Today's American Stocks Pulse
Dow climbs nearly 200 points to record close as oil eases on Iran truce hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 200 points, closing at a fresh all‑time high. The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices after optimism surrounding a potential Iran truce. Markets remained cautious amid mixed political signals.
Stocks Close the Day Lower. Dow -1.0%. S&P -1.5% Nasdaq -2.0
U.S. equity markets closed lower on the day, with the Dow down 1.0%, the S&P 500 down 1.5% and the Nasdaq slipping 2.0%. All three benchmarks finished the session beneath their 200‑day moving averages, a technical signal of sustained weakness. Over the past week the Dow fell 2.11%, the S&P 1.90% and the Nasdaq 2.07%. Meanwhile, Super Micro Computer plunged after the Justice Department charged it with smuggling Nvidia chips to China, while oil prices jumped 2.8%, lifting major energy stocks.
Ten-Year Treasury Yield Hits Near Eight-Month High, Pressuring U.S. Stocks
The benchmark 10‑year Treasury yield surged 11 basis points to 4.391%, its highest level in eight months, as bond prices fell sharply on Friday. The move extended a two‑day decline in Treasuries and added pressure to U.S. equity valuations. Market...
7.6% S&P Dip Is Typical, Not Alarming
The S&P 500 is now down 7.6% from its January peak. Is that a lot? Not at all. This is right in line with the median correction off an all-time high since the March 2009 low. We see a decline of this amount...
SPX Faces Crucial Demand Zone Amid Rapid Macro Shift
US500 ( SPX ) At a crucial daily demand area. We have not seen these levels since late 2025. - Stagflation environment - Elevated OIL - From rate cuts to rate hikes - AI valuation concerns The whole macro narrative has changed within days. I...
Episode 292: March Madness 2.0
In this episode, hosts discuss the S&P 500 slipping below its 200‑day moving average, signaling a bearish long‑term trend, and note similar weakness across major indices, sectors, and fixed‑income markets. They highlight energy as the sole sector still posting gains...
SPY Tests $650 MVC, Likely to Keep Chopping
$SPY is testing the MVC at $650 after a full day of chop. There's not much momentum going into this move, would not be surprised if we continue to chop.
SNDK Hits Record High, Yet Falters Amid Rate‑Hike Bearish Pressure
SNDK has made a new all-time high but is struggling to hold on as the index crumples under the weight of tightening financial conditions via rate hikes now prifed into many global curves. Below 700 is break of 100hour and...
Super Week Delivered. Nobody Blinked.
US equity markets experienced a sharp reversal after a brief rally, erasing much of the early‑March small‑cap gains. The Russell 2000 slipped 0.41% YTD, a 9.3‑point drop in less than two weeks, while the S&P 500 fell 3.49% to four‑month...
SPY Likely Rebounds to $660 Despite Support Test
Negative Exposure across the board on $SPY at the open. Testing support at $655 right now; the next level is $650. I am hesitant to short $655; I think a move towards $660 is more likely, given the strong exposure...
Nasdaq, S&P Open Lower, Slip Below 200‑Day SMA
It looks like we are going to have a spicy close to the week with the US session opening with a sharp gap lower on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 that dropped both below their 200 SMA. Some serious...
AXT Inc. (AXTI) Soars to All-Time High Firm Upbeat as Q1 Ends
AXT Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) surged to a record $58.13, closing up 19.13% as the first quarter ended. The rally was driven by the company’s upbeat Q1 outlook, anchored by strong demand for indium phosphide in AI infrastructure and progress on export...
Below 200‑Day MA Sparks Extreme Market Volatility
Stocks’ technicals continue to weaken, and for the first time in the post-Liberation Day bull market, U.S. large cap stocks are testing their 200-day moving average. Drops below the moving average have historically triggered more volatile trading. Extreme returns, both positive and...
Dow Breaks Technical Floor, Catching Fundamental Traders' Attention
Here's my video of what I am watching in the markets over the coming week. Dow Clears A Technical Floor Even Fundamental Traders Will Talk About https://t.co/m5hFw9o7xs
Erasca (ERAS) Adds 13%; Soars 310% YTD
Erasca Inc. (NASDAQ:ERAS) surged 13.04% on Thursday, closing at $15.26, propelling its year‑to‑date gain to 310%. The rally follows upbeat analyst coverage and early clinical optimism for its pan‑RAS molecular‑glue degrader, ERAS‑0015. Early trial data revealed two confirmed and one...
