Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 climbs 3% on Trump‑Iran talks and easing oil prices
The S&P 500 jumped 3% on Tuesday, marking its strongest weekly gain since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was driven by President Trump’s remarks on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices, while the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF stays 7% below its January peak.
The episode examines the rapid shift from AI euphoria to AI paranoia among investors, sparked by a controversial startup demo that triggered selloffs in sectors like insurance, logistics, and even impacted Apple. It also highlights the impact of recent January price hikes and lingering Trump-era tariffs on the upcoming CPI reading, which could be pivotal for the Federal Reserve's rate decisions. The host references a recommended Reuters piece on what would compel the Fed to raise rates, underscoring the macroeconomic stakes. Overall, the discussion blends tech market volatility with broader inflationary pressures shaping monetary policy.
There's only been 28 trading days this year and ETFs have already pulled in about $250b. More than double any other start to a year. Up until 2020, $250b was what they averaged for a YEAR. That's $9b/day pace, or...
Yes, most of the jobs last month (and the previous 18 months) have come from health care/social assistance. But if things were so bad would there be 32k in construction? Or 5k added in manufacturing? The labor market isn't great by...
The episode discusses the recent market downturn, highlighted by a 2% drop in QQQs, as AI disruption spreads beyond software and internet sectors into areas like property management and freight logistics. It examines how AI is turning into a net...
Coming up on @thestreetpro More Tales From Nvidia: The Depreciation "Tail and Spike" Will Be Painful to Mag7 Profits (Issue #178!) * As free cash flow is plummeting... I decided to ask the AI about itself. In this case, I asked Google Gemini about...
The DOW has fallen below 50,000 today. $1 trillion was wiped out from the US stock market. No one tell Pam Bondi.
Suzano SA surged to a 52‑week high of $11.22, closing up 13.5% at $11.18 after reporting a dramatic swing to profitability. Net income jumped to R$13.4 billion in 2023 from a R$7.04 billion loss the prior year, while revenues rose 6% to...
Indexes look stable, but leadership is shifting. Value, cyclicals, and small caps are quietly taking the baton from mega-cap growth. This isn’t speculation; it’s a broadening market demanding cash flow and balance-sheet strength.
$SPX futures slipping after losing 6902/6870 as traders cut risk and lean short. Upper range looks vulnerable, especially in tech with lots of names bent or broken. If SPY/QQQ lose the 8/21-day, expect more cash + day trading. CPI at...
Globalfoundries swung from a $262 million loss in 2024 to an $888 million profit in 2025, posting a 439 percent year‑on‑year earnings improvement. Revenue grew only 1 percent to $6.79 billion, highlighting higher‑margin contracts and cost efficiencies as the profit drivers. The fourth‑quarter profit of...
I will be on @YahooFinance at 8:30 am today to talk about the CPI. Friday the 13th and inflation. (My preview thread below.)
Stocks are up an annualized 22.6% on Friday the 13th. What really should scare you is a simple case of The Mondays, as stocks are down 18.3% on Monday. #FridayThe13th https://t.co/M74coxbyXF
The AI spending surge is rewarding infrastructure providers more than software developers, with data‑center REITs emerging as a conservative play on the trend. Equinix and Digital Realty benefit directly from hyperscalers’ massive compute investments, delivering immediate revenue growth. Equinix reported...
The funny thing is that in this value rotation, many investors are unknowingly shifting from value stocks to expensive ones. https://t.co/wliuup8rSq
Great question. Drop in hiring happens every January. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis (left), we lost 2.6 million jobs in January 2026, but that was a smaller loss than a typical January ... so we got a good print seasonally adjusted...
The episode dissects the impact of January's surprisingly strong jobs report, which undermined expectations of a weakening labor market and pushed anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts further into the future. It also examines a new Congressional Budget Office outlook that...
SPX put skew is really starting to warm up here, while ATM IV remains relatively subdued. If SPX 30) https://t.co/p9qsHp8nHk
US exceptionalism is turning into global rebalancing: BofA’s Michael Hartnett. Stock funds in Europe, Japan and other international developed markets have drawn $104 billion this year vs the $25 billion that’s flowed into US funds: BofA citing EPFR Global. https://t.co/ah9arXM6u9...
The episode reviews a rough day for tech stocks, with the QQQ index up modestly while most internet and software names slump amid an accelerating AI narrative. Host Citrini describes an "AI Disruption Discount" hitting vertical SaaS, ad platforms, and...
OIL: ticks back into the green and remains Bullish TREND @Hedgeye Yesterday was the 1st day where we could start buying some Energy Exposure on red https://t.co/eURgEMfFpO
SECTORS: as we reminded you, these are 2 of the 3 WORST US Equity Sector Styles in #Quad3 https://t.co/yr2fNhpUZH
The episode dissects Robinhood's latest earnings, highlighting a modest EPS beat but a revenue miss at $1.28 billion, with investors zeroing in on the platform's faltering crypto segment. It examines how the slowdown in crypto trading revenue is weighing on the...
