Today's American Stocks Pulse
Dow climbs nearly 200 points to record close as oil eases on Iran truce hopes
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped about 200 points, closing at a fresh all‑time high. The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices after optimism surrounding a potential Iran truce. Markets remained cautious amid mixed political signals.
Geopolitical Risk and AI Risk Converging
The Capital Flows Research team notes that geopolitical instability and AI safety concerns are increasingly overlapping, creating a compounded risk environment. The analyst introduced a new AI-driven mapping tool and released a suite of TradingView indicators to monitor these dynamics. A recent risk assessment PDF highlights potential pressure on crude oil premiums if a tail‑risk event does not materialize. The broader thesis also links AI developments, Hyperliquid, and Oracle to evolving market flows.
Historic Low Range Hints at Upcoming Market Volatility
This year is the smallest range EVER for the first two months of a new year at only 2.7% for the S&P 500. Pretty incredible when you look at all the big winners and losers out there, yet, the overall market...
US Short Interest Hits Decade High, Top Stocks 7% Shorted
🔴US market short interest is SURGING: Median S&P 500 stock short interest is up to 2.7% of market cap, the highest in at least 10 years, according to Goldman Sachs. The top 10% most shorted stocks now have 7% of their market...
Jobs Report Collides With Iran War In Pivotal Week
U.S. nonfarm payrolls for February posted a solid gain of 210,000 jobs, nudging the unemployment rate down to 3.6%. The report arrived amid heightened geopolitical tension following the weekend assassination that sparked an Iran‑Israel conflict. Investors grappled with strong labor...
Free Week of Hedgeye Market Insights & Signals
FREE ALL ACCESS WEEK | March 2-6: Explore Hedgeye's Daily Market Insights, Top Investment Ideas & Buy/Sell Signals https://t.co/xZZpJZYFWV via @hedgeye
Traders Shift War Hedge to Longer‑Dated Options
"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha
Jobs, Geopolitics and Other Key Things to Watch This Week
Markets entered March after a volatile week marked by a hot inflation surprise and heightened U.S.–Israel‑Iran tensions that rattled airline stocks and lifted oil prices. The week’s focal point is Friday’s February jobs report, released alongside January retail‑sales data, forcing...
Volume Re‑Accelerates on Downtrend, Signals Anticipated
VOLUME: started to re-accelerate on the down move on Friday - market signals started to see this coming https://t.co/icB6jWACQR
Stocks Trend Upward Despite Current Fear; History Repeats
Good time to dust off the Chart of Fears. Yes, what is happening now is confusing and scary. But we've seen many other times like this and stocks have always moved from bottom left to upper right. https://t.co/H9xMLrLKC1
Is Marriott International Stock Outperforming the S&P 500?
Marriott International (MAR) posted a market cap of $90.6 billion and trades 7.6% below its 52‑week high. Over the past three months the stock rose 12.2%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s roughly 1% gain, and it’s up 10.2% year‑to‑date. The company delivered...
Middle East Conflict Spikes Oil, Lifts Dollar, Drags Dow
Further to the prior post: A classic initial market reaction to this weekend’s eruption of military conflict in the Middle East: Oil has surged over 10%, the Dollar has strengthened, and Dow futures have opened down some 500 points. #economy #markets #oil...
Invest $145 Weekly, Retire with $1.4 M
The Roth IRA limit is $7,500 for 2026. That's $145/week. If you invest $145/week in an S&P 500 index fund for 30 years, you'll spend $225,000 of your own money. But at retirement you should have $1.4 million. That’s the power of compound interest.
Significant Insider Activity at East West Bancorp (EWBC) in February
East West Bancorp (EWBC) disclosed notable insider sales in early February 2026, with CEO Ng Dominic offloading 50,000 shares worth about $5.9 million and Director Molly Campbell selling 1,800 shares valued at $221,000. The transactions reduced their ownership stakes by 6 percent...
Crisis Mode Returns: US‑Israel Strikes Ignite Market Volatility
Markets are back in crisis mode with the US–Israel strikes on Iran dominating headlines: global risk assets are reacting, oil prices are spiking, and S&P volatility is alive. Join us LIVE at 6pm EST as we break down how ES futures...
OIH and XLE Surge; Oil Rally Just Beginning
🚨 UPDATE: On February 2nd I told you to buy OIH and XLE. Since then: OIH: +14% XLE: +10% Crude oil: 7-month highs And in my opinion, we’re just getting started. Here’s why I’m not selling yet:
Wells Fargo Raises Globe Life (GL) Target, Keeps Overweight Rating
Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan raised Globe Life's price target to $171, keeping an Overweight rating. The adjustment follows the firm's latest fourth‑quarter guidance, which aligned with consensus but prompted a broader reduction in earnings estimates for peers. Insider activity...