Energy Sector Hits 21 All‑Time High Records This Year
The S&P 500 energy sector has reached all-time highs 21 times this year. @augurinfinity @soberlook https://t.co/j2yKbwkAig https://t.co/E7GNUI7Pz3
Expect Major SPX Lows This Year, Relief Rallies Ahead
Currently down 7%. Look for major lows in SPX later this year, with relief rallies along the way https://t.co/CUfogOJhN0
BioCryst (BCRX) Rallies 7.10% on Acquisition Buzz
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) surged 7.10% to $9.81 after rumors of a takeover by a large‑cap U.S. biopharma surfaced. The company has not confirmed the speculation, but the market reacted strongly. BioCryst recently reported a dramatic earnings turnaround, posting $263.86 million net...
S&P 500 Slips Below Recent Lows, Support Vanishes
🚨 S&P 500 breached the October & November 2025 lows. This is a nasty break for bulls heading into the weekend. Support vaporized. Fear ramping. Expect a bounce or deeper pain? Your bias? $SPY $SPX https://t.co/0YEkEMWsD5
S&P 500 Faces Fourth Weekly Drop, Rare in 15 Years
The $SPX is on pace for its fourth consecutive week's loss. In the past 15 years, there has only been one period where we have had a slide run longer than 4 weeks (May 2022) https://t.co/trHGzh31pk
Stock Futures Tick Higher, but S&P 500 Heads for Fourth Losing Week in a Row Amid Rising Oil Prices: Live...
U.S. stock futures edged higher Thursday after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu suggested the Strait of Hormuz could reopen, easing some war‑related concerns. Despite the bounce, the S&P 500 is on track for a fourth consecutive weekly decline, with the Dow...
Earnings and Margins Stay Strong Amid Economic Headwinds
Wars, inflation, Fed pivots, AI eating software, etc. Not a lot of good news out there, then you look at earnings and profit margins. These two tailwinds to the bull market aren't showing much of a slowdown at all. https://t.co/cICkObh98N
First 5% S&P Correction Since November, a Normal Market Reset
The S&P 500 is in the midst of the first 5% mild correction since November (-5.1%). We tend to see three of these a year on average. They aren't fun, but they are a necessary part to investing. https://t.co/txE3vFe0Vs
Dow Jones Futures Fall After Trump Iran Comments Lift Market; Oil Prices Dip
Dow Jones futures slipped 0.2% early Friday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also down. FedEx and Planet Labs rallied after earnings beats, while Super Micro Computer plunged following charges that executives smuggled Nvidia AI chips to China. Crude...
S&P 500's Record Small Jan/Feb Range Predicts March Volatility
Good reminder that we just had the smallest range ever to start a year for the S&P 500 in Jan/Feb. March Madness isn't fun, but it was likely. https://t.co/zW1N50hcFr
NASDAQ Must Drop Sharply to Match 2022 Levels
NASDAQ has a lot to fall if it wants to catch up with 2022 midterm+war year https://t.co/9JlG3IwkuF
Goldman Sees Risks of Market Correction Rising — and Bonds Won't Help Weather It
Goldman Sachs warns that equity markets face a heightened correction risk amid oil price spikes, the Iran conflict, and AI‑driven disruptions, with major indices already in the red for 2026. The firm cautions that traditional bond buffers will be less...
S&P 500’s Next Move: Uncertain
Will $SPX unclench up or down next week? It has been pretty consistent for a while now fwiw
Vertiv's Buying Surge Hits
Last week i wrote about S&P 500 index rebalance which happens today. Vertiv $VRT, Lumentum $LITE, Coherent $COHR and EchoStar $SATS are all going into the index today. Vast majority of the trading will happen around market close. Vertiv buying...
Oil Surge Amid Iran‑Iraq Tensions Sends Dow Down 315 Points, Hits Materials Stocks
Rising crude prices sparked by escalating Iran‑Iraq hostilities pushed Brent toward $110 a barrel, pulling the Dow Jones down 315 points and weighing on materials‑heavy equities. The sell‑off widened as investors reassessed Fed rate‑cut odds amid higher‑inflation risks.
Stocks, Bonds, Gold Slip; Yields Edge Higher
Stocks, bonds and gold all down for the week S&P 500: -1.2% 10-year Treasury yield up to 4.380% Gold prices back below $5000
Homebuilder Stocks Tumble 17% Since War Began
Homebuilder stocks are now down 2% today, and have plunged 17% since the start of the war
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
The latest Finviz treemap visualizes today’s money flow across the U.S. equity market, spotlighting heavyweight names such as Microsoft, Google, Meta, Netflix, JPMorgan, Visa and Berkshire Hathaway. Large‑cap technology stocks dominate the top‑right quadrant, indicating strong inflows, while financials occupy...
