Today's American Stocks Pulse
Goldman Sachs lifts S&P 500 year‑end target, dismisses bubble fears
Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for the S&P 500’s year‑end level, citing continued earnings strength, and said the market is not in a bubble. Analysts also note a potential melt‑up could push the index toward 8,000 if momentum holds.
Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) A Good Stock To Buy Now?
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) posted $1.48 billion revenue in FY25, up 17% year‑over‑year, with cloud sales climbing 26% and subscriptions comprising roughly 94% of the mix. The company’s Elastic Stack, an open‑source platform with over 5.5 billion downloads, is now positioned as core infrastructure for AI‑driven search, observability and security workloads. Elastic’s “land‑and‑expand” model is delivering rapid ARR growth, especially in GenAI‑related cohorts showing 42% expansion. Valuation metrics—3.8× EV/NTM sales and 21.2× EV/NTM free cash flow—are well below peers, suggesting upside if execution holds.
Apple Dips Below Triangle; Watch MAG 7 Recovery
$AAPL broke down under minor triangle support today, & always important to monitor the "Generals" when they show meaningful strength or weakness @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While SPX and QQQ have proven range-bound in recent months, the action has proven...
Hormuz Strait Closure Halts Major Global Oil Flow
The Straight of Hormuz, which is a key shipping lane for the world's oil, fertilizer and other products, is effectively shut. Charts from @bloomberg: https://t.co/zunbN3eO7G
Brilliant Earth Group, Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Brilliant Earth reported record Q4 net sales, propelled by a 34% year‑over‑year jump in fine‑jewelry bookings that now represent 23% of its mix. The company’s premium brand and data‑driven pricing engine helped preserve mid‑50s% gross margins despite gold up 67%...
Why Today’s Worst S&P 500 Stock Is Dropping on a Big Earnings Beat
Ciena (CIEN) posted a better‑than‑expected earnings report and lifted its fiscal‑year guidance, yet the stock slipped 1.7% on the day. The company cited strong demand for cabling and networking gear in AI‑driven data centers, with revenue climbing roughly 12% year‑over‑year....
Office REITs May Be The Best Value In The Market
Bloomberg’s Thomas Kennedy says the office market bottom is in, citing rising software engineer postings and booming San Francisco office space. Office REITs have fallen 40‑60% since 2020, creating deep valuation gaps across BXP, KRC, CUZ and HIW. Current pricing shows...
Markets Tumble $800B as Volatility Surges 70%
Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
Record Hedge Activity Signals Unprecedented Investor Fear
🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
Earnings Live: Broadcom Stock Pops on Earnings Beat, China's JD.com Sinks, Okta Rises
Broadcom delivered a strong first‑quarter beat, posting $19.31 billion revenue and $2.05 earnings per share, while AI‑related sales surged 106% year‑over‑year and the company projected $22 billion revenue for the second quarter along with a $10 billion share‑buyback. In contrast, China’s JD.com fell...
Iran Risk Unpriced; Oil, USD, Yields Threaten Market Crash
I did a rant this morning live in my trading room of what to buy and what to avoid and what to short and my HIGH conviction Iran Risk Is Not Priced In - as I have been writing about...
Marvell Options Signal ~$11 Move, 89.5% Volatility
Live look at $MRVL chart ahead of its scheduled earnings today. Options expiring March 20th show an implied volatility reading of 89.5%, which is about a (+/-) $11.41 move from the underlying stock.
This Airline Stock Is the Most at Risk From Higher Jet Fuel Prices as U.S.-Iran War Continues, Says Rothschild
Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded American Airlines to neutral and cut its price target to $12.5 from $17, citing heightened exposure to jet‑fuel price spikes amid the ongoing U.S.–Iran conflict. The analyst highlighted that a 10‑cent per‑gallon increase in fuel...
Ignore Media Spin: WMT Weakness Reveals Consumer Reality
Beware of False Narratives When we were shorting $WMT $10 higher than today's price (which is -$4.98 in trading), the "talking heads" made up narratives that the $WMT strength confirmed the notion that the consumer is swell. Stay independent and turn the...
SPY Breakout Above 690 Targets All‑time High
$SPY - a breakout above 689.00-690.00 sets the stage for a move to retest all time highs.
Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Fall After Wall Street's Bounce Back
U.S. equity futures opened mixed on Thursday, with Dow futures slipping 0.2% while S&P 500 and Nasdaq contracts hovered near flat after a prior session that snapped a three‑day losing streak. Market sentiment remains tethered to the escalating Middle East conflict,...
