Mag7 Support Break Could Trigger 10% Market Correction
If the markdowns continue for equities, then the Mag7 will likely break support (below). That could be enough to turn what so far has been a 4% SPX drawdown into a more bona fide 10% correction. We can see from the equal-weighted S&P 500 index below that the convergence trades within the US markets as well as between the US and non-US markets are being unwound to some degree. When the tree is shaken, the hot money retreats as it is doing now. Correlations tend to go to 1 when the markets are under stress, and that’s what happening following a period of shrinking correlations. I remain bullish on these convergence trades, but we will need to wait for signs that the excesses have been washed away.
Large and Small Caps Show Strong Earnings Growth Differently
According to @Nasdaq, large caps and small caps are both seeing strong earnings growth — but for very different reasons. @GuyAdami and @DanNathan discuss on today's @mrktcall https://t.co/Q95mKW3icS https://t.co/dgdG2u5mGW
Flat SPY Signals Indecision, Not Stability, Ahead
$SPY has gone nowhere in 3 weeks. Stuck between headline rallies and overnight selloffs. Range-bound markets after a shock aren't stability. They're indecision before the next leg.
Nasdaq up 6%; Shift From Small‑cap to Big‑tech Shorts
Nasdaq outperforming Russel by +6% since this. Would start to exit the small cap underperformance theme and rotate back to the big tech short theme, although both probably struggle together from here. https://t.co/H7964lBBpH
S&P 500’s 6759 Level Crucial; Watch Oil
$SPX went 6636 to 6845 yesterday and pulled back, and now 6759 (yesterday’s low) is the key—if it can’t hold, it gets sloppier. Most things are just range trades, and keep an eye on oil. https://t.co/LABgJBL6qw
Manufacturing PMIs Validate EPS Breadth as Cycle Beta
This makes sense - manufacturing PMIs corroborate EPS breadth as it’s the beta of the business cycle. Thanks for bringing back the 📙! https://t.co/SrEetSesnP
Futures Dip to Daily Lows, Market Stays Calm
Futures are at their lows of the day, but everything's quieted down since the start of the week https://t.co/sqcA2J1f9o
DJI Nears End of Countertrend Bounce
US markets are at the end of another counter trend bounce - #DJI TradingView https://t.co/65H6d7i8NU
Flat Market Masks AI Surge, Gold Record, CPI Shock
🚨 US MARKET — MARCH 10, 2026 🚨 S&P 500: 6,781 (-0.21%) | Dow: 47,707 (-0.07%) Nasdaq: flat | Russell: -0.22% The market barely moved. But underneath: • Oracle: best AI earnings in 15 years — after hours • BioNTech crashed 18% — founders leaving •...
Hormuz Tensions Spike Oil, Pressure Global Markets
Oil prices are spiking as the frozen Straits of Hormuz has become the epicenter of the conflict. As of Sunday night’s futures open, WTI futures are trading at $108, which could make the...
Stagflation Looms as Iran Tensions Test Market Resilience
With the conflict in Iran becoming seemingly more contracted, the markets seem to be pricing in a less benign outcome despite what has been a Goldilocks backdrop of robust earnings growth, rising margins and productivity, hefty capex spending, an easing...
Sell‑side Lagging; Real Market Move Still Ahead
JPMorgan sees a 10% $SPY pullback. Goldman raised Brent to $76 Q2 target — before oil hit $111. When the sell-side is behind the curve, the real move hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/eWvAv1XMRu
Energy Leads as US Stocks Slip, Value Rotation Persists
US Equity Weekly (Mar 10, 2026) S&P 500 -2% (worst week since Oct) to 6,740. Dow -3%, Russell -4.1%. Oil spiked on Iran strikes + weak payrolls (-92k jobs). Energy led; Tech/Discretionary lagged. VIX →28, yields to 4.14%. Monday relief rally after...
