Oil Jumps $5 on Trump's Open-Ended Iran Attack Threat
SINGAPORE, April 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed more than $5 on Thursday, as President Donald Trump said the United States would keep up attacks on Iran without committing to a specific timeline to end the war, fanning investor fears about sustained disruptions to supply.
Dry Norwegian Winter Cuts Hydropower Exports, Spikes Nordic Prices
Norway's driest winter in years is rippling through electricity markets, slashing hydropower exports to the UK and Germany and pushing Nordic prices higher. https://t.co/wBDNZWRUds
Brent Rebounds, Trump Speech Confirms Prior Pricing
Brent is up $5.70 to $107 since Trump’s speech. The drop to $100 was a roll artifact from May to June, not a real easing. Now it’s pushing back toward the pre-roll $118 level. Trump didn’t change the market—he confirmed what it already...
Chinese Firms Profit by Reselling Record LNG Amid High Prices
"Chinese firms are reselling record volumes of LNG, cashing in on soaring spot prices as China has enough domestic and pipeline gas to meet its own weakened demand, in stark contrast to other Asian buyers scrambling to replace supplies cut...
April Shut‑ins Match Historic 400 MMbbl IEA Release
If we assume that Hormuz remains closed for the next month, which now seems like a pretty solid bet, the barrels not produced by Gulf states thanks to production shut-ins in **April alone** will be roughly equivalent to the entire...
Trump's Speech Triggers 4% Brent Surge in Minutes
I watched Brent Crude move in real time during tonight's Trump address. +$4.12 in 16 minutes. I took Screenshots every 60–90 seconds and turned it into an interqactive chart. This is what policy sounds like in the oil market. Brent Crude opened...
Trump's Iran Threat Spikes Brent Crude 5%
JUST IN: Brent crude oil climbed 5% as Trump promised to strike Iran extremely hard within weeks.
Trump Predicts Hormuz Opening as Brent Spikes 2%
Trump says the Strait of Hormuz will "open up naturally" Brent oil prices rise nearly 2% (a session high for the day) https://t.co/7fvQPaw1Bv
Trump Attributes Gas Price Surge to Iranian Attacks
TRUMP: "Many Americans have been concerned to see the recent rise in gasoline prices here at home. This short term increase has been entirely the result of the Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers and...
Iran's Hormuz Blockade Cuts 500M Barrels, Lifts Prices 40%
JUST IN: Iran's dominance in the Strait of Hormuz has withheld around 500 million barrels of oil from the market, boosting prices by about 40%.
Current Oil Sensitivity Metrics Based on Price Range and Velocity
In case useful, considering both oil’s recent price range and price velocity, here are the current sensitivity measures to the oil price https://t.co/nbPN3tJ8na
Southeast Asia Faces Energy Crisis With AC Season
Southeast Asia Is Bracing for an Energy Crisis as Air Conditioner Season Begins #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/CuhzSgjJTV https://t.co/k3QU0ztuit
Renewables Cut Electricity Prices; Fossils Drive Them Up
Which lowers electricity prices, more renewables or more fossil fuels? More wind, solar, geothermal & hydro correlate with lower electricity prices worldwide and across the 50 states. More fossils, nuclear & biomass all independently correlate with higher prices. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/yI9vlrRSc7w
Brent Slides Despite PMs' “Batten Down” Warnings
Why is front month Brent oil down on the day both Australian and UK prime ministers gave 'batten down the hatches' addresses to their nations?
Silver Futures Contango Widening Resurfaces
The spread is waking up again Renewed widening in the contango between #SHFE Silver Futures and #SGE
Economist Warns: War's Hidden Costs Outweigh Oil Prices
Yes, I'm an economist. And yes, I'll talk about oil and gas prices. But still, I wonder whether (and why) we're avoiding talking about the bigger costs of war.
Learn From Hormuz Crisis: Rethink Gas Export Strategies
The reshuffling of gas and LNG exports as the Hormuz crisis move to its second month is an experience that we need to learn form.
Soybean Bears Face Disappointing Day as Bull Spreads Flip
This is turning out to be a very disappointing day for the bears in the #soybeans. Bull spreads have even turned.