Goldman Slide Signals Hidden Atlantic Credit Crisis
Goldman Sachs down 7.5% in a single day. From $985 to $860 in three months. Meanwhile, a UK mortgage lender just collapsed. Private credit contagion is spreading across the Atlantic. This isn’t a correction. It’s a credit event hiding in plain sight.
Bank of America Downgrades Fox (FOX), Slashes Price Target to $45
Bank of America downgraded Fox Corporation (NASDAQ:FOX) from Buy to Underperform on February 25, 2026, slashing its price target from $80 to $45. The downgrade centers on uncertainty surrounding upcoming NFL contract renewals and a projected 22% downside to fiscal‑2027...
KeyBanc Raises Zoom (ZM) Target to $74, Keeps Underweight Rating
KeyBanc raised Zoom’s price target to $74 from $69 on February 26, 2026, while keeping an Underweight rating, citing a likely pause in margin expansion as the company ramps up product development and sales spend. Despite enterprise and online growth...
Significant Insider Activity at The Travelers (TRV)
On February 26, 2026, Travelers executives Maria Olivo and David Rowland sold 10,400 and 4,731 shares respectively, generating roughly $3.19 million and $1.46 million in proceeds and trimming their ownership stakes by 8% and 11%. The same day, Morgan Stanley lifted its...
Week Ahead: Shockwaves From Iran
In this urgent episode of Reuters Morning Bid, hosts Carmel Crimmins and Amanda Cooper dissect the fallout from a wave of US and Israeli strikes that killed Iran’s supreme leader, sparking Iranian drone and missile retaliation. They highlight the immediate...
Top Wall Street Analysts Recommend These Dividend Stocks for Enhanced Returns
Top Wall Street analysts highlighted three dividend‑paying energy stocks—Williams Cos., MPLX and Energy Transfer—each offering attractive yields and growth catalysts. Williams raised its quarterly dividend 5% to 52.5 cents, delivering a 2.84% yield, while analysts see 12‑13% EBITDA CAGR through...
China's Treasury Sales Hit Lowest Since 2008
⚠️China is indeed DUMPING US Treasuries: China’s holdings of US government bonds dropped -$75.5 BILLION in 2025, to $683.5 billion, the lowest since September 2008, the Financial Crisis. Since the 2013 peak, holdings have fallen -$633.2 BILLION.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/china-sold-a-significant-amount-of-us-treasuries-in-2025
US Tech Valuations Hit Peak, Biggest Drop Since Dot‑Com
⚠️US technology stocks have PEAKED: The ratio of US Technology, Media, and Telecommunications to the US stock market ex. tech has fallen sharply over the last few weeks. This marks the most violent move since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble BURST.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
LSI Industries to Buy Royston Group for $325M, Calls Deal “Transformational” For Retail Solutions Platform
LSI Industries announced a definitive agreement to acquire Royston Group for $325 million in cash and stock, a deal it describes as transformational for its retail‑solutions platform. The acquisition adds five U.S. manufacturing sites, boosting capacity by roughly 40 % and expanding...
EPS Gains Prove Bull Market Still Strong
2027 EPS up another couple bucks the past two weeks. Yes, the headlines are scary, but this is why this bull market is alive and well. https://t.co/G1hArdVPz9
Bearish Signals Mount, yet Strong Months Ahead
AAII bears>bulls two weeks in a row NAAIM lowest since May '25 Historic shorts on software 10-day equity put/call ratio highest since after Liberation Day Record equity outflows from institutions One of smallest ranges to a year ever Now here's two of the better months on...
Lionsgate (LION) Soars 9% Ahead of Business Updates
Lionsgate (LION) jumped 9.09% to $9, extending a five‑day winning streak as investors positioned ahead of a scheduled business update. CFO Jimmy Barge will speak at Morgan Stanley’s Technology, Media and Telecom Conference on March 4, where market participants expect guidance...
S&P 500 Advance/Decline Line Reaches New High, Signals Strength
The S&P 500's advance/decline line hit a new high on Friday. I'm pretty old fashioned, but I still think that is a good sign. https://t.co/6slLIZINHZ
Tight Bollinger Bands Signal Potential Upside Volatility
Futures open down only 1% for the S&P 500. Bollinger Bands are about as tight as they've been in years. The spring is coiling. How many think it'll be volatility to the upside? https://t.co/QMWz06txWk
Crescent Energy (CRGY) Jumps 7.76% on Swing to Profits
Crescent Energy (CRGY) surged 7.76% to $11.66 after reporting a full‑year swing to profitability, posting $132.9 million net income versus a $114.6 million loss a year earlier. Revenue rose 22% to $3.58 billion, while production averaged 260 MBoe/d, beating guidance. The fourth‑quarter loss narrowed...
Oil Prices Set to Drop, Fueling Roaring 2020s
YARDENI: “.. in our short-war scenario, oil prices should fall in the coming weeks after a ceasefire .. boosting US consumer spending and benefiting global economies .. The weekend’s Middle East developments make us even more confident in our Roaring...
