Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 jumps 3% for strongest weekly gain in five months as oil eases and Trump signals Iran talks
The S&P 500 surged 3% on Tuesday, delivering its best weekly performance since November and ending a five‑week decline. The rally was sparked by President Donald Trump’s comments on a possible US‑Iran cease‑fire and a temporary dip in oil prices. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF remains 7% below its January peak, while AMD posted a 2.5% monthly gain.
Lawrence Fuller reviews the market rebound after last week's sell‑off, noting that while volatility has eased and precious metals and crypto have steadied, technology stocks remain overvalued and lack true bargains. He highlights upcoming economic data—strong Redbook retail sales, a CPI likely to stay above the Fed’s target but showing signs of leveling, and a concerning jobs market marked by a "no‑hire, no‑fire" environment and record January layoffs. Fuller warns that the labor market could be the weak link that undermines the current bullish trend.
📺 SOFTWARE SECTOR: TACTICAL OVERSOLD BOUNCE, NOT A TREND REVERSAL Software $IGV is seeing a short-term oversold bounce, not a trend reversal. The sector remains broken after losing key moving averages, so upside is likely limited near short-term resistance like the 8-day....
📺 BULLS TOOK CONTROL: HERE’S THE LEVEL THAT MATTERS Active bulls regained control after $SPY held the $687 level and followed through on Friday’s strength. Small caps $IWM and mid caps $MDY continue to lead, while $QQQ works back into key...
The episode reviews the S&P 500’s pause just short of record highs as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, starting with retail sales. It highlights that technology stocks led the recent rally, buoyed by AI news from OpenAI, and that...
"It is deja vu all over again." Yogi Berra The US stock market is doing fine, but the rest of the world is soaring so far in '26. This is similar to what we saw last year and is a big...
𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐔𝐒 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬, 𝐁𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐬, 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡, 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 & 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 (𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓) CTTO: Ben Carlson — https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2026/01/historical-returns-for-stocks-bonds-cash-housing-gold-2025/ The US, which currently is 60% of the global equity market, continues to influence investment portfolios worldwide, such as endowments and retirement funds. And for over...
The US MSCI index has underperformed global peers in 2025, ending a year of relative strength. Investors are shifting toward high‑growth emerging‑market stocks such as South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, and Taiwan, while Japan rallied 5.7% after a decisive election. The...
Alphabet’s 2025 year‑end headcount rose by 7,497 employees, barely below its 2023 peak, while Amazon added roughly 20,000 workers to reach 1.576 million, just 2% shy of its 2021 high. Both companies experienced massive hiring surges in 2020‑21—Alphabet grew 60% and...
MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $250 billion in market cap today and is now less than 1% away from a new record high 😳📈 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️
$TLT : The Average True Range (orange) is now the lowest in over 15 years. Something has to give. Might the plummeting @truflation readings be a clue to which direction a breakout might occur? https://t.co/0pEENxYpXs
In this episode Edward Corona dissects the sudden 16% plunge of Hims & Hers Health (HIMS), linking it to a dual blow from GLP‑1 hype‑driven expectations and mounting legal and FDA scrutiny. He explains how lawsuits and regulatory pressure are...
"The US stock market, while it looks strong, is actually much weaker than almost any other industrialized country.... So while we're doing well… everyone else is doing even better." https://t.co/7KavXe5LXh
December retail sales 0% vs. +0.4% est. & +0.6% prior; control group -0.1% vs. +0.2% prior (rev down from +0.4%); ex-autos 0% vs. +0.4% prior (rev down from +0.5%) https://t.co/BbJwHL35ne
The United States continues to be described as a ‘Goldilocks Plus’ economy, balancing low inflation with solid growth. Recent data show the labor market still tight, but a wave of layoffs in technology and manufacturing raises concerns. Analysts warn that...
January @NFIB Small Business Optimism Index down to 99.3 vs. 99.8 est. & 99.5 prior … net % of respondents expecting a better economy ticked down to 21%; percentage saying it’s a good time to expand rose to 15%; uncertainty...
U.S. large caps dominated inflows last week, followed by global equities and consumer cyclicals ... high yield bonds saw most outflows, but broader fixed income universe was still positive @DataArbor https://t.co/l0soXmQF4S
Investors are confronting a new capital‑allocation landscape as hyper‑scale cloud firms pour record capex into AI infrastructure, squeezing the cash traditionally earmarked for share buybacks. The article argues that despite this shift, the market’s largest shareholder – passive index funds...
Share of households expecting to be in a worse financial situation a year from now ticked up in January and has been elevated over past year per @NewYorkFed https://t.co/fGqXylhwzD
Consumers still showing concerns over labor market, with average of nearly 42% expecting higher unemployment in next year per January @NewYorkFed survey https://t.co/ykN7Bdc2C0
On February 9, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan released a market‑update video reviewing the latest equity trends, inflation pressures, and Federal Reserve policy stance. He highlighted persistent volatility that keeps option premiums attractive and outlined sector rotation toward energy and technology stocks....
Quarter-to-date, Energy sector is outpacing S&P 500 by nearly 19 percentage points … best since first quarter of 2022 and one of best performance spreads (as of now) since 2000 [Past performance is no guarantee of future results] https://t.co/1vvb9Qf0Mh
Vanguard has already taken in $70b in ETF flows to start year, that's nearly $3b a day and more than all but 3 issuers took in last year. If VOO alone were an issuer it would be in 3rd place...