Asia’s Coal Resurgence Driven by Gas Shortages and Geopolitics
Asia is being FORCED BACK TO COAL to keep the lights on. Gas shortages are leaving countries with no other alternatives. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES. https://t.co/h4FiiSWzHr
Markets Await Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
“Markets are forward looking, and they’re just looking forward to a future when the Strait of Hormuz is no longer closed.” Aren’t we all. https://t.co/U9K3hLC2zT
Toll on Hormuz Likely Raises Prices, Cuts Exporter Profits
Question for incidence-knowers: If post ante regime is one where ships can transit Hormuz as long as they pay a toll, will the end result be --higher prices for final consumers --lower profits for non-Iranian Gulf exporters --rough mix (any split within 1/3-2/3 of...
US Oil Output Stays Flat Despite War‑Driven Price Surge
U.S. oil production after the war ends U.S. oil production is unlikely to rise much as a result of the war with Iran and closure of the Strait of Hormuz unless the interruption of oil supplies and rise in prices proves...
Middle East Conflict May Lift EU Solar PPAs 35%
Pexapark: Middle East conflict could increase European solar PPA prices by 35% #energysky -- via pv-tech: https://t.co/V7vYLlm1b0
Physical Brent Commands $20 Premium over June Futures
When looking at the oil market: Brent **June** futures (settled at the end of April): That's trading at ~$102 a barrel. But physical Brent market for prompt delivery: That's trading at ~$125 a barrel. There's a big difference depending on when a refinery needs...
Saudi's 2025 Break‑even Oil Price Stays Near $100
Petrodollar (or lack of them) update: Saudi 2025 balance of payments data is out, and the Saudi "current account" break even oil price (based on ~ 7 mbd in exports of crude/ product) is still right around $100 a barrel 1/
Product Prices Reveal Story, Crude Oil Doesn't
What tells a clear story? Crude oil prices = No Product prices = Yes... https://t.co/Ltyf8VQx12
Silver Blow‑off Targets $28.31 Low by 2030
$Silver - Blow off moves in the past ended with a return to the origin of the blow off. In 1980 it was to the April 1978 low at 4.90. In 2011 it was to the February 2010 low at...
Gold's Bearish Engulfing Hints End of Bull Market
$Gold - The March candle was a bearish engulfing candle similar to September 2011. At the monthly low it hit the 10 month MA as it did in September 2011. The bull market may be over and gold could suffer...
Ellen Wald: Brent Prices Must Rise Amid Iran War
Watch Price of Brent Should Be Higher to Reflect Situation in Iran War, Says Ellen Wald - Bloomberg @ACGlobalEnergy #oott #iran https://t.co/rdYCFWeqvC
Diesel Prices Show Striking, Relevant Dispersion Nationwide
I will keep retweeting updates of @GasBuddyGuy great data. This dispersion in diesel prices is both striking and relevant.
Fertilizer Costs Surge, Food Prices Remain Stable
Though fertilizer prices are soaring, so far food prices are not. Good news from Alan Beattie in the Financial Times. Featured on today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/4bpBb11NI9
VNG Pushes Germany to Refill Gas Storage Despite High Costs
Gas grid operator VNG has urged the German government to take action to make sure storage is refilled with price spreads uneconomical amid high prices driven by the Middle East war. https://t.co/wlBhZjRU8Z
Brent Price Plunge Driven by May‑June Contract Roll
The big drop you see in Brent crude prices overnight is primarily the prompt (ie front-month) contract roll from May to June May Brent crude contract expired at >$118 June currently [somehow??] trading at $101 So relieved to hear this will be entirely...
Crises Spike Fossil Prices; Clean Energy Is Essential Hedge
Spoke to @AJEnglish on Iran war & energy. Crises always drive up fossil fuel prices. That's not a bug but a feature of dependence. The only hedge against this kind of disruption is the clean energy transition. The economic case just got...
US Election Clock Forces Push to End War, Brent Slides
Brent has fallen sharply as the US sounds increasingly like it just wants to declare "mission accomplished" and end this war. I do think the midterm elections later this year mean the US is on a very tight timeline and...
