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Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
The episode opens with a special announcement: the host is releasing a second edition of his self‑published guide, Central Banking 101, updated with post‑2021 data and priced at a 50 percent discount for a limited time. He frames the book’s launch amid a turbulent week in financial markets, driven largely by the escalating Middle‑East conflict. Across the United States, United Kingdom and broader Eurozone, two‑year yields jumped roughly 100 basis points, reflecting market expectations of additional rate hikes rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish shift is underscored by Governor Christopher Waller’s recent remarks, which dismiss the notion of “looking through” a sustained oil price shock and signal no near‑term easing despite recent job losses. Similar upward pressure is evident in Japan, where a rate hike is now widely priced in. The host highlights the geopolitical backdrop: Brent crude hovers near $110, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and Iranian missile strikes on Qatari gas fields have reduced global gas capacity. A Trump post on Truth Social hinting at winding down the war briefly lifted markets, yet subsequent reports of Marine deployments and ongoing strikes suggest the conflict’s trajectory remains uncertain. Waller’s quote—“if oil stays high, it bleeds into core inflation”—captures the central tension between energy shocks and monetary policy. For investors, the confluence of higher rates, persistent energy price pressure and a lack of safe‑haven assets has produced a “terrible week” across equities, bonds and gold. Continued escalation could cement higher inflation expectations, constrain growth and heighten recession risk, making the host’s updated banking primer especially timely for market participants seeking to navigate policy‑driven volatility.
Jim Cramer warned that private‑credit funds, sold as pieces of syndicated loans, were never designed for secondary trading. He said sponsors aggressively recruited retail investors who didn’t grasp the product’s illiquid, 6‑10‑year lock‑up, and now those investors are demanding their money...
The Federal Reserve’s latest policy press conference underscored that interest rates will remain elevated as the central bank grapples with lingering inflation and geopolitical risk, notably the conflict in the Middle East. Officials highlighted modest progress on price pressures, attributing part...
The Bank of Canada left its policy rate at 2.25% on Thursday, a decision driven less by domestic data and more by external shocks, notably the escalation of the Iran‑Israel conflict that has sent crude oil prices soaring. Domestic inflation slipped...
The episode centers on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming March meeting and whether the escalating Iran‑Israel conflict will push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance. Host Sarah Wheeler and lead analyst Logan Motoshami argue that, regardless of geopolitical developments, the...
HSBC strategists advise investors to lean into geographic, sector and asset-class diversification to manage geopolitical noise and structural shifts, with Asia—especially India—favored outside the US. They highlight trends including a weakening dollar, reshaped supply chains, onshoring in industrials and accelerating...
Basant Bafna, head of fixed income at Mirae Asset Mutual Fund, says current fixed-income markets present an attractive carry opportunity as OIS and corporate bond curves have risen sharply while overnight rates remain low. Spreads—particularly in AAA non-SLR corporates—are well...
The episode of Volatility Views centered on the intertwined dynamics of crude oil, Treasury bonds, and the VIX as markets navigated a volatile Friday the 13th. Host Mark Longo and his panel dissected how a sudden surge in crude to...
The market focus today was on two‑year Treasury note futures, which slipped to session lows as yields surged to their highest level in seven months. Traders saw the 2‑year futures price dip to 103.27, reflecting a 12‑basis‑point jump in the...
Amazon announced a $37 billion bond offering, positioning it as one of the largest corporate debt issuances in history. The proceeds are earmarked to accelerate the company’s artificial‑intelligence infrastructure, from data‑center expansion to new generative‑AI services. The deal attracted strong investor...
Canadian equities showed mixed strength in early trading as Maple Leaf Foods jumped about 6% after fourth-quarter profit and revenue topped estimates, driven by its pork spinoff and stronger prepared foods and poultry sales. Canadian Natural Resources beat estimates on...
BitBond unveiled a new weekly‑pay fixed‑income ETF that blends U.S. Treasury securities with Bitcoin exposure, aiming to deliver higher yields for income‑focused investors. The five‑year product, which advisors identified as most in demand, allocates roughly 80% to Treasury bonds with an...
The video announces two new Weitz ETFs – the Core Plus Bond ETF (WCPB) and the MultiSector Bond ETF (WMSB) – and outlines how each fits into a broader fixed‑income strategy. Both funds are built on the firm’s long‑standing research...