S&P Holds Near High Amid War, Oil Shock
Remarkable with everything that's going on that the S&P 500 is only down 6% from its high. Market seems to be pricing in a short-lived War with Crude Oil crashing back down. This is the hopeful outcome but is the market...
Energy Crisis Pushes Stocks 5% Below January High
Energy crisis pulls stocks 5% below January high, but path to quick recovery remains https://t.co/CZBb7LAj0e H/T @vixologist @SteveSosnick @StovallCFRA $SPX $VIX https://t.co/IbS0KOPgZY
Breadth Spike Near 30% May Trigger Short-Term Rally
We're getting close to 30% of $SPX members above their 50-day MA. Even if the longer-term trend continues bearish, bombed out breadth conditions like this can lead to short-term upside reversals. https://t.co/pCLd1WlCZh
S&P Futures Target $655‑$657.5 Amid Pressure
Good morning. I’m on the road so limited contact from me. Spx futures-25 as “Boots on the ground” gets floated. Simplify it for today. Do we reclaim $655-$657.50 to relieve pressure. Or do we see $650.50 which looks...
Cap‑Weighted Index Overvalued; Equal‑Weighted Remains Fairly Priced
For the cap-weighted index, price has remained quite elevated and well above the rising uptrend line. While the trailing P/E ratio has contracted from 26.1x to 23.9x, it remains elevated. The equal-weighted index is far less extended against its rising trendline,...
Modest S&P Drawdown Leaves Market Vulnerable to War Mis‑read
The heatmap below shows that the drawdown for the S&P 500 remains modest at -5.4%. The market is only modestly oversold with 32% of stocks above their 50-day moving average. Sentiment is mixed and both earnings expectations and margins remain...
Small Caps Thrive as Large Caps Falter in Risk‑Off
IWM up 1.76% on the year. SPY down 2.88%. Small caps outperforming large caps by nearly 460 basis points. Nobody covers this because the narrative is pure risk-off. But small caps — domestic, value-oriented, less exposed to global supply chains —...
Energy Rises, S&P Crashes: Stagflation Signal Emerges
Energy stocks at all-time highs. The S&P 500 at 2026 lows. CNN Fear & Greed at 20 — Extreme Fear. This is the stagflation setup in real time: rising energy costs crushing margins while growth softens. What I find fascinating is how...
Volatile Market? Tune In Tomorrow 6:10am ET
Good timing with all this volatility for a market update with the @SquawkCNBC tomorrow 6:10am ET please tune in #fairleadstrategies
Russell 2000 Reaches 2024 Highs; Bulls Must Hold
Russell 2000 back at the 2024 highs. Bulls need this to hold. Lose it and there’s 7 to 8 percent lower in play. $RUT $IWM https://t.co/DDXQ9EAN6x
Large‑Cap Market Split: 40 New Highs, 37 New Lows
there are 40 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new highs list today... there are 37 large-cap stocks hitting the 52-week new lows list... #FinanciallyINsync #HighLowShow #marketUpdate #investing
SPX Weekly Close: Above or Below 200‑Day MA?
Poll question of the day... Does $SPX finish the week above or below its 200-day moving average?
June S&P 500 E‑Mini Closes Below Key Line, Equities Risk
A close below the horizontal line shown below on the chart of the June S&P 500 E-Mini may not bode well for equities..... https://t.co/sQT9z0yJfP
Consumer Staples Slump, but Market Collapse Unlikely
Consumer Staples are hitting new 6-week lows today relative to the S&P500. That's not something I'd expect to see if the stock market was about to collapse.
Adobe Stock Plummets to 7‑year Low as AI Loser
Adobe Stock Hits 7-Year Low After It's Branded AI Loser https://t.co/CDZou0lrKO $ADBE $DOCU $HUBS $MSFT $ORCL
VIX Plunge Signals Rising Market Complacency Amid Stress
$VIX: 27.85 on March 13. 21.51 now. A 6+ point collapse in one week while oil trades near $100, the Fed just held, and private credit is cracking. Complacency doesn't announce itself. It just shows up in the $VIX. https://t.co/QOUSwv6YZ0
Fed's Hidden 1.9% Inflation Fuels 8,000 S&P Target
The Fed just spoke. Now hear what they won't tell you. LIVE today 1PM ET with @JDHatfield_ICAP: → Real inflation is 1.9%, not 3.1% → S&P target: 8,000 → CE credit eligible FREE: https://t.co/hWPjvUpuMt @InfraCap https://t.co/OV1gD4HZBs
SPX Above 6640 Signals Short‑term Failure Risk
If $SPX gets back above 6640 (and the 200 day MA), we would have a short-term failure on our hands. Not sure if that kick starts anything substantial, but it wouldn't be a terrible look...