week. The next ten $spy points. I’d say below $670 before above $690
Helpful context. Your competitors completely missed this epic Cyclical ramp in the Steel Stocks $SLX and today's one of our 1st Buying Opportunities in a while
Sam @SamofAmerica , Signal Strength says to stay with Nucor $NUE here. What say you?
Drosey Wrong $DWSH down another -1.3% and they're trying to jack up the borrow, sad
If you were buying more Energy Exposure via $XOP $OIH into a red close 24 hours ago, professionally done
I believe this is a false rally. Look at Utilities. That's defensive positioning. Same with long duration Treasuries. We remain in a risk-off condition for now.
“Software is dead.” That’s the narrative. Revenue isn’t collapsing. Balance sheets aren’t broken. The Fed isn’t tightening. AI disruption… or mispricing? The setup in large-cap SaaS may be asymmetric. Read: https://t.co/dhUDCqMzbs
Post Hedgeye's Nowcast nailing another decel in CPI Growth decelerates → yields fall → correlations re-assert That’s the whole #Quad3 playbook ✔️ Duration bullish ✔️ Utilities work ✔️ Gold works ❌ Financials don’t
The Danny Moses Show returns tonight @scrippsnews at 7PM sponsored by @Kalshi. Great to have @pboockvar join me & we talk about the global & U.S. economy, A.I. stocks/bonds, commodities, the consumer, #FED, Private Credit & make some @Kalshi predictions... https://t.co/vQGLUQMHUc...
Resilient labor. Cooling inflation. Duration rallying. Yen surging. 130K jobs. CPI at 2.4%. 10Y yields sliding. Dollar down on the week. This isn’t a clean cycle — it’s macro crosscurrents. Full breakdown: https://t.co/vNAZw80IbE
“.. we had less job growth all of last year than we had in an average month during the Biden administration.”
The share price of $CENX is forming a classic broadening top pattern, similar to the famous 1929 chart of Air Reduction Corp. https://t.co/2CLb8yjOP6
Tactically $spy pushed below yesterday’s low and reclaimed it for a bounce cash flow move. U guys know what to do with that Same for $qqq
Forget Trump's AI HYPE. The S&P Index has now given up nearly all its 2026 gains. https://t.co/GAL0TbU7KG
The Dow is up 9 months in a row and we are in the banana peel month of February. Yes, they might blame it on AI or something else, just know a little pause here and now is perfectly normal and...
The scary part is tariffs HAVE increased inflation. The lagging and imputed portions of CPI are the only remaining sources of inflation. We may get a hit from oil some day, but inflation RATE is no longer the problem. And...
$AAP ripping on earnings as call buyer been adjusting and right for weeks here https://t.co/NDM9mXOd3k
There is ZERO evidence that the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the data, not the CPI, not payrolls earlier this week. I am not being naive and people are watching carefully for signs of tampering. Such accusations now are harmful...
Another SOFT inflation surrpise... It has become a bit of a theme, and we are increasingly convinced that inflation forecasting has become a "politicized arena" within banks, given how incredibly stubborn they have been in their wrong lean on this.
McGough LIVE on The Call right now saying BUY Gamestop $GME on the open @HedgeyeRetail
The market is now punishing even those companies which are beneficiaries of AI. These businesses are accelerating their revenue growth and their management is explicitly stating that AI is a tailwind, yet their stocks are being crushed. Unreal.
$SPX futures slipping after losing 6902/6870 as traders cut risk and lean short. Upper range looks vulnerable, especially in tech with lots of names bent or broken. If SPY/QQQ lose the 8/21-day, expect more cash + day trading. CPI at...