Analysts say the conflict with Iran has produced only a modest immediate move in mortgage markets but could push rates higher if it escalates. Safe‑haven flows initially drove 10‑year yields down to about 3.9%, then yields climbed back toward ~4.0%...
Renewed conflict with Iran has driven a sharp short‑term spike in energy prices—U.S. crude jumped to about $72–73/barrel in late trading and wholesale gasoline (RBOB) surged from $1.99 to $2.37 per gallon over two days—while buyers also flocked to gold...
The ISM manufacturing index showed the sector’s strongest two-month performance since mid-2022, but markets were dominated by geopolitical risk after US and Israeli strikes in Iran. Equity volatility spiked—S&P 500 gapped down and traded choppily—while gold rose and crude oil...
The video details the sudden bankruptcy of Market Financial Solutions (MFS), a UK‑based mortgage‑servicing firm, and frames it as the latest “cockroach” in a wave of private‑credit collapses that echo the 2008 crisis. Analysts point to fraudulent collateral – double‑pledged or...
The video highlights a growing crisis in Europe’s private‑credit market, echoing the turmoil already seen in the United States. Two of the continent’s largest insurers, AXA and Allianz, have issued statements that they are "distancing" themselves from new private‑credit allocations,...
The European Market Brief dissected the quarterly roll in the rates complex, highlighting how massive liquidity migrates from longer‑dated contracts to front‑month futures. Experts identified the optimal "sweet spot" timing and explained the "Jelly Roll" strategy that leverages price gaps...
The Trader Talk episode centers on Jerome Powell’s legacy and the looming transition to new Fed Chair Worsh. Panelists dissect how Powell’s insistence that inflation was "transitory" clashed with reality, and they argue that his backward‑looking stance delayed the...
India Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) launched its Offer For Sale (OFS) today, inviting investors to subscribe to newly issued shares. Chairman and MD Manoj Kumar Dubey projected that sanctions for FY26 could reach between Rs 80,000 crore and Rs 90,000 crore, well above prior...
BlackRock’s senior portfolio manager Rick Rieder told a Miami conference that the U.S. equity market is poised for a “pretty good year,” but the path will be uneven. He linked the outlook to upcoming fiscal policy, Federal Reserve actions, and...
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told a reporter that inflation, not the labor market, is now the Fed’s chief concern as the economy heads into 2024. He noted that while the job market remains steady, warning signs in recent CPI reports...
The Bloomberg Brief highlighted the rollout of President Trump’s new 10% global tariffs, the first step in a broader trade‑war strategy after the Supreme Court struck down earlier measures. Officials indicated that Section 232 national‑security investigations and Section 301 unfair‑trade probes will...
The market outlook for the week of February 23 centers on President Trump’s first State of the Union of his second term, a Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, and escalating geopolitical tension with Iran. Traders will dissect any language on trade...
Bloomberg Real Yield’s February 20 episode centered on the Supreme Court’s unexpected ruling that struck down President Trump’s global tariffs, a move that instantly lifted U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields and sparked debate over the fiscal impact of losing roughly $170 billion in...
Bloomberg Businessweek Daily highlighted two contrasting stories on Thursday, February 19: Figma’s AI‑driven growth trajectory and Blue Owl Capital’s liquidity curtailment in a private‑credit fund. The market backdrop featured modest equity declines, a VIX edging toward 21, and oil prices...
Amplify’s chief investment officer, Christian, used a recent market‑volatility roundtable to argue that traditional income‑focused strategies often leave performance on the table. He outlined how the firm’s “yield‑smart” ETFs combine dividend exposure with tactical covered‑call writing to generate 5‑6% yields...
The Close segment recapped the day’s market outlook, highlighting upcoming earnings from RioCam and IA Financial, a slump in Canadian housing prices, Japan’s $36 bn investment in U.S. energy and minerals, Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio shift, and General Motors’ $63 m Oshawa plant...
The interview with John Bay, CIO of NEI Investments, centered on today’s market rally, a 3% oil price jump, and the broader impact of geopolitical tensions on North‑American equities. Bay linked the oil surge to stalled Russia‑Ukraine talks and heightened U.S.–Iran...