As causal narratives go, the one behind today's sell-off reads like it came out of the script for a Christopher Guest mockumentory. Think "Best in Show" meets r/Wallstreetbets. https://t.co/2HYvEmMpnC https://t.co/8KYvf56ooM
Record gold prices + a weakening dollar don’t scream “risk-on.” They signal global capital reallocation and rising demand for insurance amid lingering policy uncertainty. Hedging behavior is increasing even as equities grind higher.
Tomorrow is CPI for January. It's a month that has burned us repeatedly -- core CPI inflation (month-over-month) tends to pick up in January. Consensus forecast has a pickup *but* we do not have a clear sense of the...
Ventas $VTR the Fin Prop REIT, eclipsing highs going back to 2013 as REITS start to kick into gear again with Utilities to join the recent strength seen in Staples, Telco @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Strength in these defensives is more than...
Whose ready for the short-squeeze in software over the next week because the 26 year-old analysts at the multi-platform funds convinced their PM's to go max short? Then we'll get the Consumer Staples pullback at the same time, when all the...
Wild market. We haven't seen anything like this since the dotcom bubble burst. Over the last 8 sessions, 115 stocks in the S&P 500 have decline 7% or more in a single day. The average drawdown when that happens is...
$SLV having big trouble getting above 75.00 again...which still won't be enough to restore confidence. Big inflation report ahead...precious metals may see a big reaction.
Tough year to be a Palantir bull. $PLTR is down 30% YTD with no sign of reversal. Are you buying this dip?
Wall Street expects a cooler month for headline inflation but a hotter month for core in January Headline CPI: 0.26% m/m, 2.5% y/y (down from 0.31% m/m and 2.7% y/y in December) Core CPI: 0.34% m/m, 2.5% y/y (core m/m accelerating from...
How might the Fed/Treasury do that? One possibility is to cut short rates to steepen the yield curve, and deregulate the banks into buying the long end so that the Fed’s balance sheet can be “privatized.” If those QE assets...
Things have been quiet on the rate side, with the 10-year yield trading at around 4 ¼ percent and expectations for a few more rate cuts (down to 3.1%) holding firm. We will likely soon have a lot more coordination between...
Our evening garage band - "AI Scare Trade" comes from the market. While swift, Taylor it's not.
Tough session today. $SPX opened higher but rolled over hard. $AAPL -5% $CSCO -12% and the VIX closed back above 20. Meanwhile utilities and staples pushed higher. I walk through the key support levels and what breaks the trend next:...
🆓 Thursday links: tight credit spreads, fast food woes, and who is paying the cost of tariffs. https://t.co/NOuKmm78S8 image: https://t.co/Lhs7cz5vWL https://t.co/nj3y6g7t8i
The big issue is Tech Stocks have peaked, are on technically shaky ground ---AND this is coming from a starting point of stretched Valuations. https://t.co/3QKdtdJm7n
We've been saying all month that February is the banana peel month. Be aware the second half of the month is when trouble usually happens. https://t.co/Nv67B6dKQS
What if a bunch of stocks just got kind of expensive, are selling off, and we need a narrative? Just sayin…
Software stocks are struggling again today. $IGV (iShares Software ETF) is essentially back to last week's panic lows. Don't forget there's another type of software, "programmable money," crypto. Bitcoin (blue) with the software index (orange). They are the same thing. https://t.co/tLEELqcWcJ
Worst sell-off in this logistics/tech company since 1998 (LTCM & Russian Debt Crisis) $EXPD Bigger than Tariffs, March 2020, 2008. AI Fears https://t.co/pSckCN9oYm
So, for the record: The trade deficit in the first 11 months of the Trump administration was $839.5B. In the same period in 2024, the final Biden year, it was $806.6B. And if you think this year's performance is a...
-$3.6T in 90 minutes Gold fell 3.76%, wiping out nearly $1.34T in market cap. Silver dropped 8.5%, losing around $400B in market value. The S&P 500 declined 1%, erasing $620B. Nasdaq slid more than 1.6%, shedding $600B. The crypto...
How is the "newborn" buy industrials, energy and metals instead of tech crowd feeling today?
The market is more in “AI fear” mode than “AI bubble” mode currently Everyone fears the left tail in their business
Since the start of 2025: S&P 500 +19.5% European stocks +45.3% Emerging markets +50.8% Asian stocks +55.9% https://t.co/lrZrKKIC4x
10 Thursday AM Reads: -Fidelity Contrafund’s Will Danoff’s Secret Sauce -200 lines of markdown just triggered a $285 billion sell-off —what broke -Your stocks have been slumping, but you probably can’t blame Trump -Bitcoin’s Binary Endgame -Stumped Waymos Driven From Philippines https://t.co/FLNkyDLJUD
Perhaps the trade this year isn't so much "sell America," but rather something like: "spend a lot more money everywhere else" - at least so far this year. For example, Asian stocks have made their best start over US equities...
The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is outperforming the S&P 500 this year by the largest margin since **1992** (YTD) --Dow Jones Market Data https://t.co/6EV9smAqNP
"When I look out over the next two, three years, a ripple effect for every dollar spent on $NVDA chips, there's an $8-10 multiplier across software and infrastructure" 🎙️ @DivesTech joins Dan on the latest Okay, Computer. https://t.co/kyBad40Wln