Hormuz Closure Sparks Recession, Futures Hint Deflation
Hormuz Closure, December Futures Signal Post-Inflation Deflation - The closure of the Strait of Hormuz might have already triggered a global recession, with lose-lose implications for most risk assets and commodities -- particularly crude oil. Rolling to front-month just before...
Gas at $5 vs 5% Bonds: Inflation Signal
Natural Gas $5, T-Bonds 5%: Inflation vs. Deflation - January (Jan27) US natural gas futures and the 30-year Treasury bond on the same scale highlights inflation vs. deflation implications of $5 per million BTU gas and 5% yields. Full report on...
Industry Lobbying Inflates Oil Forecasts, Not Reality
When the G7 price cap was being negotiated in 2022, one US bank had an oil forecast of $380. That was the oil sector talking. It hates interference in its business. It's the same now. $150 or $200 forecasts...
Brent Futures Mirror Physical Market, Steep Backwardation
Brent futures are beginning to reflect physical reality $118. 35 closing price was only $0.68 less than peak Ukraine in late March 2022 Much steeper backwardation now https://t.co/N03VvzUcs3
Live Snapshot Shows Energy Prices Declaring War’s End
For non-Macro Tourist eyes only: LIVE Shot of the "end of the war" in TRENDING Energy Price terms https://t.co/BnmybmKwlL
India's Coal Output Dips, Stockpiles Ready for Surge
India's top coal producer said output fell in March, but that it still has enough stockpiles to meet higher demand 🇮🇳⚠️ Coal consumption in India is now on an upward trajectory on expectations of a hot summer and gas shortages due...
Oil Shock: Temporary Pain or Recession Trigger?
Ok, so here is the debate: Bull: higher oil price will raise inflation and reduce the LEVEL of disposable income/profits. But even if oil prices stay high, impact on GROWTH eventually wears off. Its a soft patch. And since we know...
Gold Crash Makes It Cheaper Than Ever
I sat down with @GoldSwitzerland partner Matthew Piepenburg, a former hedge fund trader who made millions during the dot-com bubble at 28, and author of "Rigged to Fail." Gold just crashed 25%. He says buy more. "Gold is not rising to an...
US‑aligned Control of Hormuz Signals Bullish Market Outlook
If usa friendly regime takes control of strait of Hormuz it will be very bullish., https://t.co/bpWTMUPjFa
Regulator’s “No Worries” Hides Looming Tariff Hikes
When a regulator tells you not to worry, read the footnote. The Energy Commission confirmed higher electricity tariffs are coming, and in the same breath, noted that more than 8 out of 10 household users will not be affected — for...
US‑Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, but Europe’s Inflation Stays Modest
CHARTS OF THE DAY: What's the inflationary impact of the US-Iran war for Europe (and thus the ECB and BoE)? Sure, the price of oil and refined products has risen. But paralells between the curent shock and the 2022 energy...
Gold Likely Pulls Back to Demand Zone Soon
📊 GOLD – D1 Market Outlook 🪙 🔎 On the Daily timeframe, a Demand Zone (Rally–Base–Rally) has formed 📈 and above we have a Supply Zone (Drop–Base–Drop) acting as resistance. 📉 ⚡ The market may take a pullback toward the demand zone before...
LPG Shortages and Price Spikes Hit South Asia
🇵🇰Pakistan LPG price surge intensifies hardship for citizens 🇧🇩A deepening shortage of LPG now grips Bangladesh’s domestic market. 🇰🇭Cambodia Races to Avert Fuel Crunch as Global LPG and Diesel Shortages Bite https://t.co/6D1Hdd0QGy
Malaysia’s Petrol Price Stability Ends, Household Costs Rise
For decades, the price at the Malaysian petrol pump has been a rare constant in an ever-changing global economy. But the familiar green nozzle is about to represent a significant shift in the household ledger.
Iran Deal Triggers 20‑30% Market Correction, Exposing US Vulnerabilities
Iran is Trump's Waterloo He won’t be able to spin this as a “win,” says @RanaForoohar Oil shock + AI unwind + credit crack = a fast, market-led 20-30% correction. The K-economy masks the impact on most Americans #OilMarkets #AI #Credit #Recession