AI Boosts Productivity, Surpassing Pre‑Pandemic Forecasts
Are we finally seeing AI in the productivity data? A big upward revision to earlier data and strong Q4 bring us 2.2% above CBO's pre-pandemic forecast. Annual rates: 1 year: 2.8% 2 years: 2.5% 6 years: 2.2%
Current Cycle Productivity Hits Long‑Term 2.2% Benchmark
"The 2.2-percent annualized rate of nonfarm business productivity growth in the current business cycle thus far is higher than the 1.5-percent rate of the previous business cycle, from the fourth quarter of 2007 through the fourth quarter of 2019, and...
Goldilocks Makes Surprise Cameo In US Services Sector
The Institute for Supply Management released a surprisingly strong services‑sector PMI on March 4, showing the index climb to 55.2, well above the 53.5 consensus. New orders surged 4.1% month‑over‑month and employment added roughly 150,000 jobs, underscoring robust demand. Analysts dubbed...
Market Stuck in Range: Trade Levels, Avoid Big Bets
📺 THE MARKET’S BIGGEST TRAP RIGHT NOW It has been one of the most difficult and volatile trading weeks in a long time. Despite geopolitical headlines and sharp overnight moves, every attempted breakdown quickly failed. Key levels like $SPY $675–$682 and $QQQ...
Live Market Recap: SPX, QQQ Rally at 5pm ET
We're going LIVE today at 5pm ET / 2pm ET for our daily market recap show, CHART THIS with Dave Keller. Excited to break down the latest charts and market observations as $SPX and $QQQ rallied hard into the...
ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460
$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK
Weak SPX Mirrors BTC: Market Correction Looms
SPX continues to be weak, as the market has not really durably moved higher in months. Same thing happened with BTC, and it eventually led to a correction https://t.co/P0cSGNfg90
Amazon's $AMZN: Breakout Above 225, Breakdown Below 200
$AMZN > 225 = breakout above all the moving averages $AMZN < 200 = breakdown of key support $AMZN between 200 and 225 = 💤 https://t.co/GbWTIoHDaR
Boston Scientific Slides to 52‑Week Low, Down 34%
Boston Scientific $BSX -34.1% from highs... another contestant on the 52-week new lows list... https://t.co/MCT33YSBqJ
Small‑cap Surge Signals Regime Shift Away From Growth
S&P 600 up 9% YTD. S&P 500 flat. Tech lagging. Energy leading. Value crushing growth. This isn't a head fake. This is a regime change. The small-cap rotation is real and it's getting started. https://t.co/AYVusIGbRd
Watch the Metric Near Critical 44 Threshold
FWIW - Sure feels like something to keep a close eye on no now that we've arrived at 43.9999. https://t.co/00dDXuJBOI
Software Stocks Surge on Insider Buys and Double Earnings Play
CRM big push in Software today as well, call fly earnings play now more than a double, seeing a lot of these names rally with insider buys, buybacks into the Software is Dead move
Bond Volatility Bet Hurts Markets, Boosts TW MK
Treasury (TLT) buyer 5000 December $89 straddles expecting bond volatility, tends to be bad for markets, good for TW MKTX
Live NYSE Market Breakdown with Schwab Network
Jumping on the NYSE set of the @SchwabNetwork to break down this market with @NPetallides in a moment.
US Economy Gains Momentum Across Services, Manufacturing, Auto, Small‑Biz Hiring
Some recent data: * ISM services best since Aug '22 * ISM manufacturing >50 two months in row after years < 50 * Auto sales were better than expected * ADP best in 7 months and most of the jobs came from small...