Monday.com’s shares tumbled 22% to about $76.70 after its earnings release, marking a record‑low close. The stock is now 82% below its November 2021 peak and 51% beneath the $155 IPO price. While Q4 revenue rose 25% to $334 million and beat...
Per @NewYorkFed survey, as of January, consumers’ median 1y inflation expectations moved down to 3.09% https://t.co/y6Jab93CyT
$SPX futures +10 after Friday’s action put active bulls back in control and yesterday’s dip was bought off 6902—7002 remains the ATH pivot into Wednesday’s jobs report. https://t.co/bUhLX4Ywid
Application software vendors are struggling and providing weak guidance, quality infrastructure software firms' revenue is accelerating. Infrastructure software vendors are attractively valued now and their stocks appear poised for a multi-month rally.
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/88cKgbrKKl https://t.co/K8dY5tEQml
In 1985, IBM was America’s most valuable company & employed nearly 400,000. Today, Nvidia is nearly 20 times as valuable and five times as profitable as IBM was yet it employs roughly a 10th as many people. https://t.co/indMwMz0TO @greg_ip https://t.co/HDl995cUhw
no, but may harvest the loss to pick up the google 100 at 101. #theyieldbook
All the data coming for the rest of the week. We're going to have Jobs Wednesday and then CPI Friday https://t.co/8DDq0vkOvD
Stock markets may sour if this week’s US economic data casts doubt on Fed rate cut speculation. #stockmarkets #Fed #Economy #InterestRates #USD #Macro #trading https://t.co/ZEfchApMC0
Markets pushed higher to start the week, but the rotation underneath the surface is telling a more interesting story. Tech bounced, commodities ripped, and growth showed signs of life again. In today’s CHART THIS, I walk through $SPX just below 7000,...
"Thus, the way to choose a good Federal Reserve chair is to read what candidates have said about how the economy operates and ask them about their economic beliefs. If what a candidate says is unrealistic or poorly reasoned, move...
Today is the 60th anniversary of the great crash -- but little noticed. The S&P 500 peaked at 94.06 on February 9, 1966. The market did surpass that peak but not adjusted for inflation. 25 years later and the inflation...
GEV - GE Vernova Current Price: $794.20 Intrinsic Value Range: $720–$950 Rating: BUY (High Conviction, but tactically vulnerable near-term) 12-Month Price Targets: Bull Case: $1,050 (+32%) — accelerated gas turbine orders, Electrification margin beats, data center capex surge Base Case: $900 (+13%) — normalized execution, mid-teens...
Neil does a great job with the week ahead ... bears watching as we head into NFP Wed & CPI Fri.
Our nowcasts suggest that cyclical growth is going up and inflation is going down. No one forecasts this cocktail
Mutual funds are all in on the stock market At the start of 2026, US equity mutual funds held just 1.1% of asset in cash, the lowest level in 20 years of data history --Goldman https://t.co/BWZ5dGYfjM
Employment in S&P 500 companies is 18% of total US employment, but 35 cents of every dollar that goes into the SPX goes to 7 companies. This is a market structure problem and a major issue with our 401k system.
After its last earnings report, $IESC dropped 20%. It's made it all back and then some. https://t.co/hebBMdjVup
Trading in the tech sector makes up 30% of retail trading volumes--one of the highest shares since 2018 --Citi https://t.co/6pvw7muvfj
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/eQY6d47hAk Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @topdowncharts @MarketCharts @MikeZaccardi @BlakeMillardCFA @WillieDelwiche @alphacharts @AugurInfinity @SnippetFinance @EricBalchunas @TuttleCapital @Todd_Sohn
The last time a tech company announced a 100-year bond, it was Motorola in 1997 https://t.co/HKkDro85Ac https://t.co/w2S75DaL2J
JPM: "Similar to the risk-on trend seen among institutional investors, retail investor flows have been the strongest in the last six years, likely due to furlough payments and anticipated larger tax refunds of ~$600/household this year"
The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 making new 52-week highs has been expanding and just hit its highest level in the last year to end last week--@bespokeinvest https://t.co/BcNw0xKEmG
New week, new MRKT Call with Dan, @GuyAdami & @CarterBWorth We're talking Japan, Jobs and $JETS LIVE at 11am ET over on YouTube ⤵️ https://t.co/7WiuWoxeXK https://t.co/5yktisUdAm
175 basis points in cuts since September 2024 in response to labor market weakness. That's not ignoring.
Forward P/E Ratios... Walmart $WMT: 39 Apple $AAPL: 30 Google $GOOGL: 24 Amazon $AMZN: 23 Microsoft $MSFT: 21 Nvidia $NVDA: 19 Meta $META: 19 https://t.co/BSywhjbEV0
% Below All-Time High S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Microsoft $MSFT: -26% Palo Alto Networks $PANW: -28% CrowdStrike $CRWD: -29% Synopsys $SNPS: -34% Palantir $PLTR: -34% Intuit $INTU: -45% AppLovin $APP: -45% Salesforce $CRM: -48% Oracle $ORCL: -56% ServiceNow $NOW: -57% Adobe $ADBE: -61%
Bank of America's own measure of trucking activity confirms the uptick in the ISMs https://t.co/BLUrghpS3Q