SPY Climbs Higher; Morning Trade Proves Successful
$spy morning glance as we try and digest higher. So far the morning trade worked https://t.co/PmlVmn37AU
Positioning Surveys Overstate Market's Max Long Status
Most positioning surveys hint that markets are Max Long. I don’t Think that is true - see e.g the below https://t.co/0m7dt8z2e2
Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
Stocks Stay Green, Oil Barely Rebounds After Recovery
After the big recovery yesterday, and the headline that we got since Trump's comments, it's interesting that stocks are still green, and that oil hasn't bounced very much
Live Premarket Picks: NVDA, TSLA, IBIT, SPY
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nc6Yl https://t.co/O9fqCH2Dy0
SPY Climbs 1% Today, Brace for Market Backlash
$SPY now up 1% on the day.. let the gnashing of the teeth commence https://t.co/PDQSFKpyuT
Every 5% Dip Scares, Then Markets Rebound Higher
At today's low, the S&P 500 was down 5.2% from its Jan 28 peak, the 32nd pullback >5% since the March 2009 low. Each one came with a scary headline. Each one felt like the end of the world. But the world didn’t...
Commodities Surge While Stocks and Crypto Falter
67 days into 2026 and here’s how major markets are performing: 🟢 Oil +128% 🟢 VIX +99% 🟢 Silver +19% 🟢 Gold +18% 🔴 SP500 -2% 🔴 Bitcoin -21% 🔴 Ethereum -32%
TSX and RSP Oversold Yet Riding Uptrends
left: Canada $TSX stocks right: S&P 500 equal-weighted $RSP stocks both entering the trading day RSI(5) oversold, in uptrends, on the daily charts... https://t.co/BARO3vCCGX
Tech Funding Dwindles as Market Torpedo Approaches
Now some see it. I presented to clients a full week ago: "Tech To Lose Its Key Source Of Funds" Update here: There's A Torpedo Headed For The US Stock Market But It's Not The One You Think https://t.co/zzV2LfHfgz
Market Fear Peaks: Gap Widest Since 2000
Either the crash the market is pricing in arrives — or this is peak fear. Why? VIX at 32. SPX moving at 14%. The gap between fear and reality is the 5th widest since 2000: -Jan '09 (GFC): +24.4 -Jan '21 (Meme...
Vanguard ETFs Net $7B Inflow as Others Lose $5B
Flows were def risk-off-ish last week, which caused net number to slow drastically, led by the trading crowd faves $SPY, $QQQ, $IWM, $HYG. The Vanguardians however didn't blink. Get this: Vanguard ETFs took in $7b last week, the rest of...
US Stocks Just Starting to Sneeze, Put/Call Signals Downturn
US equities are only starting to sneeze. When it does, droplets fall everywhere, and you get infected. S&P500 and the CBOE Put/Call ratio. #SP500 #PutCallRatio #StockMarket $SPX $SPY #GlobalMarkets #PutCallRatio #TechnicalAnalysis #indiacharts https://t.co/hkGs4mAlj7
S&P Drops 5% This Year, Trump Claims Credit
S&P is down almost 5% this year https://t.co/jJ8zHsWyLU No one thought it could be done, but Donald Trump did it!
Stock Futures Plunge: Nasdaq Down 2.3%, S&P Near 2%
Losses for stock futures accelerating Nasdaq futures now down 2.3% S&P 500 futures down almost 2%
Iran Conflict Shatters Fragile S&P 500 Range
The S&P 500 spent months holding in a tight 6,800–7,000 range, yet the options market signaled fragility beneath the surface. The Iran conflict finally broke the equilibrium as we saw play out last week. Check out our weekly analysis: https://t.co/UMX9NhD0Z1
Citi Advises Holding Off Equities Amid Soaring Oil
“We see no reason to actively add equity exposure at this time as risk/reward will improve from either price action or a path to de-escaltion forming:” Citi’s Kaiser. The oil VIX reached its highest level other than during COVID since...
Preparing for a Data-Heavy Week: CPI, GDP, Earnings
busy week ahead with CPI GDP $ORCL $PATH $ADBE earnings and lots of news flow. Get my game plan tomorrow: https://t.co/YtTTmqCyAJ https://t.co/IOFyfaYqny
Stock Volatility Gap Hits 2008 Levels, Options Soar
Market stress is surging at a rapid pace: The spread between the average 9-month volatility of S&P 500 stocks and the S&P 500 index's 9-month volatility is up to 18 points, the highest since 2008. This spread has DOUBLED over the last...