Down Days Are Buying Opportunities in Bullish Trends
Why would you get "stopped out" of something that's still Bullish TREND @Hedgeye? Down days are Buying Opportunities
Tech Rebounds as QQQ Climbs Past $600
Tech started doing better. $qqq reclaimed $594 area on Tuesday to relieve pressure and hit $612 yesterday. A digestion day above $607-$609 would be constructive https://t.co/CakJqjZ5sf
US Stocks Close Gap, End Worst Start Since 1995
US plays major catch-up to ex-US YTD... @augurinfinity No longer the worst start to a year since 1995... not by a long shot $SPY $VEU $VTI $ACWI https://t.co/l8DRcKNBof
Weight, Not Stock Choice, Drives Performance Differences
The problem isn’t the stocks, it’s their weight. These two lines contain the same exact stocks. #Mag7Diet $RSP $SPY https://t.co/OXqmQXkEkc
Sideways S&P Hides Stock and Bitcoin Breakout Chances
The $SPX is stuck in a sideways range… but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities. Today I break down: $AMZN and $TSLA bouncing $LRCX momentum divergence $AVGO earnings reaction #Bitcoin reclaiming 70K $MRNA and $LYB trend shifts Full episode of CHART THIS: https://t.co/VhhjxmCKSs
S&P Gains $450B as VIX Falls 10%
MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $450 billion in market cap today, while the VIX dropped 10% 👀 This was a really constructive day. What the heck is going on?! Let’s talk about it 🗣️
Call OI Climbs as 0DTE Puts Curb Put Accumulation
TLDR: Call OI keeps going higher while Put OI does not. These PC chart on X differ in a bunch of ways. What "S&P Ratio" specifically means can differ: are you including SPX options, is it single stocks only, is it...
Equal‑Weighted Index Holds, Cap‑Weighted Faces 10% Risk
At the same time, the equal-weighted price index remains in a solid uptrend and unlike its cap-weighted sibling is not over its skis from a trend perspective. The broader market is well-grounded from a price, breadth, earnings, and valuation perspective. It’s the...
Patient Shorts Pay Off in Live Trading Session
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN
Netflix Surges 30%+, Outpaces Colgate, P&G;
Update: After a 30+% rally in Netflix, it now trades at a premium to Colgate and P&G. Investors really didn't like the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition and the stock has rallied every single day since they exited the bidding war...
War Won’t Sustain Defense Stock Multiples, Says Analyst
Lockheed Martin up 6% Monday. Down 1.3% today. The defense trade isn't fading because the war is ending. It's fading because the market is starting to realize war doesn't fix earnings multiples. https://t.co/xXNtusNgkE
VIX May Signal Short-Term Market Bottom, Says Adami
Is the VIX showing signs of a short-term market bottom? 🎙️@GuyAdami on the correlation between the $VIX & $SPX https://t.co/BIswcB9QAe
Citi Flags Extreme SPX Bearishness, Skew Near 3‑year Highs
Citi: Options investor positioning in the SPX index is extremely bearish, with skew close to 3-year highs https://t.co/8bOEw1FFfS
Fed Stuck: No Cuts Amid Rising Stagflation
The Fed is trapped. Oil at $81 → inflation rising. Stocks selling off → growth slowing. Yields above 4% → no room to cut. Stagflation isn't a theory. It's a Tuesday. Rate at 3.5-3.75%. Next meeting March 17. They will do nothing. And that's the problem....
Key Factors for Trusting Today's Market Bounce
Can this bounce be trusted.. or not??. I'll break out WHAT needs to happen to have more confidence, today at 2:25 EST on @FoxBusiness w/ @cvpayne
Market Values Future Risk over Current Earnings
MongoDB: Revenue up 27%. Beat on earnings. Rule of 40. Record cash flow. Stock: Down 22%. Why? Two top execs left. Guidance light. The market doesn't care what you did. It cares what you're about to lose. https://t.co/u0W819CWth
Iran's Secret Offer Triggers Market Whipsaw; Focus on Long Treasuries
Iran made a "secret" offer to negotiate. Futures surged. You are about to be whipsawed. Again. The pattern: Gap down. War headline. Recover. Peace headline. Surge. Escalation headline. Flush. Rinse. Repeat. The only thing that matters is long duration Treasuries. That is your signal for what's...
Small‑cap Slump Exposes Market Weakness Despite Dow Rally
Everyone is watching the Dow recover 800 points off its lows. Nobody is watching IWM. Down 1.7%. Hit $253 intraday. Back to November levels. Small caps don't lie. They don't have buyback programs to prop them up. The canary is choking. https://t.co/N8FcBwc8lA
S&P Outpaces Russell, Growth Stocks Lead Rally
$SPX up about double $RSP and 57% of large cap stocks are advancing this morning. Large cap growth leading the drive, up 1.28% compared to LC Value up 0.31%.
Software Oversold; Quality Stocks Near Bottom, Ready to Rise
Software is *very* oversold and likely bottoming $IGV Our portfolio has exposure to quality software stocks which have been unfairly caught in the selloff and appear poised for a multi-month run. https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/Ursw6tsRqw