The market focus on February 18 was the decline in 10‑year Treasury note futures after the Federal Reserve released its minutes. Futures slipped for a second straight session, retreating from a two‑and‑a‑half‑month high and trading around the 112.29 level. Two catalysts...
The video centers on the 10‑year Treasury yield hovering near the 4% mark, which the presenter describes as the market’s thermostat for the coming trading week. He argues that this single number now dictates cross‑asset flows, influencing everything from tech...
Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee used a recent inflation report to outline the Federal Reserve’s outlook. The data showed a headline PCE rate of 2.4% and a core rate hovering around 3.6% annualized, with services inflation still stubbornly high. Goolsbee...
The video breaks down the fundamental differences between senior loans and bonds, a staple topic in investment‑banking interview prep. It highlights that senior loans are secured and usually carry floating rates tied to LIBOR or its successor, while bonds are unsecured,...
The market focus this week centers on U.S. Treasury yields, which have slumped across the curve—from the 5‑year to the 30‑year—dragging the 10‑year rate to its lowest point since October 28, 2024. The yield plunge helped the dollar close its weakest week...
Treasury yields slipped to 4.10%, the lowest level since early December, as strong demand in the 30‑year auction drove rates down seven basis points on the day and ten on the week. The market’s focus now shifts to Friday’s CPI...
The Bank for International Settlements released its 2025 triennial Central Bank Survey, the most comprehensive census of global foreign‑exchange and over‑the‑counter derivatives markets. Covering 52 jurisdictions and data from over a thousand banks, the survey provides a rare longitudinal view...
In a recent interview, JP Morgan Asset Management’s fixed‑income strategist Cheyenne Hussein addressed whether tighter credit spreads pose a risk to the U.S. bond market. The conversation was prompted by a strong jobs report and centered on how the data reshapes...
Squawk Box Asia’s Feb. 11 segment framed artificial intelligence as a transformative force across industries, offering a broad overview of its current capabilities and future potential. The program outlined AI’s applications, from operational efficiencies to new product development, and signaled...
President Christine Lagarde’s February 5 press conference confirmed that the European Central Bank kept its three key policy rates on hold, emphasizing a data‑dependent stance as inflation eases toward the 2% medium‑term target. The meeting also marked Bulgaria’s accession to...
The European Central Bank’s Governing Council met on 5 February 2026 and left its three policy rates unchanged, underscoring a data‑dependent, meeting‑by‑meeting approach. The press conference also marked Bulgaria’s formal entry into the euro area on 1 January, bringing the bloc’s membership to...
The video, the fifth data update for 2026, focuses on how companies’ risk profiles drive hurdle‑rate calculations. After reviewing market‑level performance in earlier updates, the presenter shifts to firm‑level risk divergence and why precise risk measurement is essential for finance...
![Positioning for What’s Next in Markets | The Macro Show [FREE EDITION]](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://i.ytimg.com/vi/DZrwj2t32yc/maxresdefault.jpg)
The Macro Show’s free edition opened with Emma Vlic and Hedgei CEO Keith McCulla outlining their daily decision‑making framework. Their process begins at 4:30 a.m. with AI‑enhanced data feeds, then narrows to three macro signals that drive trade ideas: Asian equity...
The BIS’s latest triennial survey, conducted in April 2025 amid heightened policy uncertainty, reveals a dramatic expansion in both foreign‑exchange (FX) and interest‑rate derivatives markets. Daily turnover in the FX segment reached $9.5 trillion – roughly 30% higher than the 2022 survey...
The fourth data update for 2026 examines how global equity markets performed in 2025, converting local‑currency returns into U.S. dollar terms and pairing that analysis with a snapshot of country‑risk metrics, sovereign ratings, and currency movements at the start of...
The video examines the 2025 "trust deficit" that rippled through major asset classes, anchored by four headline‑making events: unprecedented U.S. tariffs, Moody’s downgrade of the sovereign rating, the longest government shutdown in history, and persistent challenges to Federal Reserve independence....
In a February 2026 webcast, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem outlined the Federal Reserve’s outlook for growth, inflation and monetary policy, emphasizing his role on the FOMC and recent caution about further rate cuts. Musalem said he expects the U.S....