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
Junk Bond Drop Signals Real Economic Stress
High yield credit (HYG) down 0.5% on March 6th. When junk bonds sell off alongside equities, it means credit markets are sniffing out real economic stress, not just a volatility event. Watch HYG. It leads. Always. https://t.co/HpbzOsBALw
Only Staples and Energy Up: Survival Trade, Not Growth Scare
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
Industrials Overvalued at 26x P/E, Staples Match Tech
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
Small‑cap Slump Signals Delayed Bull Market Confirmation
Russell 2000 down 2.3%. Small caps are the canary. They need cheap credit, domestic demand, and labor stability. They have none of those right now. If you're waiting for small cap leadership to confirm a bull market, you'll be waiting a while. https://t.co/mDOKLhcosE
VIX Spikes Often Precede Stock Rebounds—Still Just Probabilities
The $VIX increased 48% this week, the 21st biggest weekly spike ever. What has happened in the past following the biggest $VIX spikes? Stocks have tended to bounce back with above-average forward returns. Does this always happen? No. There are no certainties in markets,...
US Private Credit Stocks Face Massive Outflows and Declines
⚠️US private credit stocks are under PRESSURE: Blue Owl stock is down -50% in 12 months, dropping below its $10 listing price from 2021. Meanwhile, Blackstone's $82 billion private credit fund saw -$1.7 billion in net OUTFLOWS over the last month👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-private-credit-stocks-are-under-heavy-pressure
SMH Weakens; Crude Spike Needed for Risk Reversal
$SMH gradually starting to show more and more weakness as the Software malaise has begun to shift to Semis & Memory. While this is nearing "short-term" support, the short-term trend break & undercut of Tuesday's lows is still a...
S&P 500 Faces Frequent 1%+ Drops Ahead
The S&P 500 fell 1.3% today, its 5th daily decline so far this year with a loss above 1%. Expect to see many more of these days in the coming weeks/months - the average year since 1928 has 29...
Crude Soars 35% While S&P Bare
WTI crude up 35% on the week, one of the best weeks in history. S&P 500 down only 2%? And energy up only 1%? Markets sometimes don't make sense.
New Lindy Effect ETF Targets 50‑Year‑Old Companies
New filing for a Lindy Effect ETF.. which will only hold companies that are over 50yrs old. Some other ones incl Insurance ETF (haven't seen one of those in a long time). New issuer I believe too. https://t.co/c1L9kTa7hU
Weekend Risk‑off May Trap SPX at 6800
risk off into weekend...lack of conflict over weekend may push SPX back into its 6800 box
S
SPs likely to close with new momentum LOWS (basis 2 per ROC) and closing below 6800 as well, (though pick a number, any number....lol) https://t.co/qSqXTmUpt9
Re‑entering Consumer Staples at Lower Prices
@TheStreetPro Starting to Buy We sold almost all our consumer staples much higher a few weeks ago.T This afternoon I began to buy back and I am working on a scale lower in consumer staples now — (PG $153.67) , (PEP $157.73)...
Oracle and OpenAI Scrap Texas Data Center Expansion Plans
ORACLE $ORCL AND OPENAI ENDS PLANS TO EXPAND TEXAS DATA CENTER SITE: BBG Timber $AAOI $BE $AEHR $NVDA $SMH hello $SPX $6700 incoming ;-) As posted Feb 26th: There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
Profits Locked on Multiple Longs After S&P Dip
With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ
Fed Faces Dual Threat: Rising Inflation and Unemployment
The Fed’s biggest fear has always been having to choose between fighting inflation and protecting jobs. Friday’s employment report brought that dilemma a step closer. “Let’s not overreact to one month’s numbers, but an environment in which inflation is rising and...
Iran War's Ripple Effect on Economy and Markets
Great to have @Seawolfcap back for this week's "FND" on our WAWD @Substack. We discuss the impact of the war in Iran on the economy & markets & share some thoughts on $CVNA $AXP $APO #GOLD #ENERGY $RVI #privatecredit #AI...