Leverage Drives Carry Trade; Watch Yen in Market Shocks
The carry trade has everything to do with leverage. And I encourage you to study Yen behavior during US stock market tail events.
SM Energy (SM) Jumps 9.5% on Double-Digit Dividend Hike
SM Energy’s shares jumped 9.5% after the company announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.22 per share, following a $950 million asset sale and a 14% reduction in capital spending. The firm also launched a $500 million share‑buyback program,...
Nasdaq Ex‑Tech Hits Record Highs Across All Timeframes
I know the Nasdaq with no Tech is like having Kool-aid, no sugar. Peanut butter, no jelly. Ham, no burger (Daaamn). But the Nasdaq Ex-Tech just closed at new all-time high on a daily, weekly and monthly closing basis. https://t.co/3ASLrrLbLk
New Chart Sets Market Direction for Coming Months
Chart of the week More important than Gold or Crude Oil More important than Iran or any other "Trumped-up" event This chart will set the tone for financial markets for months to come https://t.co/pw41RjkqT7
National Storage Affiliates Trust Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
National Storage Affiliates Trust reported a Q4 core FFO of $0.57 per share, hitting the high end of its guidance, while same‑store revenue decline narrowed to 0.7% from a 2.6% drop in Q3. Occupancy showed year‑over‑year improvement in January, indicating...
Oil Spike Threatens Stocks Like 1990s Gulf War
A sharp oil spike to those levels would likely result in a one-variable stock market like we initially saw during the 1990’s Persian Gulf War. Stocks under pressure until oil prices come back down. https://t.co/8DQZhDYXqo
Tight Index Range Masks Historic Market Dispersion
In this episode, we sit down with Piper’s Head of Options Strategy, Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in a tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic...
Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR): A Bull Case Theory
Procore Technologies (PCOR) is trading around $48.86 with a forward P/E of 42.7, while its EV/Sales multiple has compressed from roughly 20× to about 5×. The company is pivoting to an AI‑powered platform called Procore Helix, which aims to turn...
AI, Private Credit, and Gold Shape US Economy
Was great to be on a panel down @iconnections_io in Miami hosted by @GuyAdami w/ @VD718 & Meredith Whitney. We discussed the U.S. consumer & economy & the impact of A.I. on markets. We hit "Private Credit" & "Gold is...
Late-February S&P Dips Historically Precede Major Lows
Looking at the past 20 years, it is perfectly normal for S&P 500 weakness in late February and into mid-March, then a major low forms. Yes, 2009 and 2020 are a big reason why, still worth noting. https://t.co/di2DeekJx8
Morgan Stanley Says Stocks Like Nvidia Have More Room to Run in March
Morgan Stanley’s equity research team highlighted a shortlist of overweight stocks it believes have significant upside heading into March, including AI leader Nvidia, power‑equipment maker Cummins, Singapore‑based Grab Holdings, Nasdaq, and Citigroup. The bank cited strong earnings momentum, rising AI...
Hormuz Closure After US‑Israel Strike Sends Markets Tumbling
🚨 OPERATION EPIC FURY — Feb 28, 2026 US and Israel launched a massive military campaign against Iran at 1:15 AM ET. Regime change is the stated goal. Iran retaliated, striking US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and UAE. US officials say...
Gold‑Silver Collapse Could Revive Treasuries as Safe Haven
Will the Gold and Silver Crash Bring Back Treasuries as the Risk-Off Trade of Choice? Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/will-the-gold-and-silver-crash-bring
Iran Risk Unpriced; Protect Positions Ahead of Expiry
I warned IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN - 2 weeks ago setting up for clients how to protect. And then last week: Iran Risk Is Not Priced In, Still Then Friday morning live & in this Weekend Risk client post: "I’m racing...
Vol and Bond Markets Signal Inside News Ahead
Spot vol beta in the VIX complex was relatively hot yesterday. Nothing insane, but more towards the high end of what we usually see. S&P closed down about 60bps, VIX up about a vol point /VX up about 4%. Strong...
Semiconductor Boom Wipes $450B, Bonds Rally, Gold Soars
The best earnings report in semiconductor history erased $450 billion in two days. Bonds rallied through hot inflation. Gold hit its best month since 2012. Defensives surged while tech sold off. The regime is changing. https://t.co/n37OTbPZWx
Price Is All That Matters, Says Market Technicians
“The three most important indicators are price, price, price.” Clint Sorenson explains how technicians cut through narratives and stay aligned with what the market is actually doing. Our latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast is now live. https://t.co/G8eAZWdOcL https://t.co/HlZFSdvMf7
Community Buzzes Over 5‑Minute Macro Pro Q&A Clip
Our community is buzzin' about this 5 min clip from this week's Macro Pro Q&A Show https://t.co/MxH68qpK7Y